ELA 2018 Game by Game Predictions

[ELA]

Ent,
Praying you are correct and ELA is wrong.
I'm siding with you.  I'm guessing 6 wins.  but, I won't be betting the farm.

I assumed we were betting my farm against his

[FearlessF]

i think there is some grad% rate they go by, so that would play a role. but if it weren't, my guess would be neb, lsu, ole miss and arky.

I think Neb has the grad rate.  They did a couple seasons ago.

[FearlessF]

I assumed we were betting my farm against his

correct, I'm staying out of it.

[ELA]

so, in the 5th annual alabama invitational cfp, we have:

bama
ou
clemson
and...

uga? psu? taking bets now.

i'll take psu, cause if you don't make your own ccg how can you expect to make the national playoffs?

IMO, it would be PSU without much debate.  You have 4 P5 undefeated or one loss conference champs.  It's where you have the 1 loss non-champ vs. the 2-loss champ that the debate starts.

[rolltidefan]

I think Neb has the grad rate.  They did a couple seasons ago.

i'm sure they do. i was just saying, imo, based on fanbase/name that i think those teams would be first choice.

[rolltidefan]

IMO, it would be PSU without much debate.  You have 4 P5 undefeated or one loss conference champs.  It's where you have the 1 loss non-champ vs. the 2-loss champ that the debate starts.

i agree. but a 4 spot jump is no easy task. but 2 lost, and only one you'd really jump over is non-champ uga.
and all jokes aside, that should be the way it is.

[ELA]

i agree. but a 4 spot jump is no easy task. but 2 lost, and only one you'd really jump over is non-champ uga.
and all jokes aside, that should be the way it is.

Yeah, and the committee has said that conference titles are a data point, and a data point they don't consider until actually earned.  Meaning PSU being 1st in the Big Ten vs. Georgia being 3rd in the SEC was irrelevant until Penn State actually won the conference, which they now have.

[ELA]

December 2 Poll

• Alabama (13-0)
• Oklahoma (13-0)
• Clemson (12-1)
• PENN STATE (12-1)
• Georgia (11-1)
• South Carolina (11-2)
• Virginia Tech (11-2)
• MICHIGAN STATE (10-2)
• OHIO STATE (10-2)
• Central Florida (13-0)
• Washington (11-2)
• Mississippi State (10-2)
• IOWA (11-2)
• Miami (10-2)
• NC State (10-2)
• Florida State (9-3)
• Auburn (9-3)
• Notre Dame (9-3)
• WISCONSIN (9-3)
• Utah (10-3)
• USC (9-3)
• TCU (9-4)
• Oklahoma State (9-3)
• Washington State (9-3)
• Arizona (9-3)

[ELA]

WEEK 15
Saturday, December 8
Army d. Navy

[ELA]

ACC
ATLANTIC

• Clemson (7-1) 12-1
• NC State (6-2) 10-2
• Florida State (6-2) 9-3
• Louisville (4-4) 7-5
• Boston College (3-5) 7-5
• Wake Forest (3-5) 6-6
• Syracuse (2-6) 5-7

COASTAL

• Virginia Tech (7-1) 11-2
• Miami (6-2) 10-2
• Duke (4-4) 7-5
• Georgia Tech (4-4) 7-5
• Virginia (2-6) 5-7
• Pittsburgh (2-6) 3-9
• North Carolina (0-8) 1-11

BIG TEN
EAST

• Penn State (8-1) 12-1
• Michigan State (8-1) 10-2
• Ohio State (7-2) 10-2
• Michigan (6-3) 8-4
• Maryland (3-6) 5-7
• Indiana (2-7) 5-7
• Rutgers (1-8) 4-8

WEST

• Iowa (8-1) 11-2
• Wisconsin (6-3) 9-3
• Northwestern (5-4) 8-4
• Purdue (5-4) 7-5
• Nebraska (2-7) 5-7
• Minnesota (2-7) 4-8
• Illinois (0-9) 2-10

BIG XII

• Oklahoma (9-0) 13-0
• TCU (7-2) 9-4
• Oklahoma State (6-3) 9-3
• Kansas State (5-4) 8-4
• Texas (5-4) 8-4
• Iowa State (5-4) 7-5
• West Virginia (4-5) 6-6
• Texas Tech (3-6) 6-6
• Baylor (1-8) 2-10
• Kansas (0-9) 1-11

PAC 12
NORTH

• Washington (8-1) 11-2
• Washington State (6-3) 9-3
• Stanford (6-3) 8-4
• Oregon (5-4) 8-4
• California (3-6) 6-6
• Oregon State (0-9) 1-11

SOUTH

• Utah (7-2) 10-3
• USC (7-2) 9-3
• Arizona (6-3) 9-3
• Arizona State (4-5) 6-6
• Colorado (2-7) 4-8
• UCLA (0-9) 1-11

SEC
EAST

• South Carolina (8-0) 11-2
• Georgia (7-1) 11-1
• Florida (5-3) 8-4
• Missouri (4-4) 7-5
• Kentucky (2-6) 5-7
• Vanderbilt (1-7) 4-8
• Tennessee (0-8) 3-9

WEST

• Alabama (8-0) 13-0
• Mississippi State (7-1) 10-2
• Auburn (5-3) 9-3
• Texas A&M (4-4) 7-5
• LSU (2-6) 5-7
• Ole Miss (2-6) 5-7
• Arkansas (1-7) 5-7

AMERICAN
EAST

• Central Florida (8-0) 13-0
• South Florida (7-1) 10-2
• Temple (4-4) 6-6
• East Carolina (1-7) 4-8
• Connecticut (1-7) 3-9
• Cincinnati (1-7) 2-10

WEST

• Tulane (6-2) 8-5
• Memphis (5-3) 8-4
• Navy (5-3) 8-5
• SMU (5-3) 6-6
• Houston (4-4) 6-6
• Tulsa (1-7) 3-9

CONFERENCE USA
EAST

• Florida Atlantic (7-1) 10-3
• Marshall (7-1) 8-4
• Middle Tennessee (6-2) 7-5
• Western Kentucky (3-5) 4-8
• FIU (2-6) 4-8
• Charlotte (2-6) 3-9
• Old Dominion (1-7) 2-10

WEST

• North Texas (7-1) 10-3
• UAB (6-2) 8-4
• Louisiana Tech (6-2) 7-5
• Southern Miss (4-4) 6-6
• Rice (3-5) 4-9
• UTSA (2-6) 4-8
• UTEP (0-8) 2-10

MAC
EAST

• Buffalo (6-2) 7-6
• Ohio (5-3) 8-4
• Miami(Ohio) (5-3) 7-5
• Akron (3-5) 4-8
• Kent State (2-6) 3-9
• Bowling Green (1-7) 2-10

WEST

• Northern Illinois (8-0) 10-3
• Toledo (7-1) 9-3
• Western Michigan (4-4) 6-6
• Central Michigan (3-5) 5-7
• Eastern Michigan (3-5) 4-8
• Ball State (1-7) 3-9

MOUNTAIN WEST
MOUNTAIN

• Boise State (8-0) 12-1
• Utah State (6-2) 8-4
• Wyoming (5-3) 7-5
• Air Force (3-5) 4-8
• Colorado State (3-5) 4-8
• New Mexico (0-8) 2-10

WEST

• Fresno State (7-1) 11-2
• San Diego State (6-2) 9-3
• UNLV (4-4) 6-6
• Nevada (3-5) 5-7
• San Jose State (3-5) 4-8
• Hawaii (0-8) 2-11

SUN BELT
EAST

• Appalachian State (7-1) 11-2
• Troy (6-2) 8-4
• Georgia State (4-4) 5-7
• Georgia Southern (2-6) 4-8
• Coastal Carolina (0-8) 2-10

WEST

• Arkansas State (8-0) 10-3
• South Alabama (4-4) 6-6
• UL Monroe (4-4) 5-7
• UL Lafayette (3-5) 5-7
• Texas State (2-6) 3-9

INDEPENDENTS

• Army (10-2)
• Notre Dame (9-3)
• NM State (6-6)
• Massachusetts (5-7)
• BYU (4-8)
• Liberty (3-9)

[Entropy]

there are 40 bowl games (41 with the cfp) with 80 teams participating.
i counted 76 in ELA list that qualify (.500 or + record).
leaving 4 5-7 teams likely in. guaranteed all will be p5 teams. teams meeting that requirement are:

• cuse
• virginia
• maryland
• indiana
• nebraska
• kentucky
• lsu
• ole miss
• arkansas

i think there is some grad% rate they go by, so that would play a role. but if it weren't, my guess would be neb, lsu, ole miss and arky.

I should have said 6 wins.   I'm hoping they don't back their way into a bowl.

[Entropy]

Eh, I actually agree. I have them at 5-7, which as pointed out below, may already be enough.

I'd make it 6 wins...  I'm not interested in a 5 win bowl back in...
and nothing big.. like profile pics for a month.

[Entropy]

Ent,
Praying you are correct and ELA is wrong.
I'm siding with you.  I'm guessing 6 wins.  but, I won't be betting the farm.

I think 6 wins personally... ELA has 5.   Most likely a ball bounce will decide who is correct.   It's just for fun..

[FearlessF]

good clean fun!