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Did the article say how often the beat the line?  Usually it's pretty close to even splits, with a few exceptions like ND.

I'm still mystified by the spread on this game.  I'd call it even myself.  I suppose the bettors think the UGA D will show up, and maybe they will.

I keep noting most games that are competitive hinge on turnovers, which are largely unpredictable.  UGA had two bad ones with Bama, without those, or with two in return, it would have had a very different score.

yeah, I am a little perplexed myself by the line as well.

Michigan is 11-2 ATS this year, best in the nation, UGA is 8-5.

The two games they didn't cover the spread- Rutgers and Michigan State. They were favored by 20 vs Rutgers, won by 7. Rutgers was a weird game, they were up 20-3 at half and McNamara missed two TD passes or they'd have been up even more. Second half they came out flat, dead, not wanting to be there almost- were never in danger of actually losing- but they should've steam-rolled Rutgers that 2nd half like they did first.

Michigan State- they were favored by 4 on the road, wound up losing by 4. They were up 16 points late in the 3rd QTR and should've been up 23 pts (bs overturned Aidan Hutchinson touchdown on D) - and wound up basically collapsing in the 4th QTR and Kenneth Walker III ran wild all over their asses, wound up losing 37-33.

Both of those were just kind of weird games. The 2nd half vs Rutgers they were just flat. And late in the 3rd and for the entire 4th QTR they just completely crapped their pants on the road vs Michigan State in a game that until that point they were in control of.

Their other 11 games they covered the spread. Michigan was under-dogs in two games, +2.5 @ Wisconsin and +7 vs Ohio State, and they won both games by double digits. They beat Wisconsin by 21 and Ohio State by 15.

As I noted, often beating the spread is a result of turnovers, and vice versa.  I think it's an underappreciated factor in outcomes because it's largely unpredictable.

Well Michigan hasn't generated that many turnovers on defense, but at the same time they haven't turned it over much on offense. When you're beating the spread 90% of the time- I'd say that's a trend- that Vegas isn't doing a good job evaluating/predicting a team properly- and that it's something probably not dependent upon turnovers- especially when said team isn't great at generating turnovers.

I merely note that WHEN a team fails to beat a spread, or beats it handily, it's often because of TOs.  That is unrelated to how many they may generate or cause over an entire season.  

When UGA loses to a dog, it's usually because of a rash of TOs in my experience, like the USCe game a couple years back.  And it's largely unpredictable.

I merely note that WHEN a team fails to beat a spread, or beats it handily, it's often because of TOs.  That is unrelated to how many they may generate or cause over an entire season. 

When UGA loses to a dog, it's usually because of a rash of TOs in my experience, like the USCe game a couple years back.  And it's largely unpredictable.

Oh. Ok. Got ya. Having said that, throw all the numbers and stats away. I don't think they can predict anything. I truly believe these are two very closely matched teams. It will be a battle. Team with the ball last might be the one that wins it.

2022 signee and early enrollee 5* CB Will Johnson (6'3, 190) - the #20 player overall in the nation and #4 CB in the 247Composite- has been practicing with the Michigan team during their Orange Bowl practices. He'll also be flying down with the team to practice in Florida. Too bad he can't play lol.

Kid will have bowl practices + spring practices + fall camp. I'm going to go out on a limb here and say he'll be a starter in 2022 or at very least play a ton. He's drawn comparisons to Stephon Gilmore and Richard Sherman. His father played safety at Michigan and had a brief stint in NFL- but was not the physical specimen or highly touted recruit that son Will is.

I think college spreads aren't as reliable as NFL. I was watching ESPNews one Sunday morning recently and they had the show I was watching (Fantasy Football Now) in the main screen but a sidebar with a whole bunch of data on the upcoming NFL games. Almost every team was within one game of .500 ATS. I doubt you see that in college results NEARLY as often. 

NFL teams talent-wise are more evenly matched. Plus, kids vs grown men. I think it's probably more common for kids to ride waves of emotion, play up or down to competition, and have personal/school problems bleed into games. Probably not as much for NFL players, who are seasoned vets and well, professionals.

Literally grown-ass men vs boys.