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Topic: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas

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847badgerfan

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #13636 on: May 06, 2021, 07:57:47 AM »
Wisconsin data by age grouping. Pretty staggering numbers. 9.2% of cases resulted in 78.2% of the deaths.




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utee94

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #13637 on: May 06, 2021, 09:18:28 AM »
Here are some historical numbers for the Austin area.



7 Day AvgCasesAdmitsHospICUVent
1-Jan479.5769.28422.14133.4376.57
1-Feb557.2868.42538.1415797
1-Mar242.1429.42284.2893.2868.42
1-Apr10316.42146.1453.5730.57
1-May94.7117132.8645.2923.27


847badgerfan

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #13638 on: May 06, 2021, 09:35:42 AM »
Mostly all good trends there.
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utee94

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #13639 on: May 06, 2021, 10:29:10 AM »
Mostly all good trends there.
Yup.

We've been puzzling about how the admits numbers seem to be leveling off, but the ICU/vent numbers are still showing declines.  One theory, is that overall there are now fewer really serious cases, so hospitals are now admitting some of the less severe cases for treatment-- cases they would have sent home to convalesce and recover on their own, a few months ago.  No real way to confirm that, it's just a theory.

847badgerfan

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #13640 on: May 06, 2021, 10:35:16 AM »
A very valid theory for sure. Then there is that thing about what the hospitals make from treating Covid cases. Can't really discount that.
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847badgerfan

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GopherRock

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #13642 on: May 06, 2021, 11:37:59 AM »
Guidance just came out in Minnesota on winding down capacity limits and mask mandates. 


https://twitter.com/jcjacobsen/status/1390326885675110405?s=20


longhorn320

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #13643 on: May 06, 2021, 01:05:10 PM »
I just read that over 4000 people have died after receiving their covid shots in the US

I had no idea there were that many deaths from the vaccination shots

course it goes on to say there is no proven correlation between the vaccines other then J&J's and these deaths

kinda makes one pause
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FearlessF

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #13644 on: May 06, 2021, 01:08:05 PM »
gotta have more data

most could have been in their late 80s and 90s and died from other causes
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longhorn320

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #13645 on: May 06, 2021, 01:31:05 PM »
gotta have more data

most could have been in their late 80s and 90s and died from other causes
Im only going by this


https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/vaccines/safety/adverse-events.html


I just had no idea the number of deaths was that high

Im still going to be vaccinated but the media ought to be more forthcoming
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FearlessF

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #13646 on: May 06, 2021, 01:43:38 PM »
December 14, 2020, through May 3, 2021. During this time, VAERS received 4,178 reports of death (0.0017%) among people who received a COVID-19 vaccine.

so, the question is:  is this number more than normal for this time frame in this group of people?

would there normally be 4,000 deaths in this group and the increase is about 178?

would be interested to know.......... how many of these deaths were reported as COVID?  How many from traffic accidents or gun shot wounds?

because as time goes on, since the elderly were the first to get vaccines, more vaccinated folks are going to die.  The number will get larger daily 
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longhorn320

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #13647 on: May 06, 2021, 01:58:27 PM »
December 14, 2020, through May 3, 2021. During this time, VAERS received 4,178 reports of death (0.0017%) among people who received a COVID-19 vaccine.

so, the question is:  is this number more than normal for this time frame in this group of people?

would there normally be 4,000 deaths in this group and the increase is about 178?

would be interested to know.......... how many of these deaths were reported as COVID?  How many from traffic accidents or gun shot wounds?

because as time goes on, since the elderly were the first to get vaccines, more vaccinated folks are going to die.  The number will get larger daily
again the report says there is no found correlation between these deaths and the vaccine other then the J&J vaccine deaths
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FearlessF

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #13648 on: May 06, 2021, 02:27:01 PM »
no reason to pause
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Cincydawg

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #13649 on: May 06, 2021, 02:53:55 PM »
Out of 100 million you had 4,000 deaths?

Out of 100 million unvaccinated in the same age group, how many deaths were there?

we normally have just under 3 million deaths a year in the US in a population of about 330 million, call it one percent or so.  So, out of 100 million we'd expect to have 100,000 deaths divided by 4, or 250,000, due to all causes.

You have to compare versus a control group.

(And yes,  the 100 million or so vaccinated were not all vaccinated on Jan 1 of course, so it's spread out.)


 

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