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Topic: Odds we have a football season poll

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Cincydawg

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Re: Odds we have a football season poll
« Reply #1176 on: September 23, 2020, 08:40:47 AM »
As I said, the plan is looking shaky at the moment.  Baseball appears to be working, but those are pros, not college students.

Some CFB teams may be able to "hold it together".  But will enough?  Take the SEC, imagine Vandy and Mizzou have to shut it down, they lose 7 or 10 players and can't practice.  Even if the other 12 have no outbreak, does that shut it all down?

I'd put the chances of completing a ten game season at less than 50% right now.

I don't know what over/under is, maybe 4 games?
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OrangeAfroMan

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Re: Odds we have a football season poll
« Reply #1177 on: September 23, 2020, 01:24:06 PM »
Well it's about the math (again).  

Team A will play all 10 games, no problem.  But only because there are enough teams playing that somebody winds up getting lucky.
Team B will play 3 games and shut it down.  
Team C will play 8 games.
And so on.

And it's a roll of the dice as to which cluster of teams (ie conference) has enough lucky teams towards that end of the spectrum.
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ELA

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Re: Odds we have a football season poll
« Reply #1178 on: September 23, 2020, 01:32:25 PM »
Quote from: OrangeAfroMan on September 23, 2020, 01:24:06 PM
Well it's about the math (again). 

Team A will play all 10 games, no problem.  But only because there are enough teams playing that somebody winds up getting lucky.
Team B will play 3 games and shut it down. 
Team C will play 8 games.
And so on.

And it's a roll of the dice as to which cluster of teams (ie conference) has enough lucky teams towards that end of the spectrum.
That's why I'm struggling to care.  I don't love football enough to watch non-MSU spring games, or NFL preseason games, and that's kind of what this feels like.  A bunch of random disconnected games.  It sucks, bad.  We are all here for a reason, we love college football, but this ain't it.
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betarhoalphadelta

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Re: Odds we have a football season poll
« Reply #1179 on: September 23, 2020, 01:36:06 PM »
Quote from: ELA on September 23, 2020, 01:32:25 PM
That's why I'm struggling to care.  I don't love football enough to watch non-MSU spring games, or NFL preseason games, and that's kind of what this feels like.  A bunch of random disconnected games.  It sucks, bad.  We are all here for a reason, we love college football, but this ain't it.
Heck, I often have trouble getting my energy up to watch non-Purdue and non-B1G games. Often if there's a big matchup on, I'll have it on the TV, but not give it tons of attention. 

That said, for any game with Purdue on the TV this fall, I'll be tuned in. So if it's 2 games or 9 games, I'll watch. 
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FearlessF

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Re: Odds we have a football season poll
« Reply #1180 on: September 23, 2020, 01:36:48 PM »
I was struggling to care when the Husker's games were cancelled

if the Huskers strap on pads and play a game or a few games or 9 games, I will care about every snap

there will be a huge asterisk on the 2020 season, but I'll be watching

I think there "could be" many more games if the games weren't postponed or cancelled because 7 players on one team test positive the week of the game.
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utee94

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Re: Odds we have a football season poll
« Reply #1181 on: September 23, 2020, 01:44:13 PM »
Quote from: FearlessF on September 23, 2020, 01:36:48 PM
I was struggling to care when the Husker's games were cancelled

if the Huskers strap on pads and play a game or a few games or 9 games, I will care about every snap

there will be a huge asterisk on the 2020 season, but I'll be watching

I think there "could be" many more games if the games weren't postponed or cancelled because 7 players on one team test positive the week of the game.
I can't speak for the B1G, but in the B12 it's not necessarily 7 players, rather it's about percentages available within position groups.  If too many players from one position group can't go, then it gets to the point where it's unsafe, because you'll be plugging in players that just don't have enough experience at a position, to play the game safely.
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FearlessF

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Re: Odds we have a football season poll
« Reply #1182 on: September 23, 2020, 01:49:28 PM »
I was referring to Notre Dame's 7 players testing positive.

I understand not publishing the list of players.

I suppose if all 7 players were O-linemen or RBs or WRs (one position group) that would be a good reason.

IMO, if's it comes down to a couple 3rd stringers getting a chance to play, they should be ready.  This has happened in the past due to many other reasons.
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longhorn320

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Re: Odds we have a football season poll
« Reply #1183 on: September 23, 2020, 01:51:07 PM »
Quote from: FearlessF on September 23, 2020, 01:49:28 PM
I was referring to Notre Dame's 7 players testing positive.

I understand not publishing the list of players.

I suppose if all 7 players were O-linemen or RBs or WRs (one position group) that would be a good reason.

IMO, if's it comes down to a couple 3rd stringers getting a chance to play, they should be ready.  This has happened in the past due to many other reasons.
time for iron man football
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FearlessF

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Re: Odds we have a football season poll
« Reply #1184 on: September 23, 2020, 02:05:43 PM »
that's how the Huskers handled the 1918 season
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utee94

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Re: Odds we have a football season poll
« Reply #1185 on: September 23, 2020, 03:27:41 PM »
Quote from: FearlessF on September 23, 2020, 01:49:28 PM
I was referring to Notre Dame's 7 players testing positive.

I understand not publishing the list of players.

I suppose if all 7 players were O-linemen or RBs or WRs (one position group) that would be a good reason.

IMO, if's it comes down to a couple 3rd stringers getting a chance to play, they should be ready.  This has happened in the past due to many other reasons.
If only 7 players are preventing a team from playing, then yes, it's my assumption that one or two position groups are heavily over-represented.
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FearlessF

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Re: Odds we have a football season poll
« Reply #1186 on: September 23, 2020, 03:31:09 PM »
yes, the Big Ten has also given guidelines for percentages of position groups

sissies
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betarhoalphadelta

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Re: Odds we have a football season poll
« Reply #1187 on: September 23, 2020, 03:32:37 PM »
Quote from: utee94 on September 23, 2020, 03:27:41 PM
If only 7 players are preventing a team from playing, then yes, it's my assumption that one or two position groups are heavily over-represented.
Which of course makes sense. To a large extent one position group can more easily be distanced from another position group. The wide receivers aren't stuck in the same room watching film as the defensive linemen. But all the wide receivers would be in one room studying film together. 

So I'd expect the clusters to hit position groups more than I'd expect infections to be evenly distributed amongst the roster. 
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ELA

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Re: Odds we have a football season poll
« Reply #1188 on: September 23, 2020, 04:51:19 PM »
Quote from: bwarbiany on September 23, 2020, 01:36:06 PM
Heck, I often have trouble getting my energy up to watch non-Purdue and non-B1G games. Often if there's a big matchup on, I'll have it on the TV, but not give it tons of attention.

That said, for any game with Purdue on the TV this fall, I'll be tuned in. So if it's 2 games or 9 games, I'll watch.
Yeah, I should say, I'll still watch MSU games.  But that's about it
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utee94

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Re: Odds we have a football season poll
« Reply #1189 on: September 23, 2020, 05:00:31 PM »
I don't find myself any less interested in college football than before.

If anything, I might be more appreciative, knowing what these players are overcoming to play the game, and knowing we potentially won't have it all season long.

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