CFB51 College Football Fan Community
The Power Five => SEC => Topic started by: EastAthens on September 24, 2024, 02:02:15 PM
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This game is tricky to me because nobody knows what either team has yet. The Dawgs looked great against Clemson but pedestrian against UK. The Tide looked pedestrian against USF but great against Wisconsin If the Tide can run as well as UK did, it will be a long night for the Dawgs. If UGA can run as well as USF did it will be a long night for the Tide. Nobody has any idea if Alabama has a giant hole in their secondary yet because they have not played anyone who could complete a 10 yard pass. This game, if nothing else, who show both teams what they need to fix before the playoffs.
The entire post-Saban thing and how stupid it is to follow the Man and also how Kirby can't beat Alabama is also fascinating to me.
UGA has been obsessing about Alabama since last year's SEC championship and the Tide have had how UGA is #1 crammed down their throats all spring and summer.
It is very possible this is the 1st round of playoff positioning Saturday night.
My pick is (shockingly) UGA-27-20 but that is based on nothing but my heart.
Sic Em!
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I suspect Bama wins, probably with a miracle last second play, 27-23.
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I haven't had a chance to see either team play yet this year, but I'm looking forward to it this weekend. Should be a doozy.
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UGA looked good against Clemson, and pretty bad against Kentucky. They have not yet given up a TD this year. So far.
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UGA looked good against Clemson, and pretty bad against Kentucky. They have not yet given up a TD this year. So far.
This makes it more likely they give up a TD on Alabama's first play from scrimmage, right?'
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This makes it more likely they give up a TD on Alabama's first play from scrimmage, right?'
I don't think "it" makes that any more likely than if someone had scored a TD on them already. Alabama might well do that, or not, and it won't be a result of anything that happened in the first three games of course.
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The way I see it....Alabama has looked good, and Georgia has too. Alabama has been top dog for a long, long time, but Georgia is no slouch. I think up until last year, you could say Alabama was 5-stars, and Georgia was 4.9 for the previous 5 or so years. So given than the GOAT HC is no longer at Bama, I'd have to give the edge to Georgia and Smart.
I think it will be a tough game, but I could see Georgia pulling away in the 2nd half. Something like 27-17 final score.
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Bama's new staff are freakin tacticians... a far cry from the program management style of saban, who beats you the week prior in preparation- leans on you all game until you fall over.
This new crew are like freakin Inigo Montoya... theyll slice you up and down before you even process the "...prepare to die" part.
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Alabama really is kryptonite for Smart and Georgia. I turned the game on, it was already 28-zip! 30-7 at the half. Georgia did not look good. Even at the start of the 2nd half, and 3rd quarter they didn’t look good. Turned it off in the 4th, so I missed most of the comeback.
Just think if Alabama had lost that game it would be lots of gnashing teeth.
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This makes it more likely they give up a TD on Alabama's first play from scrimmage, right?'
Pretty much.
Statistics FTW!
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If you flip a coin, and it comes up 5 times heads in a row, what are the odd it will be tails on the next flip? (Presume it's a fair coin.)
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I was thinking more in terms of, "If Alabama gets to the edge and UGA can't stop them, what are the chances it will happen again on the next play?"
If statistics accurately describe the world we live in, the answer is "nearly 100%."
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If you flip a coin, and it comes up 5 times heads in a row, what are the odd it will be tails on the next flip? (Presume it's a fair coin.)
Of course, since the coin has no memory of what happened in the past, the odds of a single flip of a fair coin are 50/50 to each side (discounting the prohibitively improbable but not impossible "edge" landing).
This is also why humans are bad at "generating" random numbers. They have a hard time conceiving of a fair coin landing on one side 5 times in a row. If you flip the coin 100 times, you'd expect at least three such streaks.
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Of course, since the coin has no memory of what happened in the past, the odds of a single flip of a fair coin are 50/50 to each side (discounting the prohibitively improbable but not impossible "edge" landing).
This is also why humans are bad at "generating" random numbers. They have a hard time conceiving of a fair coin landing on one side 5 times in a row. If you flip the coin 100 times, you'd expect at least three such streaks.
When I tell my parents that the lotto numbers 1,2,3,4,5,6 are just as likely to hit as 5, 17, 23, 29, 35, 42, their brains melt. And they're very smart people. It's just really difficult to comprehend for people that haven't studied probability and statistics.