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Topic: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas

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Cincydawg

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #14448 on: August 02, 2021, 10:15:27 AM »
It's a matter of numbers of course, and exponents.  With a high rate of vaccinations (or acquired resistance), the virus will have difficulty spreading.  An infected person will encounter say 30 people and if 25 are resistant, he may not spread it any further.  If all 30 are not resistant, he'll give it to 4-5-6 people, and so on.

The rate of transmission can rise or fall dramatically in a few days.

CWSooner

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #14449 on: August 02, 2021, 12:48:13 PM »
So what’s our plan then?  Spend the next 3-5 years wearing masks, limiting social gatherings, going on lock downs, etc ?  I’ve actually known several people who got the vaccine and still caught COVID. One of them has a heart transplant which means they have a suppressed immune system. They’re fine, the vaccine did what it’s supposed to do.

I just finished writing my uncle’s obituary for my aunt. He died of COVID last week. It’s a tough thing but him and my aunt chose not to get vaccinated. This is after losing my dad to COVID last year. I’ve had a lot of heart break due to this terrible disease but at some point you just have to face it.
The plan is that everybody gets vaccinated.  If that were to happen, the need for masking would be drastically reduced.
But there's a strong correlation between anti-masking and anti-vaxxing.  And with wanting everything to "open up."

I am puzzled.  When you say "have to face it," what do you mean?
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CWSooner

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #14450 on: August 02, 2021, 12:51:23 PM »
We waited 13 months.

Having the virus gives more immunity that the vaccine gives.
I'm not a doctor.  I'm not a public health expert.  I didn't even stay in a Holiday Inn Express last night.
But the Johns Hopkins School of Public Health disagrees with you.

https://www.jhsph.edu/covid-19/articles/why-covid-19-vaccines-offer-better-protection-than-infection.html
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Gigem

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #14451 on: August 02, 2021, 01:05:52 PM »
The plan is that everybody gets vaccinated.  If that were to happen, the need for masking would be drastically reduced.
But there's a strong correlation between anti-masking and anti-vaxxing.  And with wanting everything to "open up."

I am puzzled.  When you say "have to face it," what do you mean?

So what's your plan to get that last 20-40% of the population vaccinated?  Like utee says, everybody who wanted to get vaccinated has had plenty of time and opportunity to do so.  I know lots of folks who just simply ain't gonna take the vaccine no matter what.  

And what do you mean by "the need for masking would be drastically reduced".  Why do we need to wear masks at all if everybody else is vaccinated?  

By face it I mean that we need to understand that covid will be with us a long time, it won't go away in a year or two or even five.  It will be with us from now on, just like the flu is and other contagious diseases.  So at some point, once we accept that not everybody is going to get vaccinated, we need to get on with the business of being normal again.  Not start more masks mandates again for people who refuse to get vaccinated.  Just like my aunt and uncle.  Both over 70, both refused to get vaccinated even though they could have done it 6+ months ago.  Now he's gone and she's grieving.  

By some logic we need to reduce the speed limit on all the roads to 35 mph because there are people out there who refuse to wear the seat belt.  Since most fatal accidents happen at 40-50 mph it makes sense right?  

longhorn320

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #14452 on: August 02, 2021, 01:08:14 PM »
I'm not a doctor.  I'm not a public health expert.  I didn't even stay in a Holiday Inn Express last night.
But the Johns Hopkins School of Public Health disagrees with you.

https://www.jhsph.edu/covid-19/articles/why-covid-19-vaccines-offer-better-protection-than-infection.html
not trying to joist with you on this but all the article says is that studies show the infected immunity only lasts 6 to 8 months

that could be true but there is no actual data to back that up

how many documented cases are there of folks becoming infected more then once

Im sure there are some but Id like to see the numbers behind making a statement that a person who was infected only has immunity 6 to 8 months

there have been very few reports of folks becoming infected more then once
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CWSooner

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #14453 on: August 02, 2021, 01:46:34 PM »
So what's your plan to get that last 20-40% of the population vaccinated?  Like utee says, everybody who wanted to get vaccinated has had plenty of time and opportunity to do so.  I know lots of folks who just simply ain't gonna take the vaccine no matter what. 

And what do you mean by "the need for masking would be drastically reduced".  Why do we need to wear masks at all if everybody else is vaccinated? 

By face it I mean that we need to understand that covid will be with us a long time, it won't go away in a year or two or even five.  It will be with us from now on, just like the flu is and other contagious diseases.  So at some point, once we accept that not everybody is going to get vaccinated, we need to get on with the business of being normal again.  Not start more masks mandates again for people who refuse to get vaccinated.  Just like my aunt and uncle.  Both over 70, both refused to get vaccinated even though they could have done it 6+ months ago.  Now he's gone and she's grieving. 

By some logic we need to reduce the speed limit on all the roads to 35 mph because there are people out there who refuse to wear the seat belt.  Since most fatal accidents happen at 40-50 mph it makes sense right?
States--like Oklahoma--that passed laws prohibiting schools, businesses, and government agencies from requiring their employees to get vaccinate should repeal those laws.  Or amend them to only apply until the vaccine is upgraded from "emergency" status.
Re "drastically reduced," I agree that 100% vaccination rate should mean that no masks should be needed.  I suppose there is some circumstance where masks would be needed, but I can't think of one.
I think most people understand that it's going to be with us.  The people who don't probably tend to be among the ranks of anti-vaxxers/anti-maskers.  If it's going to be with us for a long time, then we should be prepared to get vaccinated every year, just like we do with flu shots.
I don't get the car analogy at all, and I don't know if most fatal accidents happen at 40-50 mph.
The car analogy I like is running stop signs.  People who refuse to get vaccinated and refuse to wear masks are like people who run stop signs.  They aren't just endangering themselves, they are endangering others.  People do not have some fundamental right or "freedom" to run stop signs.
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CWSooner

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #14454 on: August 02, 2021, 01:48:07 PM »
not trying to joist with you on this but all the article says is that studies show the infected immunity only lasts 6 to 8 months

that could be true but there is no actual data to back that up

how many documented cases are there of folks becoming infected more then once

Im sure there are some but Id like to see the numbers behind making a statement that a person who was infected only has immunity 6 to 8 months

there have been very few reports of folks becoming infected more then once
So you will only believe the Johns Hopkins School of Public Health if they show you the raw data?  Until then, you'll err on the side of believing that they are lying?

P.S. I doubt that I would understand the raw data well enough to make a judgement, but perhaps you would be able to decipher it more easily.
« Last Edit: August 02, 2021, 02:01:12 PM by CWSooner »
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847badgerfan

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CWSooner

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #14456 on: August 02, 2021, 01:59:55 PM »
Dang, Badge!  If you can wade through that and understand what you are reading, I salute you.

This seems to be the bottom line:


Quote
The data suggest that immunity in convalescent individuals will be very long lasting and that convalescent individuals who receive available mRNA vaccines will produce antibodies and memory B cells that should be protective against circulating SARS-CoV-2 variants.
And that doesn't answer the question: Does infection or vaccination provide longer/stronger protection?  It seems obvious that the combination of both provides the best.
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847badgerfan

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #14457 on: August 02, 2021, 02:04:01 PM »
Well, that's why I got the vaccine regardless. Why the heck not?

The key to that paper is when they discuss bone marrow. 

These combating cells can last a lifetime in bone marrow.
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FearlessF

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #14458 on: August 02, 2021, 02:05:29 PM »
why the heck not?

that's the question
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utee94

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #14459 on: August 02, 2021, 02:21:29 PM »
why the heck not?

that's the question

Man, I certainly don't have an answer for this.  I don't know anyone in my family or direct circle of friends, that isn't vaccinated.  Even my FIL and MIL that got it back in July 2020, got the vaccine.  Because why the heck not?

longhorn320

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #14460 on: August 02, 2021, 02:23:27 PM »
So you will only believe the Johns Hopkins School of Public Health if they show you the raw data?  Until then, you'll err on the side of believing that they are lying?

P.S. I doubt that I would understand the raw data well enough to make a judgement, but perhaps you would be able to decipher it more easily.
ok I'll make it easy for you

there have been almost 30 million people who have been infected and recovered in the US

of those how many have been infected twice

I cant remember reading about more then a few

now dont get me wrong I hope everyone gets vaccinated but how important is it for previously infected to also be vaccinated

yes I want to know the stats behind making a statement that immunity only lasts 6 to 8 months for previously infected people

There are an estimated 336 Million people in the US

aprox 22% of them are under 18 years old which equals 73 million

if you add 35 million previously infected that equals 108 million low risk people leaving 227 million to be vaccinated

over 164 million have been vaccinated which represents 72% of those needing to be vaccinated

things are just not as bad as you must feel they are CW

herd immunity is starting to have its affects

Yes there are some doubling up of these numbers but its the best estimate I have



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betarhoalphadelta

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #14461 on: August 02, 2021, 02:24:11 PM »
Re "drastically reduced," I agree that 100% vaccination rate should mean that no masks should be needed.  I suppose there is some circumstance where masks would be needed, but I can't think of one.
I think most people understand that it's going to be with us.  The people who don't probably tend to be among the ranks of anti-vaxxers/anti-maskers.  If it's going to be with us for a long time, then we should be prepared to get vaccinated every year, just like we do with flu shots.
What irks me is that the vaccinated are being asked to wear masks to protect those who deliberately choose not to receive the vaccine, refuse to wear masks, and don't even think they need to be protected.

Getting the vaccinated to wear masks is IMHO marginally useful at reducing spread. Getting the unvaccinated to take the vaccine would be tremendously useful at reducing spread.

But... The unvaccinated aren't listening and won't listen to public health authorities. So they tell the vaccinated to mask up--because they know those people are more likely to actually listen and comply. 

The bang for the buck comes from getting the unvaccinated to take the shot. But they aren't.

So I don't feel like I should wear a mask just to protect them. I'm vaccinated. Why do I need one?

 

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