header pic

Perhaps the BEST B1G Forum anywhere, here at College Football Fan Site, CFB51!!!

The 'Old' CFN/Scout Crowd- Enjoy Civil discussion, game analytics, in depth player and coaching 'takes' and discussing topics surrounding the game. You can even have your own free board, all you have to do is ask!!!

Anyone is welcomed and encouraged to join our FREE site and to take part in our community- a community with you- the user, the fan, -and the person- will be protected from intrusive actions and with a clean place to interact.


Author

Topic: In other news ...

 (Read 988970 times)

betarhoalphadelta

  • Global Moderator
  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Posts: 12178
  • Liked:
Re: In other news ...
« Reply #4004 on: March 25, 2021, 05:05:20 PM »
I don't get the "low inventory" thing... It's been that way locally for YEARS now. 

Prices are high, yet nobody wants to sell anything. You'd think just with natural turnover, inventory would be better than right now, and with high prices, it would spur more. 

Why is inventory so low? 

Honestbuckeye

  • Team Captain
  • *******
  • Posts: 5796
  • Liked:
Re: In other news ...
« Reply #4005 on: March 25, 2021, 05:06:00 PM »
property values are going up everywhere because there's very little inventory.

I know for example in South Florida there is literally none. It's the lowest number of homes listed for sale on the MLS in at least 13 years. And there is next to no new construction, as there is literally no land. Can't make new land.

Shit ton of people moving to South Florida + little new construction + lowest number of homes for sale on MLS = crazy high prices. Shit ton of demand, but no supply. And the demand isn't stopping any time soon.
So true.  I am blessed to be in the Home Lending business right now. 

also, I have had numerous offers for my home even though it is not for sale. Very generous offers. 
Get your facts first, then you can distort them as you please.
-Mark Twain

Honestbuckeye

  • Team Captain
  • *******
  • Posts: 5796
  • Liked:
Re: In other news ...
« Reply #4006 on: March 25, 2021, 05:07:32 PM »
I don't get the "low inventory" thing... It's been that way locally for YEARS now.

Prices are high, yet nobody wants to sell anything. You'd think just with natural turnover, inventory would be better than right now, and with high prices, it would spur more.

Why is inventory so low?
Multiple contributing reasons. Covid made people stay in place and made many people take out a home equity loans and refurbish their existing place. But even before that construction of new homes was slowing as demand was actually slowing a little bit. Basically what you have is substantial pent-up demand in all categories: first time buyers, first time move up to your second house, people looking for their final home and retirement etc.
Get your facts first, then you can distort them as you please.
-Mark Twain

FearlessF

  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Posts: 37500
  • Liked:
Re: In other news ...
« Reply #4007 on: March 25, 2021, 05:10:33 PM »
the county assessed my house quite a bit higher than last year

oh well, property tax stays in the local area, I don't mind paying.

Just don't care for Federal taxes
"Courage; Generosity; Fairness; Honor; In these are the true awards of manly sport."

betarhoalphadelta

  • Global Moderator
  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Posts: 12178
  • Liked:
Re: In other news ...
« Reply #4008 on: March 25, 2021, 05:16:34 PM »
Multiple contributing reasons. Covid made people stay in place and made many people take out a home equity loans and refurbish their existing place. But even before that construction of new homes was slowing as demand was actually slowing a little bit. Basically what you have is substantial pent-up demand in all categories: first time buyers, first time move up to your second house, people looking for their final home and retirement etc.
I get that COVID made it less likely people would want to move right now... But I also figured that it would spur some people who *had* to move because they can no longer afford their mortgage. But it seems that didn't happen either.

But here in SoCal, the story has been low inventory for at least half the last decade, if not longer. And it's not that a lot of homes are selling but demand is higher so things don't stay on the market, it's that actual number of sales and homes for sale are lower than typical. At least that's how I understand it... I'm not in real estate so that could be backwards.

I'm legitimately perplexed. It seems like we have a multi-year trend of significantly lower inventory and raising prices, making it a seller's market. Shouldn't that attract more sellers?

Cincydawg

  • Oracle of Piedmont Park
  • Global Moderator
  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Default Avatar
  • Posts: 71502
  • Oracle of Piedmont Park
  • Liked:
Re: In other news ...
« Reply #4009 on: March 25, 2021, 05:18:17 PM »
I'm legitimately perplexed. It seems like we have a multi-year trend of significantly lower inventory and raising prices, making it a seller's market. Shouldn't that attract more sellers?
As our realtor friend said to us, he'd sell their house, but then what?


betarhoalphadelta

  • Global Moderator
  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Posts: 12178
  • Liked:
Re: In other news ...
« Reply #4010 on: March 25, 2021, 05:18:45 PM »
I am soliciting a GoFundMe to purchase this place if anyone wants to help out though...

https://www.zillow.com/homedetails/27681-Chapala-Mission-Viejo-CA-92692/25629882_zpid/

Cincydawg

  • Oracle of Piedmont Park
  • Global Moderator
  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Default Avatar
  • Posts: 71502
  • Oracle of Piedmont Park
  • Liked:
Re: In other news ...
« Reply #4011 on: March 25, 2021, 05:23:24 PM »
490 W Paces Ferry Rd NW, Atlanta, GA 30305 | MLS #6829067 | Zillow

Been on the market a while, I hear they are willing to deal.


Cincydawg

  • Oracle of Piedmont Park
  • Global Moderator
  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Default Avatar
  • Posts: 71502
  • Oracle of Piedmont Park
  • Liked:
Re: In other news ...
« Reply #4012 on: March 25, 2021, 05:26:42 PM »
Looks a bit like badge's kitchen, 2 bedroom, only $2.6, asked.


betarhoalphadelta

  • Global Moderator
  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Posts: 12178
  • Liked:
Re: In other news ...
« Reply #4013 on: March 25, 2021, 05:28:39 PM »
As our realtor friend said to us, he'd sell their house, but then what?
I get it. I had a coworker who had sold their house around 2006-2007 because he saw what was coming, and went to go rent for a few years. 

Pissed his wife off something fierce, but I think a couple years later she realized that he'd seen what was coming, and it was a hell of a leap of faith, and it worked out because they were able to buy in at a much lower price. 

I could have SWORN that COVID was going to disrupt the economy enough to reset the housing market. Didn't happen. 

If your realtor friend doesn't see things dropping in the near future, I completely agree... "Then what?" But then, realtors who predict the housing market is about to crash aren't exactly common. Usually they're pretty bullish on the market. 

I just wonder how long this can last. It's gotta correct sometime, right? 


Cincydawg

  • Oracle of Piedmont Park
  • Global Moderator
  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Default Avatar
  • Posts: 71502
  • Oracle of Piedmont Park
  • Liked:
Re: In other news ...
« Reply #4014 on: March 25, 2021, 05:31:20 PM »
Obviously, a steep economic drop would kill demand.  I sold my house in 2012 substantially lower than it had been in 2008.

Buyers were just starting back to be interested.  Ultra low interest rates push up pricing and vice versa.


utee94

  • Global Moderator
  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Posts: 17665
  • Liked:
Re: In other news ...
« Reply #4015 on: March 25, 2021, 05:46:32 PM »
I get it. I had a coworker who had sold their house around 2006-2007 because he saw what was coming, and went to go rent for a few years.

Pissed his wife off something fierce, but I think a couple years later she realized that he'd seen what was coming, and it was a hell of a leap of faith, and it worked out because they were able to buy in at a much lower price.

I could have SWORN that COVID was going to disrupt the economy enough to reset the housing market. Didn't happen.

If your realtor friend doesn't see things dropping in the near future, I completely agree... "Then what?" But then, realtors who predict the housing market is about to crash aren't exactly common. Usually they're pretty bullish on the market.

I just wonder how long this can last. It's gotta correct sometime, right?



Well I think in a lot of ways it affected the market, just not the way many anticipated.  As noted above, new construction materials and labor costs have skyrocketed, to the point where it's been paused or abandoned in many markets.  This means the only inventory can come from existing homes, so the supply is shorter, and if you hold demand steady, then the prices must increase accordingly.


Honestbuckeye

  • Team Captain
  • *******
  • Posts: 5796
  • Liked:
Re: In other news ...
« Reply #4016 on: March 25, 2021, 05:58:42 PM »
I get that COVID made it less likely people would want to move right now... But I also figured that it would spur some people who *had* to move because they can no longer afford their mortgage. But it seems that didn't happen either.

But here in SoCal, the story has been low inventory for at least half the last decade, if not longer. And it's not that a lot of homes are selling but demand is higher so things don't stay on the market, it's that actual number of sales and homes for sale are lower than typical. At least that's how I understand it... I'm not in real estate so that could be backwards.

I'm legitimately perplexed. It seems like we have a multi-year trend of significantly lower inventory and raising prices, making it a seller's market. Shouldn't that attract more sellers?
Slowly- it is.  
Get your facts first, then you can distort them as you please.
-Mark Twain

Honestbuckeye

  • Team Captain
  • *******
  • Posts: 5796
  • Liked:
Re: In other news ...
« Reply #4017 on: March 25, 2021, 06:02:49 PM »
I get it. I had a coworker who had sold their house around 2006-2007 because he saw what was coming, and went to go rent for a few years.

Pissed his wife off something fierce, but I think a couple years later she realized that he'd seen what was coming, and it was a hell of a leap of faith, and it worked out because they were able to buy in at a much lower price.

I could have SWORN that COVID was going to disrupt the economy enough to reset the housing market. Didn't happen.

If your realtor friend doesn't see things dropping in the near future, I completely agree... "Then what?" But then, realtors who predict the housing market is about to crash aren't exactly common. Usually they're pretty bullish on the market.

I just wonder how long this can last. It's gotta correct sometime, right?


It actually is starting to but I would not call it a correction. The housing market is often a zero sum game so to speak. People would love to sell to get top dollar but they have nowhere to go because inventory is low and they have to now pay top dollar to get a new house. As rates start to rise which they have a little prices will flatten out and more buyers will enter the market causing more sellers because most of the buyers have a home.  Closer to “normal”. 
Get your facts first, then you can distort them as you please.
-Mark Twain

 

Support the Site!
Purchase of every item listed here DIRECTLY supports the site.