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The Power Five => Big Ten => Topic started by: Hawkinole on December 25, 2021, 02:44:42 AM

Title: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: Hawkinole on December 25, 2021, 02:44:42 AM
 I will be very curious how this poll goes.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on December 25, 2021, 04:09:42 PM
I'm curious why we have a 2nd poll like this for a predominantly asymptomatic virus.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: Abba on December 25, 2021, 10:24:13 PM
No, but I've probably had O.  Symptoms are so minor though that I am not bothering to get tested.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: Cincydawg on December 25, 2021, 11:59:36 PM
I'm curious why we have a 2nd poll like this for a predominantly asymptomatic virus.
Well, the question is whether you TESTED positive.  That is unrelated to symtomology.

i wondered how many I encountered in my recent travels, probably ten or more?  Crowded airports and packed planes, four flights.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: FearlessF on December 26, 2021, 11:50:47 AM
I woke up Christmas morning with classic symptoms 

Fever, headache, cough, fatigue, body aches

felt like hell

didn't cook the prime rib, opened presents and went back to bed

feeling a little better this morning, headache is mild and the fever isn't so bad

haven't been tested, not sure I will get tested
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: longhorn320 on December 26, 2021, 12:01:23 PM
I woke up Christmas morning with classic symptoms

Fever, headache, cough, fatigue, body aches

felt like hell

didn't cook the prime rib, opened presents and went back to bed

feeling a little better this morning, headache is mild and the fever isn't so bad

haven't been tested, not sure I will get tested
congratulations!!!

you now have super immunity
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: FearlessF on December 26, 2021, 12:06:36 PM
tomorrow I'm exactly 8 months from my 2nd Phizer shot, for some reason I thought it was 8 months for the booster.

Now I see it's 6 months, wish I would have had the boost a month ago.  Symptoms might have been mild enough to enjoy Christmas day with my daughters.  I'll wait a couple months now and then boost up

I felling well enough to sit in a recliner and watch football today

big improvement
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: longhorn320 on December 26, 2021, 12:27:16 PM
tomorrow I'm exactly 8 months from my 2nd Phizer shot, for some reason I thought it was 8 months for the booster.

Now I see it's 6 months, wish I would have had the boost a month ago.  Symptoms might have been mild enough to enjoy Christmas day with my daughters.  I'll wait a couple months now and then boost up

I felling well enough to sit in a recliner and watch football today

big improvement
glad to hear it
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: Cincydawg on December 26, 2021, 04:35:43 PM
I was only tested once, before surgery.  My step son has test kits he uses provided by some fruit company.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: FearlessF on December 26, 2021, 04:44:48 PM
I might take a test tomorrow if I feel up to a 10 minute drive

my friend works for an assisted living facility and has tests

I not really that curious
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: Honestbuckeye on December 26, 2021, 04:52:58 PM
I woke up Christmas morning with classic symptoms

Fever, headache, cough, fatigue, body aches

felt like hell

didn't cook the prime rib, opened presents and went back to bed

feeling a little better this morning, headache is mild and the fever isn't so bad

haven't been tested, not sure I will get tested
Pretty much ditto.  And I was in Michigan last week. 

but I took the rapid test today.  Negative. 
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: betarhoalphadelta on December 26, 2021, 06:27:38 PM
Pretty much ditto.  And I was in Michigan last week.

but I took the rapid test today.  Negative.
Probably an allergic reaction to the state. I've heard it happens to Buckeye fans :57:
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: Honestbuckeye on December 26, 2021, 07:33:25 PM
Probably an allergic reaction to the state. I've heard it happens to Buckeye fans :57:
🤮🤮
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: Cincydawg on December 27, 2021, 09:18:53 AM
The difference between Fflorida and Hawaii is dramatic in how COVID is managed.

Of course in Hawaii there were a lot ignoring the Rules.  Orlando is packed right now.  Hawaii was crowded too, I think pent up demand for travel.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: utee94 on December 27, 2021, 12:01:13 PM
Cedar allergies tend to hit me hard this time of year, symptoms always include achiness, fatigue, itchy watering eyes, etc.  But last week I also developed a pretty serious cough and a subsequent sore throat, which are very unusual for my seasonal allergies.  Knowing I had several family gatherings coming up including hanging out with both my own 80-year-old parents, and my 80=year-old inlaws, after several days of those symptoms I decided to go ahead and test myself with a home test we had leftover from testing my daughter a couple of months back.

Luckily it came back negative.  I'm not special, just another year of cruddy allergies.

Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: longhorn320 on December 27, 2021, 01:15:53 PM
cant find a home test kit around here

CVS etc out
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: 847badgerfan on December 27, 2021, 02:03:32 PM
They are sold out. Someone forgot to order more.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: utee94 on December 27, 2021, 02:18:14 PM
cant find a home test kit around here

CVS etc out
I had a couple I bought a few months ago. Maybe I should sell my last one on ebay and make a fortune.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: 847badgerfan on December 27, 2021, 02:28:27 PM
I have 2 left. I told the wife she should have bought a dozen two weeks ago when CVS had them. She didn't believe me, so she only bought 4.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: utee94 on December 27, 2021, 02:37:26 PM
Any time I've been around the pharmacy, they've limited you to 2 kits (which is 4 tests) per purchase.  I guess I coulda hit every CVS or Walgreens in a 5-mile radius to stock up but honestly, I'm not that worried about it.

But I am glad I had the leftover test to give me peace of mind when interacting with my 80+-year-old parents over these couple weeks.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: FearlessF on December 27, 2021, 03:22:18 PM
well, I took the test - negative

not sure if it's the same test as y'all are talkin bout.  Probably.  This came from the local assisted living facility.  My friend that works there has to take a test weekly and has a stockpile.

As you know, I like Free.

While waiting for the test results, (takes up to 15 minutes) my daughter texted me.  She has been sick with similar symptoms as mine.  Probably gave it to me.  She called in to work telling her manager she was sick a few days ago.  Manager said she had to come into work regardless.  Apparently the manager got it from my daughter and went to the doc this morning.  Tested the manager, she was positive for influenza A.

So, it's likely I have influenza A and not COVID.

I still postponed a dinner party that was planned for Wednesday.

I'm feeling somewhat better this afternoon.  More just fatigued with a cough.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: longhorn320 on December 27, 2021, 03:23:02 PM
I see them on ebay for $17.50
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: FearlessF on December 27, 2021, 03:27:54 PM
not sure I'd pay that much just for curiosity 
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: ELA on December 27, 2021, 09:41:38 PM
I tested twice when I had a bunch of symptoms, mainly because with kids activities, I didn't want to be the reason they got shut down.  Both times negative.  We all did home tests before seeing family for Christmas, and I actually was more worried about those results, figuring 1 of the 5 of us had asymptomatic Omacron.  Shockingly, but pleasantly surprised to go 0-5
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: longhorn320 on December 27, 2021, 09:52:02 PM
ok I got to ask

has anyone ever tested positive with a home test

just wondering
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: Hawkinole on December 28, 2021, 02:02:23 AM
ok I got to ask

has anyone ever tested positive with a home test

just wondering
Three weeks ago I took a rapid test at the walk-in clinic - it was negative. But I had symptoms and a known exposure. I took a PCR test same day, a Saturday. On Monday I was informed I was positive. I was told rapid tests are 85% accurate. I am in the elite 15%. I knew something was askew, but I had two Pfizer shots in April, and this being my 2nd course of COVID-19 at age 64, was tolerable. That said, I had two clients die that were younger than me last month of this crap.  
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on December 28, 2021, 02:14:47 AM
ok I got to ask

has anyone ever tested positive with a home test

just wondering
The population bothering to do a home test is ____________.

Fill in the blank.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on December 28, 2021, 02:15:50 AM
Hell, longhorn, if you really want one and $17.50 is too much, I'll mail you the 2nd test in the box I bought the other day.  Free of charge.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: Hawkinole on December 28, 2021, 02:18:13 AM
I tested twice when I had a bunch of symptoms, mainly because with kids activities, I didn't want to be the reason they got shut down.  Both times negative.  We all did home tests before seeing family for Christmas, and I actually was more worried about those results, figuring 1 of the 5 of us had asymptomatic Omacron.  Shockingly, but pleasantly surprised to go 0-5
Dad was dx with leukemia about 15-days ago. I plan to travel to see him in January. Omicron is not as nasty, but for him, would be deadly. I plan to buy rapid tests, and test after we arrive in Tucson, but my daughter and I will maintain distance and mask, whatever the results. We are a hands-on family so I might hold my breath 30-seconds and hug my dad.

I am a one-man law office. I told my new admin. assistant, my travel plans and that we need to mask while we are in the same room. The former admin. assistant was released two-weeks ago after she gifted me my 2nd round of COVID-19.

People, please vaccinate! You could save a life that is yours. I was pissed when I learned I was exposed 3 weeks ago, and my wife had visited her sister, whose husband had multiple myeloma - same as Colin Powell. I thought she/me might have killed him. Fortunately, I sufficiently figured out b-4 my + test I should isolate, but I did sleep with my woman facing opposite directions one night b4 she visited my beloved brother-in-law who is compromised.

For most of us, it is homicidal to not be vaccinated. Most of us will see people we love who are compromised.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: Hawkinole on December 28, 2021, 02:31:39 AM
So far, 23 poll respondents. Two of us tested + 2x. One tested + 1x. All others negative.
So, 87.5% so far report a negative test. I left this poll up for 2-weeks, so it is still early. 

Most of us are college educated. We are probably brighter than the population as a whole. We have advantages others don't insofar as ability to work remotely, and the intelligence to understand how to avoid the virus, and protect against it.

That said I tested + 2x already and I consider myself very careful. I have to be more careful. I made an executive decision and eliminated a staff person who was uncareful and exposed me to the virus. Going forward I am somewhat more confident. As stated in the preceding post, I instituted a staff mask policy to further decrease my risk. You want to trust your staff, but you just cannot trust anyone to not pass it to you.

Let's get more poll respondents to get a larger cross-section of our forum. 
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: ELA on December 28, 2021, 09:07:10 AM
ok I got to ask

has anyone ever tested positive with a home test

just wondering
I have not, but I've known people who have
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: MrNubbz on December 28, 2021, 09:07:47 AM
Dad was dx with leukemia about 15-days ago. I plan to travel to see him in January. Omicron is not as nasty, but for him, would be deadly. I plan to buy rapid tests, and test after we arrive in Tucson, but my daughter and I will maintain distance and mask, whatever the results. We are a hands-on family so I might hold my breath 30-seconds and hug my dad.

I am a one-man law office. I told my new admin. assistant, my travel plans and that we need to mask while we are in the same room. The former admin. assistant was released two-weeks ago after she gifted me my 2nd round of COVID-19.
First - best wishes on your father's health concerns/recovery but Vaxed or not has no bearing on spreading the virus.Stopped at Christmas with some old buds at a pub.Three of them vaxed - did not distance or mask up,the jabb won't prevent you from spreading it.I left after one
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: longhorn320 on December 28, 2021, 09:48:30 AM
How does a vaxed person spread the virus if they are not positive
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: MrNubbz on December 28, 2021, 10:13:57 AM
How would you know that after leaving a public place - it doesn't kill the virus on contact.Maybe they spray themselves down with bleach/alcohol after every stop
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: longhorn320 on December 28, 2021, 10:30:31 AM
How would you know that after leaving a public place - it doesn't kill the virus on contact.Maybe they spray themselves down with bleach/alcohol after every stop
so you are saying only break through folks who are vaxed spread the virus
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: betarhoalphadelta on December 28, 2021, 10:52:12 AM
https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/the-risk-of-vaccinated-covid-transmission-is-not-low/

Vaxxed people are less likely to be infected, and someone who isn't infected can't transmit the virus. So vaccines DO help reduce spread in that sense.

That said, the studies are showing that if you've been recently vaxxed and have a breakthrough infection, you're less likely to transmit as well. But if it's been a few months since your vax, you're roughly as likely to spread, if infected, as an unvaxxed person. 

Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: MrNubbz on December 28, 2021, 01:01:13 PM
https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/the-risk-of-vaccinated-covid-transmission-is-not-low/

Vaxxed people are less likely to be infected, and someone who isn't infected can't transmit the virus. So vaccines DO help reduce spread in that sense.

Not right when you leave a gathering of people if you have been sneezed on for instance or breathed on,you can spread it just as easy as i.It's not killed on contact just because you've been vaxed.The vax will help you internally this according to the hemotoligist/epidemiologist/Internal medicine physicians I've listened to.I still distance and still mask up with the 3M 9501
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: FearlessF on December 28, 2021, 01:16:17 PM
good plan

if you distance properly, don't even need the mask
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: betarhoalphadelta on December 28, 2021, 01:42:15 PM
I think the point is that if you're unvaxxed, everyone is potentially a threat, whether they are vaccinated or not. While I can make an argument that on an aggregate basis the vaccinated likely have a lower chance of transmission, on an individual basis the outcome is binary--you either get COVID or you don't. And if you're unvaccinated, getting COVID is a potentially dangerous or deadly outcome, regardless of age or prior health (although those factor in). So for the unvaccinated, you should view every person around as a threat. You shouldn't feel "safe" just because you're around vaccinated people. 

That, of course, is an even stronger argument for getting vaxxed, IF you're taking precautions and you are worried about COVID. If you're going to mask and be socially distanced because you're not vaccinated, then you're forgoing certain aspects of life you might enjoy, such as meeting your friends at a pub for beers, because you can't actually consider ANYONE to not be a threat. COVID may not go away for many months, or years, or ever. So not getting vaccinated means that you're rolling those dice every time you ever go around other people. 

Of course, there are people who choose not to get vaccinated, won't wear a mask, and have no intention of social distancing, and are not worried about COVID. Those people are already rolling the dice, knowingly, and taking the risk that if they get COVID they'll be fine. The good news is that for most of them, it'll work out just fine. Those few who it doesn't? Well, those are the ones in the hospital, ICU, or morgue right now...
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: FearlessF on April 22, 2024, 10:37:25 PM
(https://i.imgur.com/DXj4D5a.png)
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: Cincydawg on April 23, 2024, 07:44:55 AM
I've still never tested positive, nor been particularly sick, since very early in 2020.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: 847badgerfan on April 23, 2024, 07:48:13 AM
5x. I think I'm done with the thing.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: Cincydawg on April 23, 2024, 07:55:57 AM
I started getting the flu vaccine a few years back, and now it's paired with COVID, so whatever.  I think several other types are more critical at my age.  But I had what probably was flu a few years back and it was not fun.  And I realize the flu vaccine has varying effectiveness.

It's free, for me, and takes an hour or less of my time, I go with the little woman.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: 847badgerfan on April 23, 2024, 08:07:01 AM
I got the flu vax. No Covid vax.

Actually having the flu is what scared me into the vax. That flu sucked. Rather have Covid 5x.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: Cincydawg on April 23, 2024, 08:09:36 AM
I got the Prevnar 20 on my last doc visit (pneumonia).  I had the Shingrix vaccines earlier.  I think both are more important.

The second Shingrix shot got to me.  

I probably am due for a tetanus shot now too.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: 847badgerfan on April 23, 2024, 08:12:56 AM
Never had chicken pox. Probably not going to get the shingles vax.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: Cincydawg on April 23, 2024, 08:47:33 AM
One can have chicken pox late in life of course.  And it's possible to have had it without knowing it, the symptoms can be very mild.

Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: 847badgerfan on April 23, 2024, 08:59:59 AM
Didn't know I could still get the pox. Interesting.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: Cincydawg on April 23, 2024, 09:04:10 AM
Chickenpox | Johns Hopkins Medicine (https://www.hopkinsmedicine.org/health/conditions-and-diseases/chickenpox#:~:text=Key points about)

Chickenpox in an elderly man - PMC (nih.gov) (https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7430786/)

Why does chicken pox get more dangerous as you get older? | Centre of the Cell (https://www.centreofthecell.org/blog/science-questions/why-does-chicken-pox-get-more-dangerous-as-you-get-older/)

However, in rare cases adults do get chickenpox and it can be life threatening. Adult cases can result in pneumonia (infection of the lungs), hepatitis (infection of the liver) and even encephalitis (infection of the brain). The reasons for adults having a nastier experience are not fully understood. It might be due to differences in their immune systems. This is the part of your body that uses those antibody tags to see where the virus is and attack it. There are two groups of immune system cells: innate cells and adaptive cells.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: ELA on April 23, 2024, 10:07:08 AM
My grandfather was hospitalized and nearly died getting the chicken pox as an adult in his 50s back in the 70s
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: Temp430 on April 23, 2024, 10:55:51 AM
Shingles in your later years can be excruciating.  My wife and I got the vaccine since we both had chicken pox as kids.  I knew someone in college that got chicken pox as a 21 or 22 year old.  He missed a semester and when he returned he looked way different.  His face was cratered and scared for life.  In the olden days mom's used to take their kids to play dates with a kid who had the pox or mumps.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: FearlessF on April 23, 2024, 11:00:59 AM
I was taken to those
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: Hawkinole on April 24, 2024, 12:35:17 AM
So two+ years later, I am viewing the survey results on a thread I started. I cannot believe how few of us on here tested + for COVID. I had it 3x, (only 1x or 2x when I posted).
As a group we are either very resilient, or COVID nontesters.
I haven't had COVID now for way over one-year. It's fading from memory.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: 847badgerfan on April 24, 2024, 07:55:52 AM
So two+ years later, I am viewing the survey results on a thread I started. I cannot believe how few of us on here tested + for COVID. I had it 3x, (only 1x or 2x when I posted).
As a group we are either very resilient, or COVID nontesters.
I haven't had COVID now for way over one-year. It's fading from memory.
May 2022 was my last one. I forget about it until I see someone wearing a mask outside. But the snowbirds are starting to leave, so that will less and less of a sight to see.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: Cincydawg on April 24, 2024, 07:59:47 AM
I was a bit surprised how infrequently I saw mask wearing in Asia.  It was not much different than here, hardly at all.

My wife tested positive.  I had three tests back then at some testing outfit in Copenhagen.  None were positive.  I've done a few home tests here that were negative, I know they may not be reliable.  If I get the sniffles, a bit, I will run a test.  I just haven't been sniffly much at all since 2020.  I THINK if could be because I wash my hands more often.

I would guess some of us who never tested positive were at some point.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: 847badgerfan on April 24, 2024, 08:39:50 AM
Probably would see more masks in the communist Asia countries, I'd think.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: betarhoalphadelta on April 24, 2024, 04:37:27 PM
So two+ years later, I am viewing the survey results on a thread I started. I cannot believe how few of us on here tested + for COVID. I had it 3x, (only 1x or 2x when I posted).
As a group we are either very resilient, or COVID nontesters.
I haven't had COVID now for way over one-year. It's fading from memory.
I honestly think the first time I have ever had it was Jan 2024, and that was confirmed by testing... So my vote would have changed now compared to Jan 2022. 
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: utee94 on April 24, 2024, 05:05:21 PM
I know I had it in June 2022.  I tested positive for it.  It's possible I had it other times and was asymptomatic or thought it was allergies.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: FearlessF on April 30, 2024, 08:42:49 AM
SHANGHAI (AP) — The first scientist to publish a sequence of the COVID-19 virus in China staged a sit-in protest outside his lab after authorities locked him out of the facility — a sign of the Beijing’s continuing pressure on scientists conducting research on the coronavirus.

Zhang Yongzhen wrote in an online post Monday that he and his team had been suddenly notified they were being evicted from their lab, the latest in a series of setbacks, demotions and ousters since the virologist published the sequence in January 2020 without state approval.

When Zhang tried to go to the lab over the weekend, guards barred him from entering. In protest, he sat outside on flattened cardboard in drizzling rain, pictures from the scene posted online show. News of the protest spread widely on Chinese social media and Zhang told a colleague he slept outside the lab — but it was not clear Tuesday if he remained there.

“I won’t leave, I won’t quit, I am pursuing science and the truth!” he wrote in a post on Chinese social media platform Weibo that was later deleted.

In an online statement, the Shanghai Public Health Clinical Center said that Zhang’s lab was being renovated and was closed for “safety reasons.” It added that it had provided Zhang’s team an alternative laboratory space.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: Cincydawg on June 14, 2024, 12:58:01 PM
This is from the NYT today, just if interested:

The case for natural transmission
1. It’s the norm.
Covid is part of the coronavirus family, so named because the virus contains a protein shaped like a spike. (Corona is the Latin word for crown.) In recent decades, the main way that coronaviruses have infected people is through animal-to-human transmission, which is also known as natural transmission.
The SARS virus, for example, appears to have jumped from civet cats, a relative of the mongoose, to humans in Asia in 2002. MERS seems to have jumped from camels to people in the Middle East around 2012. There is no previous example of a major coronavirus escaping a lab.
When you’re trying to choose between a historically common explanation for a phenomenon and an unusual explanation, the common one is usually the better bet.
2. Look around the market.
Two scientific papers have pointed out that a suspiciously large number of early confirmed Covid cases had connections to the Huanan Seafood Wholesale Market in Wuhan. Many of these cases, in late 2019, occurred in people who lived near the market. This map comes from a Times story about the research (https://nl.nytimes.com/f/a/R-QF_EQMVwoIiyEkttdu9g~~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoTqDcP0TsaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vaW50ZXJhY3RpdmUvMjAyMi8wMi8yNi9zY2llbmNlL2NvdmlkLXZpcnVzLXd1aGFuLW9yaWdpbnMuaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD05JmVtYz1lZGl0X25uXzIwMjQwNjE0Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTEyNjIyNyZubD10aGUtbW9ybmluZyZyZWdpX2lkPTE1MzM2ODkxMCZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTE2OTU2MCZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9OGU1ZDJhMmI1ZTQ4YTY5NjU2MTkyY2MzYWYwYTkwMGNXA255dEIKZlXcG2xmFF4CTlIRamNkb29tOUBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAM~):
[img width=498 height=643.391 alt=Red dots on a map show the locations of Covid cases in December 2019. Higher concentration of cases are close to the Huanan Seafood Wholesale Market.]https://ci3.googleusercontent.com/meips/ADKq_NZXKIsOwfntyjor-nVimYCzHURr3iCXgRmrE8HLZ3ebAXdAc-iG96ra9f_1W_RWou402Y1X5Qlg5LyffyHBMkvcDLClCQvuLwJ8vuL052Lu64sP70PkJwTS2xcuxG9LS4KNjymtr9MWn6T4zPKh0IYhk-7Sd-uK1Jdmq7JiDT4WfQ=s0-d-e1-ft#https://static01.nyt.com/images/2024/06/13/briefing/oakImage-1718309482874/oakImage-1718309482874-jumbo.png[/img][/size][/color]
Source: Michael Worobey et al., preprint via Zenodo | By The New York Times
Importantly, the market also sold live animals, including raccoon dogs, that scientists previously found to be susceptible to coronaviruses.
3. Look inside the market.
Shortly after Covid began spreading, Chinese scientists swabbed walls, floors and other surfaces inside the Huanan market for the virus. They found a cluster of positive samples in the market’s southwest corner, where 10 stalls sold live animals.
“Strikingly, five of the samples came from a single stall (https://nl.nytimes.com/f/a/R-QF_EQMVwoIiyEkttdu9g~~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoTqDcP0TsaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vaW50ZXJhY3RpdmUvMjAyMi8wMi8yNi9zY2llbmNlL2NvdmlkLXZpcnVzLXd1aGFuLW9yaWdpbnMuaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD05JmVtYz1lZGl0X25uXzIwMjQwNjE0Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTEyNjIyNyZubD10aGUtbW9ybmluZyZyZWdpX2lkPTE1MzM2ODkxMCZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTE2OTU2MCZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9OGU1ZDJhMmI1ZTQ4YTY5NjU2MTkyY2MzYWYwYTkwMGNXA255dEIKZlXcG2xmFF4CTlIRamNkb29tOUBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAM~),” my colleagues Carl Zimmer and Benjamin Mueller wrote. That stall appears to have had a history of selling raccoon dogs.

Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: Cincydawg on June 14, 2024, 12:58:25 PM
The case for a lab leak
1. Follow the lab.
If historical logic points to natural transmission, a different concept arguably points to a lab leak: Occam’s razor. It’s a philosophical principle holding that the simplest explanation for a phenomenon is usually the correct one. In this case, a new SARS-like virus started in a city with one of the world’s leading labs for researching SARS-like viruses. Many Chinese cities have markets selling live animals; only one is home to the Wuhan Institute of Virology.
The Wuhan lab maintained “one of the world’s largest repositories of bat samples, which has enabled its coronavirus research,” U.S. intelligence officials have written. Before the pandemic, the lab’s scientists traveled to faraway caves to collect virus samples. And bats, like raccoon dogs, can carry coronaviruses.
One possibility is that a virus that would otherwise have remained in the caves infected a lab employee. Another possibility is that scientists in Wuhan engineered a contagious new virus while researching cures and that the virus accidentally escaped.
Notably, there is no evidence of any infected animals, dead or alive, from the Huanan market. Consider this table, from Chan’s Opinion essay:
[img width=498 height=397.391 alt=A table shows five pieces of evidence that scientists were able to use to demonstrate natural origin of previous coronavirus outbreaks like SARS in 2002 and MERS in 2012. These pieces of evidence — including infected animals found, ancestral variants of the virus found in animals and earliest known cases exposed to live animals — are still missing for Covid-19.]https://ci3.googleusercontent.com/meips/ADKq_NZ2MaEdOnsKAP7pZzSbwb4Lvi1Zd-u4PC5sSkPdSVUvJIF3RBanBV0UT3PX9fp5wqf8FnwOMd5qBk0OjZv5lJ9BbgvjyosWOMhGOoulEdYxJ2PoYBTQ003y6gxfWQ4MmGD_o5gObIsRC8YkqpnZXVfgiBeaHDlOgprflUZxsGsUWA=s0-d-e1-ft#https://static01.nyt.com/images/2024/06/13/briefing/oakImage-1718309153364/oakImage-1718309153364-jumbo.png[/img][/size][/color]
By The New York Times
2. Leaks happen.
In recent decades, reports suggests that laboratory employees working on a variety of diseases have been accidentally infected in the United States, Britain, China, Germany, Russia, South Korea and elsewhere.
Even before the pandemic, the Wuhan lab seemed to present a safety risk. When one outside expert heard that the lab planned to research coronaviruses without using state-of-the-art precautions, he wrote in 2018 that “U.S. researchers will likely freak out.”
3. China controls the evidence.
It’s worth asking which of the two stories China would rather the world believe. Either would be damaging, but a lab leak seems significantly more so. It would mean that China’s scientific incompetence killed millions of people — which could explain why Chinese officials have worked so hard to restrict outside research and scrutiny about the virus’s origins.
The bottom line
Do you find both explanations plausible? I do.

Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: Cincydawg on June 14, 2024, 01:01:03 PM
I think there is a third possibility, pretty speculative. 

The Wuhan lab asked animal catchers to deliver some bats from some cave rather distant, and they did.  The bats were infected prior to capture with the zoonotic COVID 19, the catchers became ill and spread the disease.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: 847badgerfan on June 14, 2024, 01:14:21 PM
Lab.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: utee94 on June 14, 2024, 01:19:26 PM
Intentionally lab-created, synthesized, and distributed as a bio weapon.

Maybe.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: Kris60 on June 14, 2024, 01:28:16 PM
Tested positive in February 2023 while at a sales conference in New Orleans.  That’s the only time.  Tested at home many times.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: 847badgerfan on June 14, 2024, 01:31:33 PM
Intentionally lab-created, synthesized, and distributed as a bio weapon.

Maybe.
Yes.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: Cincydawg on June 14, 2024, 01:54:12 PM
Tested positive in February 2023 while at a sales conference in New Orleans.  That’s the only time.  Tested at home many times.
How sick did you feel?  What were your symptoms?
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: FearlessF on June 14, 2024, 04:38:40 PM
The common raccoon dog, also called the Chinese or Asian raccoon dog to distinguish it from the Japanese raccoon dog, is a small, heavy-set, fox-like canid native to East Asia. Named for its raccoon-like face markings, it is most closely related to foxes

(https://i.imgur.com/azSNXZb.png)

For those who don’t have the stomach to watch this kind of video, here is a description of the scenes. The investigation reveals that before the raccoon dogs are skinned alive, they are thrown to the ground with a forceful blow to the head and then bludgeoned with metal rods in attempt to stun the animal. More often than not, the animal’s bones are broken and they are temporarily stunned rather than dead. Many animals are still alive and struggling desperately when workers flip them onto their backs or hang them up by their legs or tails to skin them. The video shows workers on these farms cutting the skin and fur from an animal’s leg while the free limbs kick and writhe. When the fur is finally peeled off over the animals’ heads, their naked, bloody bodies are thrown onto a pile. Reports indicate that some of the animals are still alive, hearts beating for as long as 10 minutes after they are skinned. One investigator recorded a skinned raccoon dog on the heap of carcasses who had enough strength to lift his bloodied head and stare into the camera.

Prior to their unimaginably painful death, the animals live in the cruelest of conditions as they pace and shiver in outdoor wire cages, exposed to all of the elements—rain, freezing nights, or scorching sun. Not surprisingly, injury and disease are commonplace. Anxiety-induced psychosis leads to self-mutilation, infanticide and other extreme, desperate behaviors.

The Swiss Animal Protection / East-International 2007 report, Dying for Fur—A Report on the Fur Industry in China, informs us that “there are no regulations governing fur farms in China—farmers can house and slaughter animals however they see fit.” Two of the most important laws covering animals in China—the Environment Protection Law and the Wildlife Protection Law—only protect wildlife in the wild. Wild animals in captivity are treated as mere property, resources, or objects. China is one of the few countries in the world without any legal provisions for animal welfare and furthermore, there are no acts banning cruelty in the Chinese legal system.

Based on a survey of U.S. retail outlets many of the mass-marketed fur-trimmed garments carry the “Made in China” label. However, with our globalized market, China-originated fur pelts are disbursed through international auctions prior to being sewn in other countries. Therefore, the final fur product label could read “Made in Italy” or “Made in France,” making it impossible for consumers to know where the fur originates. Furthermore, manufacturing techniques such as dying often deceive shoppers into thinking they are buying fake fur.

Compounding this issue is the fact that Chinese fur farms deal not only in minks, foxes, and raccoon dogs, but domestic cats and dogs as well (some with their companion collars still affixed). The fur’s original species is indistinguishable to the typical end user. All the more reason to be relentless with the message to all who will listen that fur—even if it is “fake”—is a frivolous, unnecessary, and irresponsible purchase that supports animal cruelty in its worst form.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: utee94 on June 14, 2024, 06:23:54 PM
Raccoon dog is good eatin'!

-MDT

probably
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: FearlessF on June 14, 2024, 10:38:09 PM
(Reuters) - At the height of the COVID-19 pandemic, the U.S. military launched a secret campaign to counter what it perceived as China’s growing influence in the Philippines, a nation hit especially hard by the deadly virus.

The clandestine operation has not been previously reported. It aimed to sow doubt about the safety and efficacy of vaccines and other life-saving aid that was being supplied by China, a Reuters investigation found. Through phony internet accounts meant to impersonate Filipinos, the military’s propaganda efforts morphed into an anti-vax campaign. Social media posts decried the quality of face masks, test kits and the first vaccine that would become available in the Philippines – China’s Sinovac inoculation.


Reuters identified at least 300 accounts on X, formerly Twitter, that matched descriptions shared by former U.S. military officials familiar with the Philippines operation. Almost all were created in the summer of 2020 and centered on the slogan #Chinaangvirus – Tagalog for China is the virus.

“COVID came from China and the VACCINE also came from China, don’t trust China!” one typical tweet from July 2020 read in Tagalog. The words were next to a photo of a syringe beside a Chinese flag and a soaring chart of infections. Another post read: “From China – PPE, Face Mask, Vaccine: FAKE. But the Coronavirus is real.”

After Reuters asked X about the accounts, the social media company removed the profiles, determining they were part of a coordinated bot campaign based on activity patterns and internal data.


The U.S. military’s anti-vax effort began in the spring of 2020 and expanded beyond Southeast Asia before it was terminated in mid-2021, Reuters determined. Tailoring the propaganda campaign to local audiences across Central Asia and the Middle East, the Pentagon used a combination of fake social media accounts on multiple platforms to spread fear of China’s vaccines among Muslims at a time when the virus was killing tens of thousands of people each day. A key part of the strategy: amplify the disputed contention that, because vaccines sometimes contain pork gelatin, China’s shots could be considered forbidden under Islamic law.

The military program started under former President Donald Trump and continued months into Joe Biden’s presidency, Reuters found – even after alarmed social media executives warned the new administration that the Pentagon had been trafficking in COVID misinformation. The Biden White House issued an edict in spring 2021 banning the anti-vax effort, which also disparaged vaccines produced by other rivals, and the Pentagon initiated an internal review, Reuters found.


The U.S. military is prohibited from targeting Americans with propaganda, and Reuters found no evidence the Pentagon’s influence operation did so.

Spokespeople for Trump and Biden did not respond to requests for comment about the clandestine program.

A senior Defense Department official acknowledged the U.S. military engaged in secret propaganda to disparage China’s vaccine in the developing world, but the official declined to provide details.

A Pentagon spokeswoman said the U.S. military “uses a variety of platforms, including social media, to counter those malign influence attacks aimed at the U.S., allies, and partners.” She also noted that China had started a “disinformation campaign to falsely blame the United States for the spread of COVID-19.”

In an email, the Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs said that it has long maintained the U.S. government manipulates social media and spreads misinformation.


https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/pentagon-ran-secret-anti-vax-campaign-to-undermine-china-during-pandemic/ar-BB1oeXxQ?ocid=entnewsntp&pc=U531&cvid=cbd9a62b31b842aaa25ac62e3736356c&ei=32 (https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/pentagon-ran-secret-anti-vax-campaign-to-undermine-china-during-pandemic/ar-BB1oeXxQ?ocid=entnewsntp&pc=U531&cvid=cbd9a62b31b842aaa25ac62e3736356c&ei=32)
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: Cincydawg on June 15, 2024, 08:35:57 AM
What if something as infectious as COVID 19 but far more deadly were somehow released?

I know very little about virus manipulation, but that shouldn't be outside the realm, if some country wanted to do it.  Maybe they'd vaccinate their own people first?

More Than Three-Quarters of Americans 16 and Older Have Been Infected With COVID: CDC (usnews.com) (https://www.usnews.com/news/health-news/articles/2023-07-05/more-than-three-quarters-of-americans-16-and-older-have-been-infected-with-covid-cdc)

Presuming this is roughly correct, most of us here had it at some point.  I did not so far as I know, I never had COVID symptoms of any sort.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: FearlessF on June 15, 2024, 08:41:13 AM
What if something as infectious as COVID 19 but far more deadly were somehow released?

Why else would the US be funding a virus lab in Wuhan????
Perhaps the Chinese thought and were hoping COVID-19 was going to be far more deadly
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: Cincydawg on June 15, 2024, 08:49:48 AM
Ostensibly, a lab somewhere that had experts in a field of interest could merit funding so as to better understand that field, in this case, a pathogen.

One thought is the COVID 19 was a precursor to something more deadly and leaked prematurely by accident.  Another thought is that it was relatively "innocent" experimentation to understand how the virus might evolve/change in nature.

We'll never know for sure, I think.  It was pretty deadly for older folks with poor immune systems.  
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: 847badgerfan on June 15, 2024, 12:24:17 PM
I think we know for sure because it's China.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: Mdot21 on June 15, 2024, 03:44:59 PM
(Reuters) - At the height of the COVID-19 pandemic, the U.S. military launched a secret campaign to counter what it perceived as China’s growing influence in the Philippines, a nation hit especially hard by the deadly virus.

The clandestine operation has not been previously reported. It aimed to sow doubt about the safety and efficacy of vaccines and other life-saving aid that was being supplied by China, a Reuters investigation found. Through phony internet accounts meant to impersonate Filipinos, the military’s propaganda efforts morphed into an anti-vax campaign. Social media posts decried the quality of face masks, test kits and the first vaccine that would become available in the Philippines – China’s Sinovac inoculation.


Reuters identified at least 300 accounts on X, formerly Twitter, that matched descriptions shared by former U.S. military officials familiar with the Philippines operation. Almost all were created in the summer of 2020 and centered on the slogan #Chinaangvirus – Tagalog for China is the virus.

“COVID came from China and the VACCINE also came from China, don’t trust China!” one typical tweet from July 2020 read in Tagalog. The words were next to a photo of a syringe beside a Chinese flag and a soaring chart of infections. Another post read: “From China – PPE, Face Mask, Vaccine: FAKE. But the Coronavirus is real.”

After Reuters asked X about the accounts, the social media company removed the profiles, determining they were part of a coordinated bot campaign based on activity patterns and internal data.


The U.S. military’s anti-vax effort began in the spring of 2020 and expanded beyond Southeast Asia before it was terminated in mid-2021, Reuters determined. Tailoring the propaganda campaign to local audiences across Central Asia and the Middle East, the Pentagon used a combination of fake social media accounts on multiple platforms to spread fear of China’s vaccines among Muslims at a time when the virus was killing tens of thousands of people each day. A key part of the strategy: amplify the disputed contention that, because vaccines sometimes contain pork gelatin, China’s shots could be considered forbidden under Islamic law.

The military program started under former President Donald Trump and continued months into Joe Biden’s presidency, Reuters found – even after alarmed social media executives warned the new administration that the Pentagon had been trafficking in COVID misinformation. The Biden White House issued an edict in spring 2021 banning the anti-vax effort, which also disparaged vaccines produced by other rivals, and the Pentagon initiated an internal review, Reuters found.


The U.S. military is prohibited from targeting Americans with propaganda, and Reuters found no evidence the Pentagon’s influence operation did so.

Spokespeople for Trump and Biden did not respond to requests for comment about the clandestine program.

A senior Defense Department official acknowledged the U.S. military engaged in secret propaganda to disparage China’s vaccine in the developing world, but the official declined to provide details.

A Pentagon spokeswoman said the U.S. military “uses a variety of platforms, including social media, to counter those malign influence attacks aimed at the U.S., allies, and partners.” She also noted that China had started a “disinformation campaign to falsely blame the United States for the spread of COVID-19.”

In an email, the Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs said that it has long maintained the U.S. government manipulates social media and spreads misinformation.


https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/pentagon-ran-secret-anti-vax-campaign-to-undermine-china-during-pandemic/ar-BB1oeXxQ?ocid=entnewsntp&pc=U531&cvid=cbd9a62b31b842aaa25ac62e3736356c&ei=32 (https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/pentagon-ran-secret-anti-vax-campaign-to-undermine-china-during-pandemic/ar-BB1oeXxQ?ocid=entnewsntp&pc=U531&cvid=cbd9a62b31b842aaa25ac62e3736356c&ei=32)
Only a complete f*cking moron would believe the US gov't doesn't run propaganda operations on it's own citizens. Reuters is a mother f*cking joke.

DoD has a specific department that has worked closely with the movie & television industry in Hollywood to push it's propaganda since DoD's inception in 1947 and before that since at least 1943 with the OSS (the precursor of the CIA).

CIA has infiltrated corporate media, big tech/social media, wikipedia, you name it. They are housed in DoD. Hate to break it to Reuters, but the DoD, state department, and white house pump nothing but pure propaganda to the American people and have their tentacles all wrapped inside the worthless corporate media and the film & television industries.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on June 15, 2024, 03:56:20 PM
What if something as infectious as COVID 19 but far more deadly were somehow released?

Why else would the US be funding a virus lab in Wuhan????
Perhaps the Chinese thought and were hoping COVID-19 was going to be far more deadly
More people would die.  Duh.

You fund viral research to learn more and use it in positive ways.

Why in the holy hell would a country release a deadly virus in its own country?!?  This is madness.  For as apathetic as you seemingly deem China's opinion of its own people, it would have taken zero effort to put 10 infected people on a plane to L.A.  

Your post belongs in March of 2020, not today.  It's silly.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: 847badgerfan on June 15, 2024, 06:10:04 PM
China closed airports to internal travel and locked down to the point of welding doors shut.

They did not shut down international travel.

Connect the dots. This is not hard.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on June 15, 2024, 06:57:36 PM
China closed airports to internal travel and locked down to the point of welding doors shut.

They did not shut down international travel.

Connect the dots. This is not hard.
I think the U.S. would have done the same.  So there's that.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: FearlessF on June 15, 2024, 08:46:38 PM
You fund viral research to learn more and use it in positive ways.

well, if well meaning dems ruled the world

wait............ they're not perfect either
positive ways can mean eliminating you're adversaries
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on June 16, 2024, 12:48:04 AM
well, if well meaning dems ruled the world

wait............ they're not perfect either
positive ways can mean eliminating you're adversaries
I've found that when an act seems to be either incompetence or unethical, it's usually incompetence.  To insert motive isn't very objective.  
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: Kris60 on June 16, 2024, 08:08:49 AM
How sick did you feel?  What were your symptoms?
The first 12 hours were chills, body ache, and just extreme fatigue.  Felt like the flu.  After that the next 24 hours it was really just fatigue. Slept a lot. Didn’t move around a lot.  After that I felt fine for the most part.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: 847badgerfan on June 16, 2024, 08:15:33 AM
I think the U.S. would have done the same.  So there's that.
You think wrong.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: FearlessF on June 16, 2024, 08:53:00 AM
I hope he's wrong

I don't think it would have been exactly the same
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: 847badgerfan on June 16, 2024, 09:06:41 AM
I hope he's wrong

I don't think it would have been exactly the same
The only country the US closed travel to/from is China, and 45 was called a xenophobe for doing so.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on June 16, 2024, 09:17:18 AM
You think wrong.
CUZ YOU SAY SO
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: 847badgerfan on June 16, 2024, 09:33:46 AM
No, because you are wrong. 

Past actions prove the fact that the US did not close travel internally while keeping international travel open.

Wake up. The Covid dream is over.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on June 16, 2024, 09:36:15 AM
No, because you are wrong.

Past actions prove the fact that the US did not close travel internally while keeping international travel open.

Wake up. The Covid dream is over.
If it started spreading from a city in the U.S., we wouldn't have prioritized closing domestic travel over international travel?   
Mkay.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: 847badgerfan on June 16, 2024, 09:41:03 AM
If it started spreading from a city in the U.S., we wouldn't have prioritized closing domestic travel over international travel? 

This is correct. Congrats.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: Cincydawg on June 16, 2024, 09:42:33 AM
I don't know what we might do TODAY, we all know what was attempted back when it was spreading and misundertood in many aspects.  The attempts to isolate it  all failed, though we could have done a more assiduous job in isolating the elderly early on, and didn't.

I don't think a country can effectively isolate a disease by shutting down internal air travel, there are too many more vectors available.

Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: 847badgerfan on June 16, 2024, 09:50:06 AM
I don't know what we might do TODAY, we all know what was attempted back when it was spreading and misundertood in many aspects.  The attempts to isolate it  all failed, though we could have done a more assiduous job in isolating the elderly early on, and didn't.

I don't think a country can effectively isolate a disease by shutting down internal air travel, there are too many more vectors available.


Do you mean to say that "America's Governor" didn't do a good job?


(https://i.imgur.com/bu3Uiw8.jpeg)
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: Cincydawg on June 16, 2024, 09:53:18 AM
I was musing about seeing Pelosi trapsing around Chinatown in SF when thsi was breaking out encouraging folks to "come on down".  There really was no good way to isolate this disease (aside from the aforementioed folks who were already effectively cut off, like old folks homes, and even then a worker would come and go).

This thing was amazingy infective, and fortunately the predictions it would "burn out" and become less virulent seems to have played out.

I see various estimates about how many lives the vaccines saved, and maybe so, I don't know how to calculate that based on really quantitative metrics that are fully supported by the data.  

A lesson was that nobody in government, in my view, did a very solid job with much of anything.  And I understand that early on there was fear and lack of knowledge.  It could have been MUCH worse, see 1918-19.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: Cincydawg on June 16, 2024, 09:59:21 AM
Then, around here, the governor "opened" the state on April 22 as I recall.  Even Trump criticized him (Kemp) saying it was too early.  The vast majority of places stayed closed even after they were allowed to open.  Not a single restaurant near us opened until 2-3-4 weeks later, and then they had the tables spaced well apart, which cut down on capacity of course.  Everyone was wearing a mask.  I was getting to need a haircut pretty badly and my wife's stylist would cut mine with her present getting her hair treated/colored, he was doing one person at a time during that period.  (I didn't like the way he cut my hair, I prefer Great Clips, which didn't reopen then.)

Gradually, stuff started to reopen a bit as everyone watched the numbers on the news.  Kroger had "over 65" hours early in the morning.  They restocked fairly quickly after being nearly stripped.  I recall the concern we'd run out of food.

We had an interesting event every night at 8 PM, everyone would go out of their units and cheer for the first responders, not that it did them any good, but it was a nice thing to experience.  
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: 847badgerfan on June 16, 2024, 10:37:48 AM
If memory serves, Florida was mostly "closed" when we first got down here in April 2020. By mid-May it was open. Masks optional. When it was time for the demo/renovations here, we went back up to Illinois to close out our condo rental. Illinois was closed. I bought clippers to cut my hair. 

I knew the store manager at the grocery store very well and he would set things aside for us to come pick up. TP was gold.

By July 1, we were living in Kenosha on our boat. I worked in the kitchen room/office in the marina up there as we were not allowed to go into any of our Illinois offices to work. 

Wisconsin was mostly open. Lots of distancing rules. Masks optional.

Sold the boat (everyone was buying boats and RV's at that time - we did very well on it).

Back in Florida after Labor Day. Could not travel to Illinois for Christmas due to quarantine rules against people from Florida (and other open states). 

I think our offices in Illinois were finally allowed to open in July of 2021.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on June 16, 2024, 02:42:25 PM
Do you mean to say that "America's Governor" didn't do a good job?


(https://i.imgur.com/bu3Uiw8.jpeg)
America's president assured everyone that it would just go away.  Remember that?  At around 15 cases, it would magically stop there.  And, you know, not wind up being over 100 million.  Stable genius and all.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: Cincydawg on June 16, 2024, 05:19:35 PM
A lot of politicians said and did a lot of stupid, or at least ignorant, things during COVID.  Film at 11.

If you think one side had more stupidity than the other, well, it's possible that's due to bias on your part.    And some of the stupidity was so stupid it had no impact on anything beyond some soundbites.

President Trump Awards Presidential Commendations to Operation Warp Speed Team – The White House (archives.gov) (https://trumpwhitehouse.archives.gov/briefings-statements/president-trump-awards-presidential-commendations-operation-warp-speed-team/)

The list includes Fauci, Birx, and Milley.  And today many Trump supporters loathe Fauci AND the mRNA vaccine.  But they seem to forget Trump's role in it.  Life is weird.  People choose a side and then .... logic disappears.

President Donald J. Trump awarded Presidential Commendations to the below individuals in recognition of their exceptional efforts on Operation Warp Speed:
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on June 17, 2024, 02:00:48 AM
Only one of them was the president spewing ideas a 10 year old could call BS on.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: Cincydawg on June 17, 2024, 08:10:11 AM
Yes, we generally have one President at a time, it's not like the Popes of old.

I personally find that President fairly often say, um, dubious things.  Oddly enough, one side focuses on those things said by the other side and ignores the mote.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: 847badgerfan on June 17, 2024, 08:27:38 AM
America's president assured everyone that it would just go away.  Remember that?  At around 15 cases, it would magically stop there.  And, you know, not wind up being over 100 million.  Stable genius and all.
I remember.

Hopeful is the term to use here. Nobody knew anything, except China, Fauci and a few others, which were all lying, of course.

Even the WHO said there was no evidence of human-to-human transmission, based on China's lies.

You might like China. Ever consider moving there, stable genius?


(https://i.imgur.com/0d80ZRC.png)
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: Cincydawg on June 17, 2024, 08:30:13 AM
What did Fauci say early on that he knew was untrue?

I don't really get all the angst thrown at Fauci.

Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: 847badgerfan on June 17, 2024, 08:32:08 AM
What did Fauci say early on that he knew was untrue?

I don't really get all the angst thrown at Fauci.


He told everyone that it was from a wet market and that there was no way it came from a lab that he claimed he didn't fund.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: Cincydawg on June 17, 2024, 08:35:37 AM
He told everyone that it was from a wet market and that there was no way it came from a lab that he claimed he didn't fund.
He literally said that?  What was the specific quote?  I don't recall his saying that.

Either way, early on, its origins were just something of interest, not something critical.  I know the early speculation was it originated in the wet market, which is still a viable hypothesis in my view.  I don't recall ANYONE claiming it could not possibly be from the lab.

It doesn't strike me as a big deal enough to hate on the guy even if he claimed it, which I don't recall.

Here’s What Dr. Fauci Has Said About Covid’s Origins And The Lab Leak Theory (forbes.com) (https://www.forbes.com/sites/jackbrewster/2021/06/16/heres-what-dr-fauci-has-said-about-covids-origins-and-the-lab-leak-theory/)

Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: 847badgerfan on June 17, 2024, 08:51:21 AM
~???

Here’s What Dr. Fauci Has Said About Covid’s Origins And The Lab Leak Theory (forbes.com) (https://www.forbes.com/sites/jackbrewster/2021/06/16/heres-what-dr-fauci-has-said-about-covids-origins-and-the-lab-leak-theory/)
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: Cincydawg on June 17, 2024, 08:53:34 AM
Navarro Falsely Links Fauci to Pandemic Origin - FactCheck.org (https://www.factcheck.org/2022/05/scicheck-navarro-falsely-links-fauci-to-pandemic-origin/?gad_source=1&gclid=Cj0KCQjwvb-zBhCmARIsAAfUI2ttcewVCC4qy4uZS-WmHqnV9MSHvRayAm_A-k39kbJ33htxVhzOJxQaAo9BEALw_wcB)
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: 847badgerfan on June 17, 2024, 09:06:13 AM
Did you not read the link I provided?

Fact-check websites run cover for people all the time. 

I check my own facts.

Just type in "Fauci Wet Market" into your Google search. You will find the truth within countless sources.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: Cincydawg on June 17, 2024, 09:12:43 AM
I just dsagree, and I did look at different sites and cites.  Fauci has been accused of a lot of things for political gain by others, most of which in my view, he never did, or said.

I don't have any particular beef with Fauci.  
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: 847badgerfan on June 17, 2024, 09:21:07 AM
I do not like liars. Fauci was a very highly paid liar, and he damaged much of this country badly with his "guidance". The Obama administration shut down gain-of-function research and Fauci re-started it 3 years later. He still continues to lie about it.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: Cincydawg on June 17, 2024, 10:06:43 AM
What specifically was Fauci's "guidance" that Trump followed?

I still don't see him as a bad actor in this story.  When I "fact check", I look for direct quotes and then seek context, if any.  If he lied, with intent, one should be able to quote his lie.

Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: 847badgerfan on June 17, 2024, 10:18:58 AM
Lying is always an intent. You can't lie by accident. That would be called a mistake.

What guidance was followed? The administration followed all of it, except for the travel ban to/from China - which Saint Fauci openly opposed (gee, I wonder why?).

45 criticized Kemp, DeSantis and others for opening up too early. Tennessee was open in April 2020, even before Georgia and Florida. We ate dinner inside a restaurant in Clarksville, no masks or distancing (which also turned out to be bullshit). 

Never mind the foolish comments about bleach or whatever other stuff he shot from the hip. He followed the guidance until the guidance began to prove itself to be mostly nonsense.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: Cincydawg on June 17, 2024, 10:27:53 AM
I'd fault Trump for following poor guidance.  I don't think it was poor guidance at the time, it made sense to me, given what was known.

There were a lot of "experts" giving guidance, probably with a lot of variation.  And to me, it isn't lying.  It's a legitimate best estimate or  guess as to what we should attempt.

I personally thought Kemp reopened Georgia too early.  It turned out to be a nonfactor, places reopened at their own pace.  But at the time, it seemed too early to me.

I still don't fault Fauci for being some bad actor in this.  I tried to read a good bit about what he said and recommended, and it looks sound, to me, at the time.

But he has become a political lightning rod.  
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: 847badgerfan on June 17, 2024, 10:32:25 AM
It has nothing to do with politics in my mind. Anyone who championed damage to the country during and after that time, and still today, is in my crosshairs. Most just happen to be from the left. Teacher unions. Grr...
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: 847badgerfan on June 19, 2024, 08:28:15 AM
This is a great read.

The Real Covid Failure - WSJ (https://www.wsj.com/articles/the-real-covid-failure-fauci-ef8487a3?mod=WTRN_pos2&cx_testId=3&cx_testVariant=cx_171&cx_artPos=1)

Free link:

https://www.wsj.com/articles/the-real-covid-failure-fauci-ef8487a3?st=uf7dtadmbb3fyuk&reflink=desktopwebshare_permalink
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: Cincydawg on June 19, 2024, 08:36:42 AM
Did coronavirus come from a lab? | New Scientist (https://www.newscientist.com/definition/coronavirus-come-lab/)

Researchers led by Shan-Lu Liu at the Ohio State University say there is “no credible evidence” of genetic engineering (Emerging Microbes & Infectionsdoi.org/dpvw (https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/22221751.2020.1733440)). The virus’s genome has been sequenced, and if it had been altered, we would expect to see signs of inserted gene sequences. But we now know the points that differ from bat viruses are scattered in a fairly random way, just as they would be if the new virus had evolved naturally.
Proponents of the lab-leak hypothesis can point to some arcane details of the virus’s molecular biology. For example, the virus has a “furin cleavage site”, a part of the spike protein that helps it to break into host cells. Many coronaviruses have this tool, but SARS-CoV-2 is the only member of the sub-genus Sarbecovirus to have one.
Another region of the spike protein, the “receptor binding motif”, appears to be oddly adapted to latch on to human cells. This adaptation was also observed in the original SARS virus, SARS-CoV-1, which caused outbreaks in 2003, but only long after it had jumped to humans. The Wuhan strain of SARS-CoV-2 had it from the get-go, as if it were “pre-adapted” to humans.
But these features aren’t a smoking gun – they can all be observed in “natural” viruses, so aren’t persuasive evidence that the virus has been engineered by people.
Read more: Did covid-19 come from a lab or an animal? This is how we’ll find (https://www.newscientist.com/article/2278955-did-covid-19-come-from-a-lab-or-an-animal-this-is-how-well-find-out/)


Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: Cincydawg on June 19, 2024, 08:41:00 AM
The evidence remains clear: SARS-CoV-2 emerged via the wildlife trade | PNAS (https://www.pnas.org/doi/full/10.1073/pnas.2214427119)
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: Cincydawg on June 19, 2024, 08:41:21 AM
I don't know that the evidence for anything is "clear", to me anyway.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: FearlessF on June 19, 2024, 08:42:27 AM
one of those headlines to get you to click
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: Cincydawg on June 19, 2024, 08:59:46 AM
The inside story of how one scientist concluded covid began with a spillover at Wuhan's wet market | MIT Technology Review (https://www.technologyreview.com/2021/11/19/1040390/covid-wuhan-natural-spillover-wuhan-wet-market-huanan/?gad_source=1&gclid=CjwKCAjwg8qzBhAoEiwAWagLrFq7ji6v49b8OXGwOixM7xnLjtvB0ysLSxqxtoYnFYFjQnyp7vEjtBoCS0IQAvD_BwE)

There are all sorts of "theories" about its origins out there by purported experts.  I don't know how a layman such as I could form a clear opinion on the topic.  I've proposed another notional idea as to how it could have happened that I have not seen anywhere else.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: 847badgerfan on June 19, 2024, 09:02:14 AM
Did coronavirus come from a lab? | New Scientist (https://www.newscientist.com/definition/coronavirus-come-lab/)





Meh. It's over 3 years old.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: Entropy on June 19, 2024, 09:54:58 AM
IMO, the real damage of COVID was politics trumped science.  A lot of trust was broken for the average American.   I think people would have been fine with reasonable changes and updates as we learned more.  Instead, political lines were drawn and decisions were made based on those lines.   I've always had a level of skepticism when it came to our gov't, but I see no reason not to question everything going forward.  
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: 847badgerfan on June 19, 2024, 10:00:39 AM
I think that's how most of us feel now.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: utee94 on June 19, 2024, 11:13:31 AM
What made it worse is that the snotty elitists who thought they had science on their side, used it as a weapon to bludgeon their opposition who they consistently underestimated as nothing more than a bunch of flat-earthers.

When in fact the science was NOT on their side in many important cases, such as the risks to school-aged children and the risks to adults teaching school-aged children. Within the first 6 months there was plenty of global evidence that these were very low risk factors and that schools could reopen and proceed with some new, reasonable precautions put in place.  But every time their "enemy" from "the other team" suggested this, they responded with "ZOMG you hate children and teachers and you don't understand THE SCIENCE ZOMG THE SCIENCE!"

Denouncing your enemy as "science-deniers" all the while having zero understanding that the science was NOT on your side-- that was peak COVID pandemic lunacy right there.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: 847badgerfan on June 19, 2024, 11:17:04 AM
Yep. A lot of kids were practically ruined during that timeframe.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: utee94 on June 19, 2024, 11:44:52 AM
It has taken my daughter 3 years to recover.

I don't think my son ever will.  It was incredibly destructive for him.

And we went back to school in September of 2020.  Many school districts around the country took a year longer, or even more.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: 847badgerfan on June 19, 2024, 12:25:51 PM
It has taken my daughter 3 years to recover.

I don't think my son ever will.  It was incredibly destructive for him.

And we went back to school in September of 2020.  Many school districts around the country took a year longer, or even more.
I'm dead serious.

People need to spend time in prison for what they did to our kids.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on June 19, 2024, 04:54:22 PM
What made it worse is that the snotty elitists who thought they had science on their side, used it as a weapon to bludgeon their opposition who they consistently underestimated as nothing more than a bunch of flat-earthers.

When in fact the science was NOT on their side in many important cases, such as the risks to school-aged children and the risks to adults teaching school-aged children. Within the first 6 months there was plenty of global evidence that these were very low risk factors and that schools could reopen and proceed with some new, reasonable precautions put in place.  But every time their "enemy" from "the other team" suggested this, they responded with "ZOMG you hate children and teachers and you don't understand THE SCIENCE ZOMG THE SCIENCE!"

Denouncing your enemy as "science-deniers" all the while having zero understanding that the science was NOT on your side-- that was peak COVID pandemic lunacy right there.
I get all of this, but I think you're underestimating the fear of the exceptions being blown out of proportion.
Let's say 1 kid out of 10,000 dies from COVID - a tiny number pulled out of my ass.  Let's just set it at that.

For the masses, or at least a majority, that's acceptable.  0.0001%
But perhaps the fear of those dead kids' families being on the news here and there, over and over, was enough to be "too careful." 
Nationally, that 0.0001% = 5,000 dead kids.  Much like Fauci worrying about a mask panic causing him to lie to the public, being fearful of a bunch of crying families who lost their child would perhaps cause a similar thing.  It wouldn't be a lie, but it would be a lack of belief in the public at large to not really wrap their heads around the percentages.

And so, as a lack of faith in the masses reacting with prudence, I get it.  I understand it.  I don't know if it's warranted, I don't know if I agree with it (like with Fauci and the masks), but I understand it.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: utee94 on June 19, 2024, 05:30:25 PM
That's an understandable take.  Perhaps if anyone among the snobby elitist "we know science and you don't" side had positioned it that way, it might have been a bridge to some compassion, some understanding, and some compromise.

But that's not the way they positioned it.  They treated their "enemy" as being insufferably stupid and subhuman, wouldn't entertain talks of moderation at all, and constantly bludgeoned them as being "science deniers" and "child haters."

There's zero chance at reasonable discourse when you feel the need to vilify and dehumanize those who disagree with your opinion.

And it led to a massive and at least somewhat avoidable catastrophe.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: 847badgerfan on June 20, 2024, 08:58:04 AM
That's an understandable take.  Perhaps if anyone among the snobby elitist "we know science and you don't" side had positioned it that way, it might have been a bridge to some compassion, some understanding, and some compromise.

But that's not the way they positioned it.  They treated their "enemy" as being insufferably stupid and subhuman, wouldn't entertain talks of moderation at all, and constantly bludgeoned them as being "science deniers" and "child haters."

There's zero chance at reasonable discourse when you feel the need to vilify and dehumanize those who disagree with your opinion.

And it led to a massive and at least somewhat avoidable catastrophe.

Maybe that's what they wanted.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: Cincydawg on June 20, 2024, 09:03:14 AM
I'm always cautious about the use of the pronoun "they", as I often don't know really who "they" comprises.

Are we talking "government experts" in general?  I understand Fauci is in "bad odor" with most on the Right today, but Trump gave him and Birx an official commendation.

I think it's obvious some mistakes were made, but at the time, some of those mistakes are more understandable given what was known, in my view.

Some were not, mostly pertaining to protecting older folks.  Closing schools was mostly up to school boards, was it not?  I'm guessing some governors mandated that statewide?  I don't recall exactly.  It varied a ton around here.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: 847badgerfan on June 20, 2024, 09:28:39 AM
Big teacher unions lobbied the CDC to keep schools closed.

Some governors listened. Some didn't.

Saint Fauci now admits that keeping schools closed was a mistake, but he still stands by his advice, which was to keep schools closed.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: FearlessF on June 20, 2024, 09:31:30 AM
just gotta luv teacher's unions!

those poor folks need protection from their big bad evil employers
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: Cincydawg on June 20, 2024, 09:39:58 AM
Saint Fauci now admits that keeping schools closed was a mistake, but he still stands by his advice, which was to keep schools closed.
I see reference to the CDC and then to Fauci.  What specifically did Fauci advise at the time?

I lean to thinking these folks tried to do the best they could with the information available, but that could be incorrect of course.

I still don't think Fauci is some evil dude.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: FearlessF on June 20, 2024, 09:48:31 AM
he was/is a puppet
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: Cincydawg on June 20, 2024, 09:53:54 AM
OK, maybe so.  I keep looking for direct quotes, not general assertions.

He even wrote a book (which I haven't and won't read).  I might read a review of it, maybe.

Anthony Fauci book 'On Call' reflects on COVID-19, Trump and public service : NPR (https://www.npr.org/transcripts/nx-s1-5006045)


Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: 847badgerfan on June 20, 2024, 09:54:47 AM
He needs to get out of the public eye and just go away. 
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on June 20, 2024, 12:15:16 PM
I don't think it's prudent to be overly critical of how any population behaved during a novel pandemic, aside from pretending it didn't exist.

Just as people play the lottery, despite the odds, they hope to be the exception.  This was a reverse lottery, we eventually learned, that 99.9% of people 'won' instead of 0.1%.  But when it's not $1.00 but your health or your life at risk, yeah, you're going to be fearful of losing and getting put on a ventilator. 

As in my previous post of the made-up example of 5,000 dead kids being statistically acceptable, but still horrific, how many dead teachers would have been acceptable?  And as a teacher and not knowing the full scope of the virus, I was not at all afraid for my health/life, but if I thought I could possibly carry it, spread it to a student, and have that taken home to endanger an elderly family member, I was not okay with that.
Once we knew the sick and elderly were the ones really at-risk, worry for myself decreased to align with the low risk.  We knew kids weren't, by and large, getting sick from it.  But we didn't know rates of how contagious it was.  The data wasn't there to know, and you can't just guesstimate this shit with people's lives.

When there's a novel pandemic virus, yes, you should be cautious.  That's just plainly true.  When you have data and think you know something, great, that's progress, but making sure you know what you think you know is good, too.
Looking back and saying "we were too cautious" is a good thing.  It's a helluva lot better than the alternative. 
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: betarhoalphadelta on June 20, 2024, 12:51:01 PM
Looking back and saying "we were too cautious" is a good thing.  It's a helluva lot better than the alternative. 
I didn't mind some caution. When the thing first hit, I initially wondered whether the world was overreacting, but even in retrospect, supported the Mar 2020 closure of in-person schooling. We didn't know what we were dealing with. 

The problem is that we were too cautious for too long, even when we DID know what we were facing. ESPECIALLY with schools, which we already knew kids had very little risk from COVID and the teaching profession also skews young. 

We could have offered a hybrid model where parents who were more risk-averse and teachers who were more risk-averse or in high-risk groups due to comorbidities could opt into distance learning, while those who accepted the risk and thought that in-person instruction was more effective and important for childhood development returned to that. It would have been better than what many teacher unions were supporting, which was to fight against a return to school for anyone, for as long as possible. 

And remember, that caution was not without cost. The harm it did to childhood development was significant (https://www.gse.harvard.edu/ideas/news/23/05/new-data-show-how-pandemic-affected-learning-across-whole-communities):

Quote
“Children have resumed learning, but largely at the same pace as before the pandemic. There’s no hurrying up teaching fractions or the Pythagorean theorem,” said CEPR faculty director Thomas Kane (https://www.gse.harvard.edu/directory/faculty/thomas-kane). “The hardest hit communities — like Richmond, Virginia, St. Louis, Missouri, and New Haven, Connecticut, where students fell behind by more than 1.5 years in math — have to teach 150 percent of a typical year’s worth of material for three years in a row — just to catch up. That is simply not going to happen without a major increase in instructional time.  Any district that lost more than a year of learning should be required to revisit their recovery plans and add instructional time — summer school, extended school year, tutoring, etc. — so that students are made whole. ”

“It’s not readily visible to parents when their children have fallen behind earlier cohorts, but the data from 7,800 school districts show clearly that this is the case,” said Sean Reardon (https://ed.stanford.edu/faculty/seanreardon), professor of poverty and inequality, Stanford Graduate School of Education. “The educational impacts of the pandemic were not only historically large, but were disproportionately visited on communities with many low-income and minority students. Our research shows that schools were far from the only cause of decreased learning — the pandemic affected children through many ways — but they are the institution best suited to remedy the unequal impacts of the pandemic.”

Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: 847badgerfan on June 20, 2024, 12:59:11 PM
Not to mention the social aspect of damage this caused to children.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: Cincydawg on June 20, 2024, 01:30:34 PM
How many states closed schools down for months and months?  I really don't recall now beyond some vague notions.  I agree it was too long in many cases.  And it's clear it had a serious cost.

I was in SD for a HS graduation and a speaker noted the class started HS there when the school was shut down.  Apparently they missed a year plus.

I don't recall who was advocating for this, how widely spread it was, and how long it lasted.

I think we know now at least that protecting the elderly should have been the primary focus on all fronts, and everyone else pretty much should carry on.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: betarhoalphadelta on June 20, 2024, 01:58:57 PM
How many states closed schools down for months and months?  I really don't recall now beyond some vague notions.  I agree it was too long in many cases.  And it's clear it had a serious cost.

I was in SD for a HS graduation and a speaker noted the class started HS there when the school was shut down.  Apparently they missed a year plus.

I don't recall who was advocating for this, how widely spread it was, and how long it lasted.

I think we know now at least that protecting the elderly should have been the primary focus on all fronts, and everyone else pretty much should carry on.
Los Angeles Unified School District remained remote until at least Apr 2021. I don't know whether they were "fully" open after that time or if they had additional restrictions. I believe the district my kids attend in Orange County were similar. 

I was lucky in that my one son (special needs) was able to have in-person learning the entirety of that 2020-21 school year, and my two other kids were at a charter school for that year which remained open for in-person learning, with the exception of a short stint between Thanksgiving and Christmas where they were doing remote learning. 
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on June 20, 2024, 01:59:36 PM


We could have offered a hybrid model where parents who were more risk-averse and teachers who were more risk-averse or in high-risk groups due to comorbidities could opt into distance learning, while those who accepted the risk and thought that in-person instruction was more effective and important for childhood development returned to that. 


That's what we did.  

I think there's this tradition of unions in the northeast that may or may not be too powerful, but I don't know how apt that is for the other 95% of the country.  
At some stage, it just becomes a talking point with another villain.  But I don't know.

I reluctantly volunteered to be the online-only person for my grade level.  The other 3 were in-person.  I got up, showered, and went into my classroom every day, as I knew if I tried rolling out of bed and teaching, it wouldn't have been as effective.

We all did our best and every decision we made at a district level was in the best interest of the students.  If that wasn't the case everywhere, then that is unfortunate.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: Cincydawg on June 20, 2024, 02:04:44 PM
My guess is the San Diego district was akin to LA et al., they were out the entire 2020-2021 school year, in addition to the end of 2020.  Maybe they restarted in person August 2021.  
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on June 20, 2024, 02:05:27 PM


I think we know now at least that protecting the elderly should have been the primary focus on all fronts, and everyone else pretty much should carry on.
Sure, but conventional thinking was that the most at-risk in any general health scare is both ends of the spectrum - the elderly and the very young.
It was dumb luck that COVID didn't beat down kids as badly as it did old people.  
And as the children being at low-risk going against conventional thinking, I think we wanted to make sure that was the case and not some delayed-reaction.

Again, this became radially politicized, but being too cautious is far better than not being cautious enough.  You can't Monday-morning QB this thing and get upset over it.  

And besides, most of the outrage had fuck-all to do with children's education and was obsessed about businesses going under.  $$$ > well-being of children
and DO NOT try to explain away that one.  It's a fact and everyone knows it.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: Cincydawg on June 20, 2024, 02:09:27 PM
I find it useful to look back and ponder what could have been done better, without necessarily blaming anyone (or not).  What could we do better next time?  Next time will be different.  But it's notable, to me, that "we" were doing a lot of nearly blind guessing that turned out, in retrospect, to have been deleterious.

Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: 847badgerfan on June 20, 2024, 02:13:24 PM
Sure, but conventional thinking was that the most at-risk in any general health scare is both ends of the spectrum - the elderly and the very young.
It was dumb luck that COVID didn't beat down kids as badly as it did old people. 
And as the children being at low-risk going against conventional thinking, I think we wanted to make sure that was the case and not some delayed-reaction.

Again, this became radially politicized, but being too cautious is far better than not being cautious enough.  You can't Monday-morning QB this thing and get upset over it. 

And besides, most of the outrage had fuck-all to do with children's education and was obsessed about businesses going under.  $$$ > well-being of children
and DO NOT try to explain away that one.  It's a fact and everyone knows it.
I recall a lot of cautiousness on this message board early on because we were all scared and in the dark. Things changed and now we know our failures.

As for the bolded...

Well, not for me, because I care deeply about education. For many kids, they were failed.

Illinois was essentially closed from April 2020 through June 2021. Same in California as I recall. They started hybrid at that point. Not sure when they went traditional.

Here, they closed in April 2020 in favor of Zoom. In August it went to hybrid and then in November it was fully traditional. So we lost about 3 months.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: Cincydawg on June 20, 2024, 02:15:37 PM
There clearly was concern about BOTH education AND businesses going under.  It isn't one OR the other, it was and is both.

But it's easiest to present a strawman to knock down even when nobody has asserted it.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: 847badgerfan on June 20, 2024, 02:21:00 PM
It hurt our business for sure. It cost us a lot of money to set people up at home, because we were not permitted to re-open our offices until June 2021. 

All new computers, paying everyone's internet, and loss of production (that was the worst part - we could tell who was working normal and who wasn't because we had software installed to track usage).
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: betarhoalphadelta on June 20, 2024, 02:23:26 PM
That's what we did. 

I think there's this tradition of unions in the northeast that may or may not be too powerful, but I don't know how apt that is for the other 95% of the country. 
At some stage, it just becomes a talking point with another villain.  But I don't know.

I reluctantly volunteered to be the online-only person for my grade level.  The other 3 were in-person.  I got up, showered, and went into my classroom every day, as I knew if I tried rolling out of bed and teaching, it wouldn't have been as effective.

We all did our best and every decision we made at a district level was in the best interest of the students.  If that wasn't the case everywhere, then that is unfortunate.
Yeah, but as you regularly point out, what your individual school district did is merely anecdotal evidence. Nice sample size :57: 

Honestly, whether it was the teacher union driving it or someone else in power is immaterial. The issue is that a lot of kids in this country lost a year or more of critical development, and as the study I linked says, it's not like it's being made up. In an attempt to "follow the science"--which wasn't really what the science was telling us--we caused significant harm to kids. 
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: 847badgerfan on June 20, 2024, 02:27:40 PM
The AFT and other big unions had a hand in writing the CDC guidance for schools closing/opening. That is outrageous to me.

And this one... Prison.

Randi Weingarten | American Federation of Teachers (aft.org) (https://www.aft.org/about/leadership/randi-weingarten)
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on June 20, 2024, 02:27:54 PM
There clearly was concern about BOTH education AND businesses going under.  It isn't one OR the other, it was and is both.

But it's easiest to present a strawman to knock down even when nobody has asserted it.
You don't have to assert something that happened years ago.  Yeah, I can get some 90/10 ground beef - it's both lean and fat, but it's far more one than the other.

Some of you use 'straw man' incorrectly here.  It's not a replacement for "nuh uh."  It actually means something.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on June 20, 2024, 02:33:43 PM
Yeah, but as you regularly point out, what your individual school district did is merely anecdotal evidence. Nice sample size :57:
Agreed, but it was simply what I experienced, while noting my lack of knowledge about the unions thing.  

Children's learning was hampered and their socialization was retarded.  But also, no extra student-age children died that didn't have to.  That's a success.  We were extra careful - even too careful - to make sure of that.  A bunch of teachers didn't die.  A bunch of student relatives didn't die.  

This is the correct outcome from something like this.  "We were too cautious" is a good outcome.  When one side of the scale is potential death, what's in the other side doesn't matter, even something as important as student learning.  

Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on June 20, 2024, 02:37:11 PM
The AFT and other big unions had a hand in writing the CDC guidance for schools closing/opening. That is outrageous to me.

And this one... Prison.

Randi Weingarten | American Federation of Teachers (aft.org) (https://www.aft.org/about/leadership/randi-weingarten)
A stakeholder being involved in the decision-making process?!?  For shame!  And yeah, based on her resume, she's the devil.  

What planet are you on????
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: 847badgerfan on June 20, 2024, 02:41:54 PM
A stakeholder being involved in the decision-making process?!?  For shame!  And yeah, based on her resume, she's the devil. 

What planet are you on????
Background doesn't sound like "the" science to me at all.


Weingarten holds degrees from Cornell University’s School of Industrial and Labor Relations and the Cardozo School of Law. She worked as a lawyer for the Wall Street firm of Stroock & Stroock & Lavan from 1983 to 1986.

She is an active member of the Democratic National Committee and numerous professional, civic and philanthropic organizations. Born in 1957 and raised in Rockland County, N.Y., Weingarten now resides in the Inwood neighborhood of New York City.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on June 20, 2024, 02:45:38 PM
She deserves prison because you don't like her resume?
You're losing it.  Put down the kool-aid.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: Cincydawg on June 20, 2024, 02:46:11 PM
You don't have to assert something that happened years ago.  Yeah, I can get some 90/10 ground beef - it's both lean and fat, but it's far more one than the other.

Some of you use 'straw man' incorrectly here.  It's not a replacement for "nuh uh."  It actually means something.
Well, there you have it folks, I'm not sure what "it" is here, something about choices in ground beef fat content.  Or something.


A straw man argument is a distorted (and weaker) version of another person's argument that can easily be refuted (e.g., when a teacher proposes that the class spend more time on math exercises, a parent complains that the teacher doesn't care about reading and writing).
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: betarhoalphadelta on June 20, 2024, 02:50:19 PM
Agreed, but it was simply what I experienced, while noting my lack of knowledge about the unions thing. 

Children's learning was hampered and their socialization was retarded.  But also, no extra student-age children died that didn't have to.  That's a success.  We were extra careful - even too careful - to make sure of that.  A bunch of teachers didn't die.  A bunch of student relatives didn't die. 

This is the correct outcome from something like this.  "We were too cautious" is a good outcome.  When one side of the scale is potential death, what's in the other side doesn't matter, even something as important as student learning. 
"We were too cautious" means one thing: we prioritized one important thing too much to the exclusion of other important things. There's harm in that. 

The problem with only counting the body count is that you can justify almost anything without someone arguing against you. "The risk to kids is low and we think in-school instruction is critically important for their development, so schools should reopen." "SO YOU WANT DEAD KIDS/TEACHERS/RELATIVES, DO YOU?!?! YOU MONSTER!"

That's what this debate became. THAT'S what we're arguing against. 
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on June 20, 2024, 02:51:07 PM
Well, there you have it folks, I'm not sure what "it" is here, something about choices in ground beef fat content.  Or something.


A straw man argument is a distorted (and weaker) version of another person's argument that can easily be refuted (e.g., when a teacher proposes that the class spend more time on math exercises, a parent complains that the teacher doesn't care about reading and writing).
I'm not sure what a weaker version of your points would even be.  They're weak all on their own.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on June 20, 2024, 02:56:28 PM
"We were too cautious" means one thing: we prioritized one important thing too much to the exclusion of other important things. There's harm in that.

The problem with only counting the body count is that you can justify almost anything without someone arguing against you. "The risk to kids is low and we think in-school instruction is critically important for their development, so schools should reopen." "SO YOU WANT DEAD KIDS/TEACHERS/RELATIVES, DO YOU?!?! YOU MONSTER!"

That's what this debate became. THAT'S what we're arguing against.
Maybe that's what radical people would say. 
But it's more like "we have data that says children aren't too harmed by this virus, now let's study if they're contagious carriers" OR "we have data that says children aren't too harmed, but let's see if this holds true for another 3 months or 5 months or 8 months"

Or the simple "this largely doesn't harm children much, so how many deaths is acceptable?  5?  500?  5000?"

Again, the fact that we were too cautious during so much uncertainty getting such blow-back is kind of amazing to me.

Also, I think people forget that the online teaching/learning was basically done overnight.  No time to plan it out or test-run anything.  Everyone involved did their best.  If it was ineffective, perhaps plans should be in place for the next time....and there will be a next time.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on June 20, 2024, 02:59:12 PM

May 2018The Trump Administration disbands the White House pandemic response team.
July 2019The Centers for Disease Control (CDC) epidemiologist embedded in China’s disease control agency left the post, and the Trump Administration eliminated the role.
Oct. 2019“Currently, there are insufficient funding sources designated for the federal government to use in response to a severe influenza pandemic.”


Also, this.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: 847badgerfan on June 21, 2024, 08:58:49 AM
Also, this.

Dr. Anthony Fauci writes COVID-19 lab leak is a ‘conspiracy theory’ in memoir — but told Congress it wasn’t (msn.com) (https://www.msn.com/en-us/health/medical/dr-anthony-fauci-writes-covid-19-lab-leak-is-a-conspiracy-theory-in-memoir-but-told-congress-it-wasn-t/ar-BB1oBBTj?ocid=msedgntp&pc=DCTS&cvid=62d6af4f760946a7a02710c281b900f3&ei=11)
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: Cincydawg on June 21, 2024, 09:05:23 AM
“The smear campaign soon boiled over into conspiracy theories,” the former National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID) chief and ex-White House chief medical adviser claims. “One of the most appalling examples of this was the allegation, without a shred of evidence, that an NIAID grant to the EcoHealth Alliance (EHA) with a subgrant to the Wuhan Institute of Virology (WIV) in China funded research that caused the COVID pandemic.”

“At a May 11 [2021] Senate HELP Committee hearing, Senator Rand Paul fed the conspiracy theory, which he amped up further at the subsequent HELP hearing on July 20,” he goes on. “I was shocked and incensed by this totally inappropriate accusation.”



I'm not seeing where he termed the lab leak theory a "conspiracy theory".  It seems to me he's referring to NIAID grant stuff.  The "conspiracy theory", I think, is that Fauci is the one responsible for COVID being created and then leaked.  The term "gain of function" is not universally used and clear cut.  Different folks define it differently.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: FearlessF on June 21, 2024, 09:07:47 AM
Fauci's involvement probably helped create the virus

it's a stretch to think he helped it leak outside the lab
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: 847badgerfan on June 21, 2024, 09:10:04 AM
Fauci's involvement probably helped create the virus

it's a stretch to think he helped it leak outside the lab
Yes.

Yes.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: Cincydawg on June 21, 2024, 09:13:44 AM
I don't see any evidence of Fauci's involvement in creating the virus, but whatever.
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: 847badgerfan on June 21, 2024, 09:23:09 AM
I don't see any evidence of Fauci's involvement in creating the virus, but whatever.
Though Fauci has [color=var(--accent-foreground-rest)]stuck by that claim in subsequent congressional hearings[/color] (https://nypost.com/2024/06/03/us-news/house-covid-chair-rips-faucis-hypocrisy-during-pandemic-in-congressional-hearing/), NIH principal deputy director Dr. Lawrence Tabak told members of the House Select Subcommittee on the Coronavirus Pandemic last month that US taxpayers [color=var(--accent-foreground-rest)]did fund gain-of-function research[/color] (https://nypost.com/2024/05/16/us-news/nih-director-admits-taxpayers-funded-gain-of-function-research-in-wuhan-four-years-after-covid-pandemic-began/) on bat SARS viruses at the WIV.

Fauci:

“The smear campaign soon boiled over into conspiracy theories,” the former National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID) chief and ex-White House chief medical adviser claims. “One of the most appalling examples of this was the allegation, without a shred of evidence, that an NIAID grant to the EcoHealth Alliance (EHA) with a subgrant to the Wuhan Institute of Virology (WIV) in China funded research that caused the COVID pandemic.”
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: Cincydawg on June 21, 2024, 09:30:06 AM
“It depends on your definition of gain-of-function research,” Tabak answered. “If you’re speaking about the generic term, yes, we did.”

This is my point, there are differing definition of GoF.  He clearly is referring to the broadest definition used, the "generic term".  And of course this is a long way from claiming Fauci personally funded said research.

I would think ANY basic research on pathogens might well involve modification of said pathogen so as to better understand how it works and what it could be.



Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: FearlessF on June 21, 2024, 09:36:49 AM
I would think ANY basic research on pathogens might well involve modification of said pathogen so as to better understand how it works and what it could be.




yup, that could have easily been done in the US
seems odd the US funded a lab in China - maybe not Fauci's personal $$$
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: Cincydawg on June 21, 2024, 09:39:53 AM
What I see is politicians word smithing highly technical terms to generate media attention, rather than actually investigating what probably happened, it's a political show, to me, unlikely to reveal anything "real".  I don't trust Congress to investigate anything.  
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: 847badgerfan on June 21, 2024, 01:04:08 PM
This is part 4. I've also read the first 3 parts. Interesting is a word I'd use.

Fauci unmasked: The consequences of school closures (msn.com) (https://www.msn.com/en-us/health/other/fauci-unmasked-the-consequences-of-school-closures/ar-BB1oDnoG?ocid=msedgntp&pc=DCTS&cvid=72d36dba84b84bc9ae2bc678c5eb4763&ei=12)
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: Cincydawg on June 21, 2024, 01:21:55 PM
Fauci turned around the next month endorsing (https://twitter.com/JordanSchachtel/status/1333428269002203138) prolonged shutdowns, saying, "There may be some areas where the level of virus is so high that it would not be prudent to bring children back to school," and warning (https://twitter.com/GMA/status/1290611100124352512) of an "insidious increase" in cases.

In an interview with (https://twitter.com/NewsHour/status/1294034260727402502) PBS News Hour after being asked if children would be forced into "many months of virtual learning," Fauci said, "In some places ... that may be the case."


Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: Cincydawg on June 23, 2024, 10:34:19 AM
Political party affiliation linked to excess COVID deaths | CIDRAP (umn.edu) (https://www.cidrap.umn.edu/covid-19/political-party-affiliation-linked-excess-covid-deaths)

This study doesn't say it's age adjusted.  Since Republicans tend to be older, that is one possible explanation for the difference,
Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: Cincydawg on June 23, 2024, 10:36:42 AM
How the pandemic made it difficult for Americans to separate politics from public health | PBS News (https://www.pbs.org/newshour/show/how-the-pandemic-made-it-difficult-for-americans-to-separate-politics-from-public-health)

And one might think older folks would be more likely to get the vaccine.

Title: Re: Have you tested positive for COVID-19?
Post by: Cincydawg on June 23, 2024, 10:39:17 AM
How Americans View the Coronavirus, COVID-19 Vaccines Amid Declining Levels of Concern | Pew Research Center (https://www.pewresearch.org/science/2024/03/07/how-americans-view-the-coronavirus-covid-19-vaccines-amid-declining-levels-of-concern/)

(https://i.imgur.com/WiQE7i2.png)