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Topic: The Porch, y'all. pull up a seat and kick back.

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FearlessF

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Re: The Porch, y'all. pull up a seat and kick back.
« Reply #2212 on: February 01, 2021, 09:39:34 PM »
us rich folk don't need all that cash
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longhorn320

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Re: The Porch, y'all. pull up a seat and kick back.
« Reply #2213 on: February 01, 2021, 10:06:31 PM »
us rich folk don't need all that cash
obviously
They won't let me give blood anymore. The burnt orange color scares the hell out of the doctors.

Cincydawg

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Re: The Porch, y'all. pull up a seat and kick back.
« Reply #2214 on: February 02, 2021, 06:23:43 AM »
Gasoline prices move pretty much in lock step with global crude prices (aside from tax increases).  And global crude prices reflect demand, and the global economy is still down.  Once the economy recovers, a lot of shuttered production will come back on line, and eventually crude prices will recover and go higher and gasoline prices will follow.

I think that is a year plus off, we might see $3 gas by end of this year, more likely middle of next year.

FearlessF

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Re: The Porch, y'all. pull up a seat and kick back.
« Reply #2215 on: February 02, 2021, 10:11:49 AM »
Gasoline prices move pretty much in lock step with global crude prices

agreed, until a refinery explodes
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longhorn320

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Re: The Porch, y'all. pull up a seat and kick back.
« Reply #2216 on: February 02, 2021, 10:30:38 AM »
Gasoline prices move pretty much in lock step with global crude prices

agreed, until a refinery explodes
even then

global prices will adjust for it

CD is very optimistic predicting $3 gas by year end

I think it will be closer to $4
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Mr Tulip

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Re: The Porch, y'all. pull up a seat and kick back.
« Reply #2217 on: February 02, 2021, 10:39:31 AM »
It's a global market. Short of an outrageous tariff or blockade, government action really can't directly affect the price of gasoline. Of course, people speculate on the commodities markets, too. If they're thinking an influx of dollars will somehow lead to travel, they're likely to bet the future contract higher.

Oil has had its day. It now costs less per month to buy new wind generation equipment than it does to fuel a power plant. With energy densities in battery storage supporting 300+ mile ranges, the internal combustion engine no longer makes sense. It really isn't a political question. We moved on from horses, too, when we invented a better way.

Turns out the family likes smoked salmon. I do it with nothing more complicated than soaking a cedar plank in water for around 2 hours, then oiling a center cut salmon hunk with grapeseed oil and coating it with a little salt and pepper. Put it on the grill, offset from a lower heat bunch of charcoal, for around 25 minutes. I usually pair it with some couscous or quinoa to make it seem exotic. I'll nuke some "Steam in Bag" Green Giant Mediterranean vegetables or broccoli just to round it all out. Easy, cheap, quick to clean up, and it seems fancy.

longhorn320

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Re: The Porch, y'all. pull up a seat and kick back.
« Reply #2218 on: February 02, 2021, 11:01:46 AM »
It's a global market. Short of an outrageous tariff or blockade, government action really can't directly affect the price of gasoline. Of course, people speculate on the commodities markets, too. If they're thinking an influx of dollars will somehow lead to travel, they're likely to bet the future contract higher.


Thats not accurate.  We have shut doen the Keystone pipeline and stopped all oil production on federal lands which shuts down much of Alaska

Offshore drilling permits will be next as well as using fracking

all of this will take a huge bite out of the global oil supply

Once this is done OPEC will raise prices because they can
They won't let me give blood anymore. The burnt orange color scares the hell out of the doctors.

Cincydawg

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Re: The Porch, y'all. pull up a seat and kick back.
« Reply #2219 on: February 02, 2021, 11:14:23 AM »
Thats not accurate.  We have shut doen the Keystone pipeline and stopped all oil production on federal lands which shuts down much of Alaska

This is incorrect, or badly exaggerated.

There are existing Keystone pipelines still in operation.  Construction on the XL was halted.  That in itself will not impact oil production, only shipping.

FearlessF

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Re: The Porch, y'all. pull up a seat and kick back.
« Reply #2220 on: February 02, 2021, 11:29:42 AM »
Thats not accurate.  We have shut doen the Keystone pipeline and stopped all oil production on federal lands which shuts down much of Alaska

Offshore drilling permits will be next as well as using fracking

all of this will take a huge bite out of the global oil supply

Once this is done OPEC will raise prices because they can

because supply & demand
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longhorn320

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Re: The Porch, y'all. pull up a seat and kick back.
« Reply #2221 on: February 02, 2021, 11:38:24 AM »
This is incorrect, or badly exaggerated.

There are existing Keystone pipelines still in operation.  Construction on the XL was halted.  That in itself will not impact oil production, only shipping.
oil produced in Canada really doesnt help the US especially if they sell it to China which was what was going to happen
They won't let me give blood anymore. The burnt orange color scares the hell out of the doctors.

longhorn320

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Re: The Porch, y'all. pull up a seat and kick back.
« Reply #2222 on: February 02, 2021, 11:38:57 AM »
They won't let me give blood anymore. The burnt orange color scares the hell out of the doctors.

Cincydawg

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Re: The Porch, y'all. pull up a seat and kick back.
« Reply #2223 on: February 02, 2021, 11:45:59 AM »
Oil produced anywhere creates global supply which helps reduces prices.

It's fungible.

That Canadian oil is going  to get to market one way or another, duh.  Pipelines are  safest and most efficient.

FearlessF

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Re: The Porch, y'all. pull up a seat and kick back.
« Reply #2224 on: February 02, 2021, 12:10:28 PM »
yup, I told soybean farmers this when Trump put tariffs on China

china quit buying US soybeans, this drove the US bean market down for a month or so.

But, of course China still bought the same amount of beans, just from South America or somewhere else.  This caused others to purchase the US beans.  Prices leveled out where they had been.

It's a small world after all
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Mr Tulip

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Re: The Porch, y'all. pull up a seat and kick back.
« Reply #2225 on: February 02, 2021, 12:55:27 PM »
Keystone XL would pump sour shale crude. It's basically sulfur entrained. American refiners won't touch it when there's abundant light sweet crude or Brent grade available. The only thing this pipeline would do is bypass trucking jobs in order to onboard the oil at a port to take it overseas.

My feeling is that crude peaked already. We've got enough domestic sources to essentially ride out the transition. Right now, getting former rig workers up to speed on wind installations would be a fantastic use of resources. The fact is, it's just cheaper and easier to let a propeller spin and generate energy than it is to continuously pull stuff from the earth, truck it, process it, ship it, and incinerate it for energy. Internal combustion is just a tedious, messy, and wasteful (thermodynamically) process.

Again, this isn't really a political question. Wind and solar have simply advanced to a point where storing energy from the environment is cheaper than generating it from minerals.

 

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