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Topic: Odds we have a football season poll

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Hawkinole

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Re: Odds we have a football season poll
« Reply #56 on: July 04, 2020, 07:20:13 PM »
It's a cluster fuq and no sports season will be completed.
Iowa started its HS baseball and softball season. Multiple area schools "suspended" their season after players tested positive. Some are now restarting their seasons after 14-days.

In baseball and softball, players are mostly socially distanced. This is in contrast with football, and wrestling.

However, in baseball and softball, players and staff are sitting in the same dugout, which they don't have to do. They could maintain more distance. We live one-block from the HS softball park. When I hear the school bus start, it makes me cringe. I noticed one school brought two school buses.

I am concerned how this will spread when the kids return to school. I am not seeing much on efforts to contain the spread at school.

Over the past week, Iowa is trending upward on a rising curve, but Iowa is not trending as sharply upward as Texas, Florida, and Arizona. The prior week it was slightly downward. It probably takes two weeks to determine if there is a trend. Unlike Europe, Iowa has not mashed down the curve.

Coming back to football, it seems schools will wait until the last possible moment to decide. We were going to start in the Fall, but I see there is some sentiment building over waiting until spring. If a vaccine that could be distributed by February were expected, the Spring argument would make sense. 

If the early vaccines are only 50% effective, and only 50% get the vaccine, there will still be considerable spread.






« Last Edit: July 04, 2020, 07:25:32 PM by Hawkinole »

GopherRock

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Re: Odds we have a football season poll
« Reply #57 on: July 04, 2020, 08:56:32 PM »
In baseball and softball, players are mostly socially distanced. This is in contrast with football, and wrestling.
Can't social distance on a crash play at the plate. 

OrangeAfroMan

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Re: Odds we have a football season poll
« Reply #58 on: July 04, 2020, 09:02:10 PM »

I am concerned how this will spread when the kids return to school. I am not seeing much on efforts to contain the spread at school.
A lot of online learning, but for in-person learning, they'll have nightly disinfecting of high-touch surfaces, with masks on at all times.  Good luck with that with K-2 students.  

Basically, all the kids are being herded back to school for 2 reasons, both of them legit:
1 - kids being home hamstrings the economy
2 - kids being home all-day, every-day is driving people nuts
“The Swamp is where Gators live.  We feel comfortable there, but we hope our opponents feel tentative. A swamp is hot and sticky and can be dangerous." - Steve Spurrier

betarhoalphadelta

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Re: Odds we have a football season poll
« Reply #59 on: July 05, 2020, 01:14:23 AM »

2 - kids being home all-day, every-day is driving people nuts
My kids need to go back the fvck to school. 

And I only have them 40% of the time. 

Cincydawg

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Re: Odds we have a football season poll
« Reply #60 on: July 05, 2020, 07:44:44 AM »
I think any vaccine will be highly effective, some people may not respond to it.  Thus far, we have apparently one strain of COVID, perhaps with some slight modifications.  It does not appear to be splitting or morphing very fast (I think).  Even if half the people get vaccinated, it slows down the spread, it just won't stop it.  And the other half probably will get it over time.

Then Bill Gates will be able to track me as I go about my daily routine.

Honestbuckeye

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Re: Odds we have a football season poll
« Reply #61 on: July 06, 2020, 09:34:34 AM »
Get your facts first, then you can distort them as you please.
-Mark Twain

FearlessF

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Re: Odds we have a football season poll
« Reply #62 on: July 06, 2020, 10:51:25 AM »
might be very weird 
"Courage; Generosity; Fairness; Honor; In these are the true awards of manly sport."

Hawkinole

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Re: Odds we have a football season poll
« Reply #63 on: July 06, 2020, 11:22:44 AM »
My thinking has morphed the past week. I am of the opinion college presidents will delay the season until spring in the hope a vaccine will be available.

I suspect the season will not be delayed until after regular football practices start, and the problems of playing football during a pandemic become more directly apparent. Here is an opinion piece on this topic from the Louisville Courier Journal: https://www.usatoday.com/story/sports/college/2020/07/06/college-football-2020-sports-feasibility-question-due-covid/5380335002/

The writer quotes a computer sciences professor, rather than an epidemiologist, but what the professor says makes sense: "University of Illinois computer science professor Sheldon Jacobson has told CBS Sports to expect a 30-50% infection rate among the Football Bowl Subdivision’s 13,000 players, with between three and seven deaths attributable to COVID-19."

Cincydawg

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Re: Odds we have a football season poll
« Reply #64 on: July 06, 2020, 11:44:55 AM »
If we see a 30% infection rate among younger people, or just college age students, and I think it possible, everything will shut down whether government does it or just fear.


847badgerfan

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Re: Odds we have a football season poll
« Reply #65 on: July 06, 2020, 11:45:50 AM »
I truly don't believe that we will see football until 2021. There will be a hole in the history books, missing the 2020 season.
U RAH RAH! WIS CON SIN!

Cincydawg

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Re: Odds we have a football season poll
« Reply #66 on: July 06, 2020, 11:51:04 AM »
The NFL could self quarantine and possibly play, but everyone would have to reside in a bubble.  Baseball has already messed up.

Once a single player tests positive, it's basically over.

FearlessF

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Re: Odds we have a football season poll
« Reply #67 on: July 06, 2020, 12:01:37 PM »
the Huskers will try to play football unless they are completely shutdown by the Big 10 or the NCAA

it might look like the 1918 schedule, but they will play exhibition games

1918

Iowa
Omaha Balloon
Kansas
Camp Dodge
Notre Dame
Washington (MO) in St. Louis
"Courage; Generosity; Fairness; Honor; In these are the true awards of manly sport."

Hawkinole

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Re: Odds we have a football season poll
« Reply #68 on: July 06, 2020, 12:09:46 PM »
Even if it is just Fall football that is at risk, with possibility it could be played in the Spring, there will  be dramatic cuts to salaries in football and basketball coaching. I would think volleyball, basketball, hockey, college wrestling, and soccer seasons are all at risk of not being played.

College gymnastics could become a popular TV spectator sport.

MichiFan87

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Re: Odds we have a football season poll
« Reply #69 on: July 06, 2020, 01:14:20 PM »
Some D3 and NAIA schools have already cancelled their seasons. A couple D1 games have been cancelled, primarily related to the Patriot League's travel restrictions and neutral site games, primarily involving HBCUs.

The Ivy League is about to move all fall sports to the spring. Just like they were the first to cancel their basketball tournaments and spring sports, everyone else will follow their announcement. Nobody else wants to be first, though.
“When your team is winning, be ready to be tough, because winning can make you soft. On the other hand, when your team is losing, stick by them. Keep believing”
― Bo Schembechler

 

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