CFB51 College Football Fan Community
The Power Five => Big Ten => Topic started by: rolltidefan on August 22, 2022, 05:41:20 PM
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(https://i.imgur.com/u3cs1ge.png)
probably something i mixed up as far as wins/losses. usually do this for sec, thought i'd see if my blind guesses for another conference is any better than by "educated" guesses for sec. cant be worse, that's for damn sure.
i got iowa and osu in b1g ccg. iowa over wisc based on h2h tie breaker. i'm assuming that comes after conf record and div record, which are same.
tell me why i'm wrong.
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I hope the hell you're not wrong about Nebraska
7-5 and a chance to get #8 in a bowl game is GOOOD
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(https://i.imgur.com/u3cs1ge.png)
probably something i mixed up as far as wins/losses. usually do this for sec, thought i'd see if my blind guesses for another conference is any better than by "educated" guesses for sec. cant be worse, that's for damn sure.
i got iowa and osu in b1g ccg. iowa over wisc based on h2h tie breaker. i'm assuming that comes after conf record and div record, which are same.
tell me why i'm wrong.
Purdue will not win @ Wisconsin. I'll put $100 on the table right now on that one. Wisconsin is to Purdue what Purdue is to Iowa: An inexplicable loss that happens every freaking year (seemingly). Purdue will probably have the same record though as I don't think they lose to NW at home.
I suspect Illinois will catch at least one more BT win, and possibly that Virginia game also.
Ohio State is going to cream MSU. MSU had one of the worst pass defenses in the country last year, and even if they are improved, they are not winning against one of the most prolific pass offenses in the country on the road in the Shoe. Remember that MSU lost their all-american level RB. That MSU game at Washington is a little scary also. Big Ten teams tend to crap the bed against PAC-12 teams when playing on the west coast.
I am pessimistic about PSU beating Auburn on the road. That's a tough environment for any team.
While I understand that Maryland is not a great team, losing to Charlotte seems unlikely. I actually think the SMU game is a much more likely loss.
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MSU will NOT lose to OSU ...
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Purdue will not win @ Wisconsin. I'll put $100 on the table right now on that one. Wisconsin is to Purdue what Purdue is to Iowa: An inexplicable loss that happens every freaking year (seemingly). Purdue will probably have the same record though as I don't think they lose to NW at home.
I suspect Illinois will catch at least one more BT win, and possibly that Virginia game also.
Ohio State is going to cream MSU. MSU had one of the worst pass defenses in the country last year, and even if they are improved, they are not winning against one of the most prolific pass offenses in the country on the road in the Shoe. Remember that MSU lost their all-american level RB. That MSU game at Washington is a little scary also. Big Ten teams tend to crap the bed against PAC-12 teams when playing on the west coast.
I am pessimistic about PSU beating Auburn on the road. That's a tough environment for any team.
While I understand that Maryland is not a great team, losing to Charlotte seems unlikely. I actually think the SMU game is a much more likely loss.
At the risk of being a jinx, inexplicable?
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That was my thought too. Maybe inexplicable as to why Purdue is never competitive with them. But how often in the past 15 years has Purdue been favored in that game?
My one thought is a little too high on PSU
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That was my thought too. Maybe inexplicable as to why Purdue is never competitive with them. But how often in the past 15 years has Purdue been favored in that game?
My one thought is a little too high on PSU
I looked back. Going back to 2010 or so, Purdue was favored twice, 2018 and 2012. In 2018, Wisconsin ground out a win on some lightly successful passing and far and away the best game of Taylor's career. In 2012, neither team was that good either when they met or overall. But that day, Purdue couldn't stop the Wisconsin ground game (admittedly a theme).
What I'm saying is, Boilers are due.
I can't find lines going back further, but UW had a solid record advantage in most of the meetings in the 3-4 years before that. I assume Purdue was favored in 2004, and wouldn't be surprised if one of the next few teams was as well (thought I'd also not be surprised if UW had been favored from 2005-11)
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Yeah, that's why I picked 15 years. I assumed the Boilers were favored the the scoop and score game
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The Gophers are not going to spit up the game at home vs. Rutgers. That loss alone would ruin any goodwill that PJ has built up in this town.
I guess it's not too far-fetched to go 0-4 in roadies at Michigan State, Penn State, Nebraska, and Wisconsin. But it would be incredibly disappointing if they did. This administration has wins in Lincoln and Madison, and IMHO it's too good of a team to lose all of them.
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see, that's why i'm an idiot. i admittedly favor home teams too much. and admittedly have a soft spot for psu, don't know why. also have a tendency to be bias towards "traditionally good" teams. i like the gophers and think they're a good team. but i tried to pick a surprise loss for most teams, cause they usually come for everyone, and my home field favoritism got best of me a lot.
good luck to the lot of you. may we have great games, cold beer, lots of sex, plenty of money, and in the end, bama wins!
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I almost liked your post, but then you had to go and F it all up at the end.
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it's what i'm good at.
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Bama's won enough. Heck, at this point, I'd almost rather see the hated sooners win the NC.
*Ha! No, just kidding. I hope those chuckleheads lose every game.
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Saban just got paid for the rest of his career
he can start the slide towards retirement now
slackin
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I was using the inexplicable more to cover the fact that Purdue has not beaten the Badgers in close to 20 years while they have been pretty much able to beat all other Big Ten teams at least twice in that time frame (PSU only once out of 10 tries, and haven't beat Rutgers yet, but have only played twice so far).
I was wrong in that the OSU / MSU game is @MSU, not the shoe, but I was not wrong in that OSU is still going to mop the floor with MSU.