I'd like someone to explain Bitcoin. I do not understand it at all.
I'll give it a shot. I'm going to skip over all the technical aspects of mining, of blockchain (blockchain actually being the really interesting/important technology), etc. I'll just tell you why Bitcoin is stupid.
Bitcoin has a problem. It's trying to be money.
But money, to be good at being money, has to really have two key factors:
- It has to be a good currency, i.e. it is easily and commonly accepted as a medium of exchange in very wide number of venues. The US dollar is an excellent example of a currency--it's accepted damn near everywhere (including many places outside our borders).
- It has to be a stable store of value, or more simply, it has to have predictable purchasing power over time. The US dollar has traditionally been a good if imperfect example of a stable store of value, with the exception of some inflationary periods over time (late '70s, the last few years).
Bitcoin fares poorly at both.
First, as a currency. You can't easily walk into a grocery store and pay for your groceries in Bitcoin. There are some places that accept Bitcoin as payment, but they are more obscure. That dramatically limits where and how you can spend it.
Second,
and far more important than the first, is that it's not a stable store of value. Let's say I want to sell you my car for $15,000USD, and you want to pay me in the equivalent value of Bitcoin. Well, next month I know (almost) exactly how much $15,000USD will be able to purchase--very slightly less than this month due to inflation, but basically the same. But next month I have NO freakin' clue what Bitcoin's level will be or how much I can purchase with it. At the bottom of this post is the 5Y chart of Bitcoin... You can't rely on that.
Bitcoin, instead, becomes a speculative currency arbitrage investment, much like buying precious metals or foreign exchange trading. If I sold you my car in Sept 2023 for $15,000USD worth of Bitcoin, and held it, I'd be in great shape right now more than doubling the value. But if I'd sold it to you in Nov 2021 and I had actually needed to convert it to USD in Jan 2023, I'd have turned that Bitcoin equivalent to $15,000USD into less than $5,000USD.
My advice is stay the hell away from it.
