I wouldn't say that it's solely based on the 2021 season, but more on the outlook of how they will play in 2022. I fear that Tanner Morgan's big year in 2019 was more of a product of 2 NFL WRs more than his own ability. He seemed to regress a lot after those guys moved on. I did vote for him last year as a preseason All Big Ten QB ahead of the unknown guys, but now that those guys are known and played much better than him, it is hard to move him back up there. It's a pretty good group of QBs this year, so these kinds of things can happen.
For example, if Penix had stayed at Indiana, I don't think he would be getting any votes for the preseason all Big Ten QB, despite having a very nice 2020 season. He was bad last year and not trending in a good direction, while Taulia, Stroud and O'Connell have definitely stepped up.