I'm thinking more about this one...
I would think that after Christmas, there's a good chance we'll start to see people rein in their behavior.
I think a lot of people are giving in to social pressure to do the holiday thing despite the risk. I can see a lot of people that right now are just hoping they make it through the holidays unscathed and might shut things down once they pass...
I could see numbers start to drop as we get past December. On top of that, we'll at least be seeing a start to vaccination, so although the numbers of vaccinated individuals won't be enormous, every one of them is one potential reduction of a host for R0.
So the peak might get tempered... I just don't think it'll be in the next 4 weeks.