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The Power Four => Big Ten => Topic started by: ALA2262 on March 17, 2019, 04:46:12 PM

Title: 10 biggest games in 2019 that will impact next season's CFB Playoff
Post by: ALA2262 on March 17, 2019, 04:46:12 PM

10 biggest games in 2019 that will impact next season's CFB Playoff (per @NCAA (https://twitter.com/NCAA?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1107313680545394691&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fs9e.github.io%2Fiframe%2Ftwitter.min.html%231107313680545394691)):

Florida vs Miami

Auburn vs Oregon

Texas A&M @ Clemson

LSU @ Texas

Notre Dame @ Georgia

Oklahoma vs Texas

Notre Dame @ Michigan

Alabama @ Texas A&M

Georgia vs Florida

Ohio St @ Michigan

Title: Re: 10 biggest games in 2019 that will impact next season's CFB Playoff
Post by: Cincydawg on March 17, 2019, 04:54:05 PM

I'm not sure I'd include Auburn -v- Oregon on this list.  You also have games like OSU-PSU and LSU@Bama and WVU@OU.

I probably wouldn't include Florida-Miami either.

Title: Re: 10 biggest games in 2019 that will impact next season's CFB Playoff
Post by: ALA2262 on March 17, 2019, 05:00:07 PM

Yep. 14 teams, 10 of which will most likely have at least two losses in the regular season.

Title: Re: 10 biggest games in 2019 that will impact next season's CFB Playoff
Post by: Cincydawg on March 17, 2019, 05:09:56 PM

I would not include any game where neither opponent has much of a shot at the playoff.

Basically, one should just list the ten or so teams with a decent shot and then list the games they could plausibly lose.

Florida might be pretty good, but I don't think they have a realistic shot.  Auburn, nope.  Oregon, nope.  Miami, nope.

What about Washington?  Might they have a shot?  West Virginia?  Maybe not.  

Title: Re: 10 biggest games in 2019 that will impact next season's CFB Playoff
Post by: Cincydawg on March 17, 2019, 05:45:09 PM

https://athlonsports.com/college-football/way-too-early-top-25-college-football-rankings-2019

I'm not suggesting Athlon has any notable predictive value, but they do afford a list of teams with a decent shot I think, barring a shocker.

A&M has a bizarre schedule playing at Clemson and at Georgia along with the SEC W teams.  They might upset Bama at home and lose 3 other games.

Georgia has a fairly tough slate but get A&M and ND at home and Florida neutral.

It's interesting to check out the 11-25 ranked teams and ponder which of them might have a shot at it.  I'll take UDubb at the moment.

Title: Re: 10 biggest games in 2019 that will impact next season's CFB Playoff
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on March 19, 2019, 10:17:40 PM

Does this list mean we matter now?!?

Title: Re: 10 biggest games in 2019 that will impact next season's CFB Playoff
Post by: Cincydawg on March 20, 2019, 08:54:54 AM

Florida is going to start in the Top Ten.  I know you note the OL is largely new and that is a concern.

You also know they take the last top ten and bake it a bit and there we have it.