How many maladies have arisen among the 30 million who were not vaccinated of similar age distributions?
That's one of the reasons I put that particular case with the doctor onto the back burner mentally when it happened... The question in the back of the mind is whether it was a freak coincidence or caused by the vaccine.
The Fox News article says that 3.3 people per 100K annually are diagnosed with ITP. Doesn't break down demographics of that statement.
If >30M in the US have received at least one shot of the vaccine, which I believe was also quoted in the Fox News article, then the baseline ANNUAL rate of new onset ITP diagnosis amongst those 30M should be on the order of 990 people. Obviously an annual number doesn't make sense because we've only had the vaccine in distribution maybe 2 months. That would reduce your 990 to about 165 people in a 2 month time frame. The Fox Article said 36 apparent ITP reactions have been reported to the vaccine adverse event reporting system [VAERS]. That number is obviously far lower than 165.
So... Is it coincidence or is this a freak reaction
caused by the vaccine? Too early to tell, but I certainly hope that the experts are looking into it.
The incidence rate of 36 out of 30M people means you're looking at somewhere around a one in a million shot if this reaction is real. Clearly I'd rather take my chances with this reaction than COVID, because the incidence of severe issues or mortality--even in my age/health demographic, is significantly higher due to COVID than one in a million.
But I'm not ruling out an interaction here, and I'm interested to see as the data develops.
