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Topic: OT-Politics Thread: please TRY to keep it civil, you damned dirty apes

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Cincydawg

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Re: OT-Catch all thread - Personal attacks will result in a time out
« Reply #34776 on: July 20, 2024, 08:07:35 AM »
not judging


take any 5 states and compare his to other polls and he comes out favoring the dems over anybody else

just use recent polls
They all use the same cluster of polls for the most part.  Nate has a very different method of deciding who is ahead based on far more than polls.  He's been pretty good in the past.  If he consistently projected Democrats as being stronger than they ended up being, he'd lose any credibility he has, I think, and drop off the radar.

Honestbuckeye

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Re: OT-Catch all thread - Personal attacks will result in a time out
« Reply #34777 on: July 20, 2024, 08:12:47 AM »
Well written, but I don't see that the economy is slowing, other than perhaps it is going from an inflationary economy to one without inflation (June 2024), to perhaps low inflation -- we shall see in coming months.
I don't think Biden can win, and I expect him to bow out. I would say that for Democrats, the sooner the better, although I saw some arguing tonight, then you won't have anyone at the top of the ticket for 3-weeks. I don't see that hurting. You would have a flurry of campaigners getting a lot of news coverage.
If Biden does what he should, and retires from the campaign, what you will see is increasing focus on Trump's age, inability to recognize fact vs. fiction, and lack of mental acuity -- the very same issues why the electorate wants Biden to exit. With the focus on just one candidate's mental acuity, for 2-months, and a good economy, it spells doom for Trump.
However, if Biden remains in, it spells doom for him.

While I agree on the potentially doom for Trump, it will not be about mental acuity or age.  That’s not a winning argument.  Guy is sharp as a tack.

it will be that he can’t stop talking like a narcissistic a-hole. 
Get your facts first, then you can distort them as you please.
-Mark Twain

Cincydawg

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Re: OT-Catch all thread - Personal attacks will result in a time out
« Reply #34778 on: July 20, 2024, 08:15:49 AM »
Trump had a good chance at the convention to give a 25 minutes speech mostly calling for reconciliation blah blah, and apparently he didn't.  He is the best asset the Democrats have.  He doesn't NEED to convince his supporters, he needs to convince suburban moms et al.

FearlessF

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Re: OT-Catch all thread - Personal attacks will result in a time out
« Reply #34779 on: July 20, 2024, 08:35:30 AM »
Trump isn't that smart or just can't help himself or the country

but, he's WAY smarter than Joe and Kamala put together
"Courage; Generosity; Fairness; Honor; In these are the true awards of manly sport."

Cincydawg

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Re: OT-Catch all thread - Personal attacks will result in a time out
« Reply #34780 on: July 20, 2024, 08:37:19 AM »
At this point, I think a candidate in Trump's position would be well served to simply mouth "coach speak" for the rest of the cycle.  The usual blather we hear from politicians about helping the middle class and working man.

FearlessF

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Re: OT-Catch all thread - Personal attacks will result in a time out
« Reply #34781 on: July 20, 2024, 08:42:22 AM »
never gonna happen

even though I'm sure he's been given this advice
"Courage; Generosity; Fairness; Honor; In these are the true awards of manly sport."

Cincydawg

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Re: OT-Catch all thread - Personal attacks will result in a time out
« Reply #34782 on: July 20, 2024, 08:54:27 AM »
I'm betting nobody anywhere makes an effort to "give Trump advice".  I'm sure some have tried, and stopped the attempt.


longhorn320

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Re: OT-Catch all thread - Personal attacks will result in a time out
« Reply #34783 on: July 20, 2024, 09:46:37 AM »
While I agree on the potentially doom for Trump, it will not be about mental acuity or age.  That’s not a winning argument.  Guy is sharp as a tack.

it will be that he can’t stop talking like a narcissistic a-hole. 
but he has always done that 

the voters know how he is
They won't let me give blood anymore. The burnt orange color scares the hell out of the doctors.

MrNubbz

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Re: OT-Catch all thread - Personal attacks will result in a time out
« Reply #34784 on: July 20, 2024, 10:16:17 AM »
never gonna happen

even though I'm sure he's been given this advice
I didn't see/hear his speech but evidently like all narcissists he couldn't help himself from bellowing contempt and scorn from his blowhole. His only redeeming quality seemingly is as FF said is "he's WAY smarter than Joe and Kamala put together". And he wouldn't commit treason by opening the borders to the malevolent drag on US Taxpayers sashaying across. And all of those that arranged that should be given a Texas neck tie party
“I refuse to answer that question on the grounds that I don't know the answer”― Douglas Adams

Mdot21

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Re: OT-Catch all thread - Personal attacks will result in a time out
« Reply #34785 on: July 20, 2024, 06:11:16 PM »
Trump had a good chance at the convention to give a 25 minutes speech mostly calling for reconciliation blah blah, and apparently he didn't.  He is the best asset the Democrats have.  He doesn't NEED to convince his supporters, he needs to convince suburban moms et al.
agreed. his speech started off very well and then he just wound up going off-script and rambling on for 93 minutes. 

he should've hired a great speech writer and stuck to script and kept it to 30 minutes and just tried to keep it all about bringing the country together. he had the perfect moment to really seize this thing after what happened to him and he failed. 

Biden's dementia is hurting Biden, Trump's ego is hurting Trump. Biden unfortunately can't do anything about his mental decline, you'd think Trump could do something about trying to shed the ego and show some humility and self-control. 

OrangeAfroMan

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Re: OT-Catch all thread - Personal attacks will result in a time out
« Reply #34786 on: July 20, 2024, 06:17:14 PM »
 Biden unfortunately can't do anything about his mental decline, you'd think Trump could do something about trying to shed the ego and show some humility and self-control.
You've been a certain way for 80 years...change isn't happening.  Might as well be a medical condition.
“The Swamp is where Gators live.  We feel comfortable there, but we hope our opponents feel tentative. A swamp is hot and sticky and can be dangerous." - Steve Spurrier

Mdot21

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Re: OT-Catch all thread - Personal attacks will result in a time out
« Reply #34787 on: July 20, 2024, 06:19:21 PM »
Did it (not necessarily Trump, but the opening acts) remind anyone of this?


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CNsCwg5MxP0
Hulk Hogan ripping his shirt off immediately reminded me of Idiocracy. And I can't even lie. I loved it.

Mdot21

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Re: OT-Catch all thread - Personal attacks will result in a time out
« Reply #34788 on: July 20, 2024, 06:25:33 PM »
I think Harris would fare much better than Joe. 

The Dems have a solid base ( as does Trump).  But there are so many people that were hesitant because of Joe’s rapid decline.  A new candidate ( no matter how incoherent) will revive them.  And, Trump just handed them a truck full of ammo. 
Harris was an identity politics DEI hire and a great insurance policy by Joe, and she's a major liability to the Dems right now. She'd fare even worse than Joe in an election imo. She is truly a moron in every sense of the word. Loved that primary debate back when Tulsi Gabbard destroyed her and derailed Kamala's campaign. 


https://youtu.be/BSFxDxENgUw?si=fzNyh7J1lWbx9LnD&t=24


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qbEp7nBd2W0

Mdot21

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Re: OT-Catch all thread - Personal attacks will result in a time out
« Reply #34789 on: July 20, 2024, 06:32:10 PM »
DNC ratings might be higher if Joe stays in, but they could  go higher if he's out.  A lot of folks might watch dribs and drabs, and then tune out.  I would read a few summaries the next day to see if anything monumental happened.  Life goes on.

I'm reading on Facebook that Trump is worse than Hitler.
Never got the insane Hitler crap. it's like...get back to me when Trump starts a war with the entire world, invades a dozen countries, kills 12 million people and slaughters 6 million Jews in concentration camps just because of their religion. he's just like Hitler though. those people that say that sh*t are f*cking insane.

 

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