Iowa also.
They have the trip to Happy Valley, but besides that? They are a bear in Iowa City, and get Wisconsin, Northwestern and Nebraska all at home, plus no MSU, UM or OSU. After that road trip to Penn State, the 3 (yes, only 3) other road games are Purdue, Minnesota and Indiana. They are #40, and I have to assume on paper right now are favorites in 10 of 12 games. The committee has gotten better about looking at schedule at the top, but as you move down, not so much, that easy schedule aside, I think a 10-2 Iowa team would be top 15 at worst.