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Topic: Iowa (1-1, 3-2) at #3 Ohio State (2-0, 5-0) Post Game

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Hawkinole

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Iowa (1-1, 3-2) at #3 Ohio State (2-0, 5-0) Post Game
« on: September 29, 2024, 06:45:53 PM »
I will get this started. Iowa is coming off a bye week. Ohio State is coming off a lopsided win at MSU.
Oddsmakers have this pegged in favor of Ohio State (-20.5).
Iowa's last foray into Columbus in the Fall 2022 resulted in a 54-10 defeat. Iowa's offense had six turnovers. Iowa's lone touchdown was scored on a fumble, scoop and score.
Ohio State 2024 is loaded at receiver, and has an elite passing attack. Iowa's 2024 defense has given up some big passing plays, but it appears that was largely corrected in Game 4 after a change of personnel at CB. 
Iowa had 2 INTs against Minnesota. Its defense seems to be back to its old mischief under Phil Parker' tutelage.
Iowa offense is a bit more robust ranked at 65th in total offense this year compared with 133rd a year ago.
Ohio St. offense is ranked 5th in total offense.
Iowa defense is ranked 18th in total defense.
Ohio State defense is ranked 2nd in total defense.
Ohio State is ranked 58th in net punting, Iowa 74th.
One metric Iowa is slightly better at than Ohio State is turnover margin.
Two things to think about, though: (1) Iowa will have had two weeks to prepare. (2) The team that kept Ohio State out of the playoffs a year ago is the following week - young men's minds may wander.
This game is at Ohio Stadium. The oddsmakers have it about right.




« Last Edit: October 06, 2024, 11:02:23 AM by ELA »
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MaximumSam

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Re: Iowa (3-1) (1-0) at #3 Ohio State (4-0) (1-0) - (CBS 3:30 p.m. ET)
« Reply #1 on: September 29, 2024, 08:00:17 PM »
Kaleb Johnson has been truly special for Iowa, perhaps the best back in the league. OSU's defense has looked a bit meh at times, so if Iowa can put a few drives together, they have plenty of defense and can make this a game. OSU has been money running the ball and hitting the quick passing routes, but Will Howard hasn't looked comfortable throwing down the field. Against the better defenses, like Iowa's, you have to hit some of those.
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FearlessF

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Re: Iowa (3-1) (1-0) at #3 Ohio State (4-0) (1-0) - (CBS 3:30 p.m. ET)
« Reply #2 on: September 29, 2024, 09:46:58 PM »
Kaleb Johnson has been truly special for Iowa, but probably won't have the same success vs the Buckeyes

I see the spread about right

21 points
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Hawkinole

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Re: Iowa (3-1) (1-0) at #3 Ohio State (4-0) (1-0) - (CBS 3:30 p.m. ET)
« Reply #3 on: September 29, 2024, 10:54:59 PM »
I think it will end up being a two-score game in favor of the Buckeyes.
While I said the spread is about right in my initial post, that's because I think that's where I would start it, too. While the Buckeyes could really salt Iowa away, the Iowa defense could be seen improving in the second half of the Iowa-Minnesota game. Defenders are now going for picks.
Iowa has a new offensive coordinator in Tim Lester, and by giving him a bye week to continue to teach his offense helps Iowa. Iowa's offense played against Iowa State's defense which is 4th in giving up fewest PPG. So Iowa has been up against an elite defense. Can Ohio State score more than 20 on Iowa's defense? I think they can.

If I were a betting man, I would bet against the spread. Deer Vision 34 - Hawk Vision 20
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LittlePig

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Re: Iowa (3-1) (1-0) at #3 Ohio State (4-0) (1-0) - (CBS 3:30 p.m. ET)
« Reply #4 on: September 29, 2024, 10:59:58 PM »
Iowa and Ohio St do not have much recent history since they did not play much when the 2 teams were in opposite divisions from 2011-2023.  The last 5 meetings

2022  - @OSU 54,  Iowa 10
2017 -  @Iowa 55,  OSU 24
2013 -  @OSU 34,  Iowa 24
2010 - OSU 20,  @Iowa 17 (win vacated by OSU)
2009 - @OSU 27,  Iowa 24 (OT)

Strangely enough Iowa and Ohio St have never played each other in the official Big Ten championship game, even though Ohio St has appeared in 5 CCG and Iowa has appeared in 3 CCG.

Also the last time Ohio St won in Iowa City was 2010,  a win technically vacated by OSU,  but Iowa's home winning streak in the series is safe until at least  2026,  because Saturday's game is in Columbus and the 2nd straight game in the series that Iowa is the road team.

The last time Iowa won in Columbus was 1991.  A game memorable because Iowa played in all black helmets after a mass shooting on the Iowa campus the day before. 
« Last Edit: September 30, 2024, 07:54:48 AM by LittlePig »
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LittlePig

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Re: Iowa (1-0, 3-1) at #3 Ohio State (1-0, 4-0) Game Week
« Reply #5 on: September 30, 2024, 08:11:56 PM »
I really don't expect Iowa to do any better than Mich St did against Ohio St.  Final score could be about the same.

Ohio St 38,  Iowa 7
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FearlessF

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Re: Iowa (1-0, 3-1) at #3 Ohio State (1-0, 4-0) Game Week
« Reply #6 on: September 30, 2024, 08:47:01 PM »
I agree.

I think Iowa's offense will struggle
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Brutus Buckeye

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Re: Iowa (1-0, 3-1) at #3 Ohio State (1-0, 4-0) Game Week
« Reply #7 on: September 30, 2024, 09:13:21 PM »
Iowa's TEs tend to have career days vs OSU, or at least it seems that way. 
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Hawkinole

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Re: Iowa (1-0, 3-1) at #3 Ohio State (1-0, 4-0) Game Week
« Reply #8 on: October 01, 2024, 04:41:31 PM »
I like heartwarming stories. 
Iowa plays up to three tight ends in its offensive sets. Iowa’s top tight end, is Luke Lachey. His dad is Jim Lachey, past All American O-Lineman at Ohio State, who is Ohio State’s color commentator on radio broadcasts. The dad doesn't get to see his youngest son most football Saturdays, whereas his wife and kids, do. He will get to see his son play this Saturday.
Here is a heart warming article in advance of this weekend’s Iowa @ Ohio State game: Iowa football: Luke Lachey's family is all-in for return to Ohio State (hawkcentral.com)

 

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ELA

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Re: Iowa (1-0, 3-1) at #3 Ohio State (1-0, 4-0) Game Week
« Reply #9 on: October 01, 2024, 05:04:41 PM »
Quote from: Hawkinole on October 01, 2024, 04:41:31 PM
I like heartwarming stories.
Iowa plays up to three tight ends in its offensive sets. Iowa’s top tight end, is Luke Lachey. His dad is Jim Lachey, past All American O-Lineman at Ohio State, who is Ohio State’s color commentator on radio broadcasts. The dad doesn't get to see his youngest son most football Saturdays, whereas his wife and kids, do. He will get to see his son play this Saturday.
Here is a heart warming article in advance of this weekend’s Iowa @ Ohio State game: Iowa football: Luke Lachey's family is all-in for return to Ohio State (hawkcentral.com)
If only their cousin, noted crooner Nick Lachey, had saved his money
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ELA

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Re: Iowa (1-0, 3-1) at #3 Ohio State (1-0, 4-0) Game Week
« Reply #10 on: October 01, 2024, 05:06:09 PM »
Ohio State 28, Iowa 9
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Mdot21

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Re: Iowa (1-0, 3-1) at #3 Ohio State (1-0, 4-0) Game Week
« Reply #11 on: October 01, 2024, 08:31:58 PM »
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FearlessF

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Re: Iowa (1-0, 3-1) at #3 Ohio State (1-0, 4-0) Game Week
« Reply #12 on: October 01, 2024, 09:25:31 PM »
I blame Brian
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Brutus Buckeye

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Re: Iowa (1-0, 3-1) at #3 Ohio State (1-0, 4-0) Game Week
« Reply #13 on: October 06, 2024, 08:51:55 AM »

The stiff arm catch was just nuts. 

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