CFB51 College Football Fan Community
The Power Four => Big Ten => Topic started by: betarhoalphadelta on October 13, 2025, 12:58:59 PM
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A 2-4 team, winless in conference play, who hasn't beaten a P4 team heading on the road to face a 4-2 team who has two conference wins, including one over Penn State. Should be a laugher!
And yet... Vegas has Northwestern -3.5 right now at home, which when accounting for HFA (for whatever it's worth in Evanston) has them placing this in the "toss-up" category should it be played at a neutral field.
Purdue is averaging 410 yds/g offensively and 26.5 ppg, to Northwestern's 365 and 23.3, respectively. On the defensive side, Northwestern is only giving up 306 and 17.7, and Purdue giving up 375 and 29.3.
Ultimately I think this is a Purdue team that isn't as bad as their record, and a Northwestern team that isn't as good as theirs.
Neither team is very good, of course. But I think that's why Vegas has this as a close one.
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Yeah, what I've seen of Purdue makes me think that they are baseline competent. Not great, but not a train wreck, either. None of their losses are unforgivable or even uncompetitive. It wouldn't surprise me at all if they beat Northwestern. Northwestern, too, looks like a decent team. The loss to Tulane is a little hard to forgive, but since then, they've done some good things, if nothing especially impressive. We all thought UCLA was a pushover, but now that's not so clear. So even that win for the Wildcats was decent.
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Purdue has two major issues that has prevented them from being 3-3 or even 4-2: big play pass defense and turnover margin.
They have been burned on deep pass plays. ALOT.
The Minnesota game was better, but the refs let both sides get away with a lot of handsi-ness in that one.
The interceptions are the real killer though. They've had something like 4 red zone interceptions already this year. Purdue is 133rd of 136 teams in turnover margin.
You just can't win games by giving your opponents that many more possessions.
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(https://lh5.googleusercontent.com/proxy/-ofEqk60L00r5D6U_T_u0ib6t6ieHAi_HJUlkyW-wg8QgXsohYGi5yg-jr1zl6j1Kbv-kee7UALIwQ1C6NK23IDfwOGcwEUboGc-Jod8HbpnkKHxpMiOjd5NgSprwxvH-SE)
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Big weekend for beer goggles
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You know, studies have shown a positive correlation between intelligence and physical attractiveness.
And by "studies", I don't just mean the movies where the bookish nerdy girl takes off her glasses, lets her hair down, and suddenly the entire student body realizes she's been a smokin' hot babe the whole time.
I mean real, actual, scientific studies.
Granted, studies which are done by nerds, so they may have bias in reaching their finding.
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granted
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Northwestern 30, Purdue 17