CFB51 College Football Fan Community
The Power Four => Big Ten => Topic started by: ELA on July 27, 2026, 04:20:17 PM
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Using the combined SP+ and FPI ratings to simulate the season.
Again, not just assuming the favorite wins, but putting using the odds that team would win
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Projected Preseason Top 25
- OHIO STATE
- OREGON
- Notre Dame
- INDIANA
- Georgia
- Texas
- Miami
- Texas A&M
- Texas Tech
- Ole Miss
- LSU
- Oklahoma
- BYU
- MICHIGAN
- Alabama
- PENN STATE
- USC
- Utah
- WASHINGTON
- IOWA
- Arizona
- Tennessee
- Missouri
- Louisville
- Clemson
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WEEK ZERO
Saturday, August 29
#17 USC d. San Jose State
Florida State d. NM State
Hawaii d. Stanford
ND State d. Jacksonville State
Sacramento State d. Eastern Michigan
TCU d. North Carolina
UNLV d. Memphis
Virginia d. NC State
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WEEK ONE
Thursday, September 3
#18 Utah d. Idaho
#23 Missouri d. UA Pine Bluff
Buffalo d. Albany
Central Florida d. Bethune-Cookman
Delaware d. Merrimack
Georgia Tech d. Colorado
ILLINOIS d. UAB
Kennesaw State d. West Georgia
MINNESOTA d. Eastern Illinois
RUTGERS d. Massachusetts
Wake Forest d. Akron
Friday, September 4
#7 Miami d. Stanford
#12 Oklahoma d. UTEP
#17 USC d. Fresno State
Eastern Michigan d. San Jose State
Georgia State d. North Carolina A&T
Kansas d. Long Island
MICHIGAN STATE d. Toledo
PURDUE d. Indiana State
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WEEK ONE
Saturday, September 5
ESPN College Gameday, live from Baton Rouge, LA
#25 Clemson d. #11 LSU
#1 OHIO STATE d. Ball State
#2 OREGON d. Boise State
#4 INDIANA d. North Texas
#5 Georgia d. Tennessee State
#6 Texas d. Texas State
#8 Texas A&M d. Missouri State
#9 Texas Tech d. Abilene Christian
#13 BYU d. Utah Tech
#14 MICHIGAN d. Western Michigan
#15 Alabama d. East Carolina
#16 PENN STATE d. Marshall
#20 IOWA d. Northern Illinois
#21 Arizona d. Northern Arizona
#22 Tennessee d. Furman
Air Force d. Duquesne
Appalachian State d. Maine
Arizona State d. Morgan State
Arkansas d. North Alabama
Army d. Bryant
Auburn d. Baylor
Bowling Green d. Tarleton State
California d. UCLA
Charlotte d. The Citadel
Cincinnati d. Boston College
Colorado State d. Wyoming
Connecticut d. Lafayette
Duke d. Tulane
Florida d. Florida Atlantic
Georgia Southern d. Charleston Southern
Houston d. Oregon State
Iowa State d. SE Missouri State
Jacksonville State d. Eastern Kentucky
James Madison d. Liberty
Kansas State d. Nicholls
Kentucky d. Youngstown State
Louisiana d. Lamar
Louisiana Tech d. Northwestern State
MARYLAND d. Hampton
Memphis d. Arkansas State
Middle Tennessee d. Murray State
Mississippi State d. UL Monroe
Navy d. Towson
ND State d. Fordham
NEBRASKA d. Ohio
New Mexico d. Central Michigan
Nevada d. Western Kentucky
NM State d. Mercyhurst
NORTHWESTERN d. South Dakota State
Oklahoma State d. Tulsa
Old Dominion d. Norfolk State
Pittsburgh d. Miami(Ohio)
Rice d. Houston Christian
Sacramento State d. Mississippi Valley State
San Diego State d. Portland State
South Alabama d. SE Louisiana
South Carolina d. Kent State
South Florida d. FIU
Southern Miss d. Alcorn State
Syracuse d. New Hampshire
Temple d. Rhode Island
Troy d. Sam Houston
UNLV d. Hawaii
Utah State d. Idaho State
UTSA d. UTRGV
Vanderbilt d. Austin Peay
Virginia Tech d. VMI
West Virginia d. Coastal Carolina
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And on Sunday Wisconsin beats Notre Dame, right?
RIGHT?
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WEEK ONE
Sunday, September 6
#3 Notre Dame d. WISCONSIN
#19 WASHINGTON d. Washington State
#10 Ole Miss d. #24 Louisville
Monday, September 7
SMU d. Florida State
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And on Sunday Wisconsin beats Notre Dame, right?
RIGHT?
We were all hoping
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(https://i.imgur.com/qgMn7sK.png)
(https://i.imgur.com/uLxnMvi.png)
(https://i.imgur.com/pXroYby.png)
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September 8 Poll
- OHIO STATE (1-0) 1
- OREGON (1-0) 2
- Notre Dame (1-0) 3
- INDIANA (1-0) 4
- Georgia (1-0) 5
- Texas (1-0) 6
- Miami (1-0) 7
- Texas A&M (1-0) 8
- Texas Tech (1-0) 9
- Ole Miss (1-0) 10
- Oklahoma (1-0) 12
- BYU (1-0) 13
- MICHIGAN (1-0) 14
- Alabama (1-0) 15
- PENN STATE (1-0) 16
- USC (2-0) 17
- Clemson (1-0) 25
- Utah (1-0) 18
- WASHINGTON (1-0) 19
- IOWA (1-0) 20
- LSU (0-1) 11
- Arizona (1-0) 21
- Tennessee (1-0) 22
- Missouri (1-0) 23
- Auburn (1-0) -
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Oh look, even in theory we can't win a season opener.
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WEEK TWO
Thursday, September 10
#7 Miami d. Florida A&M
Friday, September 11
#24 Missouri d. Kansas
Boston College d. RUTGERS
Louisville d. Villanova
NC State d. Richmond
Virginia d. Norfolk State
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WEEK TWO
Saturday, September 12
ESPN College Gameday, live from Austin, TX
#1 OHIO STATE d. #6 Texas
#2 OREGON d. Oklahoma State
#3 Notre Dame d. Rice
#4 INDIANA d. Howard
#5 Georgia d. Western Kentucky
#8 Texas A&M d. Arizona State
#9 Texas Tech d. Oregon State
#10 Ole Miss d. Charlotte
#13 MICHIGAN d. #11 Oklahoma
#12 BYU d. #22 Arizona
Kentucky d. #14 Alabama
#15 PENN STATE d. Temple
#16 USC d. Louisiana
#17 Clemson d. Georgia Southern
#18 Utah d. Arkansas
#19 WASHINGTON d. Utah State
#20 IOWA d. Iowa State
#21 LSU d. Louisiana Tech
Georgia Tech d. #23 Tennessee
#24 Missouri d. Kansas
#25 Auburn d. Southern Miss
Air Force d. ND State
Akron d. Robert Morris
Arkansas State d. West Georgia
Ball State d. Stony Brook
Baylor d. Prairie View A&M
Boise State d. Memphis
Buffalo d. FIU
Central Michigan d. Colgate
Cincinnati d. Western Carolina
Coastal Carolina d. Fordham
Colorado d. Weber State
Colorado State d. Southern Utah
Duke d. ILLINOIS
East Carolina d. Appalachian State
Florida d. Campbell
Fresno State d. Sacramento State
Hawaii d. NM State
Houston d. Southern
Jacksonville State d. Ohio
James Madison d. Wagner
Kansas State d. Washington State
Kennesaw State d. Georgia State
Kent State d. Wofford
Liberty d. Gardner-Webb
Marshall d. Middle Tennessee
MARYLAND d. Connecticut
Massachusetts d. Sacred Heart
Miami(Ohio) d. Holy Cross
MICHIGAN STATE d. Eastern Michigan
MINNESOTA d. Mississippi State
Missouri State d. Lindenwood
Navy d. Florida Atlantic
NEBRASKA d. Bowling Green
Nevada d. Montana State
New Mexico d. Mercyhurst
North Carolina d. East Tennessee State
Northern Illinois d. Illinois State
Pittsburgh d. Central Florida
PURDUE d. Wake Forest
San Jose State d. Cal Poly
SMU d. UC Davis
South Carolina d. Towson
South Florida d. Army
Syracuse d. California
TCU d. Grambling
Toledo d. Central Connecticut
Troy d. Alabama State
Tulane d. South Alabama
Tulsa d. Sam Houston
UAB d. UL Monroe
UCLA d. San Diego State
UNLV d. North Texas
UTEP d. Texas Southern
UTSA d. Texas State
Vanderbilt d. Delaware
Virginia Tech d. Old Dominion
West Virginia d. UT Martin
Western Michigan d. Monmouth
WISCONSIN d. Western Illinois
Wyoming d. Northern Colorado
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(https://i.imgur.com/rryippL.png)
(https://i.imgur.com/oyKHMcO.png)
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September 13 Poll
- OHIO STATE (2-0) 1
- OREGON (2-0) 2
- Notre Dame (2-0) 3
- INDIANA (2-0) 4
- Georgia (2-0) 5
- Miami (2-0) 7
- Texas A&M (2-0) 8
- MICHIGAN (2-0) 13
- Texas Tech (2-0) 9
- Ole Miss (2-0) 10
- BYU (2-0) 12
- PENN STATE (2-0) 15
- USC (3-0) 16
- Texas (1-1) 6
- Clemson (2-0) 17
- Utah (2-0) 18
- WASHINGTON (2-0) 19
- IOWA (2-0) 20
- Kentucky (2-0) -
- Oklahoma (1-1) 11
- Georgia Tech (2-0) -
- Alabama (1-1) 14
- LSU (1-1) 21
- Missouri (2-0) 24
- Auburn (2-0) 25
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WEEK TWO
Saturday, September 12
ESPN College Gameday, live from Austin, TX
#1 OHIO STATE d. #6 Texas
Hooray!
FWIW, Ohio State's history with Texas:
- September 10, 2005: #2 Texas 25, #4 Ohio State 22 - in Columbus; Texas led series 1-0
- September 9, 2006: #1 Ohio State 24, #2 Texas 7 - in Austin; tied 1-1
- January 5, 2009: #3 Texas 24, #10 Ohio State 21 - Fiesta Bowl in Glendale, AZ; Texas led series 2-1
- January 10, 2025: #5 Texas 14, #8 Ohio State 28 - CFP Semi-Final at the Cotton Bowl in Arlington, TX; tied 2-2
- August 30, 2025: #1 Texas 7, #3 Ohio State 14 - in Columbus; Ohio State leads series 3-2
This has been a fascinating series of very highly ranked teams playing very high-stakes games. Two of the five winners won the NC that year (TX-05, tOSU-24). All five games have been close.
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WEEK THREE
Thursday, September 17
Pittsburgh d. Syracuse
Friday, September 18
#2 OREGON d. Portland State
#6 Miami d. Wake Forest
#9 Texas Tech d. Houston
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WEEK THREE
Saturday, September 19
ESPN College Gameday, live from College Station, TX
#7 Texas A&M d. #19 Kentucky
#1 OHIO STATE d. Kent State
#3 Notre Dame d. MICHIGAN STATE
#4 INDIANA d. Western Kentucky
#5 Georgia d. Arkansas
#8 MICHIGAN d. UTEP
#23 LSU d. #10 Ole Miss
#11 BYU d. Colorado State
#12 PENN STATE d. Buffalo
#13 USC d. RUTGERS
#14 Texas d. UTSA
North Carolina d. #15 Clemson
#16 Utah d. Utah State
#17 WASHINGTON d. Eastern Washington
#18 IOWA d. Northern Iowa
#20 Oklahoma d. New Mexico
#21 Georgia Tech d. Mercer
#22 Alabama d. Florida State
#24 Missouri d. Troy
Florida d. #25 Auburn
Arizona d. Northern Illinois
Arizona State d. Kansas
Baylor d. Louisiana Tech
Boise State d. South Dakota
Boston College d. Maine
California d. Wagner
Central Florida d. Georgia State
Central Michigan d. Wyoming
Charlotte d. Appalachian State
Cincinnati d. Miami(Ohio)
Delaware d. Coastal Carolina
Duke d. Stanford
Florida Atlantic d. FIU
Fresno State d. San Jose State
ILLINOIS d. Southern Illinois
Iowa State d. Bowling Green
Jacksonville State d. Georgia Southern
Kansas State d. Tulane
Liberty d. Ball State
Louisville d. SMU
Marshall d. Missouri State
Massachusetts d. Stone Hill
Memphis d. UT Martin
MINNESOTA d. Akron
NEBRASKA d. North Dakota
Nevada d. Middle Tennessee
NORTHWESTERN d. Colorado
Ohio d. South Alabama
Oklahoma State d. Murray State
Old Dominion d. East Carolina
Oregon State d. Montana
Sacramento State d. ND State
Sam Houston d. Nicholls
San Diego State d. James Madison
South Carolina d. Mississippi State
South Florida d. Delaware State
Southern Miss d. Connecticut
TCU d. Arkansas State
Temple d. Toledo
Tennessee d. Kennesaw State
Texas State d. North Texas
Tulsa d. East Texas A&M
UAB d. Louisiana
UCLA d. PURDUE
UL Monroe d. SE Louisiana
Vanderbilt d. NC State
Virginia d. West Virginia
Virginia Tech d. MARYLAND
Washington State d. Duquesne
Western Michigan d. Rice
WISCONSIN d. Eastern Michigan
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And on Sunday Wisconsin beats Notre Dame, right?
RIGHT?
https://youtu.be/RV-p51fvYLc?si=DtrCXUaSYn8oc2nG