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Topic: Weather, Climate, Environment, and Energy

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Cincydawg

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Re: Weather, Climate, and Environment
« Reply #2996 on: June 11, 2020, 01:36:22 PM »
I imagine they would file for patent protection, right?  A patent application has to reveal how a thing works, in detail, it's required.

MichiFan87

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Re: Weather, Climate, and Environment
« Reply #2997 on: June 11, 2020, 03:24:42 PM »
CHP is a very cost-effectively for on-site generation, and it makes sense to continue to deploy systems that can eventually run on hydrogen.

Cost-effective long-term storage is a big deal, so I'm following that.

As for how you can buy renewable energy, if you're in a deregulated state https://www.electricchoice.com/map-deregulated-energy-markets/ (though it's not completely accurate*) for electricity, there are many different energy suppliers, many of which offer renewable energy.... Alternatively, if you're in California, many municipalities now have Community Choice Aggregations (these also exist in IL, OH, NJ, NY, MA, and RI but are not as successful there because those states are deregulated), which can offer electricity at cheaper rates and with a greater percentage of renewables. More info on those here: https://leanenergyus.org/ and this site is California-specific https://cal-cca.org/.

Other states are considering legislation to permit CCAs, as well, including regulated states like Arizona, Colorado, and Michigan*. I think I mentioned earlier that Ann Arbor is trying to create their own CCA if the state allows it.

*Michigan is a weird situation where it is partly deregulated but the number of customers that can buy their energy from an energy supplier has been maxed out.

Unfortunately, the Southeast and other Western states are still highly regulated and the utilities there control the whole system.

I've mentioned before that I think Texas has the best model with full deregulation such that the utilities have no customers and don't directly own any generation. There's a market on the generation side, which has accelerated their transition to wind and solar, and energy suppliers have to compete on low prices so electricity is more affordable. I don't see other states going that direction any time soon, though, so the CCA model is the best alternative that I've seen.
“When your team is winning, be ready to be tough, because winning can make you soft. On the other hand, when your team is losing, stick by them. Keep believing”
― Bo Schembechler

Cincydawg

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Re: Weather, Climate, and Environment
« Reply #2998 on: June 11, 2020, 03:35:00 PM »
My point is you cannot tell electricity generate from wind from electricity generated from coal.

MichiFan87

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Re: Weather, Climate, and Environment
« Reply #2999 on: June 11, 2020, 03:42:32 PM »
My point is you cannot tell electricity generate from wind from electricity generated from coal.
That's true, but that's why renewable energy certificates (RECs) exist. They support the construction of future wind and solar projects. That's what you're paying for by buying renewable energy.
“When your team is winning, be ready to be tough, because winning can make you soft. On the other hand, when your team is losing, stick by them. Keep believing”
― Bo Schembechler

Cincydawg

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Re: Weather, Climate, and Environment
« Reply #3000 on: June 11, 2020, 03:47:24 PM »
I'll just buy electricity as provided.  If wind and solar are cheaper than anything else, it will all get converted anyway without my help.

I don't believe I'd really be getting electrons specially generated by a wind turbine that somehow offer me any value.

betarhoalphadelta

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Re: Weather, Climate, and Environment
« Reply #3001 on: June 11, 2020, 03:58:00 PM »
I'll just buy electricity as provided.  If wind and solar are cheaper than anything else, it will all get converted anyway without my help.

I don't believe I'd really be getting electrons specially generated by a wind turbine that somehow offer me any value.
You mean you don't have a sophisticated enough palate to tell the difference in your electrons? 

Bad electrons can really dirty up an integrated circuit. They're actually responsible for most computer viruses. 

FearlessF

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Re: Weather, Climate, and Environment
« Reply #3002 on: June 11, 2020, 04:00:51 PM »
The following chart from Transport & Environment is a gem. It’s a great chart to explain that battery electric vehicles are, by far, our most efficient automobile option, and clearly the future of transport.



I’ve seen these arguments made so many times, countless times, but humans are not as great as we think we are at comprehending and synthesizing written arguments. They say that a picture is a thousand words, but a picture is better than a thousand words, because a thousand words is often too verbose to make a good point. Just share that chart any time you’re trying to explain to someone why battery electric vehicles are the future.

It’s not purely about fuel efficiency either. You get more power at a greater efficiency. You don’t have to deal with the way inefficiencies show themselves — loud rumbling, a vibrating car, polluted air. You don’t have the costs that come with hundreds of devices meant to improve efficiency. More efficient just equals better.

Naturally, as battery costs come down, the fundamental efficiencies and benefits of electric powertrains show themselves more and more. Electric cars get more and more competitive — er, well, increasingly better than their inefficient competitors.

Hat tip to @ItalianMaster/Tony Vece.

Image courtesy Transport & Environment.
"Courage; Generosity; Fairness; Honor; In these are the true awards of manly sport."

betarhoalphadelta

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Re: Weather, Climate, and Environment
« Reply #3003 on: June 11, 2020, 04:50:02 PM »
Efficient != ability to scale.

That's my biggest concern about BEV. How many lithium batteries can we produce per year? Assuming it's possible to mine that much lithium every year [and the various other metals], is it cost effective for the mining companies to expand production that heavily or will it result in them being unable to do it economically? 

I bring it up often here, but I see this daily in the difference between HDD and SSD. On almost every technical measure, SSD is far advantageous to HDD. And "they" say that as soon as we bring the costs down, SSD will completely displace HDD. Problem is that is the NAND industry can't scale to produce that much NAND, and they can't do it at a price which is competitive with HDD without going bankrupt. These aren't opinions--that's economic fact. 

As I've said, I don't know enough about the mining industry to know whether they can economically scale to support the production. Because if they can't, we have to hope for amazing breakthroughs in battery technology to find a better, cost-effective, able to scale technology for storing the energy to power these cars.

MichiFan87

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Re: Weather, Climate, and Environment
« Reply #3004 on: June 11, 2020, 04:57:45 PM »
Lithium mining has already been scaled up because of electronics. The issue has been cost and that's being resolved. That said, other energy storage technologies need to be scaled up too for longer-term storage and other uses that aren't as effective with batteries.

That is a great graphic, though. Electrification is inevitable in a lot of areas, besides transportation, though hydrogen will win out in some, too, including industrial processes, shipping, and probably other forms of freight transportation.
“When your team is winning, be ready to be tough, because winning can make you soft. On the other hand, when your team is losing, stick by them. Keep believing”
― Bo Schembechler

betarhoalphadelta

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Re: Weather, Climate, and Environment
« Reply #3005 on: June 11, 2020, 06:00:09 PM »
Lithium mining has already been scaled up because of electronics. The issue has been cost and that's being resolved.
Can you elaborate? 

I can do some google searching, which offers a lot of mixed analysis, but not knowing some of these players I don't know all their biases... Except for "energyskeptic.com", which I'm pretty sure isn't a fair source lol...

But even then, the discussions are more about "do enough resources exist" to supply the market, and the question of "is it economically feasible to do it" gets lost. 

The material need for electrification of the transportation sector blows the doors off anything needed for cellphones and laptops. Completely different order of magnitude. And you say that cost is an issue "and that's being resolved"... I'm wondering how that gets resolved in a way which gives lithium mining companies enough profit to justify mining while also bringing down battery costs enough to mainstream the BEV?

Cincydawg

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Re: Weather, Climate, and Environment
« Reply #3006 on: June 11, 2020, 06:34:17 PM »
I see a lot of hand waving not backed up by sound technical analysis myself.  That's not to say problems won't be solved over time, but it could take longer than the most optimistic hope.

MichiFan87

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Re: Weather, Climate, and Environment
« Reply #3007 on: June 11, 2020, 11:15:47 PM »
Lithium is one of the most commonly available metals there are. There are others, but here's one article about how there's no supply issue, even domestically: https://cleantechnica.com/2020/05/27/lithium-supply-fears-loom-over-electric-vehicle-happy-talk-or-not-as-the-case-may-be/. This article also addresses how the batteries can be recycled / reused.

As with anything else, economies of scale is what's causing the costs to decline.
“When your team is winning, be ready to be tough, because winning can make you soft. On the other hand, when your team is losing, stick by them. Keep believing”
― Bo Schembechler

FearlessF

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Re: Weather, Climate, and Environment
« Reply #3008 on: June 17, 2020, 12:01:35 PM »
Good News.............

From sea to sea? N.S. company turns ghost gear into plastic lumber

https://www.msn.com/en-ca/news/canada/from-sea-to-sea-ns-company-turns-ghost-gear-into-plastic-lumber/ar-BB15BgiX

Bad News............

The leakage of plastic waste into the ocean is a global issue with a multitude of challenges which vary considerably between geographies. The complexity of the issue demands a holistic, multi-level, multi-actor approach across the full life-cycle of the plastics value chain. There is no silver bullet or new wonder material that will solve all our problems quickly; we need to rethink the systems that got us here in the first place.

https://www.eco-business.com/opinion/why-we-will-never-be-able-to-recycle-or-incinerate-away-ocean-pollution/
"Courage; Generosity; Fairness; Honor; In these are the true awards of manly sport."

Cincydawg

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Re: Weather, Climate, and Environment
« Reply #3009 on: June 17, 2020, 12:07:58 PM »
The WSJ had an article today about how the COVID crisis has cut CO2 emissions globally and how we would need this level of cuts annually, and then some, to reach the 2030 goals.  I fully expect 2030 to come and having not come anywhere near these "goals", folks will still be holding meetings and making political hay and setting goals for 2040, which also will not be achieved.

Realism is seldom popular of course, but it often gives the most correct expectation.

 

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