I remember reading your thread when you first started it, but then I didn't keep up with it, so yesterday I caught up on the whole thing. I have a random thought or two, but to start with your quoted post here, I lean more pessimistic in general and I tend to side with Cincy here. I have major doubts that this will ever get fixed because the politician who tries will get ousted with record speed. This country has already voted itself into managed decline, and my confidence is high we'll vote it off a cliff too. The public won't put up with short-term pain and will keep whistling past the graveyard, blindly believing that the Piper never has to be paid, until it all irreparably hits the fan.
Another big topic for a while was SS's solvency where @betarhoalphadelta and CD were discussing what's being done with funds paid into SS. I won't pretend to know what happens to it--that's not something I've ever learned about or paid attention to--but they seemed to agree about it going into bonds. Just going off of what they were talking about, brad seemed to make the better point there.....it looks like a case of double-spending where the government is trying to show the same tax dollars (debits) under two different expenditures (credits). It's accounting BSery, and I don't see how anything good comes from it long term.
The other thing that caught my attention was some comments you (Gigem) made--I think it was you--about wages and cost of living. How income in the low $100k's isn't that much anymore. I was glad to hear you say it because I've been scratching my head over exactly that for a while now. My cost-of-living mental index is still stuck in 2005, it seems, because what my wife and I make jointly affords us a pretty modest life according to what I think our income ought to afford us. Granted, our budget includes a lot of stashing away into a savings account I keep separated with a spreadsheet for upcoming expenses. I know a lot of people don't do that, and if we didn't do it, we'd be able to loosen the belt considerably on discretionary spending. But I don't know how else to run my life......I only save for things that I know are coming, so that they don't wipe us out on the months when they finally show up. Most every recurring annual expense (or any length of cycle) I save precisely for, and a lot of other things I estimate (pretty well, I have to say). Things like new tires.....I know about how many miles we drive each week, how many miles we can expect to get out of our tires, and what tires cost, so I divide that out into monthly savings contributions in a high-interest savings account, and when it comes time to buy new tires, it's not a meteor strike on the budget. We don't really feel it. So again, I know a lot of people don't do that, and we'd be able to "do more stuff and afford more things" if we didn't do it, but I just don't understand what people do if they don't save and then an irregular budget-buster hits them. Like, I know the damn dryer is gonna break again and I'm gonna have to call Sears to come fix it. I know stuff is gonna break or need repairing around the house or the yard. I know Christmas is coming. And I know about how much we're likely to spend on that stuff, and how often, so I just spread it out over "payments" in the form of monthly savings, so we're not crushed or putting stuff on credit cards when the time comes. That's a nice peace of mind to have, but it has left me bumfuzzled more than once, that we make what I've always thought was pretty decent money for our area, but it doesn't seem like we keep up with the Jones', so to speak.
The only person that I know of that has actually put their money where their mouth is is DJT and Elon Musk. Dozens of politicians over that time have held hearing after hearing, political rally's, everything under the sun except to DO SOMETHING.
Elon has said that the database is full of errors and outright fraud. Do you believe him? I don't know, he seems to be so unhinged at times I wonder if he's just gone plain nuts. He claims they have started marking deceased anybody over 120 years old. He didn't say that they were still getting a check, he just said that they were marked as deceased. Yes, I'm aware that he might not be telling the whole truth because some people claim that the way the database works doesn't necessarily mean that somebody is actually over 120, but whatever. Next they're making people check in with the SSA and verify they are who they say they are. I'm very interested in where we end up with SS after a year or two with regards to expenditures. I personally feel like the whole system is being massively defrauded, and probably a lot of unintentional waste.
Recently I read that he's trying to re-do the SSA database QFH, which many people have derided as impossible. They say it's written in COBOL (I actually know some of this code because we used it in our company and lots of system still run on it). I think that if the only human alive that has successfully landed a rocket the size of a large building says he can do it he probably can. Will there be problems? Abso-fuckin-lutely. But in my view, we have to do this now or it will just get worse by the year. No future politician will have the balls to do it either.
I'm a frequent user of X (twitter), and although Elon's behavior on there has at times been straight weird, he says over and over that the USA is bankrupt, the debt is out of control, we have to do something. It's like he's the only person who gets it.
Next he's trying to verify that the people that are getting SS are who they say they are.