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Topic: Remaining Undeated Teams Before Week 12

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ohio1317

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Remaining Undeated Teams Before Week 12
« on: November 15, 2020, 05:06:27 PM »
Teams with 1st Loss Week 11:
Purdue
Toledo
Miami (OH)
Arizona
Washington State

Maximum number of Undefeated Teams at the End of the Regular Season:
10: BYU, Liberty/Coastal Carolina, Alabama, Notre Dame, Cincinnati, Marshall, and the champs of the Big Ten, PAC-12, Mountain West, and MAC

Percent of Undefeateds with 1st Loss:
Week 1: 6.5% (5 of 77)
Week 2: 18.1% (13 of 72)
Week 3: 13.6% (8 of 59)
Week 4: 33.33% (17 of 51)
Week 5: 35.3% (12 of 34)
Week 6: 22.7% (5 of 22)
Week 7: 7.5% (5 of 67) -Added 50 teams to list.
Week 8: 24.2% (15 of 62)
Week 9: 12.8% (6 of 47)
Week 10: 31.7% (13 of 41)
Week 11: 17.9% (5 of 28)

Week 11 Thoughts:
-Lot of cancellations led to slightly less interesting week. Most things held as they were. We did have undefeated Northwestern beat undefeated Purdue. That makes them most likely to beat Wisconsin in Big Ten West. We also had Miami come back and beat Virginia Tech. That leaves them in a position to make ACC chamionship if Clemson loses again.



Week 12 Thoughts:
-Ohio State @ Indiana: Winner is most likely going to Big Ten Championship (although Indiana does play Wisconsin still).

-Cincinnati @ UCF: Likely Bearcats biggest test of season. Start of 3 straight road games. Everyone outside American needs UC to lose. Win this, and they'll all but have American Championship spot locked down and keep a top ranking. Lose and UCF hopes of an American championship remain intact (although still need some help).

-Appalachian State @ Coastal Carolina: Likely toughest conference game left for Costal Carolina (they do play Liberty out of conference still too).

-Wisconsin @ Northwestern: Winner leads and most likely to go to Indianapolis.

-Liberty @ North Carolina State: Can they go 3 for 3 vs. ACC?

-Oklahoma @ Oklahoma State: The Cowboys join the pack in the middle or Oklahoma likely eliminated from Big 12 race.

Remaining Undefeated Teams: ACC: 1, American: 1, Big Ten: 4, Conference USA: 1, MAC: 4, Mountain West: 2, PAC-12: 6, SEC: 1, Sun Belt: 1, independents: 2, total: 23
Cincinnati
Marshall
Brigham Young
Alabama
Notre Dame
Coastal Carolina
Liberty
Ohio State
Indiana
Northwestern
Wisconsin
Southern California
California
Utah
Colorado
Oregon
Washington
Buffalo
Kent State
Central Michigan
Western Michigan
Nevada
San Jose State
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Brutus Buckeye

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Re: Remaining Undeated Teams Before Week 12
« Reply #1 on: November 16, 2020, 06:33:47 PM »
CMU and WMU play each other, in a battle of unbeaten teams. 
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1979, 81, 82, 84, 87, 94, 98
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rolltidefan

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Re: Remaining Undeated Teams Before Week 12
« Reply #2 on: November 17, 2020, 09:59:50 AM »
Quote from: ohio1317 on November 15, 2020, 05:06:27 PM

Week 12 Thoughts:
-Ohio State @ Indiana: Winner is most likely going to Big Ten Championship (although Indiana does play Wisconsin still).



if, big if, indiana beats tosu, and then loses to wisc, it wouldn't matter unless they also lost another game, right? or has that tie breaker been thrown out this season?

personally, i'm pulling for a b1gwindiana season.
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medinabuckeye1

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Re: Remaining Undeated Teams Before Week 12
« Reply #3 on: November 18, 2020, 01:05:18 PM »
Quote from: rolltidefan on November 17, 2020, 09:59:50 AM
if, big if, indiana beats tosu, and then loses to wisc, it wouldn't matter unless they also lost another game, right? or has that tie breaker been thrown out this season?

personally, i'm pulling for a b1gwindiana season.
You are correct.  H2H is the first tiebreaker and even takes precedence over number of wins*.  However, IU still has to play at Wisconsin, vs Purdue, and vs Maryland so all hope is not lost for the Buckeyes even with a loss.  

*Tiebreaker thing:
The rule this year is that basically only losses count.  If two teams are tied in the loss column by have a different number of wins that is considered a tie.  

Example:
Suppose Ohio State beats Indiana but Harbaugh gets a win over the Buckeyes and Indiana otherwise wins out.  Assuming no cancellations, the top two teams in the B1G-E would be:
  • 7-1 Indiana (lost to tOSU, no cancellations)
  • 6-1 tOSU (lost to M, UMD game cancelled)

7-1 (.875) is a better winning percentage than 6-1 (.857) so if it went by winning percentage, IU would win.  It doesn't, that is considered a tie and we move to H2H.  

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