Most over ranked team

[847badgerfan]

Still plenty of opportunities for the Wolverines to plummet.

Or Wisconsin.

[Cincydawg]

Auburn may be the biggest bust so far, and Penn State is on the cusp depending.

[847badgerfan]

The University of Wisconsin Badgers.

[bamajoe]

There are three teams that might qualify; Auburn, Washington and Wisconsin. They are interchangeable.

[Entropy]

all three of those are a surprise to me.   They haven't been near as strong even in their wins as expected.  

[SFBadger96]

I don't know anything about Auburn and Washington other than their schedules, but I know that Wisconsin's defense started the season somewhat depleted by injuries, and has accumulated significantly more injured players in key positions over the course of the season.

Were the Badgers overrated to start the year, barring those injuries? Probably a little. When factoring the rash of injuries in? Way overrated.

I won't lose any sleep over that, but there will be hand wringing in the future the next time people start to suggest that the Badgers should start the season in the top 10.

[Cincydawg]

Auburn is just a flawed team without balance.  They struggle to run the ball effectively this season.  Stidham can make nice throws if not hurried, but you need to RTDB.  They have some talent in the DL and elsewhere on defense here and there, not an awful team by any means, but not very good overall.  Malzahn takes most of the blame of course but just signed a lucrative contract with the usual.

[Cincydawg]

Same rules, FSU won handily last season of course.

I'll take Miami at 8, Alex.

"We" kinda forgot about Miami in all of this, preseason 8 would be high expectations, something like 11-2 season.  They just lost to Georgia Tech.
They are 2-4 in a very weak Coastal division and 5-5 overall.  I watched one of their games are noticed poor discipline, bad penalties, goofy turnovers, and in general rather uninspiring play, which reminded me of something in my fairly recent past.
A friend is a big Miami fan and told me he was delighted to get our cast off and I suggested he hold that thought.

[Cincydawg]

 

	ELA		AP		ELA>AP
1	Clemson		Alabama		-1
2	Alabama		Clemson		+1
3	Wisconsin		Georgia		-3
4	Auburn		Wisconsin		+1
5	Michigan State		Ohio State		-2
6	Georgia		Washington		-2
7	Ohio State		Oklahoma		-6
8	Washington		Miami (FL)		-6
9	Penn State		Auburn		+5
10	UCF		Penn State		+1
11	Michigan		Michigan State		+6
12	Notre Dame		Notre Dame		0
13	Oklahoma		Stanford		-11
14	Miami (FL)		Michigan		+3
15	Mississippi State		USC		-1
16	USC		TCU		-12
17	Virginia Tech		West Virginia		-26
18	South Carolina		Mississippi State		+3
19	Northwestern		Florida State		-3
20	Iowa		Virginia Tech		+3
21	Boston College		UCF		+11
22	Florida State		Boise State		-1
23	Boise State		Texas		-13
24	Stanford		Oregon		-7
25	Oklahoma State		LSU		-16
26	Kansas St		South Carolina		+8
27	Utah		Florida		-18(+)
28	Wake Forrest		Utah		+1
29	TCU		OK St		+4
30	NC State		FAU		-4
31	Oregon		Arizona		-11
32	Georgia Tech		NC St		+2
33	Duke		Texas a&m		-12(+)
34	FAU		BC		+13
35	Iowa State		NW		+16
36	Texas		Kansas St		+10
37	Purdue		Iowa St		+2
38	Fresno St		Houston		-7(+)
39	Louisville		Memphis		-6(+)
40	Washington St		Troy		-5(+)
41	LSU		Iowa		+21
42	Arizona		Kentucky		-3(+)
43	WVU		Ark St		-2(+)
44	Arizona St		Fresno St		+6

So, to this point, is ELA doing better than the AP?

[ELA]

Doubtful, considering I had Wisconsin, Auburn and Michigan State in my top 5.

Granted that was my "on paper" rankings.  I'd look more at my Game by Game picks, to see what I had the poll being at this point, which was...

• Alabama (10-0)
• Oklahoma (10-0)
• South Carolina (10-0)
• Georgia (9-1)
• Virginia Tech (9-1)
• Clemson (9-1)
• PENN STATE (9-1)
• Miami (9-1)
• NC State (9-1)
• MICHIGAN STATE (8-2)
• OHIO STATE (8-2)
• Central Florida (10-0)
• IOWA (9-1)
• Notre Dame (8-2)
• Auburn (8-2)
• Mississippi State (8-2)
• Oklahoma State (8-2)
• Arizona (8-2)
• Washington (8-2)
• Florida State (7-3)
• WISCONSIN (7-3)
• Utah (8-2)
• Washington State (8-2)
• South Florida (9-1)
• MICHIGAN (7-3)

Virginia Tech and Miami look to be my most overrated teams.  Iowa not far behind.  Even though I didn't like NC State (had them outside my top 30) I did think their schedule would allow them some success (which it had until the past week), and I also thought Washington State would stay strong.  I underrated Michigan's ability to survive a tough schedule, but I also overrated just how tough those road trips to Evanston and East Lansing would be.  Didn't think those two teams would have a combined 9 losses by this point, and those were the 2 losses I incorrectly picked UM to have.

[Cincydawg]

It's good to take a shot and better to analyze after the fact also.

[847badgerfan]

Wisconsin is very close to taking the big prize this season.


Preseason AP

Wisconsin: 7-5 (4)
Miami: 7-5 (8)
Auburn: 7-5 (9)
Michigan State:7-5 (11)
Stanford: 7-4 (13)
USC: 5-7 (15)
TCU: 6-6 (16)
Florida State: 5-7 (19)
Va. Tech: 5-6 (20)

[Cincydawg]

Nobody else can go from 4th to unranked.

[847badgerfan]

Yep, it's probably over, but we still have to wait for the bowl games to wrap up and count any (not likely) votes in the "receiving votes" category.



Something to be proud of though. At least the boys got something done this season. I blame this: