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Topic: B1G 2018 O/U

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DevilFroggy

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Re: B1G 2018 O/U
« Reply #28 on: May 05, 2018, 04:20:46 PM »
Quote from: mcwterps1 on May 04, 2018, 11:19:30 AM
You guys fail to mention the officiating so I see 4 wins, maybe 3.
That's right, can't forget the vast conspiracy by the B1G to keep Maryland down.
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Brutus Buckeye

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Re: B1G 2018 O/U
« Reply #29 on: May 05, 2018, 05:37:42 PM »
 
Well, someone's gotta keep 'em down.

Might as well be the zebras.
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Hawkinole

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Re: B1G 2018 O/U
« Reply #30 on: May 05, 2018, 05:48:09 PM »
One method of projecting win totals for the entire season is to assign a probability for a win for each game. Home field advantage can be part of the weighing process. It does make you think about each opponent on the schedule. Here is Iowa's breakdown.
Northern Illinois     80%
Iowa State                60%
Northern Iowa         95%
Wisconsin                 45%
@ Minnesota             65%
@ Indiana                 65%
Maryland (HC)        60%
@ Penn State            40%
@ Purdue                  55%
Northwestern           55%
@ Illinois                   80%
Nebraska                  55%
I have Iowa favored to win 10 games. Using this method Iowa wins 7.55 games when I add the percentages. Most times Iowa is favored, they are not heavy favorites.
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