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The Power Five => Big Ten => Topic started by: Cincydawg on December 13, 2023, 11:55:34 AM

Title: Picking every bowl underdog to cover
Post by: Cincydawg on December 13, 2023, 11:55:34 AM
One of my notions is that bowl games consistently have lines that are too big.  Of course, these days nobody has much of a notion who is actually going to play anyway.  So, I'm going to try and track how many 'dogs cover (they won't wall, but I'm picking them all to see if that yields a positive result).

Bowl season predictions: Final picks for all 41 games, College Football Playoff (247sports.com) (https://247sports.com/college/georgia/longformarticle/bowl-season-predictions-final-picks-for-all-41-games-college-football-playoff-222939427/#2326119)

Maybe someone can do better picking and choosing.

I see Mizzou favored over Ohio State?  Weird.  Yeah, I know.
Title: Re: Picking every bowl underdog to cover
Post by: MrNubbz on December 13, 2023, 11:56:48 AM
Ask coaches Weiss and Stallions formally of the Michigan staff
Title: Re: Picking every bowl underdog to cover
Post by: Kris60 on January 08, 2024, 06:45:34 AM
One of my notions is that bowl games consistently have lines that are too big.  Of course, these days nobody has much of a notion who is actually going to play anyway.  So, I'm going to try and track how many 'dogs cover (they won't wall, but I'm picking them all to see if that yields a positive result).

Bowl season predictions: Final picks for all 41 games, College Football Playoff (247sports.com) (https://247sports.com/college/georgia/longformarticle/bowl-season-predictions-final-picks-for-all-41-games-college-football-playoff-222939427/#2326119)

Maybe someone can do better picking and choosing.

I see Mizzou favored over Ohio State?  Weird.  Yeah, I know.
Bowl underdogs went 23-18 ATS against the spread this season with one more tonight.  So, yeah, if you had individually bet each game and taken the dog you would have come out ahead.

I was in an ESPN Bowl Pick Em and went 26-16 ATS. The one game difference was the site you listed didn’t have a line for Florida A&M-Howard game and mine did.
Title: Re: Picking every bowl underdog to cover
Post by: Cincydawg on January 08, 2024, 07:09:47 AM
Thanks, I think this holds true in most years.  Had not taken the time to check, so thanks.
Title: Re: Picking every bowl underdog to cover
Post by: FearlessF on January 08, 2024, 08:02:38 AM
Mizzou favored over Ohio State?  Weird.