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Topic: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas

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utee94

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #8806 on: September 17, 2020, 04:43:43 PM »
Quote from: OrangeAfroMan on September 17, 2020, 03:36:09 PM
I "boosted" my Whoa Nellie sale on facebook and among the 100ish likes were some fake accounts who 'liked' with the angry face - all faux-religious 'people' hating on the NFL.

Very odd.  Their algorithm knew enough to link it with football and to link the kneeling business with football, but not distinguish college and pro and it totally whiffed on everyone liking a sale. 
Sounds like the Russian bots aren't perfect?  :)

That's actually really interesting though.  Have you noticed any effects on your sales?
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FearlessF

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #8807 on: September 17, 2020, 04:54:55 PM »
only 222 traffic deaths in Iowa this year

well over 1200 COVID deaths, depending on how you count them

makes me wonder how they count traffic deaths
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Cincydawg

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #8808 on: September 17, 2020, 05:00:12 PM »
Might be heating back up a bit in GA now.  
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longhorn320

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #8809 on: September 17, 2020, 05:02:21 PM »
All the tests have been done on the Texans and the Rams players after last weeks game

no positives
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OrangeAfroMan

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #8810 on: September 17, 2020, 05:23:28 PM »
Quote from: utee94 on September 17, 2020, 04:43:43 PM
Sounds like the Russian bots aren't perfect?  :)

That's actually really interesting though.  Have you noticed any effects on your sales?
Yes, 6 new orders yesterday and 1 this morning.  

And I was worried my sale wasn't good enough....

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utee94

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #8811 on: September 18, 2020, 02:22:36 PM »
Lots of countries across Europe now seeing second waves, and in some cases they're larger than the first.  So far it's in cases though, and hospitalizations aren't necessarily tracking the way they did the first time.

Area under the curve theory certainly still seems viable.
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Cincydawg

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #8812 on: September 18, 2020, 02:29:55 PM »
France has more reported cases per day than they did in April, and it's rising.  As you note, the death toll is very low at this point.

Sweden is seeing about 250 new cases per day, Georgia is closer to 2,000 now.

Sweden's death figures are single digit.

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utee94

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #8813 on: September 18, 2020, 02:43:58 PM »
Quote from: Cincydawg on September 18, 2020, 02:29:55 PM
France has more reported cases per day than they did in April, and it's rising.  As you note, the death toll is very low at this point.

Sweden is seeing about 250 new cases per day, Georgia is closer to 2,000 now.

Sweden's death figures are single digit.



You better look out, you're going to get chastised for saying "Sweden" too many times. ;)

As far as death toll, I sincerely hope it remains low for them (and everyone else) this second time around.  There are some legitimate reasons to believe it can, and will.
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FearlessF

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #8814 on: September 18, 2020, 03:52:12 PM »
can't move to Sweden

too much winter weather

and I'm sure they put beans in their chili and think grilling meat is BBQ
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betarhoalphadelta

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #8815 on: September 18, 2020, 04:09:41 PM »
Quote from: Cincydawg on September 18, 2020, 02:29:55 PM
Sweden is seeing about 250 new cases per day, Georgia is closer to 2,000 now.

Sweden's death figures are single digit.
I still don't get it. 

Compare Georgia and Sweden.

GA: 
Population 10.6M
28K cases/1M
616 deaths/1M
282K tests/1M
Current run rate: ~2200 cases/day
Current death rate: ~40 deaths/day

Sweden:
Population 10.1M
8.7K cases/1M
580 deaths/1M
~138K tests/1M
Current run rate: ~240 cases/day
Current death rate: 1-2 deaths/day

I don't quite think "area under the curve" makes sense, because Georgia has more current area under their curve and while cases/deaths have declined from their peak, they have not fallen like they have in Sweden. With only 8.7 cases/1M (0.8% of the population) I can't think that they have reached herd immunity.

America's numbers have stabilized... At very high levels. 40K cases / ~1K deaths per day. If we were talking "area under the curve", the spikes we had in July should have mostly taken out that area. 

Sweden's numbers are tiny... But why?  
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utee94

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #8816 on: September 18, 2020, 04:14:59 PM »
Quote from: bwarbiany on September 18, 2020, 04:09:41 PM
I still don't get it.

Compare Georgia and Sweden.

GA:
Population 10.6M
28K cases/1M
616 deaths/1M
282K tests/1M
Current run rate: ~2200 cases/day
Current death rate: ~40 deaths/day

Sweden:
Population 10.1M
8.7K cases/1M
580 deaths/1M
~138K tests/1M
Current run rate: ~240 cases/day
Current death rate: 1-2 deaths/day

I don't quite think "area under the curve" makes sense, because Georgia has more current area under their curve and while cases/deaths have declined from their peak, they have not fallen like they have in Sweden. With only 8.7 cases/1M (0.8% of the population) I can't think that they have reached herd immunity.

America's numbers have stabilized... At very high levels. 40K cases / ~1K deaths per day. If we were talking "area under the curve", the spikes we had in July should have mostly taken out that area.

Sweden's numbers are tiny... But why? 

America isn't homogenous or monolithic.  It's really more accurate to think of it as 50 separate countries, if you're trying to compare the way it's been handled in different regions/geos, to other countries around the globe.  So the spikes in July were Texas/Cali/Florida.  The spikes in March/April were NY/NJ/PA.  And other areas are spiking now, that weren't, back in March or July.

But I'm also not claiming we've exhausted our "area under the curve" just yet even in Texas or Florida or Cali.  I don't think "we're there" any more than France was "there" back in May.  I think we'll all continue to see spikes until the virus runs its course.

Sweden definitely looks different though.  
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FearlessF

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #8817 on: September 18, 2020, 04:31:07 PM »
Quote from: bwarbiany on September 18, 2020, 04:09:41 PM
I still don't get it.

Compare Georgia and Sweden.

Sweden's numbers are tiny... But why? 
maybe Sweden reporting is much different
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betarhoalphadelta

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #8818 on: September 18, 2020, 04:37:59 PM »
Quote from: utee94 on September 18, 2020, 04:14:59 PM
But I'm also not claiming we've exhausted our "area under the curve" just yet even in Texas or Florida or Cali.  I don't think "we're there" any more than France was "there" back in May.  I think we'll all continue to see spikes until the virus runs its course.

Sweden definitely looks different though. 
But I don't think anyone can claim with their numbers that Sweden has exhausted it's area under the curve either. 

Yet their numbers are tiny. 
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utee94

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #8819 on: September 18, 2020, 05:11:38 PM »
Quote from: bwarbiany on September 18, 2020, 04:37:59 PM
But I don't think anyone can claim with their numbers that Sweden has exhausted it's area under the curve either.

Yet their numbers are tiny.
Like I said, Sweden looks different than pretty much everyone else.  Don't know if they're just voluntarily doing a better job of keeping distant, or if there's something else at work.

I will say that if I were an epidemiologist, if that were my actual job, I'd probably be researching VERY deeply into what's happening there.
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