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Topic: Remaining Undefeated, 1-Loss, and Winless Teams Before Week 6

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ohio1317

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Remaining Undefeated, 1-Loss, and Winless Teams Before Week 6
« on: October 05, 2017, 10:42:23 AM »
Teams with 1st Loss Week 5:
 Duke
 Southern California
 Memphis
 Wake Forest
 Virginia Tech
 Texas Tech
 Minnesota
 
 Teams with 2nd Loss Week 5:

 Iowa State
 Illinois
 Northwestern
 Indiana
 Iowa
 Southern Mississippi
 Eastern Michigan
 Tennessee
 Vanderbilt
 Louisiana State
 Mississippi State
 South Carolina
 Mississippi
 Northern Illinois
 California
 Colorado
 
 Teams with 1st Win week 5:

 Florida State
 
 Percent of Undefeated Teams with 1st Loss

 Week 0/1: 36.15% (47/130)
 Week 2: 37.35% (31/83)
 Week 3: 28.85% (15/52)
 Week 4: 35.13% (13/37)
 Week 5: 29.17% (7 of 24)
 
 Maximum possible Undefeated Teams at End of the Regular Season:

 8: No change from last week.
 
 Week 5 Thoughts:

 -Once again, the PAC-12 North is left looking like the stronger division despite more initial attention in the south. That seems to have happened a lot last few years with UCLA never living up to potential and USC not quite able to regain its dominance. For the moment, 2 of the 3 PAC’s undefeated teams are in the north with Washington and Washington State (Utah is in the south).
 
 -Florida State started the season as the clear leader in the ACC, but that role is completely Clemson’s now. The Seminoles are struggling and will be a long shot vs. the Tigers if things continue this way while Clemson now has a lot of its tougher games already played (that said, they have talent to turn this around).
 
 -San Diego State vs. Northern Illinois was a game that had potential importance for the Group of 5 NY6 bowl. Northern Illinois already had a loss, but also had a win vs. Nebraska (which might or might not be good). San Diego State was the last undefeated team from the Mountain West and there weren’t even any 1-loss teams left. San Diego State won.
 
 -Speaking of the G5 bid to a NY6 bowl, the American has the most teams in the running and is looking more and more to me like the race will be between Central and South Florida as being best in the conference.
 
 Week 6 Thoughts:

 -We have no games between undefeated teams this week. We have some games between undefeated and 1-loss teams or between 1-loss teams. Louisville plays North Carolina State Thursday. Wake Forest plays at undefeated Clemson, Duke plays at Virginia, West Virginia plays undefeated TCU, Maryland plays at Ohio State, SMU plays at Houston, undefeated Alabama plays at Texas A&M, Michigan State plays at undefeated Michigan, undefeated Washington State plays at Oregon.
 
 -The game that stands out most to me there from a wider perspective is actually Washington State vs. Oregon. Washington State is only a slight favorite here, but win this and they really do look like Washington’s biggest challenger in the north.
 
 -Other game to watch: Miami vs. Florida State got moved to this weekend because of Hurricane Irma. It wasn’t listed above as Florida State has 2 losses, but while undefeated Miami is only about a 3 point favorite. Will be a very good test to see how much a factor Miami might be for the ACC Championship race this year.
 
 Remaining Undefeated Teams:
ACC: 2, American: 3, Big 12: 2, Big Ten: 3, Conference USA: 1, Mountain West: 1, PAC-12: 3, SEC: 2, total: 17
 Clemson
 Miami (FL)
 Oklahoma
 South Florida
 Michigan
 Penn State
 Wisconsin
 Central Florida
 San Diego State
 Texas Christian
 Utah
 Washington
 Washington State
 Georgia
 Alabama
 Navy
 UTSA
 
 One-Loss Teams:
ACC: 7, American: 3, Big 12: 4, Big Ten: 4, Conference USA: 2, MAC: 2, Mountain West: 0, PAC-12: 2, SEC: 4, Sun Belt: 1, independents: 1, total: 30
 Southern Methodist
 Virginia
 Georgia Tech
 Louisville
 North Carolina State
 Kansas State
 West Virginia
 Ohio State
 Marshall
 Florida International
 Notre Dame
 Ohio U.
 Toledo
 Texas A&M
 Auburn
 Florida
 Troy
 Oklahoma State
 Kentucky
 Oregon
 Houston
 Maryland
 Michigan State
 Duke
 Southern California
 Memphis
 Wake Forest
 Virginia Tech
 Texas Tech
 Minnesota
 
 Remaining Winless Teams:
ACC: 0, Big 12: 1, Conference USA: 2, MAC: 1, Mountain West: 1, Sun Belt: 1, independents: 1, total: 7
 Baylor
 Charlotte
 UTEP
 Massachusetts
 Bowling Green
 Nevada
 Georgia Southern

Brutus Buckeye

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Re: Remaining Undefeated, 1-Loss, and Winless Teams Before Week 6
« Reply #1 on: October 05, 2017, 11:24:23 AM »
If Navy runs the table, I could see a patriotism bump by the playoff selection committee that would gift them a 4-seed. 

That said, I don't see 'em beating Notre Dame this year. 
1919, 20, 21, 28, 29, 31, 34, 35, 36, 37, 42, 44
WWH: 1952, 54, 55, 57, 58, 60, 61, 62, 63, 65, 67, 68, 70, 72, 74, 75
1979, 81, 82, 84, 87, 94, 98
2001, 02, 04, 05, 06, 07, 08, 09, 10, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19

Cincydawg

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Re: Remaining Undefeated, 1-Loss, and Winless Teams Before Week 6
« Reply #2 on: October 05, 2017, 11:47:58 AM »
https://www.sbnation.com/college-football/2017/8/2/16081440/unbeaten-teams-at-this-point-in-the-season-normal-average
Over the next weeks, the average has been 12, 10, 8, 5, 4, 3, 3, 2 ...
So, on average, 4-5 would lose this week.

 

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