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Topic: Serious question: What is IU's record with Georgia's schedule?

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Cincydawg

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Re: Serious question: What is IU's record with Georgia's schedule?
« Reply #14 on: November 20, 2024, 06:10:12 AM »
Such things are not "knowable", of course, so any opinion between about 6-6 and 10-2 seem reasonable to me (end of the season).  UGA has a pastry this weekend, and then Tech, who is half decent, but the game is in Athens which might help, though UGA hasn't lost in Atlanta for "a while".

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Brutus Buckeye

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Re: Serious question: What is IU's record with Georgia's schedule?
« Reply #15 on: November 20, 2024, 06:35:47 AM »
He didn't even include all the opponents, but directional Tennessee made the cut. 
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Gigem

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Re: Serious question: What is IU's record with Georgia's schedule?
« Reply #16 on: November 20, 2024, 06:42:40 AM »
This is the whole problem with CFB is that we’re so quick to judge a team based on what happened for the last 20 seasons versus what a team has done in the last 3 months. It really shouldn’t matter, because they’ve won all the games they played. And that should be the only metric that counts. 

For all the hand wringing about how the playoff would ruin CFB viewership is way up. 
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Cincydawg

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Re: Serious question: What is IU's record with Georgia's schedule?
« Reply #17 on: November 20, 2024, 06:51:35 AM »
I think WHO you defeated, or lost to, is very relevant.  A team can be 10-0 having played "no one" and in my mind, they are at best unproven (Army).  "We" are asked to draw conclusions based on incomplete evidence.  I think also items like recruiting comes into play.  Otherwise, we just "NFL" the numbers and count only wins and losses as all the same, so Army should be co-number one.  We don't, I don't anyway.

Now, maybe Indiana is the real deal, we'll find out soon enough.  Maybe Army is as well.  We get more information as the season progresses.  We never have ALL the information.  But most folks don't think wins and losses are all the same.
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MaximumSam

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Re: Serious question: What is IU's record with Georgia's schedule?
« Reply #18 on: November 20, 2024, 08:07:07 AM »
Quote from: OrangeAfroMan on November 19, 2024, 10:29:08 PM
I wonder who will be favored.  :72:
Depends on who it is. Georgia would be favored. Missouri would not be.
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MrNubbz

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Re: Serious question: What is IU's record with Georgia's schedule?
« Reply #19 on: November 20, 2024, 08:16:43 AM »
Well 4-6 Kansas took care of the BYU problem
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Temp430

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Re: Serious question: What is IU's record with Georgia's schedule?
« Reply #20 on: November 20, 2024, 08:17:08 AM »
I'm thinking IU's record would be like 14-0.
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LetsGoPeay

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Re: Serious question: What is IU's record with Georgia's schedule?
« Reply #21 on: November 20, 2024, 08:18:11 AM »
Quote from: Temp430 on November 20, 2024, 08:17:08 AM
I'm thinking IU's record would be like 14-0.
I like this guy.
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Cincydawg

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Re: Serious question: What is IU's record with Georgia's schedule?
« Reply #22 on: November 20, 2024, 08:24:01 AM »
I often ponder the "who would be favored" question in considering rankings.  I don't always know of course, but it's often fairly obvious.  Right now, Indiana would be a clear dog against @Texas/@Bama/Tenn/@Ole Miss, and probably a slight dog against Clemson (neutral site).  That doesn't mean they'd lose every game obviously.

They'd be favored over the rest.  So, 8-4 is an OK guess.  I guess.
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MaximumSam

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Re: Serious question: What is IU's record with Georgia's schedule?
« Reply #23 on: November 20, 2024, 08:44:59 AM »
Quote from: Cincydawg on November 20, 2024, 08:24:01 AM
I often ponder the "who would be favored" question in considering rankings.  I don't always know of course, but it's often fairly obvious.  Right now, Indiana would be a clear dog against @Texas/@Bama/Tenn/@Ole Miss, and probably a slight dog against Clemson (neutral site).  That doesn't mean they'd lose every game obviously.

They'd be favored over the rest.  So, 8-4 is an OK guess.  I guess.
SP+ is a decent metric to go by to predict spreads. OSU is favored by 12.5 over Indiana. They are a 9.9 favorite on a neutral field by SP+, and of course they are playing at home. If you go by that, on a neutral field Indiana would be:
  • +8.1 v. Bama
  • +8 v. Texas
  • +7.5 v. Ole Miss
  • +5 v. Georgia
  • +.9 v. Tennessee
  • -1.8 v. TAMU
  • -3.9 v. Clemson
  • -5.5 v. South Carolina
  • -6.4 v. Mizzou
  • -7.4 v. Auburn

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MaximumSam

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Re: Serious question: What is IU's record with Georgia's schedule?
« Reply #24 on: November 20, 2024, 08:48:25 AM »
Quote from: OrangeAfroMan on November 19, 2024, 10:27:49 PM
Notre Dame couldn't handle Northern Illinois.  I have nipples, Greg.  Can you milk me?
Hence the difficulty in trying to predict the future.. Any sort of notion that upsets never happen gets quickly snuffed out.
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Cincydawg

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Re: Serious question: What is IU's record with Georgia's schedule?
« Reply #25 on: November 20, 2024, 09:08:12 AM »
South Carolina has turned into kind of a tough out, it would seem, one bad loss to Ole Miss.  They easily could have defeated Bama away.

I don't know how good they really are of course, but they could plausibly beat Clemson at Clemson.  Maybe.  Maybe they are the SEC equivalent to Indiana.
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Cincydawg

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Re: Serious question: What is IU's record with Georgia's schedule?
« Reply #26 on: November 20, 2024, 09:33:36 AM »
It's sort of funny to ask what any top ten team's record would be with that slate.  Even if UGA played it again in some alternate universe, they might end up 8-4, or 12-0.  Ole Miss pretty much manhandled them, as did Bama in the first half.  I had a pretty quick sense in the Ole Miss game they would lose barring turnovers etc.  The teams didn't look near equal at all, to me.  For that matter, when Tennessee went up 10-0, it looked a lot like "there we go again". 

For some strange reason, these 20 year old kids can look pretty awesome one week and very mortal the next.

Kirby needs to pay all the Mediots out there to predict the Dawgs have NO chance before every game and will be lucky to go 7-5.
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nwms

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Re: Serious question: What is IU's record with Georgia's schedule?
« Reply #27 on: November 20, 2024, 09:55:09 AM »
4 losses.
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