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Topic: Playoff field, impact of CCG's

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FearlessF

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Re: Playoff field, impact of CCG's
« Reply #182 on: December 14, 2024, 10:18:58 PM »
Because of participation trophies 
"Courage; Generosity; Fairness; Honor; In these are the true awards of manly sport."

Cincydawg

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Re: Playoff field, impact of CCG's
« Reply #183 on: December 16, 2024, 04:02:57 PM »


It's is weird that the four bye teams are down this list, two of them at the bottom almost.

utee94

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Re: Playoff field, impact of CCG's
« Reply #184 on: December 16, 2024, 04:26:43 PM »
FPI favors Texas so every team Texas plays or potentially plays before the NC game, is "down the list."


Cincydawg

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Re: Playoff field, impact of CCG's
« Reply #185 on: December 16, 2024, 04:30:55 PM »
The extra game should play into this even if Texas is 80% projected to win it, or whatever it is.




Cincydawg

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Re: Playoff field, impact of CCG's
« Reply #186 on: December 16, 2024, 04:43:48 PM »
UGA has to win three games in a row, which is better than those odds times 0.8.  So, Texas has a significant FPI number.

Cincydawg

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Re: Playoff field, impact of CCG's
« Reply #187 on: December 17, 2024, 05:50:07 AM »
I rather briefly watched some you tube videos last night of folks predicting this and that.  Suffice it to say they mostly disagreed, which is fine.  If enough "experts" predict outcomes, one or a few will be right and hailed as maestros of CFB, for a year.

As noted separately, the 12 teams this year (and more) all seem "quirky", capable of looking great one week and awful the next, losing to "NIU" and the like.  Ohio State has looked solid when played teams not having an "Mic" in their name.  UGA looks pretty good when playing Texas but not so much Kentucky and Tech, not to mention Ole Miss and a half against Bama.

What to do?  It's close to a crap shoot.  We could have four upsets this weekend, not likely, but I'd guess at least one will occur.  Then the experts will all tell us how Notre Dame didn't play anybody, their best win was "X", and Indiana exposed them.  Or he Vols were battle tested in the SEC and Ohio State was exposed.  Or how Penn State lost their backup QB.  One "expert" picked Clemson over Texas.  Why do we listen to these experts?  It reminds me of the stock prognosticators who often get paid Big Bucks to disagree.  If any of them really knew, they'd be investing, not yacking.

Historically, a 7 point dog will win about 1 time in 3, and we have 3 games in that range.

Cincydawg

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Re: Playoff field, impact of CCG's
« Reply #188 on: December 24, 2024, 12:56:54 PM »
Useless predictions:

Ohio State 34  Oregon 27
Notre Dame 23  UGA 20
Penn State 30  Boise State 17
Texas 38  ASU  20

SFBadger96

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Re: Playoff field, impact of CCG's
« Reply #189 on: December 24, 2024, 01:00:05 PM »

Historically, a 7 point dog will win about 1 time in 3, and we have 3 games in that range.
Which makes that win (1 in 3 times) an expected outcome. But it also makes the two losses expected outcomes. Statistics (and predictions) are a bear like that.

Cincydawg

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Re: Playoff field, impact of CCG's
« Reply #190 on: December 24, 2024, 01:00:12 PM »
The bowl teams get extra practices.  How many extra do the CFP teams get at each level?  A lot I gather.

FearlessF

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Re: Playoff field, impact of CCG's
« Reply #191 on: December 24, 2024, 01:00:56 PM »
Fearless predictions:
Ohio State 31  Oregon 28
Notre Dame 20  UGA 24
Penn State 31  Boise State 20
Texas 35  ASU  20
"Courage; Generosity; Fairness; Honor; In these are the true awards of manly sport."

medinabuckeye1

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bayareabadger

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Re: Playoff field, impact of CCG's
« Reply #193 on: December 25, 2024, 09:49:20 AM »
The bowl teams get extra practices.  How many extra do the CFP teams get at each level?  A lot I gather.
I think in all cases, it's as few or many as you want within the 20-hour rule. 

 

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