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Topic: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas

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betarhoalphadelta

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #10500 on: November 11, 2020, 11:58:08 AM »
What makes you write this? How are deaths doing there and the rest of Europe?
Deaths have been rising significantly. But as CDawg mentions, they lag. So if France actually HAS peaked in cases, we would still expect deaths to rise for a few weeks before trending back down. 

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/france/

If you look at the 7-day MA curves, cases started rising steadily around late August, and then around the beginning of Oct the cases curve makes a pretty strong turn northward.

Likewise, the 7-day MA for deaths starts showing a trend of a rise in mid-late Sep, and starts turning up strongly around the 3rd/4th week of October. 

So it fits the basic pattern we see elsewhere. 

847badgerfan

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #10501 on: November 11, 2020, 02:58:48 PM »
FL: 73,420 tests, with 5,719 positives. 7.8%.
U RAH RAH! WIS CON SIN!

Hawkinole

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #10502 on: November 12, 2020, 12:45:07 AM »
There is so much local spread in Delaware County, Iowa. I see very few people, and yet the people I see are telling me of its impact on them and their families. Sickness is prevalent; dead family members I am told about. It is spreading like wildfire. I saw only one person in the grocery today without a mask, and she was directly in front of me in line socializing with the checker. 
My wife pointed to the obituary of the spouse of one of her classmates. My wife is 7-years younger than me, and the obituary was for a guy 1-year older than me. 
It's nothing to smile about when you are maskless and chatting up a storm with the checker in the grocery. 

Cincydawg

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #10503 on: November 12, 2020, 06:23:02 AM »
All our stores I've been in have a plexiglas barrier between checker and customer, so that helps some I imagine.

847badgerfan

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #10504 on: November 12, 2020, 07:03:49 AM »
Same. Everyone wears masks too.
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utee94

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #10505 on: November 12, 2020, 07:06:53 AM »
Yup, same here.

But, I don't believe stores are much of a threat for spread, anyway.  People just aren't spending enough time in close proximity breathing on one another.  

Unless they're spending 20 minutes gabbing with a checker.  That could do it.

Cincydawg

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #10506 on: November 12, 2020, 07:16:31 AM »
I wouldn't say everyone, but it's a high percentage around here, and curiously, the city has one of the lowest reported rates of infection in the state per capita.


utee94

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #10507 on: November 12, 2020, 08:43:40 AM »
Definitely everyone here, at least inside businesses and public buildings. We do have state and city mask mandates in place.  It's been a long time since the last time I saw someone without a mask inside, it was probably May.

Outdoors is entirely different, and of course there's no mandate to wear masks outdoors unless you're in close proximity to others.  And since large gatherings of any kind are still banned, being in close proximity to others, indoors or out, is uncommon.

We have a popular and very busy running trail around the lake in downtown Austin, I suspect that's a place where enough people are outdoors but tightly packed, that you would be required by mandate to wear a mask.

I simply choose to run out here in the 'burbs, where it's easy to keep my distance.

FearlessF

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #10508 on: November 12, 2020, 08:45:39 AM »
people need to stay home

distance is the key

no exposure is the best way
"Courage; Generosity; Fairness; Honor; In these are the true awards of manly sport."

utee94

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #10509 on: November 12, 2020, 08:46:37 AM »
people need to stay home

distance is the key

no exposure is the best way
Says the guy who goes to the bar and restaurants almost daily... ;)

FearlessF

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #10510 on: November 12, 2020, 08:48:31 AM »
yup, I was at the bar last night, no mask

but, I'm not worried about getting the virus.  Well, not much.  I'd rather not get it.

If I had symptoms I'd certainly quarantine.  I don't want to spread it either
"Courage; Generosity; Fairness; Honor; In these are the true awards of manly sport."

MrNubbz

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #10511 on: November 12, 2020, 09:14:29 AM »
people need to stay home
So selling the clubs?No stopping for Schooners & Runzas?Cool
Suburbia:Where they tear out the trees & then name streets after them.

longhorn320

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #10512 on: November 12, 2020, 09:49:04 AM »
So selling the clubs?No stopping for Schooners & Runzas?Cool
time to break out the shark water
They won't let me give blood anymore. The burnt orange color scares the hell out of the doctors.

MrNubbz

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #10513 on: November 12, 2020, 09:51:14 AM »
Fearless already found that as he was typing evidently
Suburbia:Where they tear out the trees & then name streets after them.

 

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