Perhaps the BEST B1G Forum anywhere, here at College Football Fan Site, CFB51!!!

And best, again, realistically, however you define that.

I was looking at the Wisconsin slate, bear with me if I'm "wrong":

@USF 
CMU
Michigan
NW 
Kent State
MSU
@Illinois
@OSU
Iowa
@Nebraska
Purdue
@Minnesota

Ouch.  Is 3-9 a realistic possibility?

Losing the 4 killer road games (OSU, UM, UW, NW) is obvious.  Losing at home to PSU.  MSU is probably underdogs in those 5 anyway, so basically, start by losing all the games you should.

Am I overly optimistic in thinking they shouldn't lose more than 1 other (Tulsa, WMU, ASU, Indiana, Illinois, @Rutgers, Maryland)?  Going even 5-2 through those would raise serious questions with where the program is, obviously barring another year of major health issues, but we have to be due for good luck there after how bad last year was (losing starting QB, starting RB, both starting WRs, best CB).  So maybe 6-6?

• @Nevada
• vVandy
• vTCU
• bye
• vMinnesota
• @PSU
• vMaryland
• @Iowa
• vIllinois
• vNebraska
• @Northwestern
• bye
• @Wisconsin
• vIndiana

So 7 home and only 5 away. 

For the away, about the only game I can say is truly an "expected" win is Nevada. And even that's dicey, given that we'll have a lot of turnover and it's the first game of the season. That said, with this team I have to think that the worst road schedule, even with a possible loss at Nevada, is 1-4.

Home, I see no less than 3 wins, even if everything goes horribly. 

So worst case, if the wheels fall off this team like we though they might do at the beginning of the 2018 season? 4-8.

Now, that's assuming all the newcomers and improved recruiting doesn't pan out. 

If it *does* pan out? 3-2 on the road is reasonable (can't imagine we win @PSU and do better than 2-1 against IA/NU/UW). Home, I can't frankly see a game there that we can't win, but let's assume we lose one because statistics are statistics. So 6-1 at home. 9-3 overall. That's best case.

Huge range for this team because our best talent is all young.

Let's see, the worst OSU has ever done is seven losses, and that has only happened twice; 1897 and 2011. Each of those coaches were one and done. 

So if Day were to be a colossally bad hire and match that benchmark of ineptitude, he'd have to lose to Penn St, Michigan and Michigan St of course. He'd also have to get swept in the crossover games; Nebraska, Wisconsin and Northwestern. Then on top of all that he'd still have to drop a game to a Maryland or an Indiana, or as poetic justice would have it Luke Fickel's Bearcats. He'd have to go 1-2 in those three games in order to set a new low bar for future first year coaches to avoid limboing beneath at 8 losses. 

There's pretty much zero chance that they barf up a game against Florida Atlantic, Miami Ohio or Rutgers. If they played each team a hundred times, they'd probably go 299-1 in that series.