header pic

Perhaps the BEST B1G Forum anywhere, here at College Football Fan Site, CFB51!!!

The 'Old' CFN/Scout Crowd- Enjoy Civil discussion, game analytics, in depth player and coaching 'takes' and discussing topics surrounding the game. You can even have your own free board, all you have to do is ask!!!

Anyone is welcomed and encouraged to join our FREE site and to take part in our community- a community with you- the user, the fan, -and the person- will be protected from intrusive actions and with a clean place to interact.


Author

Topic: Weather, Climate, Environment, and Energy

 (Read 523159 times)

Cincydawg

  • Oracle of Piedmont Park
  • Global Moderator
  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Default Avatar
  • Posts: 71497
  • Oracle of Piedmont Park
  • Liked:
Re: Weather, Climate, and Environment
« Reply #5754 on: March 06, 2022, 09:27:09 AM »
Ya and we could appear on the cover of GQ
OD could be in July.

Cincydawg

  • Oracle of Piedmont Park
  • Global Moderator
  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Default Avatar
  • Posts: 71497
  • Oracle of Piedmont Park
  • Liked:
Re: Weather, Climate, and Environment
« Reply #5755 on: March 07, 2022, 11:15:34 AM »
How war in Ukraine and climate change are shaping the nuclear industry (cnbc.com)

At the same time, nations are coming to realize they can’t meet their climate goals with renewables, like wind and solar, alone. Luongo says there was a “sea change” in sentiment about nuclear at the COP 26 climate conference last year.

Cincydawg

  • Oracle of Piedmont Park
  • Global Moderator
  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Default Avatar
  • Posts: 71497
  • Oracle of Piedmont Park
  • Liked:
Re: Weather, Climate, and Environment
« Reply #5756 on: March 08, 2022, 08:56:25 AM »
U.S. added less new wind power in 2021 than the previous year — why? (cnbc.com)

The firm said Monday that developers added around 12.9 gigawatts of new projects in 2021, a 20% reduction from 2020′s additions. That year, a record 16 gigawatts of wind capacity was added.

By way of comparison, the U.S. has a total generating capability of about 1,200 gigawatts, according to the Public Power Association.



So, with a total capacity of 1200, if we add say 20 GW per year, it would take a while to replace that 1200 of course.  We're creeping up here, not really replacing much, as power needs are also increasing, and will increase as EVs become a real thing.


Cincydawg

  • Oracle of Piedmont Park
  • Global Moderator
  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Default Avatar
  • Posts: 71497
  • Oracle of Piedmont Park
  • Liked:
Re: Weather, Climate, and Environment
« Reply #5757 on: March 09, 2022, 08:21:15 AM »
Energy-related CO2 emissions hit highest ever level in 2021: IEA (cnbc.com)

he IEA found energy-related global CO2 emissions increased by 6% in 2021 to reach a record high of 36.3 billion metric tons. In an analysis published Tuesday, the Paris-based organization pinpointed coal use as being the main driver behind the growth.

At some point, the hand wringing about this is going to meet reality, and folks MIGHT, just MIGHT, start being realistic about the future.  Maybe.  I expect more hand wringing for now.


MrNubbz

  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Default Avatar
  • Posts: 17126
  • Liked:
Re: Weather, Climate, and Environment
« Reply #5758 on: March 09, 2022, 09:40:48 AM »
How so? Do you mean developing better solutions or just realizing the rest of the world isn't doing much if anything at all.Or both
Suburbia:Where they tear out the trees & then name streets after them.

Cincydawg

  • Oracle of Piedmont Park
  • Global Moderator
  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Default Avatar
  • Posts: 71497
  • Oracle of Piedmont Park
  • Liked:
Re: Weather, Climate, and Environment
« Reply #5759 on: March 09, 2022, 10:20:02 AM »
I mean the practicable reality is these goals folks set are optics, they aren't going to be met.  I wondered when that would be so obvious it would become accepted generally.  The first part of this is to report data and wring hands and say "WE HAVE TO DO MORE!!!!!!!!!!!!" and the second step is "Huh, we really can't do much more, so this is our situation, maybe we should step back a bit and think about our approach."

Germany really tried to hit this hard over the past decade, "Energiewiend" or however they spell it.  The actual results for them is near catastrophic, for minimal reductions in CO2 generation, and they did about as much as anyone could do.  It cost them heavily, for a very small "benefit".

Cost:benefit is important.  Folks will slowly start to explain reality to folks instead of signing pointless ridiculous agreements thinking that was a something.

MaximumSam

  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Posts: 13092
  • Liked:
Re: Weather, Climate, and Environment
« Reply #5760 on: March 09, 2022, 10:23:49 AM »
I mean the practicable reality is these goals folks set are optics, they aren't going to be met.  I wondered when that would be so obvious it would become accepted generally.  The first part of this is to report data and wring hands and say "WE HAVE TO DO MORE!!!!!!!!!!!!" and the second step is "Huh, we really can't do much more, so this is our situation, maybe we should step back a bit and think about our approach."

Germany really tried to hit this hard over the past decade, "Energiewiend" or however they spell it.  The actual results for them is near catastrophic, for minimal reductions in CO2 generation, and they did about as much as anyone could do.  It cost them heavily, for a very small "benefit".

Cost:benefit is important.  Folks will slowly start to explain reality to folks instead of signing pointless ridiculous agreements thinking that was a something.
I disagree. To much effort is made for "cost benefit" analyses that really don't make any sense. It is too much "ooh, we can't possibly do anything." Paralysis by analysis. Fairly standard stuff for any big problem that is hard to solve.

Cincydawg

  • Oracle of Piedmont Park
  • Global Moderator
  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Default Avatar
  • Posts: 71497
  • Oracle of Piedmont Park
  • Liked:
Re: Weather, Climate, and Environment
« Reply #5761 on: March 09, 2022, 10:26:59 AM »
You can disagree, but the math is against you.  My comments really relate to when "leaders" and "experts" confess we're not only NOT doing enough, we CAN'T do enough (sans nuclear).  I can post report after report about CO2 growth over time and how little anything real has been, or could be, done about it that is significant.

I can also cherry pick isolated situations about how "Hamden, Washington" is CARBON NEUTRAL today!!!  Fairy dust.

I don't see a practicable solution here, at all, which is why no one has proposed one anywhere.

Cincydawg

  • Oracle of Piedmont Park
  • Global Moderator
  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Default Avatar
  • Posts: 71497
  • Oracle of Piedmont Park
  • Liked:
Re: Weather, Climate, and Environment
« Reply #5762 on: March 09, 2022, 10:42:13 AM »
World CO2 emissions are projected to increase
EIA’s International Energy Outlook 2021 (IEO2021) Reference case projects that if current policy and technology trends continue, global energy consumption and energy-related CO2 emissions will increase from 2020 through 2050 as a result of population and economic growth. However, projected future growth in energy-related CO2 emissions is not evenly distributed across the world and the majority of the projected future growth in energy-related CO2 emissions is among the group of countries outside the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD).
Line graph showing projected world energy-related carbon dioxide emissions from 1990 to 2050 for OECD and non-OECD countries in EIA's International Energy Outlook 2021 Reference case.
Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration, International Energy Outlook 2021, Reference case, October 2021
Note: OECD is Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development.

More data




MaximumSam

  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Posts: 13092
  • Liked:
Re: Weather, Climate, and Environment
« Reply #5763 on: March 09, 2022, 12:04:48 PM »
You can disagree, but the math is against you.  My comments really relate to when "leaders" and "experts" confess we're not only NOT doing enough, we CAN'T do enough (sans nuclear).  I can post report after report about CO2 growth over time and how little anything real has been, or could be, done about it that is significant.

I can also cherry pick isolated situations about how "Hamden, Washington" is CARBON NEUTRAL today!!!  Fairy dust.

I don't see a practicable solution here, at all, which is why no one has proposed one anywhere.
Well, that's the trick. Even in the post about math being against me, you have to add the qualifier about nuclear power, which is like saying you can't travel to California from Maine in a day (sans planes).

Cincydawg

  • Oracle of Piedmont Park
  • Global Moderator
  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Default Avatar
  • Posts: 71497
  • Oracle of Piedmont Park
  • Liked:
Re: Weather, Climate, and Environment
« Reply #5764 on: March 09, 2022, 12:10:10 PM »
If you think nuclear power is a practicable solution here, well, have at it.  It may be a technical piece of the puzzle, but NIMBY is not going to allow it and it isn't viewed as "green" by most folks most incensed over climate change.  Germany is trying to shut theirs down.  The US is slowly moving there as plants get too old and no new ones outside Vogtle are being built.

MAYBE SMRs might be something, in what, a decade?  Maybe?  When will the next US nuclear power plant outside Vogtle and the military come on line?

MaximumSam

  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Posts: 13092
  • Liked:
Re: Weather, Climate, and Environment
« Reply #5765 on: March 09, 2022, 12:14:27 PM »
If you think nuclear power is a practicable solution here, well, have at it.  It may be a technical piece of the puzzle, but NIMBY is not going to allow it and it isn't viewed as "green" by most folks most incensed over climate change.  Germany is trying to shut theirs down.  The US is slowly moving there as plants get too old and no new ones outside Vogtle are being built.

MAYBE SMRs might be something, in what, a decade?  Maybe?  When will the next US nuclear power plant outside Vogtle and the military come on line?
China has something like 228 nuclear reactors in development. The issue isn't whether is practicable, it's whether there is anyone who cares enough to make it happen.

Cincydawg

  • Oracle of Piedmont Park
  • Global Moderator
  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Default Avatar
  • Posts: 71497
  • Oracle of Piedmont Park
  • Liked:
Re: Weather, Climate, and Environment
« Reply #5766 on: March 09, 2022, 12:32:36 PM »
In the western world, it isn't happening.  The reasons are pretty obvious.

Making Sense of China’s Pledge to Stop Building Coal-Fired Power Plants Abroad | Council on Foreign Relations (cfr.org)

hina continues to add coal-fired power plants within its borders, bringing forty-one gigawatts of coal power on line in 2020 alone, which accounted for seventy-five percent of the global total. 

betarhoalphadelta

  • Global Moderator
  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Posts: 12178
  • Liked:
Re: Weather, Climate, and Environment
« Reply #5767 on: March 09, 2022, 12:56:02 PM »
I disagree. To much effort is made for "cost benefit" analyses that really don't make any sense. It is too much "ooh, we can't possibly do anything." Paralysis by analysis. Fairly standard stuff for any big problem that is hard to solve.
The problem with the cost benefit analysis is that we are WOEFULLY bad at defining the benefit...

If the benefit is avoiding a scenario where the world's climate destabilizes to the point where we can only produce enough food to support ~1B people by 2100, which would lead to mass starvation, likely wars over access to natural resources, and the deaths of billions? Well, then any cost is worth bearing. 

If the benefit is avoiding a scenario where the weather gets hotter but we can still grow food, where some people in marginal areas are displaced due to changes but it happens over decades and those people can be managed and absorbed into new environs, and the effects of dealing with climate changed are something we manage and live with vs something catastrophic? Well, then there isn't much reason to completely remake our energy supply at massive cost for that benefit. 

So... Which is it? 

And please, show your work. 

 

Support the Site!
Purchase of every item listed here DIRECTLY supports the site.