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The Power Five => Big Ten => Topic started by: medinabuckeye1 on September 27, 2022, 05:16:00 PM

Title: B1G Divisional races after week 4
Post by: medinabuckeye1 on September 27, 2022, 05:16:00 PM
B1G-E:
I'll do this one first because it appears to be pretty simple and pretty boring.  Based on our power rankings this appears to be at most a three-team race so the decisive games are most likely limited to:

They each have one home game and one road game but the Buckeyes have what appears to be a fairly large advantage in hosting THE GAME.  

B1G-W:
Minnesota appears to be the obvious favorite but I think we should be careful not to read too much into one game.  Maybe MSU just sucks, or maybe MN just had a really good game in East Lansing.  Nobody is out of the running.  Here are the B1G-W teams in our Power Rankings:
(https://i.imgur.com/ehqu94E.png)

#4 Minnesota 1-0/4-0:
The Gophers host Iowa but they travel to both Madison and Champaign and they still have a cross-over game in Happy Valley.  I like their chances but I wouldn't book travel and accommodations for Indianapolis just yet.  

#6 Iowa 1-0/3-1:
The Hawkeyes host Wisconsin but they travel to both Minneapolis and Champaign and they have two tough cross-over games remaining (vs M this weekend, attOSU on 10/22).  Their defense and special teams are so good that I wouldn't count them out of even the games against tOSU and M but their offense is so bad that I wouldn't consider anything on their schedule to be a lock.  

#7 Wisconsin 0-1/2-2:
The Badgers travel to Iowa City but they host both the Gophers and the Illini and their remaining cross over games are manageable games against UMD and MSU.  

#8 Illinois 0-1/3-1:
If the Illini can catch Wisconsin just right and win in Madison this weekend they could be a serious contender in the West.  Their other two divisional road games are against the worst two teams in the league and while they still have to go to Ann Arbor their other remaining cross over is at home against MSU.  The next three weeks will tell us everything we need to know about Illinois as they have the Gophers, Hawkeyes, and Badgers in those three games.  

#9 Purdue 0-1/2-2:
That close home loss to PSU hurts a lot.  Their remaining cross over games are at Maryland and the season-ending rivalry in Bloomington so they could still end up 2-1 against the B1G-E but they'll have to.  They host the Hawkeyes but travel to Minneapolis, Madison, and Champaign so they don't have much margin for error.  

#13/14 tie NU 1-0/2-2:
The Wildcats look so bad that it seems silly to discuss them here but until they take a couple of league losses I'm not ready to count "even year Northwestern" out of things.  

#13/14 tie UNL 0-1/2-2:
The Cornhuskers aren't out yet but they'll need to improve a lot.  They travel to Iowa City but host the Gophers, Badgers, and Illini so maybe?  They have a tough cross over in Ann Arbor but their other two are potentially winnable games in Piscataway next week and at home against the Hoosiers this weekend.  


Title: Re: B1G Divisional races after week 4
Post by: LittlePig on September 28, 2022, 09:05:53 PM
So I am not going to look up exact schedules but sounds like if you use our power rankings, the final standings will be like this

OSU 9-0,  Mich 8-1, PSU 7-2, MD 5-4, MSU 3-6, Ind 2-7, rut 0-9

Minn 8-1, Iowa 6-3, Wisc 6-3, Pur 5-4, ILL 3-6,  NW 1-8, Neb 0-9

Which works out to east 34-29 and west 29-34.  Which means east will beat west 13-8

Bowls  OSU- CFP, Mich-Rose, PSU Citrus, Minn-Tampa, iowa-Duke's Mayo, Wisc-Music,  MD-Arizona, Pur-Pinnstripe, ILL-Detroit, MSU/Ind/rut/NW/Neb stay home.
Title: Re: B1G Divisional races after week 4
Post by: FearlessF on September 29, 2022, 09:32:35 AM
there are some upsets coming
Title: Re: B1G Divisional races after week 4
Post by: medinabuckeye1 on September 29, 2022, 10:03:23 AM
Quote from: FearlessF on September 29, 2022, 09:32:35 AM
there are some upsets coming
Definitely and I'm sure that @LittlePig (https://www.cfb51.com/index.php?action=profile;u=1540) knows that too. I don't think he meant his post as a prediction. Instead, I read his post as a baseline from which you could determine which and how many upsets a given team needed. 
Title: Re: B1G Divisional races after week 4
Post by: Brutus Buckeye on October 02, 2022, 01:29:38 AM
Right now there's a six-way tie for first place in the B1G West at 1-1, with Wisconsin bringing up the rear at 0-2. 
Title: Re: B1G Divisional races after week 4
Post by: MarqHusker on October 02, 2022, 01:39:24 AM
Shaping up like the '94 SWC, which had a five way tie (Rice included!) for 1st, thanks to A&M being ineligible.    Texas Tech was sacrificed in the Cotton Bowl.
Title: Re: B1G Divisional races after week 4
Post by: Temp430 on October 02, 2022, 06:56:59 AM
Northwestern and Nebraska still in it.  Even Wisconsin with two B1G losses ain’t out of it.
Title: Re: B1G Divisional races after week 4
Post by: MrNubbz on October 02, 2022, 08:40:53 AM
Quote from: FearlessF on September 29, 2022, 09:32:35 AM
there are some upsets coming
And some more poundings ;D
Ha got this off another board

Kirk Ferentz:

2 B1G Championships [2002 (Shared), 2004]

Bret Bielema:

3 B1G Championships (2010–2012)

Bert is the dean of B1G West Championship Coaches.


Title: Re: B1G Divisional races after week 4
Post by: FearlessF on October 02, 2022, 09:22:44 AM
Bert is welcome in Lincoln
Title: Re: B1G Divisional races after week 4
Post by: Cincydawg on October 02, 2022, 10:12:08 AM
Whoever wins the West seems like to take a pounding in Indy.
Title: Re: B1G Divisional races after week 4
Post by: FearlessF on October 03, 2022, 09:53:01 AM
ya never know

could be an upset