header pic

Perhaps the BEST B1G Forum anywhere, here at College Football Fan Site, CFB51!!!

The 'Old' CFN/Scout Crowd- Enjoy Civil discussion, game analytics, in depth player and coaching 'takes' and discussing topics surrounding the game. You can even have your own free board, all you have to do is ask!!!

Anyone is welcomed and encouraged to join our FREE site and to take part in our community- a community with you- the user, the fan, -and the person- will be protected from intrusive actions and with a clean place to interact.


Author

Topic: ELA 2019 Countdown

 (Read 31367 times)

FearlessF

  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Posts: 37556
  • Liked:
Re: ELA 2019 Countdown
« Reply #210 on: April 02, 2019, 02:01:14 PM »
no QB and not one senior as a key player

never expected the Noles to flounder this badly
"Courage; Generosity; Fairness; Honor; In these are the true awards of manly sport."

ELA

  • Global Moderator
  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Posts: 20331
  • Liked:
Re: ELA 2019 Countdown
« Reply #211 on: April 03, 2019, 08:35:50 AM »
45. Utah State Aggies
#3 in Mountain West
Matt Wells inherited a program from Gary Andersen in pretty good shape, slowly let it bottom out, and then rewarded the school’s patience with him by delivering a 10-2 season last year...and then bolting for Texas Tech.  The transformation from what had been a defensive football team under Andersen and Dave Aranda was completely transformed into one of the best offenses in the country.  In just two years, Wells, along with offensive coordinator David Yost, who was hired for the 2017 season, elevated the offense from #107 in scoring in the FBS to #3.  Yost was a finalist for the Broyles Award as the nation’s top assistant, and he followed Wells to Lubbock.  Utah State turned back to an old friend in Gary Andersen, who coached the Aggies from 2009-2012, winning the school’s first conference title in 15 years in 2012, the best season for the program since going 9-1-1 and finishing #10 in 1961.  Since leaving the school, Andersen had an imperfect marriage at Wisconsin, then a disastrous 7-23 two and a half year stint at Oregon State.  Andersen is entrusting the keys to what was one of college football’s best offenses a year ago to fired Western Kentucky head coach Mike Sanford, who held the coordinator job at Notre Dame prior to that.  He is familiar with the conference, playing and coaching at Boise State previously.  How seamless the transition is depends on just how good quarterback Jordan Love is, because the supporting cast isn’t close to the 2018 version.  All-conference running back Darwin Thompson, coming off a 1,000 yard campaign while averaging nearly 7 ypc, departed early for the NFL, as did tight end/H-back Dax Raymond.  The other three of the five leaders in receiving yards all graduated.  An offensive line which returned all five starters a year ago, now returns just one.  Love really is that good though.  He put the nation on notice in the season opener last year when he lit up a Michigan State team, that while not as good as thought at the time, had a defense that was far better than expected, with over 300 passing yards, and 31 points, the most scored against the Spartans defense all season.  Love led the Mountain West in passing efficiency, in his first full season as the starter.  The running game should be in good hands with senior Gerold Bright stepping into the spotlight.  He ran for 888 yards on 6.3 ypc a year ago.  But there are no obvious fixes at receiver and offensive line.  Savon Scarver is the most athletic player on the team.  He has proven himself as a returner, but has been inconsistent at best.  He had only 9 catches, but averaged over 17 yards per reception, and two of them went for scores.  Jordan Nathan is the leading returning receiver, but Scarver is the one with star potential if he puts it together.  The defense graduated 5 seniors, but returns most of their top end talent.  They are perfectly built to continue the 3-4 defense played last year, with an elite space eater in the middle in Christopher Unga, backed by the best group of linebackers in the Mountain West.  It’s unclear what new coordinator Justin Ena, who previously ran a 4-3 when he was a coordinator at the FCS level, plans to run.  Last year the defense relied heavily on creating turnovers, creating the most in the nation.  Those things tend to regress towards the mean.
KEY PLAYERS
QBJordan Love, Junior
WRSavon Scarver, Junior
KDominik Eberle, Senior
.
NTChristopher Unga, Senior
LBTipa Galeai, Senior
LBDavid Woodward, Junior

MrNubbz

  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Default Avatar
  • Posts: 17160
  • Liked:
Re: ELA 2019 Countdown
« Reply #212 on: April 03, 2019, 09:14:34 AM »
no QB and not one senior as a key player

never expected the Noles to flounder this badly
I know ain't it great
Suburbia:Where they tear out the trees & then name streets after them.

FearlessF

  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Posts: 37556
  • Liked:
Re: ELA 2019 Countdown
« Reply #213 on: April 03, 2019, 09:15:00 AM »
I don't hate it
"Courage; Generosity; Fairness; Honor; In these are the true awards of manly sport."

MrNubbz

  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Default Avatar
  • Posts: 17160
  • Liked:
Re: ELA 2019 Countdown
« Reply #214 on: April 03, 2019, 09:16:16 AM »
When justice rolls down like water, and righteousness like a mighty stream, the Earth will open and swallow the Baylor football program.
Good because I'm sure the NFL will be caught up in that current also
Suburbia:Where they tear out the trees & then name streets after them.

CatsbyAZ

  • All Star
  • ******
  • Posts: 2787
  • Liked:
Re: ELA 2019 Countdown
« Reply #215 on: April 03, 2019, 11:18:30 AM »
I’d give Matt Wells’ work at USU a B grade. He kept things going at a place where things don’t usually go well. I’m not sure Texas Tech swung for the fences if Wells is who they are handing the reigns to. Seems pretty stale.

ELA

  • Global Moderator
  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Posts: 20331
  • Liked:
Re: ELA 2019 Countdown
« Reply #216 on: April 04, 2019, 12:54:27 PM »
44. Purdue Boilermakers
#9 in Big Ten
For the second straight year Purdue fans dodged a poaching of their head coach.  Last year it was a helmet school in Tennessee, this offseason it was his alma mater, Louisville.  It’s one thing to reject a lateral move, but to turn down a helmet job and your alma mater, who is left to fear?  The NFL?  Now if Jeff Brohm could just get his offense and defense to align in up years, he’d really have something.  He had a surprising debut in 2017, mainly due to a veteran defense, with underrated talent, that was just in need of coaching.  Then last year he showed off his offensive chops with a talented and experienced offense, that helped a defense that struggled at times.  Now, it swings back on the defense to carry the weight.  The head of that defense is middle linebacker Markus Bailey, who might be the preseason favorite for the Butkus-Fitzgerald Award.  The senior decided to return to West Lafayette after finishing second in the conference with 115 tackles, and leading Purdue with 5.5 sacks.  He does have the fortune to play behind big Lorenzo Neal, who at 6’3” and 315 pounds, has to be in the conversation for largest single digit jersey in the nation.  He first became known for taking the personal foul penalty in the opener against Northwestern last year, which cost the Boilermakers a chance to get the ball back with a shot at the win.  But after that he also became a massively (in both senses of the word) disruptive force in the middle on a defensive line where he was surrounded by three new starters, all of whom now return.  As great as the front seven looks, it’s on the secondary to improve.  Purdue allowed 284.7 passing yards per game, most in the Big Ten, allowing opponents to complete 62.3% of their passes, on 7.7 ypa.  Nick Holt threw redshirt freshman Kenneth Major out there, and the 19 year old responded, and going into 2019 is the only certainty in that back group.  The front seven has a chance to be better than the 2017 group, but it’s all for naught if the secondary doesn’t improve.  Purdue has finished in the bottom two of the conference in passing yards allowed in both of Nick Holt’s seasons.  The offense loses every major contributor from 2018, save one.  But oh boy, that one…  Rondale Moore is the single most exciting player I’ve seen in the Big Ten since Ted Ginn, except he’s bigger, and I think better.  It got to the point late in the year where it seemed like the offense was almost trying too hard to force him touches, but he still generally responded.  Even when he was “shut down” he still had solid games.  Really you just have to try and limit his yac yards, and prevent big plays.  Aside from Moore, there is plenty of uncertainty, starting with an offensive line that loses four seniors.  At least Elijah Sindelar has plenty of experience, sharing the QB1 role with David Blough in 2017, and still getting a start last year as the backup, when Blough was hurt.  The remaining skill positions are not in nearly as good as shape.  Purdue had a deep stable of backs last year, but D.J. Knox and Markell Jones both graduated, and the rest underperformed.  Zander Horvath, who finished 5th on the team with 42 yards is the leading returning running back.  If the answer is to get Rondale Moore more carries out of the backfield, you have the issue of Jared Sparks, who was 5th on the team in receiving, being the only other wideout with more than 8 receptions a year ago.  Two of Purdue’s three highest rated recruits are receivers, David Bell and Milton Wright.  They have a chance to see plenty of opportunities right out of the gate, although neither enrolled early, so spring ball will give someone else a chance to emerge.
KEY PLAYERS
WRRondale Moore, Sophomore
TEBrycen Hopkins, Senior
TMatt McCann, Senior
.
DTLorenzo Neal, Senior
LBMarkus Bailey, Senior
CBKenneth Major, Sophomore

FearlessF

  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Posts: 37556
  • Liked:
Re: ELA 2019 Countdown
« Reply #217 on: April 04, 2019, 01:57:29 PM »
so, at this time, predicting the Boilers over the Huskers on November 2nd?
"Courage; Generosity; Fairness; Honor; In these are the true awards of manly sport."

ELA

  • Global Moderator
  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Posts: 20331
  • Liked:
Re: ELA 2019 Countdown
« Reply #218 on: April 04, 2019, 02:28:21 PM »
so, at this time, predicting the Boilers over the Huskers on November 2nd?
I'd pick them in West Lafayette, I believe that's where it is this year.

betarhoalphadelta

  • Global Moderator
  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Posts: 12206
  • Liked:
Re: ELA 2019 Countdown
« Reply #219 on: April 04, 2019, 02:31:05 PM »
44. Purdue Boilermakers
#9 in Big Ten
Great writeup as usual, ELA... 
I posted this at H&R in the comments section about just what sort of hole that Brohm is digging out of on the recruiting trail:
---------------------------------------
  • Purdue Recruiting Rankings (according to 247)
  • Year : National : Conference : Avg. Rating
  • 2012 : 49 : 9 (of 12) : 0.8289
  • 2013 : 61 : 13 : 0.8242
  • 2014: 70 : 13 : 0.8245
  • 2015 : 67 : 14 : 0.8175
  • 2016 : 80 : 14 : 0.8113
  • 2017 : 72 : 14 : 0.8188
  • 2018 : 51 : 11 : 0.8469
  • 2019 : 25 : 5 : 0.8663

Essentially he really only impacted the 2018 and 2019 recruiting classes. He came in during the 2017 recruiting cycle, but it was clearly too late to have affected the outcome much. The player average ratings and class rankings were still Hazell-esque.
In 2018, he was still in the bottom half of the conference recruiting-wise, with only one player (Rondale Moore) that was a meaningful contributor. That said, pretty much every recruit was above the 2017 average rating. So there is talent there, it just wasn’t ready to see the field.
2019, about 2/3 to 3/4 of the class has higher player ratings than the average of the 2018 class. So these guys should have a few instant contributors, but there are probably quite a few in there that won’t see the field much.
So the goal is that some of those 2018 recruits, particularly some of the higher-end ones, step into starting roles this year, either due to upperclassmen ahead of them who have left or by flat out winning the job. Of the 2019 recruits, it’s probably only the best of the best who will see the field.
------------------------------------------------
So your post was spot-on, but I'd highlight a few good points:
  • In the 2018 class, there were some solid receivers recruited beyond Moore. Amad Anderson and Kory Taylor in particular were high 3* guys. They all redshirted as it was a veteran group in 2018, but the receiving corps isn't just Moore/Bell/Wright. There are some pieces there.
  • Not sure where we are with CB, as you point out, but we brought in two decent 3* safeties in 2018 and a 4* in the 2019 class, as well as two mid-3* CBs in 2018 and two more in 2019. We don't know who will be capable of stepping up, but at least we have numbers. Also, Brohm recruited differently in the DB corps as Hazell, preferring taller guys, so you also think he might give his own guys more run there.
  • There's more help coming on the DL too... Our highest rated recruit, George Karlaftis, is a high 4*, just on the edge of 5*, at DE. In fact he's rated 59th nationally in the 247 composite. Our 5th-highest recruit is similarly right on the 3*/4* cutoff in Steven Faucheaux, at DT. DL is a hard place to contribute as a freshman, but both of these guys have the talent to push for PT at their positions, and Karlaftis is already enrolled and in the weight room, so he should have a leg up on most freshmen. 


I don't disagree one bit with where they showed up in your ranking and at 9th in the Big Ten--although I think there's possible upside to be had. I think this is a team that won't really develop that talent until the 2020/2021 years. But I wanted to give people an idea of maybe what Purdue has in the pipeline in case they come out and surprise everyone.

CatsbyAZ

  • All Star
  • ******
  • Posts: 2787
  • Liked:
Re: ELA 2019 Countdown
« Reply #220 on: April 05, 2019, 06:39:48 AM »
It was very refreshing to see Brohm continue to work on the upswing he’s got going at Purdue rather than running for the money. You know he’s getting close to getting the defense and offense on the same page, built off improved recruiting, and it’ll make for a much stronger West division. Weird, but last year gave me more faith in Purdue under Brohm than Wisconsin under Chryst.

ELA

  • Global Moderator
  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Posts: 20331
  • Liked:
Re: ELA 2019 Countdown
« Reply #221 on: April 05, 2019, 04:15:59 PM »
43. Arizona State Sun Devils
#6 in Pac 12
It’s early, but so far the Herm Edwards experiment hasn’t been the complete disaster everyone assumed it would be.  His first year was uneven, with a pair of big wins over Michigan State and Utah, both of whom were ranked in the top 15 at the time, but also 6 losses in probably the weakest Power 5 division, missing out on the Pac 12 title game.  Now the conference’s third least prolific passing offense has to try and figure out how to cope with the graduation of multi-year starting quarterback Manny Wilkins, and the early departure of N’Keal Harry, the most physically gifted receiver in the conference, and likely no worse than the third receiver taken in the NFL Draft.  Kyle Williams showed flashes as a sophomore that he was ready to break out, but even with Harry eating up coverages across from him, Williams’ junior year fell flat.  He’ll have another chance, along surprise performer Brandon Aiyuk, to lead the receivers this year.  The Sun Devils are quite set at starting running back, with Eno Benjamin, the Pac 12’s leading rusher, returning.  How many more carries can his body take though?  Benjamin didn’t just lead the conference in carries, he had 45 more carries than any other player.  Isaiah Floyd (45 carries), Trelon Smith (11 carries) and A.J. Carter (4 carries) had the other 60 combined running back carries for the team.  Smith, along with two other backs, already announced their plans to transfer, leaving a thin backfield even thinner.  If Benjamin misses any time, this offense could get really ugly, and even if he doesn’t it’s hard to envision it working with any meaningful reduction to his workload.  The quarterback job is wide open, it’s three freshmen, and Dillon-Sterling Cole, whose experience consists of two incomplete passes last season.  The defense, particularly the back eight in Danny Gonzales’ 3-3-5 scheme, has a chance to be really, really good.  But the line could be really, really bad.  Arizona State had the conference’s third worst run defense a season ago, and that was with big Renell Wren in the middle.  Wren may have been the most disruptive nose tackle I saw all season.  Jalen Bates on one side of Wren, along with two other linemen, have announced their intentions of transferring.  George Lea likely takes over in the middle, but those three man lines in college football generally swing with that man in the middle, and they weren’t good last, even with one of the best.  The back seven was young, talented, and undisciplined.  That’s part of the reason the Sun Devils’ defense was far better in passing downs than standard downs.  But they had the Pac 12 Defensive Freshman of the Year in true freshman Merlin Robertson, another true freshman, Aashari Crosswell, be named all conference, and it was sophomore Chase Lucas who led the team in interceptions.  Last year they also started a number of seniors, six were at least part time starters.  This year, there is none of that, with the projected spring depth chart only having one senior and two juniors.  As many as eight underclassmen could be starting.  So the ones who were ahead of schedule last year need to not just improve their play, but become leaders too.  Guys like Wren and Koron Crump and Jalen Harvey aren’t there for that anymore.
KEY PLAYERS
RBEno Benjamin, Junior
WRKyle Williams, Senior
CCohl Cabral, Senior
.
LBMerlin Robertson, Sophomore
CBChase Lucas, Junior
SAashari Crosswell, Sophomore

Cincydawg

  • Oracle of Piedmont Park
  • Global Moderator
  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Default Avatar
  • Posts: 71577
  • Oracle of Piedmont Park
  • Liked:
Re: ELA 2019 Countdown
« Reply #222 on: April 06, 2019, 07:34:54 AM »
The SEC is kinda getting left out here, I sense bias.  Kentucky could well be "down" after losses.  Tennessee looks to me like a 7-6 kind of team.  South Carolina?  The SEC does well in most preseason rankings ...

I had a notion based on little that Nebraska might be pretty decent this year, like 9-4ish, which would get them in the top 25 in most years.  Am I wrong?  Could they be the next Texas?  Second year coaches often seem to exceed expectations.

« Last Edit: April 06, 2019, 09:22:19 AM by Cincydawg »

FearlessF

  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Posts: 37556
  • Liked:
Re: ELA 2019 Countdown
« Reply #223 on: April 06, 2019, 09:25:17 AM »
I like the way you're thinkin

Husker's schedule is more favorable for winning than last season
"Courage; Generosity; Fairness; Honor; In these are the true awards of manly sport."

 

Support the Site!
Purchase of every item listed here DIRECTLY supports the site.