Perhaps the BEST B1G Forum anywhere, here at College Football Fan Site, CFB51!!!

takes money to make money

so the High Rollers put down a million and make $42,000 or even 10 million for $420,000

Yes, but it's all relative.  If I had a million, making $42,000 would seem to be kind of chump change unless I could do it every day.

And it's work.

Right on.  There are easier ways for the wealthy to get a 4.2% ROI.

Yep. And ways with much lower risk. 

It's 4.2% on average over the last 20 years, but some years it was negative return and some years positive higher than 4.2%. Lots of variance involved.

The only people that would do it would be someone who is very wealthy, yet enough of a degenerate gambler to bet $1M on college football bowl games every season, but also with the discipline to follow a rigidly formulated system rather than trusting their gut or own analysis for their bets. 

I'm assuming the Venn diagram of those three groups doesn't yield much overlap 

My sports gambling has always gone in waves, usually by sport.  I absolutely killed betting NBA games in the bubble just betting favorites to cover.  I used to do really well betting MLB games based on starting pitchers.  I almost think if you have a more generic strategy in a sport you don't follow as closely, you do better than if you "think" you know a lot, but aren't a sophisticated gambler.  I've never done well in football, NFL or college.  I used to do well in college basketball, but I think the house has caught up to some of the inefficiencies with the mid majors from the pre legalized gambling era.

I suspect in general, betting unders, particularly first quarter/half unders is a slight edge, because betting unders is a stressful way to live, so I think those numbers generally trend a little high, particularly for partial games.  I think you get teams whose low scoring (Iowa) becomes a narrative, so their full game O/U are probably accurate

How do you rank the bowl matchups?

By what?  Interest?

Obviously I'd put the 3 CFP games first.  We have two helmets, and we have two in state opponents, so the 1-2-3 is obvious to me.

Then I'm going with a combination of "give a shit" and caliber for the others.  Obviously Michigan-Alabama on paper would be great, if this was the 2002 Citrus Bowl.  Instead, the give a shit is very low, so meh.  So I'm going with if you told me I could only watch X many Big Ten bowl games, these are the ones I would pic

• CFP: Ohio State-Tennessee
• CFP: Indiana-Notre Dame
• CFP: Penn State-SMU
• Citrus: Illinois-South Carolina
• Las Vegas: USC-Texas A&M
• Music City: Iowa-Missouri
• Outback: Michigan-Alabama
• Pinstripe: Nebraska-Boston College
• Sun: Washington-Louisville
• Mayo: Minnesota-Virginia Tech
• Rate: Rutgers-Kansas State

Ed Zachary.  There are no technical market analyses that ensure positive returns in a meaningful enough way to get rich.  Anyone trying to sell you some, is a scam artist.  If anyone really did know how to do it, they wouldn't be telling others.

Those late-night infomercials of the past were fun.  

"Just placing these tiny little ads in newspapers across the country......."

better to be lucky

I've always been lucky