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Topic: B1G power rankings, week 11

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medinabuckeye1

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B1G power rankings, week 11
« on: November 10, 2018, 09:05:04 PM »
Link to last week's rankings.  

There is something REALLY unusual this week, I've never seen this anywhere near this late in the season.  This week 10 of our 14 teams are within +/-1 of where they started in the preseason.  Northwestern (+4.22) and Michigan (+3.36) are way up.  Wisconsin (-4.51), and Penn State (-1.72) are way down.  The other 10:
  • +0.43 Purdue:  Started at 8.18, dropped as low as 12.35 early on, climbed as high as 5.33 (last week), and is now at 7.75 less than 0.5 ahead of where they started.  
  • +0.27 Illinois:  Started at 13.27, dropped as low as 13.77, climbed as high as 11.42 (last week) and is now almost where they started at 13.00.  
  • +0.18 Minnesota:  Started at 11.18, climbed as high as 7.93 early on, dropped as low as 12.25 (last week) and is now basically back where they started at 11.00.  
  • +0.06 Nebraska:  Started at 9.18, dropped as low as 12.80 in their early losing streak and has now climbed back to barely over where they started at 9.13.  
  • -0.10 Iowa:  Started at 6.27, climbed as high as 3.07, dropped as low as 7.50 (last week), and is now basically back where they started at 6.38.  
  • -0.16 Ohio State:  Started at 2.09, climbed as high as a unanimous #1 for three weeks, dropped as low as 3.00 (right after PU loss), and is now back basically where they started at 2.25.  
  • -0.35 Maryland:  Started at 10.27, climbed as high as 6.76 early on and is now at their low for the year at 10.63 just barely below where they started.  
  • -0.43 Indiana:  Started at 10.82, climbed as high as 7.00 early on, dropped as low as 12.17 (last week), and is now basically back where they started at 11.25.  
  • -0.55 Rutgers:  Started at 13.45, climbed as high as 12.77 early on, dropped to a unanimous #14 most weeks but that is barely worse than where they started.  
  • -0.67 Michigan State:  Started at 3.45, dropped as low as 7.07 a few weeks ago, climbed as high as 3.33 (last week), and is now back just a little worse than where they started at 4.13.  

Votes through me, only 10 voters this week:
Team/Poster AVG Rank StdDev BestWorstRange LW AVG LW RankChg AvgChg Rank
M          1.00 1               -   110          1.00 1               -   0
tOSU          2.30 2          0.48 231          2.67 2          0.37 0
NU          3.00 3          0.94 253          3.86 4          0.86 1
MSU          4.30 4          0.67 462          3.33 3        (0.97)-1
PSU          4.60 5          0.97 363          5.47 5.5          0.87 0.5
Iowa          6.40 6          1.17 583          7.00 8          0.60 2
UW          6.80 7          0.42 671          6.93 7          0.13 0
PU          7.70 8          0.82 693          5.47 5.5        (2.23)-2.5
UNL          9.20 9          0.79 8113          9.47 9          0.27 0
MD        10.60 10          1.26 9123          9.73 10        (0.87)0
MN        11.00 11          0.94 10122        12.13 13          1.13 2
IU        11.30 12          0.82 10133        12.07 12          0.77 0
ILL        12.80 13          0.63 11132        11.60 11        (1.20)-2
RU        14.00 14               -   14140        14.00 14               -   0
Drop the high and low:
Team/Poster AVG Rank StdDev BestWorstRange LW AVG LW RankChg Avg
M          1.00 1               -   110          1.00 1               -  
tOSU          2.25 2          0.46 231          2.42 2          0.17
NU          2.88 3          0.64 242          4.23 4          1.36
MSU          4.13 4          0.35 451          3.33 3        (0.79)
PSU          4.63 5          0.74 352          5.58 6          0.96
Iowa          6.38 6          1.06 583          7.50 8          1.13
UW          6.88 7          0.35 671          7.08 7          0.21
PU          7.75 8          0.46 781          5.33 5        (2.42)
UNL          9.13 9          0.35 9101          9.25 9          0.13
MD        10.63 10          1.19 9123          9.75 10        (0.88)
MN        11.00 11          0.93 10122        12.25 13          1.25
IU        11.25 12          0.46 11121        12.17 12          0.92
ILL        13.00 13               -   13130        11.42 11        (1.58)
RU        14.00 14               -   14140        14.00 14               -  
Various graphical representations of the votes:
<br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><br />
Schedule/performance chart:
Rank.1234567891011121314.Rank
.TeamMtOSUNUMSUPSUIowaUWPUUNLMDMNIUILLRUTeam.
1Mn/a11/24, HL by 3, HL by 14, HL by 35, AmissL by 25, AmissL by 46, AL by 21, Amiss11/17, AmissL by 35, HM1
2tOSU11/24, An/amissL by 20, HL by 1, HmissmissW by 29, HL by 5, A11/17, HL by 16, AL by 23, AmissL by 49, AtOSU2
3NUW by 3, Amissn/aL by 10, HmissL by 4, HL by 14, AL by 4, HL in OT, Amiss11/17, Amiss11/24, AL by 3, HNU3
4MSUW by 14, AW by 20, AW by 10, An/aL by 4, HmissmissL by 10, A11/17, HL by 21, HmissL by 14, Hmiss11/24, AMSU4
5PSUW by 35, HW by 1, AmissW by 4, An/aL by 6, AL by 12, Amissmiss11/24, AmissL by 5, HL by 39, H11/17, HPSU5
6IowamissmissW by 4, AmissW by 6, Hn/aW by 11, AW by 2, H11/23, AL by 23, AL by 17, HL by 26, H11/17, HmissIowa6
7UWW by 25, HmissW by 14, HmissW by 12, HL by 11, Hn/a11/17, HL by 17, Amiss11/24, AmissL by 29, AL by 14, AUW7
8PUmissL by 29, AW by 4, AW by 10, HmissL by 2, A11/17, An/aL by 14, HmissW by 31, H11/24, HL by 39, HmissPU8
9UNLW by 46, HW by 5, HW in OT, H11/17, Amiss11/23, HW by 17, HW by 14, An/amissL by 25, AmissL by 19, AmissUNL9
10MDW by 21, H11/17, AmissW by 21, A11/24, HW by 23, Hmissmissmissn/aL by 29, AW by 2, HL by 30, AL by 27, AMD10
11MNmissW by 16, H11/17, AmissmissW by 17, A11/24, HL by 31, AW by 25, HW by 29, Hn/aL by 7, AW by 24, HmissMN11
12IU11/17, HW by 23, HmissW by 14, AW by 5, AW by 26, Amiss11/24, AmissL by 2, AW by 7, Hn/amissL by 7, HIU12
13ILLmissmiss11/24, HmissW by 39, A11/17,AW by 29, HW by 39, AW by 19, HW by 30, HL by 24, Amissn/aL by 21, HILL13
14RUW by 35, AW by 49, HW by 3, A11/24, H11/17, AmissW by 14, HmissmissW by 27, HmissW by 7, AW by 21, An/aRU14
.TeamMtOSUNUMSUPSUIowaUWPUUNLMDMNIUILLRUTeam.
Rank.1234567891011121314.Rank
« Last Edit: November 14, 2018, 12:25:30 PM by medinabuckeye1 »
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Brutus Buckeye

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Re: B1G power rankings, week 11
« Reply #1 on: November 10, 2018, 11:11:54 PM »

Tough to make much sense of spots 4-12

1 Wolverines 
2 Buckeyes 
3 Nittany Lions 
.
4 Spartans 
5 Wildcats 
6 Hawkeyes 
7 Badgers 
8 Boilermakers 
9 Terrapins 
10 Cornhuskers 
11 Golden Gophers 
12 Hoosiers 
.
13 Fighting Illini 
14 Scarlet Knights 
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1979, 81, 82, 84, 87, 94, 98
2001, 02, 04, 05, 06, 07, 08, 09, 10, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19

MaximumSam

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Re: B1G power rankings, week 11
« Reply #2 on: November 11, 2018, 06:48:53 AM »
1. Michigan: Run the ball and play defense
2. Northwestern: A no brainer if you forget about their nonconference performance
3. OSU: Nice to see them win with defense and special teams for once
4. PSU: Banged up, but solid victory
5. MSU: Played Tressel ball, got Tresseled. If healthy much higher
6. Iowa: Can't seem to pull these games out
7. Wisconsin: Passing game has gone south for winter
8. Purdue: What the hell
9. Nebraska: Offense on a fast track
10. Maryland: Not quite enough
11. Indiana: Deserved a tight win
12. Minnesota: What the hell
13. Illinois: Well at least they beat someone besides Rutgers
14. Rutgers: Welp, at least they scored
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LittlePig

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Re: B1G power rankings, week 11
« Reply #3 on: November 11, 2018, 07:45:05 AM »
Well, this is the week that Indy, Minn and Neb decided to show that they don't totally suck and Purdue, ILL,  and MD may not be as good as thought.  
Also NW proved it can win the important games while Iowa just can't.

1. Mich
2. NW
3. OSU
4. MSU
5. PSU
6. Iowa
7. Wisc
8. Purdue
9. Neb
10. Minn
11.  ILL
12. MD
13. Indy
14. Rut
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Temp430

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Re: B1G power rankings, week 11
« Reply #4 on: November 11, 2018, 11:14:46 AM »
1. Michigan
2. Ohio State
3. Northwestern
4. Michigan State
5. Penn State
6. Iowa
7. Wisconsin
8. Purdue
9. Nebraska
10. Maryland
11. Indiana
12. Minnesota
13. Illinois
14. Rutgers
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Anonymous Coward

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Re: B1G power rankings, week 11
« Reply #5 on: November 11, 2018, 07:10:32 PM »
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Anonymous Coward

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Re: B1G power rankings, week 11
« Reply #6 on: November 11, 2018, 07:20:01 PM »
(Last,...,Preseason)

1. Michigan (1,1,1,2,3,3,3,4,4,4,3)               --  yup ...
2. OSU (2,2,2,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1)                     --  now it's real

----

3. Northwestern (5,5,8,7,8,10,10,9,8,8,8)      -- so weird; see GIF above
4. MSU (3,7,7,5,6,6,6,6,6,3,2)
5. PSU (4,3,4,3,2,2,2,2,3,7,6) 

----

6. Iowa (8,4,5,6,5,5,5,3,5,5,5)
7. UW (7,6,3,4,4,4,4,5,2,2,4)
8. Purdue (6,8,6,8,9,9,9,11,9,9,7)
9. Nebraska (9,10,10,12,12,12,11,10,10,10,10)
10. Minnesota (11,11,12,11,11,11,12,12,12,12,12)
11. Indiana (12,12,11,10,7,7,7,7,11,11,11)
12. Maryland (10,9,9,9,10,8,8,8,7,6,9)
13. Illinois (13,13,13,13,13,13,13,13,14,14,14)
14. Rutger (14,14,14,14,14,14,14,14,13,13,13)
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ELA

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Re: B1G power rankings, week 11
« Reply #7 on: November 12, 2018, 07:59:19 AM »
Last week in parenthesis, why not try to keep my transitive rankings.  They still work if you can call Purdue over OSU a fluke, which I think you can, because I'm still keeping Purdue in the top group despite being the first team to pick up a loss against the bottom group (in blowout fashion nonetheless).  Bottom half you no longer can, Indiana winning over Maryland messes everything up...

  • MICHIGAN (1) - but it looks like it'll still come down to needing a win in Columbus at this point
  • NORTHWESTERN (2) - Cats become the 7th Big Ten team to ever qualify for Indy
  • OHIO STATE (5) - defense, and particularly special teams came up huge
  • MICHIGAN STATE (3) - offense needs to at least give this defense SOMETHING
  • PENN STATE (6) - after that first touchdown, defense looked as good as they have all year
  • WISCONSIN (7) - Jonathan Taylor may as well have been the only Badger to get on the bus
  • PURDUE (4) - ick
  • IOWA (8) - 2018 just feels like one big missed opportunity for the Hawkeyes
  • NEBRASKA (9) - winning out suddenly doesn't seem like a long shot at all
  • MINNESOTA (12) - good luck ranking 10-12, I'll just go with the hot hand
  • INDIANA (13) - see above
  • MARYLAND (10) - same as Minnesota
  • ILLINOIS (11) - that should officially end any bowl shot
  • RUTGERS (14) - that was a nice play they had
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Cincydawg

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Re: B1G power rankings, week 11
« Reply #8 on: November 12, 2018, 08:50:09 AM »
Ohio State would be favored on a neutral field over everyone except one.  

The last five are obviously not good at all, and the remainder in the middle are middlin'.
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SFBadger96

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Re: B1G power rankings, week 11
« Reply #9 on: November 12, 2018, 10:39:28 AM »
1) Michigan: Obviously.
2) Ohio State: shouldn't be much debate here, either.
3) Penn State: On a neutral field, I would pick them over everyone else.
4) Northwestern: ?? Finding a way to win...in conference. This team lost to Akron and beat Rutgers by 3. But it also gave Michigan the best BigTen game it's had to date (don't forget Wolverines, ND beat you with their now-benched quarterback).
5) Iowa: still surprised the Hawkeyes lost to Northwestern.
6)...Michigan State?
7) Wisconsin? But for the injuries, this would have been a good, but not great team.
8) Who knows. Nebraska, on the right trajectory?
9) Purdue: but that was an ass kicking by Minnesota.
10) Maryland: on the strength of overall record.
11) Indiana
12) Minnesota
13) Illinois
14) Rutgers
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FearlessF

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Re: B1G power rankings, week 11
« Reply #10 on: November 12, 2018, 11:26:58 AM »
1. Michigan
2. Ohio State
3. Northwestern
4. Michigan State
5. Penn State
6. Wisconsin
7. Purdue
8. Iowa
9. Nebraska
10. Maryland
11. Indiana
12. Minnesota
13. Illinois
14. Rutgers
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LetsGoPeay

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Re: B1G power rankings, week 11
« Reply #11 on: November 12, 2018, 03:38:25 PM »
1. Michigan
2. Ohio State
3. Northwestern
4. Michigan State
5. Iowa
6. Penn State
7. Wisconsin
8. Purdue
9. Maryland
10. Minnesota
11. Nebraska
12. Indiana
13. Illinois
14. Rutgers
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medinabuckeye1

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Re: B1G power rankings, week 11
« Reply #12 on: November 13, 2018, 01:46:55 PM »
I'll post mine later but just wanted to put this out there:  I think the two hardest teams to rank are Northwestern and Iowa.  

Northwestern:
They don't look very good.  Their OOC was horrible and the three point win over Rutgers looks even worse.  That said, they are 6-1 in conference and the only loss was by a mere FG to the unanimous best team in the league.  

Iowa:
They look like one of the better teams in this league and I noticed that a bunch of people have them ranked in the top-6.  Their losses were all close (2 points, 4 points, 6 points, 11 points after leading with about 60 seconds to go).  The problem is that they have played for decent B1G teams and they are 0-4.  At some point the eye test has to yield to the results.  

Another tricky one is Nebraska.  By overall record they deserve to be 10th or worse but right now?  I'm not sure that they wouldn't beat most of the conference on a neutral field tomorrow.  I think they are a very serious threat to win their last two games (vsMSU, @IA).  
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ELA

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Re: B1G power rankings, week 11
« Reply #13 on: November 13, 2018, 02:17:24 PM »
Massey composite rankings (102 rankings), with last week in parenthesis...

  • Alabama (1)
  • Clemson (2)
  • Georgia (3)
  • MICHIGAN (4)
  • Notre Dame (5)
  • Oklahoma (6)
  • LSU (7)
  • OHIO STATE (9)
  • West Virginia (8)
  • Central Florida (10)
  • Washington State (14)
  • PENN STATE (13)
  • Florida (17)
  • Mississippi State (12)
  • Utah (22)
  • Texas (-)
  • Washington (19)
  • Iowa State (24)
  • Kentucky (11)
  • Utah State (23)
  • Missouri (20)
  • Syracuse (-)
  • Texas A&M (-)
  • Boise State (-)
  • Fresno State (16)

  • 27. Michigan State (15)
  • 28. Iowa (18)
  • 34. Northwestern (42)
  • 41. Purdue (32)
  • 43. Wisconsin (41)
  • 60. Maryland (56)
  • 62. Indiana (75)
  • 68. Minnesota (84)
  • 86. Nebraska (89)
  • 101. Illinois (102)
  • 117. Rutgers (118)
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