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Bilas suggests huge move for ACC | The Clemson Insider

What if the SEC and ACC basically merge?

Then the B1G and PAC have no choice but to do the same.

What if the Big 10 jumps in and offers any one of ISU, KU?  You telling me that at that point it won't be an abandon ship type scenario?  Every man for himself right? 

As covered above, I think ISU is a non-starter.  I wholeheartedly agree with @betarhoalphadelta that not only do they not bring enough revenue to the table, but also, leaving them to their "non-power conference" fate actually helps the B1G by making Iowa stronger.  

Kansas is possibly a different story.  Their football is abysmal but their basketball brand is one of the best in the nation.  Also, as @betarhoalphadelta also pointed out, taking them and leaving KSU to their "non-power conference" fate helps them in the same way that leaving ISU to their fate helps Iowa.  

The likelihood of the Rump 12 (trademark CWS) getting a TV deal they can live with is not good.  The Athletic did a deep dive on TV numbers and it is very telling.  Briefly, OU & Texas averaged about 3.5 million viewers per game.  The other 8 averaged about 880,000.  They calculated the remaining 8 teams TV value based on the current contract at about $12 mil per each team or less than half of what they are getting now.  The shares of bowl money without OU & TX will also be reduced.
This doesn't have anything to do with the quality of football these teams play.  There are some good teams and very good coaches.  Those coaches will be poached.  Mike Gundy and Matt Campbell turned down major P5 jobs.  They won't be able to if their salaries take major hits.

I agree with everything here except the idea that they can't get a TV deal that they "can live with".  They are going to have to.  Clearly they can't get anything like what they had, but they are going to be able to get something and they'll have to learn to make that work.  Best case scenario for them, I think, is to end up being the "Best of the Rest" conference after the remaining four (or less) Power leagues.  Assuming that the CFP expansion does happen they'd have a good shot to make it nearly every year especially if they maintain the idea of taking the top six league champs because with only four (or less) power leagues that leaves two spots for non-power conferences so they'd only have to be one of the top two non-Power leagues to snag a CFP slot.  

Also I know the regional model for conferences is mostly dead but it still makes a lot of sense for the non-revenue sports (womens sports, olympic sports, etc).  I think we will at some point see football and mens BB partitioned out into their own conference with the other sports settling into a different model.  Call it a hybrid model.  Of course the bigger schools will have more money so they can continue to pony up more travel expenses. 

This might happen even for the bigger schools because it still costs money and because there is also the impact on the athletes.  If your women's volleyball team has a game against a school 200mi away that is a cheap bus ride there and back and takes a few hours each way.  If they have a game against a team 2,000mi away that is an expensive plane ride there and back and takes a LOT longer especially after you add in time and cost for the bus rides to/from the airports and security, etc.  

No, the revenue was shared equally.  Each team retained their 2nd & 3rd tier rights and Texas got more for theirs with the LHN.  OU didn't get as much as Texas but more than the other 8.
The AAC has an unequal pay distribution with UCF being the top earner at around $7 million. 

BTW I know they will not be able to make up the lost revenue from TX/OU, I wanted to make that one clear.  

I agree with everything here except the idea that they can't get a TV deal that they "can live with".  They are going to have to.  Clearly they can't get anything like what they had, but they are going to be able to get something and they'll have to learn to make that work.  Best case scenario for them, I think, is to end up being the "Best of the Rest" conference after the remaining four (or less) Power leagues.  Assuming that the CFP expansion does happen they'd have a good shot to make it nearly every year especially if they maintain the idea of taking the top six league champs because with only four (or less) power leagues that leaves two spots for non-power conferences so they'd only have to be one of the top two non-Power leagues to snag a CFP slot. 

There is one thing I mentioned in another thread WRT being able to get "the best of the rest".  They could possibly have an extra $20-40 MM in exit penalties from Tex/OU at their disposal.  

Maybe there is not as much value in the XII post-Texas/OU but there will still be value.  I honestly do not see the B1G taking either KU or ISU.  This whole thing is being driven by Football, and KU /ISU have zero to offer there.  Plus you have to consider that there are other more valuable programs out there so why waste a spot on one of those schools.  I'm thinking of ND and maybe an ACC team.  

If somehow the SEC and ACC "merged", it could get interesting.  This could be merely the path to splitting P5 from G5.  You get a superconference or two with several divisions.