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Topic: Weather, Climate, Environment, and Energy

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MrNubbz

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Re: Weather, Climate, and Environment
« Reply #1386 on: June 08, 2019, 11:21:24 AM »
I thought Flicker was some TV show about a dolphin or something ...
Pretty sure it's a horse
Suburbia:Where they tear out the trees & then name streets after them.

NorthernOhioBuckeye

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Re: Weather, Climate, and Environment
« Reply #1387 on: June 08, 2019, 12:04:48 PM »
It's great to be able to hold a rational discussion on line about this topic.

I am still looking for a practicable plan to make a real change in what is happening.
I'm sorry that I am late to the latest discussion, but here is my take. The climate IS changing, just as it has done since the Earth had a climate. Man has contributed to that processes that cause change in the climate, but not to the degree that people are trying to assign. I don't believe that short of giving up modern conveniences, there is much that we can do to end mankinds contribution to climate change.

But I would ask those that believe it is a serious issue, a couple of questions:

  • What should the mean temperature of the climate be? 
  • The spot in which I am currently sitting was supposedly covered by a mile thick sheet of ice several thousand years ago. What made that ice disappear and allow the warmer climate that we enjoy today? Was it cavemen driving SUV's? 

Now that is not to say that we shouldn't as a society, do what we can to stop polluting our environment. We should take steps to work towards power generation that does not pollute the air or contaminate the water and that is renewable. But we need to get the government out of such issues as they more often than not tend to corrupt those with which they partner. 


NorthernOhioBuckeye

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Re: Weather, Climate, and Environment
« Reply #1388 on: June 08, 2019, 12:06:32 PM »
I agree. It is the greatest threat facing humanity. Denying it and pretending like it doesn't exist like the current President and virtually every republican politician in the country isn't practical.



Just because someone would hold a different opinion on the subject that you do is not reason to disparage an entire group. I am old enough to remember when we were told that we would be in an ice age by now. Obviously those predictions were also wrong. 

Riffraft

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Re: Weather, Climate, and Environment
« Reply #1389 on: June 08, 2019, 12:25:00 PM »
Just because someone would hold a different opinion on the subject that you do is not reason to disparage an entire group. I am old enough to remember when we were told that we would be in an ice age by now. Obviously those predictions were also wrong.
Stop now if you don't believe the "man" is the major reason for climate change you are an uninformed idiot who should just be dismissed out of hand. If you don't believe that you need the government to change behavior then you are just naive. Please do not contradict what those who know better are telling you. It is amazing how much better markets work to keep them in order when the government is controlling them. :73:

Cincydawg

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Re: Weather, Climate, and Environment
« Reply #1390 on: June 08, 2019, 12:58:37 PM »
When I was working, I had regular access to journals like Nature and Science.  I was engaged in some discussions with others about climate change off and on so I started "reading" the articles in those two rather preeiminent journals on the topic.  Not one of them said "Climate change is caused by man.".  They were all about some parameter in some model and how they suggested altering it, nearly all of them were about the models.  We have 5-6-7 different models, I don't know how many are widely accepted.  The work on them is to fit additional parameters when possible and modify older ones so as to conform to past historical readings.

Now, it turns out, to my surprise initially, that measuring mean global temperature is anything but easy.  Some folks claim the satellite measurements are among the worst ways, leaving us with ground measurements, and if you think about averaging temperature readings from various spots over time you can see potential issues, and they indeed are real.  It's a significant challenge in fact.

https://granthaminstitute.com/2015/10/16/taking-the-planets-temperature-how-are-global-temperatures-calculated/

https://www.climate.gov/news-features/understanding-climate/climate-change-global-temperature-projections

The changes in a year or even a decade are tiny.  The last link projects an increase by 2100 of between 2° and 10°F (from 2012).  If we take that as 90 years, the maximum change would be less than 1°F per decade (which would be a bad thing).  No human would notice that in their everyday life, which is one reason I suspect some dispute all of this.  You don't feel it.  Some summers are hotter and some are not, like here last year was quite moderate, the highest recorded T was 93°F on one day.  It usually hits the high 90s a few times in July and August.  Does that mean the climate is not warming?  Of course not.

I'd guess "we" might believe things indeed are hotter in 30-50 years or so.


Cincydawg

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Re: Weather, Climate, and Environment
« Reply #1391 on: June 08, 2019, 01:00:17 PM »
Stop now if you don't believe the "man" is the major reason for climate change you are an uninformed idiot who should just be dismissed out of hand. 

Around here, we have an unusual group of open minded and rather intelligent folks (I think anyway) who can offer alternative opinions on a variety of topics without being called uninformed idiots.  We generally can disagree amicably and try and understand the point the other may be making.

847badgerfan

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Re: Weather, Climate, and Environment
« Reply #1392 on: June 08, 2019, 04:08:15 PM »
Like everything else (seemingly) these days, you "have to" pick one side or the other.

That's not how I roll, and not how I suspect most here roll. What happened to the middle? Oh right. They are not vocal. And there are a whole lot of them.

I've been called a denier because I ask questions. In my younger days I'd probably have broken a knuckle or two, but I'm much more laid back than I was then.

This climate change stuff is just another in a round of political hot topics. I'm not sure why it has to be about politics though. Seems stupid to me. Then again, most of today's "issues" seems stupid to me.

I'd like to hear from some politician about levee and dam removal, and the subsequent dropping of the FEMA flood insurance program. I suspect for that to happen, however, I'd have to run for office, and win.

Who's with me? I used to inhale, back in the day (transparency intended).
U RAH RAH! WIS CON SIN!

FearlessF

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Re: Weather, Climate, and Environment
« Reply #1393 on: June 08, 2019, 11:20:39 PM »
I'm with you!
"Courage; Generosity; Fairness; Honor; In these are the true awards of manly sport."

Cincydawg

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Re: Weather, Climate, and Environment
« Reply #1394 on: June 09, 2019, 05:10:59 AM »
I have been called a "Luddite" (not specifically, but someone who does not believe in science etc.) by some for asking questions.

My main question is what can be done about this?  Show me a plan.  I actually got banned from one Internet site for asking that question.

I also note that IF wind and solar are now cheaper than coal etc., the transition should happen "naturally" with no other actions, and there are signs it is happening of course, but perhaps not as fast as some desire.  I understand sunk capital as a concept.

The idea of pricing "carbon" higher to replace the FICA tax is one I had not heard before, that is interesting.

Cincydawg

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Re: Weather, Climate, and Environment
« Reply #1395 on: June 09, 2019, 06:15:29 AM »
https://www.npr.org/2019/06/08/730456004/more-people-see-climate-change-in-record-floods-and-extreme-weather-will-that-me

Article is a bit disappointing to me, basically interviews "man on the street".  Has any climate expert connected these floods events to climate change?  If so, what is the linkage?  Was this predicted ahead of time?  Or linked causally after the fact?

Models should be able to predict, not confirm later.

FearlessF

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Re: Weather, Climate, and Environment
« Reply #1396 on: June 09, 2019, 09:22:34 AM »
climate change debate has seemed to calm down a bit.

there are the articles, but the meetings, especially international meetings have stopped for now.

seems money is tight and there is no plan
"Courage; Generosity; Fairness; Honor; In these are the true awards of manly sport."

Cincydawg

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Re: Weather, Climate, and Environment
« Reply #1397 on: June 09, 2019, 09:45:34 AM »
I think a prudent person would think:

1.  It is possible climate change is man made and serious and we need to mount a huge effort to limit it.
1a.  It is possible 1 is correct but we really can't do much in time to limit the damage no matter what.
2.  It is possible 1 is correct but it's not going to be all that serious.
3.  It is possible a bunch of folks have this badly wrong and are missing something critical in the equation and it's not real.

I keep looking for some sort of general path to a remedy that includes:

1.  Some sort of schedule for moving from A to B, like shutting down coal and replacing it with W/S.
2.  The costs associated with that, who is going to pay the cost, and how much that CO2 reduction will limit climate change.
3.  What has to be done by when to keep this from being catastrophic, or really really bad.
4.  How we can do that.

If humanity is simply not capable to limiting this, we probably should start considering how best to deal with it.

MrNubbz

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Re: Weather, Climate, and Environment
« Reply #1398 on: June 09, 2019, 10:04:41 AM »
Plant more trees I'm convinced of that.I have a small woods and creek behind my house.Along with 2 oaks and a maple in the back yard.On real hot days it's a world of difference when you walk under canopy/umbrella provided by the trees
Suburbia:Where they tear out the trees & then name streets after them.

FearlessF

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Re: Weather, Climate, and Environment
« Reply #1399 on: June 09, 2019, 10:10:02 AM »
my ex-wife made sure my yard looks like a forest
"Courage; Generosity; Fairness; Honor; In these are the true awards of manly sport."

 

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