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Topic: 100 RBs who had lots of carries and didn't stink

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847badgerfan

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Re: Top 100 RBs of All-Time
« Reply #308 on: April 04, 2020, 02:32:38 PM »
Tailbacks at UW have to contend with 8-9 man fronts almost all the time. 

Imagine what Taylor could have done with Russell Wilson at QB? 

Montee Ball made a killing working in that offense. Taylor would have been off the charts - even more off the charts than he already was.
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bayareabadger

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Re: Top 100 RBs of All-Time
« Reply #309 on: April 04, 2020, 04:14:32 PM »
Yeah, that goes back to coaching then. 
1. If jet sweeps and fly sweeps net so much yardage for the backup, why the hell aren't they doing it with the starter? 
2. I think HCs are married to this idea of starter/backup, and it's antiquated and asinine.  And if their play-calling is described as you've said, that HC doesn't know what he's doing.
No, I'm not saying I'd do a better job as HC of a major program, but I would be confident being the nerdy advisor, providing reports each week of how he could improve his offense with simple tweaks. 
3. For instance, if you have a starting RB getting a bulk of the carries with a lower ypc, and his carries are more traditional play-calls, that's an easy fix. 
A - you give the backup more carries, period
B - the more traditional carries the backup gets and the more dynamic, diverse carries the starter gets, the harder it will be for the defense to know which is in there to do which

A few nits to pick here. I numbered for response to the other one.
1. The jet and fly sweeps work for speedier backs. So that year, Gordon and James White, who are fast, ran more speed sweeps, while the more bowling ball shaped Montee ball took more carries out of the I. They played two at the same time, having the sweeps work off the downhill stuff. 
2. I actually thing many coaches are less concerned with starters and backups. They're concerned with reliable/productive vs not. And after that, they'll divide up carries and slot people into good roles. 
3. As said, both carries were options from the same looks. So if you flipped the backs, it's not gonna make much difference. 

Two other random notes. I'm guessing the teams are looking at something beyond YPC. Like a player can have a better YPC if he has more explosive plays, but is a less reliable down-to-down player. So you're going to be looking at a mess of other factors, like line push, tackle breaking, play-to-play stuff. 

Also, that UW team had no good QB play, so at one point they just simplified with a way to get their backup more work but having him take snaps behind nine OL/TEs with either a FB or their starter on a sweep motion, and that worked too. 

bayareabadger

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Re: Top 100 RBs of All-Time
« Reply #310 on: April 04, 2020, 04:19:00 PM »
Tailbacks at UW have to contend with 8-9 man fronts almost all the time.

Imagine what Taylor could have done with Russell Wilson at QB?

Montee Ball made a killing working in that offense. Taylor would have been off the charts - even more off the charts than he already was.
So that's not totally a thing, unless a offense wants it.

Box math tends to come down to this. 2-high, 1-high and 2-high that's functionally 0-high. 

Basically, UW can control if 3-4 players are in or close to the box, just by splits of TEs and WRs. If they keep a FB and TE in, they add two box defenders. So the defense's answers come at the safeties. If two stay high, no problem. If one drops down, you could have an 8-man box, assuming you drew those two defenders in. There's also defenses where both safeties can race up in run support. Illinois did a good job with that last year, having what looked like two high, but both raced into the box. Ideally you can punish with play-action.

MrNubbz

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Re: Top 100 RBs of All-Time
« Reply #311 on: April 04, 2020, 04:20:13 PM »
Tailbacks at UW have to contend with 8-9 man fronts almost all the time.
That's a good point but a quick seem would take care of that.Maybe they show it and backed off don't have the stats
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Cincydawg

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Re: Top 100 RBs of All-Time
« Reply #312 on: April 04, 2020, 04:22:27 PM »
So, you guys are saying that every running back in history has faced different scenarios in things like opposing teams, defenses, coaching, offensive schemes, QB talent on his side, blocking by the line, and quality of the turf and weather?

Huh.

CWSooner

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Re: Top 100 RBs of All-Time
« Reply #313 on: April 04, 2020, 05:05:20 PM »
Part of valuing volume is that the players earned their way onto the field early in their careers.  If Barry Sanders was so good, why was he a backup for 2 years?  Yes, we know why, but if he was THAT good, he'd start ahead of the established star.  We can fault coaching or traditional wisdom or whatever, but would Peterson have backed up Thurman Thomas?  Would Herschel?  Would Bo?
Thurman Thomas wasn't chopped liver.  He's in the NFL and CFB Halls of Fame.
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Cincydawg

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Re: Top 100 RBs of All-Time
« Reply #314 on: April 04, 2020, 05:09:51 PM »
Herschel started as a backup, he really only got into the first game because UGA was trailing 15-0 and not doing anything on offense.  He looked mediocre in practice.  I think he was third string.  He had some memorable runs when he got in and showed he was a different kind of player in a game.  The guys ahead of him were just average college RBs.

This really was before coaches devised the concept of rotating backs.  

OrangeAfroMan

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Re: Top 100 RBs of All-Time
« Reply #315 on: April 04, 2020, 05:18:18 PM »
Thurman Thomas wasn't chopped liver.  
Who said he was?
Even still, you don't have your better RB be the backup.
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betarhoalphadelta

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Re: Top 100 RBs of All-Time
« Reply #316 on: April 04, 2020, 05:47:22 PM »
Yeah, that goes back to coaching then. 
If jet sweeps and fly sweeps net so much yardage for the backup, why the hell aren't they doing it with the starter? 
I think HCs are married to this idea of starter/backup, and it's antiquated and asinine.  And if their play-calling is described as you've said, that HC doesn't know what he's doing.
No, I'm not saying I'd do a better job as HC of a major program, but I would be confident being the nerdy advisor, providing reports each week of how he could improve his offense with simple tweaks. 
For instance, if you have a starting RB getting a bulk of the carries with a lower ypc, and his carries are more traditional play-calls, that's an easy fix. 
A - you give the backup more carries, period
B - the more traditional carries the backup gets and the more dynamic, diverse carries the starter gets, the harder it will be for the defense to know which is in there to do which
You're aware that it's not always the case that when something works, doing more of it will work more, right?

While we've argued the idea of more carries vs ypc to death, the one thing I will say is that with many things in football, you reach a point of diminishing returns. 

Or, more accurately, it goes back to Chris Brown's constraint theory of offense: http://smartfootball.com/offense/why-every-team-should-apply-the-constraint-theory-of-offense

Wisconsin's base play is outside zone. It may not be flashy. It might not be a GREAT ypp call. But the yards per play are often enough to move the chains. But if you know that outside zone is coming, and you load the box against it selling out for outside zone, you might render it ineffective.

The throw in jet sweeps (and fake jet sweeps) as a constraint play. It's well described here: https://www.thedailystampede.com/2019/8/15/20806114/watching-film-the-refined-brutality-of-the-wisconsin-offense-badgers-usf-football-jonathan-taylor


Quote
Wisconsin loves to run it at you and they get in personnel groupings that reflect this style. You will often see only one or two receivers in the game for the Badgers. They run the ball with the backs to almost lull you to sleep and then they break out another one of their favorites, the jet sweep.
Jet motion involves a player coming full speed across the formation and either receiving or faking a handoff immediately after the ball is snapped. Wisconsin loves to use this as a restraint play.
Restraint plays are plays that you call to keep a defense honest. What do you do if you are running the ball inside a ton and the defense starts to load the box between the tackles? You would call something that would hit outside to force the defense to stop cheating for the inside run. Wisconsin did exactly this to Michigan in their game last year.

The zone running scheme is their bread and butter. They're going to run that right down your throat until you prove you can stop it, at which point they run constraint plays to punish you the defense selling out on one thing. 


You can't just say "well run more jet sweeps and fly sweeps" because unless the defense is selling out for the traditional runs, the jet sweeps and fly sweeps won't work well against a base defense that's trying to contain the edges. 

Same thing with the passing game. Wisconsin typically is pretty solid statistically in yards/attempt. Does that mean they should throw the ball more? Not if the run game is working the way they want to. They usually have high ypa and low attempts, specifically BECAUSE they're using downfield passing as a constraint on teams selling out for the run.

-------------

This is basic offensive coaching. "What do we do well?" "What do we do when the opposing team tries to take away what we're doing well?"

If you're doing it right, the constraint plays look more successful than the base plays, because the opposing team is working so hard to stop the base that they leave vulnerabilities elsewhere. But it becomes a bad idea to think that you should then be using the constraint plays more often. You want to use them just enough that your base still works well, because the base is your identity.

Cincydawg

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Re: Top 100 RBs of All-Time
« Reply #317 on: April 04, 2020, 05:54:01 PM »
Who said he was?
Even still, you don't have your better RB be the backup.
This can happen at times because:

1.  The coaches are morons.
2.  A player like BS is not mature enough to be an every down back, physically.
3.  The other RB fits your scheme better.
4.  The starter is really good and the backup just doesn't get his shot except on occasion.

bayareabadger

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Re: Top 100 RBs of All-Time
« Reply #318 on: April 05, 2020, 09:59:46 AM »
You're aware that it's not always the case that when something works, doing more of it will work more, right?

While we've argued the idea of more carries vs ypc to death, the one thing I will say is that with many things in football, you reach a point of diminishing returns.

Or, more accurately, it goes back to Chris Brown's constraint theory of offense: http://smartfootball.com/offense/why-every-team-should-apply-the-constraint-theory-of-offense

Wisconsin's base play is outside zone. It may not be flashy. It might not be a GREAT ypp call. But the yards per play are often enough to move the chains. But if you know that outside zone is coming, and you load the box against it selling out for outside zone, you might render it ineffective.

The throw in jet sweeps (and fake jet sweeps) as a constraint play. It's well described here: https://www.thedailystampede.com/2019/8/15/20806114/watching-film-the-refined-brutality-of-the-wisconsin-offense-badgers-usf-football-jonathan-taylor


The zone running scheme is their bread and butter. They're going to run that right down your throat until you prove you can stop it, at which point they run constraint plays to punish you the defense selling out on one thing.


You can't just say "well run more jet sweeps and fly sweeps" because unless the defense is selling out for the traditional runs, the jet sweeps and fly sweeps won't work well against a base defense that's trying to contain the edges.

Same thing with the passing game. Wisconsin typically is pretty solid statistically in yards/attempt. Does that mean they should throw the ball more? Not if the run game is working the way they want to. They usually have high ypa and low attempts, specifically BECAUSE they're using downfield passing as a constraint on teams selling out for the run.

-------------

This is basic offensive coaching. "What do we do well?" "What do we do when the opposing team tries to take away what we're doing well?"

If you're doing it right, the constraint plays look more successful than the base plays, because the opposing team is working so hard to stop the base that they leave vulnerabilities elsewhere. But it becomes a bad idea to think that you should then be using the constraint plays more often. You want to use them just enough that your base still works well, because the base is your identity.
This is interesting because for the most part Wisconsin doesn’t bass out of outside zone. But if you watch that Western Kentucky game is referenced, they definitely run a lot of outside zone.

I feel like they also ran a decent amount of that against Purdue that year, but overall I think Wisconsin bases out of inside zone/pin and pull sweep/either power or counter depending on the year. You could probably argue inside zone Is the most basic those please. They also have certain heavy power plays that look weirdly like counter.

OrangeAfroMan

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Re: Top 100 RBs of All-Time
« Reply #319 on: April 06, 2020, 02:06:52 PM »
You're aware that it's not always the case that when something works, doing more of it will work more, right?

While we've argued the idea of more carries vs ypc to death, the one thing I will say is that with many things in football, you reach a point of diminishing returns.

Precisely!
But to maximize success, you must creep as close to that line of diminishing returns as possible.  HCs don't seem to do that.  Not even close.  They're statistically illiterate.  
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OrangeAfroMan

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Re: Top 100 RBs of All-Time
« Reply #320 on: April 06, 2020, 02:12:56 PM »
I don't know why that guy calls them "constraint" plays, they're all simply counters.  Meh.
What he lays out is exactly how I'd coach if I had a team, starting from scratch.  In practice, we'd start with one play, and we'd run it  and run it and run it until the defenders cheated, and I'd introduce the counter play off that play.  
.
Now along these lines, and this may be 25 years too late, but teams SHOULD pass more.  They should pass more because the average pass attempt is much higher than the average rush attempt.  You should pass enough so that those numbers get close (diminishing return).  Same with the backup or more-talented RB....get him more carries until his ypc gets close to the starter's.  
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CWSooner

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Re: Top 100 RBs of All-Time
« Reply #321 on: April 06, 2020, 02:44:41 PM »
I don't know why that guy calls them "constraint" plays, they're all simply counters.  Meh.
What he lays out is exactly how I'd coach if I had a team, starting from scratch.  In practice, we'd start with one play, and we'd run it  and run it and run it until the defenders cheated, and I'd introduce the counter play off that play. 
.
Now along these lines, and this may be 25 years too late, but teams SHOULD pass more.  They should pass more because the average pass attempt is much higher than the average rush attempt.  You should pass enough so that those numbers get close (diminishing return).  Same with the backup or more-talented RB....get him more carries until his ypc gets close to the starter's.
There's long been the perception that passing is riskier than running the ball.
Assuming that to be true, wouldn't that affect a coach's thinking about getting the numbers close?
Thinking about old wishbone teams, if they passed enough to get their passing average-yards-per-play figure down in the 5-6 yards range, they'd be giving up a lot of what they did best.  And they probably wouldn't do it as well.
Also, passing doesn't control the ball and the clock like running does.
I saw some analysis a few years ago, the thrust of which is that 200 rushing yards is about the equal--in terms of winning the game--as 400 passing yards.
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