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Topic: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas

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betarhoalphadelta

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #5866 on: June 25, 2020, 02:24:37 PM »
Quote from: 847badgerfan on June 25, 2020, 01:51:18 PM
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-usa-cases/coronavirus-may-have-infected-10-times-more-americans-than-reported-cdc-says-idUSKBN23W2PU


I'll take this as a positive.



WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Government experts believe more than 20 million Americans could have contracted the coronavirus, 10 times more than official counts, indicating many people without symptoms have or have had the disease, senior administration officials said.

The estimate, from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, is based on serology testing used to determine the presence of antibodies that show whether an individual has had the disease, the officials said.
It's a positive if true. Because that means one gigantic thing:

The likely TRUE infection fatality rate is somewhere in the range of 1/10th the case fatality rate, putting it down towards 0.5%. That's on the lower bound of what I think most "experts" were really coming up with. 

The downside is that 20M people is still only about 7% of the US... If the opinions that you need to get to 70% infection rate to reach herd immunity are correct, we're only a tenth of the way there. 

200M infections * 0.5% IFR = 1M deaths.
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longhorn320

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #5867 on: June 25, 2020, 02:31:36 PM »
I also take this as a positive

we either need to get a vaccine or go have one wild party
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FearlessF

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #5868 on: June 25, 2020, 03:47:59 PM »
Quote from: 847badgerfan on June 25, 2020, 01:50:15 PM
Not by choice.
older adults can't lock the door?
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"Courage; Generosity; Fairness; Honor; In these are the true awards of manly sport."

Cincydawg

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #5869 on: June 25, 2020, 04:13:24 PM »
Another bad number from GA on new cases, 1714, and 47 deaths.

https://www.ajc.com/news/state--regional/georgia-shifts-overflow-beds-southward-amid-rural-virus-outbreaks/fJzMvNN49jAKVXkdYifJgJ/


  • California (Population: 39,747,267)
  • Texas (Population: 29,087,070)
  • Florida (Population: 21,646,155)
  • New York (Population: 19,491,339)
  • Pennsylvania (Population: 12,813,969)
  • Illinois (Population: 12,700,381)
  • Ohio (Population: 11,718,568)
  • Georgia (Population: 10,627,767)



« Last Edit: June 25, 2020, 04:19:02 PM by Cincydawg »
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NorthernOhioBuckeye

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #5870 on: June 25, 2020, 04:38:06 PM »
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847badgerfan

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #5871 on: June 25, 2020, 04:41:08 PM »
Quote from: Cincydawg on June 25, 2020, 04:13:24 PM
Another bad number from GA on new cases, 1714, and 47 deaths.

https://www.ajc.com/news/state--regional/georgia-shifts-overflow-beds-southward-amid-rural-virus-outbreaks/fJzMvNN49jAKVXkdYifJgJ/


  • California (Population: 39,747,267)
  • Texas (Population: 29,087,070)
  • Florida (Population: 21,646,155)
  • New York (Population: 19,491,339)
  • Pennsylvania (Population: 12,813,969)
  • Illinois (Population: 12,700,381)
  • Ohio (Population: 11,718,568)
  • Georgia (Population: 10,627,767)




Migrant workers might be a big component.
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OrangeAfroMan

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #5872 on: June 25, 2020, 04:43:16 PM »
White people might be a big component.  
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FearlessF

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #5873 on: June 25, 2020, 04:50:09 PM »
Quote from: 847badgerfan on June 25, 2020, 04:41:08 PM
Migrant workers might be a big component.
Quote from: OrangeAfroMan on June 25, 2020, 04:43:16 PM
White people might be a big component. 
true and true
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betarhoalphadelta

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #5874 on: June 25, 2020, 04:53:13 PM »
Humans are a pretty big component. 

Gaia should do away with them...

Seems she's trying hard right now.
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847badgerfan

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #5875 on: June 25, 2020, 05:13:29 PM »
Quote from: OrangeAfroMan on June 25, 2020, 04:43:16 PM
White people might be a big component. 
No shit?
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OrangeAfroMan

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #5876 on: June 25, 2020, 06:28:31 PM »
Guys, this delayed, into-the-rural-areas news is exactly what I told you all would happen.  It's inevitable.
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MrNubbz

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #5877 on: June 25, 2020, 08:05:20 PM »
Quote from: bwarbiany on June 25, 2020, 04:53:13 PM
Humans are a pretty big component.

Gaia should do away with them...

Seems she's trying hard right now.
Nope wait'll she starts blasting those zits and Yellowstone blows
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Honestbuckeye

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #5878 on: June 25, 2020, 09:59:57 PM »
Quote from: OrangeAfroMan on June 25, 2020, 06:28:31 PM
Guys, this delayed, into-the-rural-areas news is exactly what I told you all would happen.  It's inevitable.
Yes. You and virtually everyone else.  even youR buddy “ orange man bad “ lol. 

don’t you recall?   They said we have to open back up, some places have not been effected yet. Some places are less densely populated. We are going to have hot spots.  We are going have flare ups. We will take action and help those places when it happens.  We need to protect our most vulnerable.   But we have to smartly start to open.  

I heard that from many “ leaders “ and talking heads.  Dozens of times So- they called it. In fact I would say it was rather obvious.  
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betarhoalphadelta

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #5879 on: June 25, 2020, 10:28:33 PM »
Hot spots? Flare ups?

We just passed the largest single day case count nationally, ever.

This isn't isolated hot spots or flare ups. 
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