CFB51 College Football Fan Community
The Power Five => Big Ten => Topic started by: Cincydawg on August 26, 2018, 08:41:12 AM
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I was pondering what would make me "happy" (or "content) this season for my team (aside from the obvious). I mentioned on ELA's prediction thread how disappointing a 12-1 season and NY6 bowl win would be to me. Perhaps that isn't fair.
I think the main goal is to win the conference. That is something you can control (your team anyway). Whatever happens otherwise is up to others, in effect. With UGA's weak OOC slate, four wins there are almost assured. The could be 11-2 and win the conference, which would be better than 12-1 in my mind and not winning it.
There of course is the other side of the coin, the worst plausible scenario, and the Dawgs could lose 4 games, possibly, if LSU and Florida improve a lot and USCe is good and Mizzou upsets them on the road.
Of course, a 15-0 season would be excellent, but I don't expect that. Win the conference would be good even if it means having to go through Alabama (or because it means that). If they lose to say LSU and USCe on the road and win out, is that sufficient for the playoffs? Maybe, depending on what other teams do. A two loss OSU or PSU or Michigan might deserve preference over them.
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Any season with a Michigan win checks the "success" box. The rest is gravy.
As far as my favorite flavor of gravy, win the division, win the Big Ten Ccg, make the playoffs, go 2-0 in said playoffs.
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I just want a functional offense. One where receivers run routes and the QB throws them the ball like it's no big deal...as if they have practiced doing so throughout the week leading up to the game. That would be nice.
With an offense ranked in the 60s, nationally, Florida does no worse than 9-3. It's that simple.
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Purdue:
Bowl-eligibility... That's it.
A lot of people would think that following up a 6-6 season with another 6-6 season would be a lack of progress. With Purdue's schedule, though, that's not the case. We get 2 P5 teams in our non-con, and our schedule is mostly loaded with our "favored" games on the road and the games we have no chance of winning being at home.
Anything above a 6-6 regular season is gravy.
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NYD6 bowl game - preferably in Pasadena against a PAC school.
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My gut reaction was 9-3, but then I realized it would depend on who that third loss is to (assuming L's to UW and PSU). After glancing through the schedule I couldn't find another loss I was comfortable with, so I'm going with 10-2.
Problem is, I think this is an 8-9 win team, so I guess I'm setting myself up for disappointment.
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Success can be better than what you realistically expect.
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I think I’ve answered this question the same the last 3 or 4 years.
Nine total wins and/or a top 25 finish.
Besides that, making the Big 12 CCG and finally beating Oklahoma would be really nice.
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10 wins is success. 9 is satisfactory. 11+ is bliss.
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10 wins is success. 9 is satisfactory. 11+ is bliss.
Would the satisfactory status of 9-3 remain intact if the three are OSU, MSU and ND?
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Unless UW and PSU implode, with this schedule, any combo of 9 wins would be "satisfactory."
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I've said many times, 6 wins for the Huskers and a bowl game with bowl practices would be OK in the new staff's first season
a success? Success for the Huskers starts at 9 wins. I don't think they can attain 9 wins vs the schedule
all 7 home games won and 7 wins would satisfy me, but that means a big upset of Sparty at home late in the season
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So hard to say because the line between going to Indy and finishing 4th in the division could bebrqzor thin. Could be a win and a tiebreaker of a difference. I'd say 9 wins is satisfactory. 10 wins and either a trip to Indy or a win over Michigan would be a success. Hard to control for tiebreakers at 10-2, so it's tough to draw a hard line. So I'll just say 10 wins plus. That plus being a rivalry win or a division title. 10-2, where one loss is to UM, and we don't go to Indy is more than satisfactory, but I can't help but thinking I'll feel empty.
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Nine wins in the regular season.
I’m a big believer in keeping the floor high. Even when UW can expect nine wins and more, I never want to take just being that kind if good for granted. On Wisconsin.
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It is really hard to say because, as @ELA (https://www.cfb51.com/index.php?action=profile;u=55) noted above, the difference between going to Indy or not is likely to end up being a tiebreaker. I guess I'll put it this way: At least 10 wins (total for the whole season) and at least a share of the B1G-E or at least 12 total wins.
Thus, the worst possible outcomes that I would consider successful would be either:
- 9-3 regular season, share of B1G-E, bowl win: 10-3 overall.
- 11-1 regular season, no share of the B1G-E, bowl win: 12-1 overall.
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with this years schedule, if we're anything worse than 11 wins and vying for cfp birth again, it's a bust.this is pre-conf champ weekend. which basically means i fully expect to rep the west in atl.
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Bama is probably the opposite.
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6 and 6
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Bama is probably the opposite.
i've been through one of those seasons, don't want to again. 2000 - started preseason top 3, finished with 3 total wins.
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Conference championship. Nothing more, nothing less.
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Conference championship. Nothing more, nothing less.
Well, it would be about time... Been too long, but this is a different time and place. I think people underestimate the quality of the B1G West.
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What you expect and what makes you happy are 2 different things.
With Iowa this season I expect 8-4 but it would take 10-2 to make me happy.
Sometimes its about the quality of the wins too. When Iowa went 12-0 in the 2015 regular season, it was an odd feeling for a variety of reasons. Mainly because Iowa skipped OSU, Mich, PSU and MSU on the regular season schedule so the 12-0 record did not feel "earned".
Its not that Iowa did not have any quality wins. It beat top 25 teams Wisc and NW. In fact they blew out NW 40-10. They also had some exciting close wins over some average teams. Yet when you look at the total package, the team did not feel much different from the 2013 Iowa team that went 8-4, that lost games to top 10 OSU & MSU but still managed to beat NW, Mich and Neb down the stretch.
But getting back to that 2015 team, Iowa was basicly just 1 play from beating MSU in the CCG and playing in the CFP. Its just a weird team to figure out. I am still am not sure how I actually feel about that team. They were this close to playing in the playoffs, yet even I question if they were a great team.
Its just another reason I don't understand why any team would want to play a weak schedule if they legitimately think they are national title contenders. If you want to prove you are a great team, you got to earn it by beating all the good teams.
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I think people underestimate the quality of the B1G West.
This could be because the East appears to be so stout. Folks overlook the pearl when a large marble is nearby.
Or something like that. Somebody in the East could end up 8-4 and have a very good team, like Michigan. If Michigan beats ND decisively, they will be looking good of course. If they just win by a point they will look good.
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7-6. Play competent football, improve as the season progresses. Keep our frosh QB alive.
I'd really like to see us pick off Sparty or Iowa as one of those Ws. Mich, tOSU and Wisco are outside that realm of possibility.
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Beat all the rivals, Notre Dame, Michigan State, and Ohio State, on the road.
And no, Harbaugh's seat is not even slightly warm whatever happens this year.
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Beat all the rivals, Notre Dame, Michigan State, and Ohio State, on the road.
And no, Harbaugh's seat is not even slightly warm whatever happens this year.
Good luck with that!
Seriously, not just as an Ohio State fan, beating three top-12 teams on the road is a VERY tall order for any team. If Michigan goes 2-1 through those that would be pretty impressive.
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If our QB and Center stay healthy then I expect a MINIMUM 7 wins pre-bowl, with up to 9 being a best case scenario.
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This is why I don't favor an 8 team playoff, among other reasons. The winner would have to beat 3 "top 8 teams", which is a tall order for anyone, even the "best team". You generate a playoff champion rather than the "best team". On occasion, a 2 loss Number 8 seed would happen to win out and be the champion over a 14-1 1 seed.
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For OSU - BEAT TTUN, contend for Big Ten Title.
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Beat all the rivals, Notre Dame, Michigan State, and Ohio State, on the road.
And no, Harbaugh's seat is not even slightly warm whatever happens this year.
Don't think he'll need a heating if he drops the last two unless they look good doing it
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a success? Success for the Huskers starts at 9 wins. I don't think they can attain 9 wins vs the schedule
Nine wins gets a fella fired at Nebraska.
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I was pondering this question because "success" often is better than "expected". You may expect 7-5 but consider 10-3 a success.
We look back on seasons, most of which have flaws, but often we see encouraging improvement in some aspect of the program.
One year my definition was getting lined up on defense ahead of the snap. It's tough to view a season with a conference championship and Rose Bowl win as anything but a success.
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7-6 with that killer sched of Purdue's, and that was my though before starting 0-2 including losing to the worst team on the sched.