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The Power Five => Big Ten => Topic started by: medinabuckeye1 on July 05, 2019, 09:58:01 AM

Title: In 83 Years of AP Polls (national, not just B1G)
Post by: medinabuckeye1 on July 05, 2019, 09:58:01 AM
Appearances:

Top-10 Appearances:

Top-5 Appearances:
#1 Appearances:

Title: Re: In 83 Years of AP Polls (national, not just B1G)
Post by: Cincydawg on July 05, 2019, 10:12:44 AM
FSU is the outlier a bit for obvious reasons.  I'm still surprised how high they are for opt 5s relative to being ranked.
Title: Re: In 83 Years of AP Polls (national, not just B1G)
Post by: CWSooner on July 05, 2019, 10:26:27 AM
Army's rankings are interesting.
Title: Re: In 83 Years of AP Polls (national, not just B1G)
Post by: Cincydawg on July 05, 2019, 10:33:02 AM
Yeah, so is Clemson's number of #1 appearances.

Title: Re: In 83 Years of AP Polls (national, not just B1G)
Post by: medinabuckeye1 on July 05, 2019, 10:49:49 AM
Yeah, so is Clemson's number of #1 appearances.
Clemson in general REALLY stood out to me when I compiled this.  In the five years of the CFP they only barely trail Bama in CFP game appearances (7 vs Bama's 9) and CFP wins (5 vs Bama's 6) and they are WAY ahead of everybody else.  Looking at these longer-term figures demonstrates just how far ahead of their "norm" Clemson is lately.  

Look at the four teams that have been to the CFP more than once:


Look at CFP Championships:

Look at CFP wins (teams that have more than one):

Bama, Oklahoma, and Ohio State are all near the top of all of the 83-year AP lists.  

All-time AP Appearances for those four schools:

All-time AP top-10's:
All-time AP top-5's:
All-time AP #1's:

One of these things is not like the others.  Dabo Swinney should be commended. 

Title: Re: In 83 Years of AP Polls (national, not just B1G)
Post by: CWSooner on July 05, 2019, 11:02:02 AM
It will be interesting to see how Clemson does after Dabo leaves.

It's difficult for a school to take a big step beyond its historical norm and stay there.  Texas Tech took a giant step upward under Mike Leach, but has reverted to form since firing him.  Kansas got a lot better during Mark Mangino's short stay there, but has since fallen to well below its historical norm.

Clemson may be an exception.  They had gone through some periods of very goodness before Dabo got there.  They are in good recruiting country.  They have a rabid fanbase.  I understand that their facilities are good.  Maybe they'll carry on without missing a beat.  Or maybe not.
Title: Re: In 83 Years of AP Polls (national, not just B1G)
Post by: Cincydawg on July 05, 2019, 11:05:43 AM
When I was a kid, UGA played Clemson as a pastry, a warm up game early in the season.

Georgia leads the series 42–18–4, with 42 games played in Georgia (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Georgia_(U.S._state)), and 22 games played in South Carolina (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/South_Carolina).  Clemson shifted from a small, all-male military institution to becoming a co-educational, civilian college in 1955, and expanded to meet University requirements in 1964. The matchups began to become more competitive as Clemson's athletic programs, along with the University, grew substantially in the 1970s.


35October 10, 1964Athens, GAGeorgia19–7
36October 9, 1965Athens, GA# (Number)4 Georgia23–9
37September 30, 1967Clemson, SC# (Number)5 Georgia24–17
38September 28, 1968Athens, GAGeorgia31–13
39September 27, 1969Clemson, SC# (Number)7 Georgia30–0
40September 26, 1970Athens, GAGeorgia38–0
41September 25, 1971Clemson, SC# (Number)14 Georgia28–0
42September 22, 1973Athens, GAGeorgia31–14
43October 5, 1974Clemson, SCClemson28–24
44October 4, 1975Athens, GAGeorgia35–7
45September 18, 1976Clemson, SC# (Number)9 Georgia41–0




Title: Re: In 83 Years of AP Polls (national, not just B1G)
Post by: FearlessF on July 05, 2019, 12:37:54 PM
Clemson trying to do what Florida St did

we'll see if Dabo stays as long as Bowden
Title: Re: In 83 Years of AP Polls (national, not just B1G)
Post by: FearlessF on July 05, 2019, 12:40:38 PM
I understand better than most that Nebraska hasn't been a national player for nearly 2 decades and some youngsters don't cornsider them a "helmet" any longer, but....

no lower than #7 in all 4 lists in the first post
Title: Re: In 83 Years of AP Polls (national, not just B1G)
Post by: CWSooner on July 05, 2019, 01:09:51 PM
Clemson leads OU all-time 3-2 and is on a 3-game winning streak, with the last 2 wins having come recently and having been beat-downs.


2015 (http://www.soonerstats.com/football/seasons/schedule.cfm?seasonid=2015)12/31 (Orange (http://www.soonerstats.com/football/research/bowls.cfm?BowlID=1))Miami GardensL  (http://www.soonerstats.com/football/games/box-score.cfm?GameID=1233)173767,61511-1#413-0#1ACCSwinney (http://www.soonerstats.com/football/coaches/opp/details.cfm?oppcoachid=355)
2014 (http://www.soonerstats.com/football/seasons/schedule.cfm?seasonid=2014)12/29 (Russell Athletic (http://www.soonerstats.com/football/research/bowls.cfm?BowlID=14))OrlandoL  (http://www.soonerstats.com/football/games/box-score.cfm?GameID=1220)64040,0718-4NR9-3#18ACCSwinney (http://www.soonerstats.com/football/coaches/opp/details.cfm?oppcoachid=355)
1988 (http://www.soonerstats.com/football/seasons/schedule.cfm?seasonid=1988)1/2 (Capital One (http://www.soonerstats.com/football/research/bowls.cfm?BowlID=7))OrlandoL  (http://www.soonerstats.com/football/games/recap.cfm?GameID=894)61353,5719-2#109-2#13ACCFord (http://www.soonerstats.com/football/coaches/opp/details.cfm?oppcoachid=246)
1972 (http://www.soonerstats.com/football/seasons/schedule.cfm?seasonid=1972)9/30NormanW (http://www.soonerstats.com/football/games/box-score.cfm?GameID=695)52361,2102-0#21-1NRACCIngram (http://www.soonerstats.com/football/coaches/opp/details.cfm?oppcoachid=245)
1963 (http://www.soonerstats.com/football/seasons/schedule.cfm?seasonid=1963)9/21NormanW (http://www.soonerstats.com/football/games/box-score.cfm?GameID=596)311462,0340-0#40-0NRACCHoward (http://www.soonerstats.com/football/coaches/opp/details.cfm?oppcoachid=244)


I was at the 52-3 Sooner win in 1972.  I'm not sure that I had heard of Clemson before that game.

Clemson's win in 1988 was Barry Switzer's last game as OU's HFC.  I think that Woody Hayes' last game at Ohio State was also a bowl-game loss to Clemson.  Danny Ford had the program in high gear, before the wheels fell off.

Clemson looks ugly in purple.
Title: Re: In 83 Years of AP Polls (national, not just B1G)
Post by: Cincydawg on July 05, 2019, 02:32:09 PM
Clemson trying to do what Florida St did

we'll see if Dabo stays as long as Bowden
I think they have passed that vague point of possible return.  They recruit like crazy now.  I know that could erode if Dabo departs of course, but it would take a while for them to drop back to full mediocrity I think.  That said, perceptions change fast these days.  How often do "we" think about FSU relative to Oklahoma or Ohio State or Alabama these days?  They aren't on our radar, and that would be true for many recruits I suspect.
Title: Re: In 83 Years of AP Polls (national, not just B1G)
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on July 05, 2019, 02:50:15 PM
Florida is pretty consistent, with some pretty major movement all around it.
Title: Re: In 83 Years of AP Polls (national, not just B1G)
Post by: FearlessF on July 05, 2019, 03:01:42 PM
Obviously, Bowden got the recruiting going at a very high level - gone after 2009

maybe his age at the end allowed recruiting to slide a bit and the infractions and probation was tough
Title: Re: In 83 Years of AP Polls (national, not just B1G)
Post by: medinabuckeye1 on July 05, 2019, 03:06:03 PM
I understand better than most that Nebraska hasn't been a national player for nearly 2 decades and some youngsters don't cornsider them a "helmet" any longer, but....

no lower than #7 in all 4 lists in the first post
I like Nebraska and I loved the Sharkwater tailgate there back in 2011.  That said, the thing that makes me question Nebraska's "Helmetosity" isn't just the recent swoon, it is the fact that they weren't consistently very good before Bob Devaney either.  I noted in the more B1G-centric (https://www.cfb51.com/big-ten/the-14-current-b1g-members-in-83-years-of-ap-polls-(1936-2018)/) thread that Nebraska was mostly nationally irrelevant in the first 28 years of AP Polls (40 appearances, 16 top-10's, and no top-5's in 284 polls from 1936-1963). 

My view is that a PROGRAM that is a true helmet program doesn't need a great coach to be nationally relevant.  I have my doubts about Nebraska because substantially all of their success came under just two coaches:  Bob Devaney and Tom Osborne. 

Devaney arrived for the 1962 season and the Cornhuskers went 9-2 that year.  Prior to that they hadn't finished above .500 since going 6-5 in 1954.  They hadn't finished with eight or more wins since going 8-2 in 1940, and they hadn't won nine or more games since going 10-0 in 1903. 

Devaney, Osborne, and Solich* coached Nebraska for 42 consecutive years during which winning "only" nine games in a season was a bad year.  Outside of that a nine win season at Nebraska is REALLY good. 

Schools like Alabama, Ohio State, Oklahoma, and a few others have achieved high levels of success under many different coaches. 

Another way to look at it, and one that @ELA (https://www.cfb51.com/index.php?action=profile;u=55) typically advocates, is to look at a program's ability to recover from a major downturn.  Ohio State is hard to measure on this metric because the Buckeyes are, by far, the most consistently successful program at least since WWII.  Alabama and Oklahoma, however, have each faced serious and extended downturns then recovered to get right back to being football powerhouses.  Alabama was basically terrible for 11 years from 1997-2007 and look at them now.  Oklahoma had a similar swoon from 1989-1999 then got right back to being a NC contender. 

For the last 17 years (2002-2018) the Cornhuskers have been, for the most part, nationally irrelevant.  Here are their 2002-2018 AP stats:

I'm not pointing this out to pick on Nebraska.  My point is that Bama (1997-2007) and Oklahoma (1989-1999) were not much better and they recovered.  My question is whether or not Nebraska can do the same thing?  I'm not taking a position on whether or not they can, I'm just pointing out the question. 

If Scott Frost can take them back to consistently playing high-level football that will REALLY shore up Nebraska's Helmet status because it will mean that they have four highly successful coaches (Devaney, Osborne, Solich, Frost) and that they have successfully rebounded from a protracted downturn.  If he can't, then I'll be waiting to see how the next guy does. 


*Solich:
I hesitated to include Solich in my list of great Nebraska coaches because he obviously didn't succeed at the Devaney/Osobrne level and got fired.  That said, his winning percentage is still third best among Nebraska coaches in the last 100+ years. 
Title: Re: In 83 Years of AP Polls (national, not just B1G)
Post by: medinabuckeye1 on July 05, 2019, 03:18:24 PM
I think they have passed that vague point of possible return.  They recruit like crazy now.  I know that could erode if Dabo departs of course, but it would take a while for them to drop back to full mediocrity I think.  That said, perceptions change fast these days.  How often do "we" think about FSU relative to Oklahoma or Ohio State or Alabama these days?  They aren't on our radar, and that would be true for many recruits I suspect.
Perceptions for recruits change fast because their frame of reference is so small.  

A few years ago I remember one of the Michigan fans on here saying that they were complaining about the Wolverines "only" playing in a relatively minor bowl that year and a younger relative replied that "at least we got a bowl this year".  

How far back into your childhood do you remember things?  For my example, I vaguely remember Ohio State playing in the Rose Bowl when I was a kid.  I know it had to be the 1984 season / 1985 Rose Bowl because the only previous Rose Bowl appearances by the Buckeyes in my lifetime where the 1976 Rose Bowl when I was an infant and the 1980 Rose Bowl when I was four years old.  Ohio State's next Rose Bowl was in 1997 (1996 season) and I drove to Pasadena for that game.  

Ie, I only vaguely remember the CFB season from when I was nine and I wouldn't even remember that except that it was a Rose Bowl.  

New football players are ~18 when they enroll but 16-17 when they are being recruited and even younger when they are first thinking about where they might go.  If they can remember back to when they were 10, that means that their frame of reference is no more than eight years and usually more like five.  Thus, a recruit today barely remembers CFB pre-playoff and, unless his childhood team won a NC between 2009-2013 he can probably only remember three National Champions (Bama and Clemson twice each and Ohio State once).  That is it.  

It is hard for old guys like us to comprehend that.  For us, the CFP is still "new".  For us, Ohio State's National Championship in Georgia's SEC Championship in 2002 still feel "recent" because we remember those seasons well.  Today's recruits were in diapers or not yet born when those things happened.  
Title: Re: In 83 Years of AP Polls (national, not just B1G)
Post by: Cincydawg on July 05, 2019, 03:22:18 PM
It would be interesting to take for each program the number of appearances listed next to the number of top 5 rankings achieved, or top #1s.

Title: Re: In 83 Years of AP Polls (national, not just B1G)
Post by: FearlessF on July 05, 2019, 04:42:39 PM
Perceptions for recruits change fast because their frame of reference is so small. 


true, but recruits are also influenced by others around them

for example, The Colorado coach recently said about recruiting, ‘Well, what has Nebraska done?’
he's right, but recruits view Nebraska much differently than Colorado


Tucker, who was interviewed this week by the Denver Post, noted the battles he faces getting kids from his own state, while also unintentionally — we think — upping the ante for the teams’ matchup in Boulder in September.

“There are in-state kids here who don’t care a thing about CU, so it’s a sell job,” Tucker told The Denver Post. “It’s like, you’ve got to win games before they’ll even consider you. I’ve been through that before, that’s just how it is. There are kids right now that you (ask), ‘Well, who are your top guys?’ And they’ll say, ‘Nebraska.’

“And you look and say, ‘Well, what has Nebraska done?’ But in their mind, that’s like way, way better than CU.”

Title: Re: In 83 Years of AP Polls (national, not just B1G)
Post by: CWSooner on July 05, 2019, 04:51:32 PM
I like Nebraska and I loved the Sharkwater tailgate there back in 2011.  That said, the thing that makes me question Nebraska's "Helmetosity" isn't just the recent swoon, it is the fact that they weren't consistently very good before Bob Devaney either.  I noted in the more B1G-centric (https://www.cfb51.com/big-ten/the-14-current-b1g-members-in-83-years-of-ap-polls-(1936-2018)/) thread that Nebraska was mostly nationally irrelevant in the first 28 years of AP Polls (40 appearances, 16 top-10's, and no top-5's in 284 polls from 1936-1963). 

My view is that a PROGRAM that is a true helmet program doesn't need a great coach to be nationally relevant.  I have my doubts about Nebraska because substantially all of their success came under just two coaches:  Bob Devaney and Tom Osborne. 

Devaney arrived for the 1962 season and the Cornhuskers went 9-2 that year.  Prior to that they hadn't finished above .500 since going 6-5 in 1954.  They hadn't finished with eight or more wins since going 8-2 in 1940, and they hadn't won nine or more games since going 10-0 in 1903. 

Devaney, Osborne, and Solich* coached Nebraska for 42 consecutive years during which winning "only" nine games in a season was a bad year.  Outside of that a nine win season at Nebraska is REALLY good. 

Schools like Alabama, Ohio State, Oklahoma, and a few others have achieved high levels of success under many different coaches.

Another way to look at it, and one that ELA typically advocates, is to look at a program's ability to recover from a major downturn.  Ohio State is hard to measure on this metric because the Buckeyes are, by far, the most consistently successful program at least since WWII.  Alabama and Oklahoma, however, have each faced serious and extended downturns then recovered to get right back to being football powerhouses.  Alabama was basically terrible for 11 years from 1997-2007 and look at them now.  Oklahoma had a similar swoon from 1989-1999 then got right back to being a NC contender.
Oklahoma was even worse than you thought, Medina.  There was another swoon in there during the 1960s.  Bud Wilkinson tailed off toward the end of his tenure at OU, starting in 1959.  He went 7-3, 3-6-1, and 5-5, then recovered to go 8-2 and 8-3.  He retired after the '63 season.  For the rest of the decade, under Gomer Jones, Jim McKenzie, and Chuck Fairbanks, the Sooners went 38-28-1.  So, from '59 through '69, OU's record was 69-42-2.  We had a 1-12 record against Texas that overlapped that span by one year on each end.  Not as bad as the '90s, but not helmet-worthy either.

Quote
For the last 17 years (2002-2018) the Cornhuskers have been, for the most part, nationally irrelevant.  Here are their 2002-2018 AP stats:
  • 22nd in appearances with 126 out of 278 polls (45.3%)
  • 33rd (tied with Mizzou, KSU, and USCe) with 24 top-10's out of 278 polls (8.6%)
  • 44th (tied with Purdue and aTm) with one top-5 out of 278 polls (0.4%). 
  • Never ranked higher than #5. 

I'm not pointing this out to pick on Nebraska.  My point is that Bama (1997-2007) and Oklahoma (1989-1999) were not much better and they recovered.  My question is whether or not Nebraska can do the same thing?  I'm not taking a position on whether or not they can, I'm just pointing out the question. 

If Scott Frost can take them back to consistently playing high-level football that will REALLY shore up Nebraska's Helmet status because it will mean that they have four highly successful coaches (Devaney, Osborne, Solich, Frost) and that they have successfully rebounded from a protracted downturn.  If he can't, then I'll be waiting to see how the next guy does. 


*Solich:
I hesitated to include Solich in my list of great Nebraska coaches because he obviously didn't succeed at the Devaney/Osobrne level and got fired.  That said, his winning percentage is still third best among Nebraska coaches in the last 100+ years.
What your analysis about Nebraska may be missing is that Nebraska was a very solid program prior to the polling era.  Per my manual crunching of the numbers, the Huskers prior to 1938 were 270-86-28, with 23 conference championships.  The great Dana X. Bible coached there for 8 years, going 50-15-7.  The '40s and '50s were terrible decades for them.  But by the late '60s, they were one of the best programs in the country, and were AP national champs in '70 and '71.

Thinking of Nebraska football in the '40s and '50s reminds me of a passage in the novel MASH.  The 4077th is preparing to play Gen. Hammond's team in a football game, and Hawkeye and Duke are trying to round up players.  They have one guy who started for Nebraska, who is pretty good, and another guy who was 2nd team for Oklahoma, who is no good.  This struck me--as an OU fan--as just a bit odd, because Bud Wilkinson had started his great run at OU, while Nebraska was in the middle of its bad run when the novel was set, during the Korean War, probably 1951-53.  OU had won its first NC in 1950.

But MASH--written by former military surgeon Richard Hornberger and sportswriter W.C. Heinz under the name of Richard Hooker--was published in 1968, and Nebraska had been the better program through the 1960s, winning four straight Big 8 championships from 1963 through 1966.
Title: Re: In 83 Years of AP Polls (national, not just B1G)
Post by: medinabuckeye1 on July 05, 2019, 05:12:21 PM
Oklahoma was even worse than you thought, Medina.  There was another swoon in there during the 1960s.  Bud Wilkinson tailed off toward the end of his tenure at OU, starting in 1959.  He went 7-3, 3-6-1, and 5-5, then recovered to go 8-2 and 8-3.  He retired after the '63 season.  For the rest of the decade, under Gomer Jones, Jim McKenzie, and Chuck Fairbanks, the Sooners went 38-28-1.  So, from '59 through '69, OU's record was 69-42-2.  We had a 1-12 record against Texas that overlapped that span by one year on each end.  Not as bad as the '90s, but not helmet-worthy either.
I thought that OU had other downturns but I just did a cursory review and looked for the most recent one that fit my needs (had to last at least about a decade).  

What your analysis about Nebraska may be missing is that Nebraska was a very solid program prior to the polling era.  Per my manual crunching of the numbers, the Huskers prior to 1938 were 270-86-28, with 23 conference championships.  The great Dana X. Bible coached there for 8 years, going 50-15-7.  The '40s and '50s were terrible decades for them.  But by the late '60s, they were one of the best programs in the country, and were AP national champs in '70 and '71.
It is a fair point that Nebraska was pretty good pre-poll.  I just find it a lot harder to quantify things from back then.  Nebraska went 10-0 in 1902 but their opponents included Lincoln High, something called "Doane", Grinnell, Haskell, and Knox.  Obviously Lincoln High is a High School and one would expect the local college to be better than the local HS even if the local college sucks relative to other colleges.  I have no idea how impressive it is that in 1902 Nebraska beat Doane 51-0, Grinnell 17-0, Haskell 28-0, and Knox 7-0.  The Cornhuskers went 11-0 in 1903 and the eleven opponents included Lincoln High, Haskell, and Knox again along with Grand Island, South Dakota, and Bellevue.  

This is not to pick on Nebraska.  Back at the turn of the century a lot of teams played High Schools, Alumni Clubs, etc.  I'm just making the point that I find it very difficult to compare records back then.  It is tough enough in the modern era but it is tougher back then.  
Title: Re: In 83 Years of AP Polls (national, not just B1G)
Post by: FearlessF on July 05, 2019, 05:22:06 PM
When football really got started say the 20s, the Huskers went toe to toe with Rockne's teams, beating the four horsemen

They also shut down the galloping ghost

yes, the 40's and 50's were very bad, but besides those two decades the Huskers have been solid or much better than average

checking all-time winning percentage will show this

I understand the 1936 AP Poll cutoff, but Nebraska has a great history in football long before Devaney moved to Lincoln
Title: Re: In 83 Years of AP Polls (national, not just B1G)
Post by: Cincydawg on July 05, 2019, 07:49:13 PM
Thanks again to Medina, here, I mean Minibobs.  Fascinating topic.
Title: Re: In 83 Years of AP Polls (national, not just B1G)
Post by: medinabuckeye1 on July 07, 2019, 05:10:54 PM
More on Nebraska:

As someone who was in college when the Cornhuskers won three NC's in four years (1994-1997) I have a hard time seeing them as anything but a "helmet".  I was at Ohio State for five football seasons and everybody was pretty much chasing Nebraska the entire time:



In the 42 years of Devaney, Osborne, and Solich they were the best program in the country.  Here are Nebraska's AP stats out of 649 AP Polls for 1962-2003:


For those 42 years Nebraska was #1 in everything.  They appeared in better than 9-out-of-10 polls, in better than 3-out-of-4 top-10's, in almost half of the top-5's, in better than 1-out-of-5 top-2's, and in better than 1-out-of-10 #1's.  

In the poll era outside of that so 1936-1961 and 2004-present (502 polls) not so good:
So in the 83 years of AP Polls, Nebraska has 42 years (1962-2003) of being absolutely the best program in the country and 41 years of being decidedly mediocre.  Prior to the AP Poll they definitely had some success but that is harder to quantify.  

My assessment is that at this point they are a borderline helmet.  I strongly disagree with the notion that a team can never lose helmet status and I think that Nebraska has either lost it or is close to losing it.  That said, they still have a huge stadium, a huge and rabid fanbase, and plenty of cash.  If Scott Frost leads them back to the promised land then this discussion will look pretty silly in retrospect and Nebraska's 2004-2018 swoon will be viewed no differently than Bama's from 1997-2007 or Oklahoma's from 1989-1999.  If he can't . . .

Title: Re: In 83 Years of AP Polls (national, not just B1G)
Post by: FearlessF on July 07, 2019, 06:02:44 PM
42 years of being absolutely the best program in the country

sounds like helmet

although I understand that 2003 was 16 years ago

I'd guess the only other programs to be able to say they were the absolutely best for 42 years would be Ohio St and Oklahoma
Title: Re: In 83 Years of AP Polls (national, not just B1G)
Post by: MarqHusker on July 07, 2019, 10:05:09 PM
This is what we call high peak, and that's some lengthy peak.  I'm not sure it is somehow more impressive if those 42 years were in 3 or 4 smaller non consecutive  segments scattered  from 1936 to today. 

All of this is fun with end points anyways.
Title: Re: In 83 Years of AP Polls (national, not just B1G)
Post by: Brutus Buckeye on July 07, 2019, 10:15:45 PM

Yeah, but look who they were playing.

Up until 96, it was just Oklahoma and the Little Sisters. O0
Title: Re: In 83 Years of AP Polls (national, not just B1G)
Post by: medinabuckeye1 on July 07, 2019, 10:39:30 PM
This is what we call high peak, and that's some lengthy peak.  I'm not sure it is somehow more impressive if those 42 years were in 3 or 4 smaller non consecutive  segments scattered  from 1936 to today.

All of this is fun with end points anyways.
Those 42 years are an incredible peak for Nebraska and it is all the more impressive because 42 years is a REALLY long time.  Achieving that level of success over five, 10, or even 20 years would be a LOT less impressive to me. 

That said, it would be marginally more impressive to me if those 42 years were in three or four non-consecutive segments for two reasons:

Title: Re: In 83 Years of AP Polls (national, not just B1G)
Post by: CWSooner on July 07, 2019, 11:23:59 PM
Yeah, but look who they were playing.

Up until 96, it was just Oklahoma and the Little Sisters. O0
Yeah, but.

Oklahoma was really good for a big part of that time.  From 1971 through 1980, OU averaged a #3 finish and won two AP national championships.  (There was a shorter run in the 1980s during which OU averaged #3.25 and won another MNC.)  And schools like Colorado, Missouri, Kansas, Oklahoma State, and Iowa State had some good years in there too.
ALSO, Big 8 teams were playing 4 OOC games during that period and, in nearly all of those years, Nebraska was playing 3 or 4 P5 opponents in those games.
Title: Re: In 83 Years of AP Polls (national, not just B1G)
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on July 08, 2019, 06:35:00 AM
True, the recruits' frame of reference is a brief window, but history matters.  Not in terms of where you are on a list, or anything typed out in black-and-white, but when those kids visit your facility, what are they going to see? 
Are they going to see cool, huge cutouts of past players on the walls?  Okay.  Some kind of sign to tap on their way to the field?  Okay.  But are they also going to see Heismans?  National Championships trophies?  Are they going to see one or two...or seven?  Are they going to see a variety of trophies? 
If you go to a helmet program, you learn what the Nagurski looks like, the Thorpe, and the Walker.  You see Heismans from the 60s and the 00s. 



That's how history matters.
Title: Re: In 83 Years of AP Polls (national, not just B1G)
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on July 08, 2019, 06:36:45 AM
Florida having more weeks at #1 than Michigan will always astound me.  
Title: Re: In 83 Years of AP Polls (national, not just B1G)
Post by: Cincydawg on July 08, 2019, 07:51:17 AM
I think history matters SOME to recruits, but obviously recent history matters much more, I think.  A program that has a recent record of putting guys in the NFL at your position has to be attractive.  A top recruit also evaluates the current lineup to assess whether he might get early PT.  They talk about how they mesh with the coaches, but this may be just talk in many cases.  

If I'm a top skill position player, I'm looking to get drafted in three years, and little else is going to matter to me.  The ritzy facilities are nice, the large stadium and fan enthusiasm is great, a chance to play for an NC is great, but IF somehow I could go to Kansas State and get to the NFL in good shape in 3 years, I'd do that.

Title: Re: In 83 Years of AP Polls (national, not just B1G)
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on July 08, 2019, 09:59:35 AM
But...these kids aren’t you.  The rise of Oregon’s program sort of proves that they care about the flashy uniforms and amazing facilities, no?
Title: Re: In 83 Years of AP Polls (national, not just B1G)
Post by: Cincydawg on July 08, 2019, 10:07:58 AM
I'm talking about the top level 5 star position players, in general.  How many of them went to Oregon?

No doubt flash can appeal to some of them.  These kids aren't making decisions on their own (with few exceptions).  They get advice, some good, some bad, but nearly all of it is focused on money.

Title: Re: In 83 Years of AP Polls (national, not just B1G)
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on July 08, 2019, 11:01:48 AM
They have the #1 QB pro prospect atm...
Title: Re: In 83 Years of AP Polls (national, not just B1G)
Post by: Cincydawg on July 08, 2019, 11:13:34 AM
Yeah, and he may well see Oregon as the best place to get to the NFL. 

That would not be an illogical conclusion on his part.  Is this the guy?

Has physical upside with a slender frame that can add weight. Can make all of the throws. Can easily throw downfield, but also chips away with shorter and intermediate throws. Father played in Pac-10 and NFL. High football IQ with incredible poise and pocket awareness. Is a pure pocket passer, who throws with timing and great anticipation. Extremely polished. Projects as multi-year Power 5 starter and as a late second-day pick/early third-day pick in the NFL draft. 

Athletic Background
Jay Butterfield is a 6-6, 180-pound Quarterback from Brentwood, Calif.


Title: Re: In 83 Years of AP Polls (national, not just B1G)
Post by: FearlessF on July 08, 2019, 11:54:04 AM
I think history matters SOME to recruits, but obviously recent history matters much more, I think.  A program that has a recent record of putting guys in the NFL at your position has to be attractive.  A top recruit also evaluates the current lineup to assess whether he might get early PT.  They talk about how they mesh with the coaches, but this may be just talk in many cases. 




I think most young kids that will be away from home for the first time want to have a good relationship with at least their position coach.  If the chemistry just doesn't work for whatever reason they have other options that can get them to the NFL or provide the other things.

They don't want to feel as though the coaches at the program don't really care for them and won't look out for them.  They're looking for some trust.
Title: Re: In 83 Years of AP Polls (national, not just B1G)
Post by: Cincydawg on July 08, 2019, 12:03:56 PM
No doubt, but how often would ANY coach not generate trust with a candidate?  I guess it happens, but it's bad recruiting obviously.

I figure this is about even with the upper level programs, though a player may "hit it off" with one specific recruiter for intangible reasons.  It averages out.

Most upper level programs are about even on facilities and gloss and dudahs.  The coaches are nice to you, more or less.  Maybe you like the weather better here than there.  Maybe it's closer to home (that can be a factor of course).  And maybe they have an obvious opening at running back that you can step into NOW and they have put backs into the league often and recently at a high level.

Title: Re: In 83 Years of AP Polls (national, not just B1G)
Post by: FearlessF on July 08, 2019, 12:15:29 PM
I'm sure all the coaches put on a nice friendly smile and the conversations they have say the right things about trust and commitment

I'm talking about and I think the recruits are talking about is that special click that they have something in common or just hit it off better with the coaches here than there.

maybe they talk about fishing or baseball or the coach reminds them of their father or an uncle, but there's a little more there than the other 24 coaches they have met
Title: Re: In 83 Years of AP Polls (national, not just B1G)
Post by: Cincydawg on July 08, 2019, 12:49:25 PM
No doubt it happens at times, I suspect recruits talk about that a lot more than it really matters though.

At times, it comes down to what effective is a coin toss.  The kid doesn't really know why he ever so slightly prefers X over Y.  If both offer a good path to the NFL, either choice is fine, all of them are good choices.  When asked to explain, they often say "I just had a great connection with the coaches there.".

And yes, at times that will be the deciding factor.  If you are an elite running back, you have 5-6-7 possible choices, all of them great choices.  If one program has an obvious SLOT for you, go there, and say you have a great connection with the RB coach.

I am thinking about Knowshon Moreno, a good college back, who was red shirted his FR year.  He didn't make a good choice, IMHO, neither did Justin Fields.

Maybe Moreno did make a good choice, he only played two years in college, so he reduced his risks.
Title: Re: In 83 Years of AP Polls (national, not just B1G)
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on July 08, 2019, 03:09:05 PM
Yeah, and he may well see Oregon as the best place to get to the NFL. 

That would not be an illogical conclusion on his part.  



Based on what?  Akili King?  Joey Harrington?  He obviously didn't go to Oregon because of their reputation for developing NFL QBs.  His HC, Cristobal, was an OL coach.  
In is particular case, he grew up in Eugene and loved the Ducks and happened to be good enough to sign at a program that good.  It probably wasn't the uniforms or facilities, but it certainly wasn't UO being a QB factory to the NFL, either.
Title: Re: In 83 Years of AP Polls (national, not just B1G)
Post by: Cincydawg on July 08, 2019, 03:12:38 PM
If he's a Duck fan, that's game set and something else.

I don't think of him as an example of an elite player, though he might become one.
Title: Re: In 83 Years of AP Polls (national, not just B1G)
Post by: FearlessF on July 13, 2019, 09:38:59 AM
So in the 83 years of AP Polls, Nebraska has 42 years (1962-2003) of being absolutely the best program in the country and 41 years of being decidedly mediocre.  Prior to the AP Poll they definitely had some success but that is harder to quantify. 


I was bored this morning...... not much traffic on the board

Harder to quantify, but I checked winning percentage......  surprising that Ohio St and Oklahoma don't show up in the top 30


Winning Percentage 1869-1936 (68 years)

1 Yale 
2 Princeton 
3 Notre Dame
4 Harvard
5 Michigan
6 Minnesota 
7 Vanderbilt 
8 Nebraska
9 Southern Cal 
10 Texas

Title: Re: In 83 Years of AP Polls (national, not just B1G)
Post by: Brutus Buckeye on July 13, 2019, 10:19:23 AM
I don't know about Oklahoma, but OSU had like five good seasons from 1869-1936. 
Title: Re: In 83 Years of AP Polls (national, not just B1G)
Post by: MrNubbz on July 13, 2019, 10:26:23 AM
  surprising that Ohio St and Oklahoma don't show up in the top 30
We were lulling everyone else into a false sense of security
Title: Re: In 83 Years of AP Polls (national, not just B1G)
Post by: CWSooner on July 13, 2019, 11:06:29 AM
Oklahoma had a decent run from 1905 through 1926 under Bennie Owen, who won 122 games.  But he lost 54 and tied 16, so his winning percentage is only .677.  And, other than that, there wasn't much to cheer about.

Over your time period, Oklahoma went 9-21- vs. Texas.  And 8 of those 9 wins came under Owen, who went 8-8 vs. the Horns.

There were a couple of claimed Southwest Conference championships in there.  I say claimed because there was not a set number of conference games.  OU claims the 1918 SWC championship with a conference record of 2-0.
Title: Re: In 83 Years of AP Polls (national, not just B1G)
Post by: FearlessF on July 13, 2019, 11:12:26 AM
Vandy was solid
Title: Re: In 83 Years of AP Polls (national, not just B1G)
Post by: Cincydawg on July 13, 2019, 12:07:40 PM
UGA used to play Yale fairly routinely in the 1920s, usually in New Haven, but Yale traveled down by train in 1929 to inaugurate Sanford Stadium.  A lot of the UGA faculty came from Yale, and of course Yale adopted the Bulldog moniker from UGA, just as Green Bay copied our G.

The Union even copied our fight song in the Civil War, but they changed the words.
Title: Re: In 83 Years of AP Polls (national, not just B1G)
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on July 13, 2019, 02:05:24 PM
UGA used to play Yale fairly routinely in the 1920s, usually in New Haven, but Yale traveled down by train in 1929 to inaugurate Sanford Stadium.  A lot of the UGA faculty came from Yale, and of course Yale adopted the Bulldog moniker from UGA, just as Green Bay copied our G.

The Union even copied our fight song in the Civil War, but they changed the words.
These facts can be found in 2 Thessalonians....
Title: Re: In 83 Years of AP Polls (national, not just B1G)
Post by: Cincydawg on July 13, 2019, 02:28:03 PM
Don't bring those negative waves over here, we don't need'em at all!
Title: Re: In 83 Years of AP Polls (national, not just B1G)
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on July 13, 2019, 02:43:14 PM
I thought it was genuinely funny and that you'd blow a snot bubble laughing at it.  Oh well.
Title: Re: In 83 Years of AP Polls (national, not just B1G)
Post by: FearlessF on July 13, 2019, 07:51:55 PM
you're thinking again
Title: Re: In 83 Years of AP Polls (national, not just B1G)
Post by: Cincydawg on July 14, 2019, 11:11:15 AM
I thought it was genuinely funny and that you'd blow a snot bubble laughing at it.  Oh well.

I was amused, no doubt, but no snot bubbles.  A guffaw for sure.  I imagine you were amused at my post as well.
Title: Re: In 83 Years of AP Polls (national, not just B1G)
Post by: medinabuckeye1 on July 15, 2019, 08:26:26 AM
I thought it was genuinely funny and that you'd blow a snot bubble laughing at it.  Oh well.
I laughed.  

It is funny because it is really old history.  

As we have discussed before, it is funny how, for a lot of people, their position on what "should" count is coincidentally highly convenient to their rooting interests.  My usual example:

I tend to delineate "modern" college football based on either "post WWII" or "the AP Poll era" but I will be the first to admit that this is extraordinarily convenient for an Ohio State fan because:

Title: Re: In 83 Years of AP Polls (national, not just B1G)
Post by: Cincydawg on July 15, 2019, 11:54:11 AM
Dawg fans think anything between 1946 and 1980 is irrelevant, and anything between 1981 and today if irrelevant, but wait til next year.

Title: Re: In 83 Years of AP Polls (national, not just B1G)
Post by: utee94 on July 15, 2019, 03:03:10 PM
Vandy was solid

Texas is, I believe,  3-8-1 against Vandy all-time.  And the teams haven't played since 1926.

That's all off the top of my head, but if not 100% accurate it's really close.

Sure would like to schedule the 'Dores for about a ten year series... :)
Title: Re: In 83 Years of AP Polls (national, not just B1G)
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on July 15, 2019, 03:39:53 PM
I'm doubly bad as a Florida fan, because 1990 is when I started watching and understanding in earnest as a 10 year old.  


When I debate about SEC-centric stuff, I tend to go back to 1992 (divisional play), which I think is fair.  
As for college football eras, we've all had this debate before.  There's pre-AP poll, there's since WWII, and then there's widespread 2-platoon football or full segregation or the scholarship limits.  Take your pick.  
Title: Re: In 83 Years of AP Polls (national, not just B1G)
Post by: FearlessF on July 15, 2019, 03:41:33 PM
Well, there's also since the beginning or around 1869
Title: Re: In 83 Years of AP Polls (national, not just B1G)
Post by: 847badgerfan on July 15, 2019, 03:57:53 PM
I'm fine with 1990.
Title: Re: In 83 Years of AP Polls (national, not just B1G)
Post by: MarqHusker on July 15, 2019, 04:11:59 PM
Not to turn this into a baseball discussion, because it isn't, but one thing that us hardcore baseball types argue about is the concept of 'timelining' when attempting to compare eras, evaluating quality of players, and teams.

It goes far beyond,  'DeadBall era'  (pre 1920) vs 'Live ball'. Rule changes.  League wars (AL/NL/Federal League), the WW II era, the most obvious pre-integration, post-integration, expansion era, park factors,  PEDs, and greenies, etc.

I guess what I'm saying is, college football has many more variables than just three clean periods,  pre-poll, post-War, and 'take your pick' (for the third option).   I'm willing to acknowledge at a macro level, those are fair periods to identify, but there's more to it than meets the eye. 


Title: Re: In 83 Years of AP Polls (national, not just B1G)
Post by: utee94 on July 15, 2019, 04:15:09 PM
MLB = rat's ass.

This is the college football board, son. ;)