header pic

Perhaps the BEST B1G Forum anywhere, here at College Football Fan Site, CFB51!!!

The 'Old' CFN/Scout Crowd- Enjoy Civil discussion, game analytics, in depth player and coaching 'takes' and discussing topics surrounding the game. You can even have your own free board, all you have to do is ask!!!

Anyone is welcomed and encouraged to join our FREE site and to take part in our community- a community with you- the user, the fan, -and the person- will be protected from intrusive actions and with a clean place to interact.


Author

Topic: ELA 2019 Countdown

 (Read 31093 times)

ELA

  • Global Moderator
  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Posts: 20317
  • Liked:
Re: ELA 2019 Countdown
« Reply #70 on: February 20, 2019, 01:20:31 PM »
93. Oregon State Beavers
#12 in Pac 12
Jonathan Smith didn’t take the head coaching job at his alma mater thinking it would be a quick fix, but I’m not sure he fully understood just how far the program was from the one he played for at the turn of the millenium.  The Beavers did get a road win at Colorado, their first, and still only FBS win since 2016.  The quickest spot to find help in trying to turn a program around is at the skill positions, and Smith didn’t disappoint there.  The Beavers didn’t have a single player named to the all-conference first or second teams, but they did get four honorable mentions, and all four were unclassmen running backs or receivers.  That’s led by conference freshman of the year Jermar Jefferson, who finished third in the Pac 12 in rushing.  The problem is everything around them is still a mess.  Oregon State had an experienced offensive line to build behind, with three seniors and two juniors, and managed to rank in the bottom 25 of the FBS in seven of the nine offensive line metrics that Bill Connolly tracks.  That, mixed with quarterback uncertainty, led to a gross misuse of a fairly talented receiving core.  Oregon State had three different quarterbacks see action in at least 8 games, but none more than 9, with all three getting at least one start, but none more than six.  Elevent of those twelve starts were supposed to have moved on, with Jake Luton graduating and Conor Blount transferring to Eastern Kentucky.  Jack Colletto, the lease experienced of the three, returns, but the job appeared to belong to Tristan Gebbia, who transferred from Nebraska when he was beaten out for the starting job there.  He didn’t leave being the backup in Lincoln to be the backup in Corvallis, and Oregon State didn’t sign a quarterback in their 2019 class, so the job appeared his.  But Jake Luton was just granted another season of eligibility, meaning Gebbia could be facing another pouty August.  Gebbia wasn’t Smith’s only pickup through transfer, as he attempts a much needed talent transfusion.  He added three other former 4* recruits, including an additional pair from Nebraska in receiver Tyjon Lindsey, who really adds some depth to that talented group, and linebacker Avery Roberts, along with defensive end Addison Gumbs from Oklahoma.  Offensive guard Nathan Eldridge, who transfers in from Arizona, likely starts immediately on that mess of a defensive line.  But the transfer portal is a fickle mistress, and the Beavers lose three players from the secondary, led by Christian Wallace, who asked for his release last year, changed his mind, returned, but now is leaving again.  The stud RB/DB from Texas , who stunned recruitniks by heading to the Pacific Northwestern over Oklahoma and Texas, hadn’t lived up to his starz, but is the type of raw talent Oregon State is lacking.  Most of the key players from the defense return, and I’m not sure how positive that is.  The Beavers had the worst defense in the Pac 12 across the board, with 45.7 papg, 536.8 yapg, on a staggering 281.8 rushing yapg.  Their run defense was second worst in the FBS, and, as with every time I mention a defensive stat is second worst, I have to add that UConn’s defense set a whole new floor.  The back seven was young a year ago, so there’s a chance the pass defense could be competent, perhaps improving on that FBS worst 0.93% interception rate that produced only 3 on the season, but it’s tough to see the run defense getting any more than marginally better, and you simply can’t win games giving up nearly 300 yards per game on the ground.  The offense will be solid, but not that solid.
KEY PLAYERS
RBJermar Jefferson, Sophomore
WRIsaiah Hodgins, Junior
WRTrevon Bradford, Senior
.
LBAndrzej Hughes-Murray, Senior
LBShemar Smith, Senior
SJalen Moore, Senior

ELA

  • Global Moderator
  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Posts: 20317
  • Liked:
Re: ELA 2019 Countdown
« Reply #71 on: February 21, 2019, 09:11:16 AM »
92. Arkansas Razorbacks
#14 in SEC
Transitioning from Bret Bielema’s philosophy to Chad Morris’ was going to be a major overhaul, but I don’t think anyone figured the Razorbacks would actually get worse in 2018 than they were in 2017.  They brought in an offensive minded guy, and his offense was terrible.  That wasn’t supposed to happen.  Arkansas returned four starting offensive linemen, along with their starting tight end and running back, plus a deep stable of receivers.  Even the quarterback battle between Ty Storey and Cole Kelley was seen as a positive thing.  If Arkansas failed again in 2018, it was supposed to be because Chad Morris’ hire only made a bad defense worse.  But the offense simply never clicked, with no quarterback stepping forward.  Storey and Kelley did take the majority of the snaps, primarily Storey, and as a team completed only 54% of their passes, and threw more interceptions than touchdowns.  True freshman John Stephen Jones even got thrown into three games.  To show just how little faith Morris had in being able to fix this, both Storey and Kelley wound up transferring, and Arkansas brings in former SMU quarterback Ben Hicks, who played for Morris before he took the Arkansas job, as a grad transfer.  A lot will be on his shoulders, taking over the offense that finished at the bottom of the SEC in ppg, ypp and turnovers.  The problems for Arkansas didn’t end once the horn finally sounded on the season ending 38-0 loss at Missouri, the quarterback duo were just two of TWELVE Arkansas players who put their name into the transfer portal.  And it’s not as though he went and fixed the defense.  They were slightly better than the previous year, but still gave up 34 or more pointed 8 times, including surrendering 52 to a Mississippi State team in November, who may have had the only offense nearly as bad as their own.  De’Jon Harris is the unquestioned leader of the defense from his inside linebacker position, and probably would have earned all-SEC honors last year if he had played elsewhere.  Everything surrounding him is a question mark though, particularly with Ryan Pulley entering the draft early.  That departure means there isn’t a single returning player on the roster who recorded an interception last year...granted Arkansas only tallied five of them.  Flipping back to the offense, the one bright spot hopefully is Rakeem Boyd, who went from off the two deep to begin the season, to starting by October, and leading Arkansas in rushing.  But he is having shoulder surgery that will keep him out for the spring.  Will that re-open the door for Devwah Whaley?  Whaley is the most talented back on the roster, but injuries and off the field issues have prevented him from realizing his potential.  He should get the bulk of the spring reps now, with T.J. Hammonds also out, and has one last season to live up to what he should be.  But Morris’ offense isn’t built on running the ball.  He does run more of a power spread, and credit to him for adjusting to his talent, but this offense needs to throw the ball more than the 30 times per game they did last year to be successful.  While Hicks does upgrade the quarterback position, he can’t do anything with the play Arkansas got from their receivers last year.  A supposedly deep group only produced two receivers that caught more than 18 passes, and one, leading receiver LaMichael Pettway, recently announced his plans to transfer.
KEY PLAYERS
RBRakeem Boyd, Junior
TECheyenne O'Grady, Senior
TColton Jackson, Senior
.
DTMcTelvin Agim, Senior
LBDe'Jon Harris, Senior
SKamren Curl, Junior

847badgerfan

  • Administrator
  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Posts: 25199
  • Liked:
Re: ELA 2019 Countdown
« Reply #72 on: February 21, 2019, 09:19:16 AM »
I still think Arky made a mistake, firing Bielema. 
U RAH RAH! WIS CON SIN!

FearlessF

  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Posts: 37508
  • Liked:
Re: ELA 2019 Countdown
« Reply #73 on: February 21, 2019, 05:02:08 PM »
perhaps, but it couldn't have been TOO big of a mistake

29-34

11-29 SEC

"Courage; Generosity; Fairness; Honor; In these are the true awards of manly sport."

Cincydawg

  • Oracle of Piedmont Park
  • Global Moderator
  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Default Avatar
  • Posts: 71532
  • Oracle of Piedmont Park
  • Liked:
Re: ELA 2019 Countdown
« Reply #74 on: February 21, 2019, 05:28:31 PM »
It can nearly always get worse.  But you have to DO something when fans start staying away.

ELA

  • Global Moderator
  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Posts: 20317
  • Liked:
Re: ELA 2019 Countdown
« Reply #75 on: February 22, 2019, 01:49:42 PM »
91. Illinois Fighting Illini
#13 in Big Ten
Firing Lovie Smith after 3 seasons that have produced a total of 4 Big Ten wins, would have not drawn an ounce of criticism, but retaining him was, I think, the right move.  There were signs last year that the Illini had turned a corner.  The offense was legitimately great, the defense...well…  Grad transfer A.J. Bush is gone, but sophomore M.J. Rivers played in eight games as a true freshman, starting two when Bush was injured, and certainly exceeded expectations.  He has work to do as a passer, but really this offense is built around their ability to run the ball, and they do that exceedingly well.  That is the one spot Rivers has work to do, to catch up to the threat Bush was with his legs.  The three headed tailback monster returns, led by Reggie Corbin, who finished 4th in the nation at 8.5 ypc.  Mike Epstein and Ra’Von Bonner combined to spell him with 806 yards on 6.1 ypc.  But having the threat of the run from the quarterback spot helped open that all up, and lead the Illini to the conference’s second best rushing attack.  None of that matters if the defense can’t be at a minimum competent, because the Illini were far from that a year ago, finishing in the basement of the Big Ten across the board, giving up nearly 40 ppg on 7.0 ypp and over 500 ypg.  Illinois had an 8 game stretch where they allowed 46 or more points six times, obviously losing all 6.  But the two times they didn’t?  They won.  This offense should continue to put up points, but when your defense is constantly flirting with giving up 50, no offense can overcome that.  If you believe the talent is there, but experience was the issue, then you should expect improvement, with 10 returning starters.  The problem is 2018 was not the season where they mailed it in to go young, that was 2017, when they started three freshmen and three sophomores, leading to 7 returning starters last year.  So maybe having 10 returning starters that includes 6 three year starters helps, but it’s not like most of these 10 returning starters were newcomers last year.  If improvement was coming, it should have already arrived.  Their September 7 trip to Storrs should be interesting, as it may feature the two worst defenses in the nation from 2017.  While Lovie was given another year to get things right, the bar to return in 2020 is probably a bowl at minimum.  To do that Illinois has to do enough work in September, that they enter November with a chance.  Their early and late schedules are winnable, but October is nasty.  September is Akron, Connecticut, Eastern Michigan, and Nebraska at home.  November is Rutgers and Northwestern at home, around trips to Michigan State and Iowa teams who may be inept enough offensively to not take advantage of Illinois’ defensive issues.  Have to beat Akron, UConn, Eastern Michigan and Rutgers; then figure out a way to go 2-2 out of those two road games, or the home games against Nebraska or Northwestern, because October is road games at Minnesota and Purdue around home dates against Michigan and Wisconsin.
KEY PLAYERS
RBReggie Corbin, Senior
WRRicky Smalling, Junior
TAlex Palczewski, Junior
.
DEBobby Roundtree, Junior
LBJake Hansen, Junior
PBlake Hayes, Junior

MrNubbz

  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Default Avatar
  • Posts: 17138
  • Liked:
Re: ELA 2019 Countdown
« Reply #76 on: February 23, 2019, 08:41:33 AM »
Middle Tenn St and UL Layafette,dayum - that's some diggin'.Hell I wonder if their local fish wraps bother saying as much in August
Suburbia:Where they tear out the trees & then name streets after them.

MrNubbz

  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Default Avatar
  • Posts: 17138
  • Liked:
Re: ELA 2019 Countdown
« Reply #77 on: February 23, 2019, 08:48:16 AM »
I still think Arky made a mistake, firing Bielema.
I dunno he came in guns blazin',burning bridges and bumping his gums.You can't have that record and be a PR pain in the ass.Had his contract not been structured friendly to him,Arky should have sent him packing after the '17 season IMO
« Last Edit: February 23, 2019, 08:53:32 AM by MrNubbz »
Suburbia:Where they tear out the trees & then name streets after them.

FearlessF

  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Posts: 37508
  • Liked:
Re: ELA 2019 Countdown
« Reply #78 on: February 23, 2019, 09:29:13 AM »
Bert had good reason to be confident coming in, past performance

maybe a little too confident for his own good
"Courage; Generosity; Fairness; Honor; In these are the true awards of manly sport."

Cincydawg

  • Oracle of Piedmont Park
  • Global Moderator
  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Default Avatar
  • Posts: 71532
  • Oracle of Piedmont Park
  • Liked:
Re: ELA 2019 Countdown
« Reply #79 on: February 23, 2019, 11:14:51 AM »
Arkansas once was a real power, or at least a threat.  As the Deep Pockets there want to win, it will be interesting to see how they go about it.

ELA

  • Global Moderator
  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Posts: 20317
  • Liked:
Re: ELA 2019 Countdown
« Reply #80 on: February 23, 2019, 04:53:08 PM »
90. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
#5 in Conference USA
Quick, who shares the current longest bowl winning streak, with five?  Well, Wisconsin is one of the teams, and you probably guessed Louisiana Tech was the other, because it would be weird to stick that fact here otherwise.  So while that’s the upside, the downside is that the reason for that is that Louisiana Tech is finding ways to lose games they shouldn’t, and winding up in bowls they shouldn’t be playing in.  There is too much talent here, for this team to be just 9-7 in conference over the past two years.  Ending 2018 with a home loss on Senior Day to a Western Kentucky team that was 2-9 overall, 1-6 in conference going into the game is just the latest example.  They also can’t seem to get their offense and defense on the same page.  In 2017 they had one of the best offenses in the conference, but a bottom half defense.  Their defense vastly improved last year, thanks to a surprising performance from an inexperienced secondary, but their offense vastly underperformed.  This year, the only question is the defensive line.  That outstanding secondary returns four of their 5 starts, now dripping with experience, led by Amik Robertson, who might be the best cornerback in Conference USA.  The offense is also loaded with talent and experience.  If they play like they should be capable of, with the losses that UAB had this offseason, the Bulldogs home game against North Texas on November 9 could determine who wins the East Division.  That starts with J’Mar Smith getting back to his 2017 form.  The funny thing is that Smith didn’t exactly light the world on fire in his first year as starter, but it was loads better than he did in 2018, when his adjusted yards per attempt fell by a full yard, and his interceptions doubled.  Teddy Veal graduates, but Louisiana Tech’s three other top 4 receivers return, and if Rhashid Bonnette can regain the form he showed earlier in his career, the group could actually be better in 2019 than they were with Veal in 2018.  Veal, attracting more defensive attention saw his numbers drop last year, and Adrian Hardy was the beneficiary, going for 75 receptions, 1145 yards and 6 touchdowns.  Now it’s Hardy who is the guy everyone is circling, and it’s on Bonnette and Utah transfer Alfred Smith to force them out of that.  The running game needs to show improvement.  While Louisiana Tech has a pass first reputation, last year was the first year since 2013 the Bulldogs didn’t produce a 1,000 yard rusher.  Jaqwis Dancy averaged a fine 5.4 ypc, but only got 124 carries, which was most on the team, but over 60 carries fewer than any leading rusher for the program in at least a decade.  That goes hand in hand with averaging over 4 passing attempts more per game, and late in the season it was over 10 more attempts per game than in 2017.  Again, that may be who you think the Bulldogs are, but it isn’t who they have actually been, rising from #82 to #27 in the nation in pass attempts.
KEY PLAYERS
QBJ'Mar Smith, Senior
RBJaqwis Dancy, Senior
WRAdrian Hardy, Junior
.
LBCollin Scott, Senior
CBAmik Robertson, Junior
SJames Jackson, Senior

89. Arkansas State Red Wolves
#5 in Sun Belt
On one hand 2018 feels like a missed opportunity with a senior backfield that looked to be the best in the conference, and they wound up not even playing for a conference title.  On the other hand, with the new divisional format of the Sun Belt, that plopped Appalachian State, Troy and Georgia Southern all in the East, leaving Arkansas State as the top program in the West, the Red Wolves might be the favorite every year to win the division until proven otherwise.  That maybe even includes 2019 in spite of the graduation of both of said seniors, being Justice Hansen, who graduates as the second leading passer in school history; and Warren Wand, who graduates as the school’s second all time leading rusher.  So why the positive vibes?  Well, starting with running back, Wand was the second most prolific running back in school history, true, but he wasn’t actually even the team’s leading rusher last year, his 792 yards slotting in behind true freshman Marcel Murray.  He was a late commit to the Red Wolves 2018 class, and made an immediate impact.  Blake Anderson was able to nearly exactly split the carries between the two a year ago, 11.8 and 10.6, so with Armond Weh-Weh, who was third in carries, also graduated, the only remaining question is whether Murray can handle the additional work.  As good as he was, there is absolutely zero experience behind him.  Alex Roberts, and his 6 carries for 22 yards slots in next.  The defense should be substantially better up front, with only one graduation in the front 6 in their 4-2-5.  It will be interesting to see who Anderson finds on the JUCO circuit as well.  Arkansas State’s 2018 class was rated tops in the conference, bolstered by some late JUCO additions, who did not disappoint.  Both Forrest Merrill and Jerry Jacobs, not on the team in the spring, worked their way not just into the starting lineup, but onto the all-conference teams.  There are 10 JUCOs as part of the 2019 class, including a pair of potential big time receivers in Eugene Minter and Kevin Howard, the later of which had Power 5 offers out of high school.  The most interesting JUCO addition though might be massive offensive guard Ivory Scott from Pearl River Community College, checking in at 345 pounds, and one of the top 10 JUCO offensive linemen in this class.  He’s listed as a guard most places, but can play tackle as well.  So overall, I like this roster, but while the pipeline at quarterback has been solid for a decade now, it’s still too much of a question mark to pick them as division champions.  It might look more like the Fredi Knighten offense from Anderson’s first couple years as head coach, assuming its Logan Bonner who wins the job, more of a running threat than a passing one.
KEY PLAYERS
RBMarcel Murray, Sophomore
WRKirk Merritt, Senior
TEJavonis Isaac, Junior
.
DEWilliam Bradley-King, Junior
DTForrest Merrill, Senior
CBJerry Jacobs, Junior

Cincydawg

  • Oracle of Piedmont Park
  • Global Moderator
  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Default Avatar
  • Posts: 71532
  • Oracle of Piedmont Park
  • Liked:
Re: ELA 2019 Countdown
« Reply #81 on: February 23, 2019, 05:08:29 PM »
So, Arkansas State is ahead of Arkansas, just to put it in context.

Brutus Buckeye

  • Hall of Fame
  • *****
  • Posts: 11237
  • Liked:
Re: ELA 2019 Countdown
« Reply #82 on: February 25, 2019, 10:38:26 AM »
The Wolverines are a little overdue for an appearance.
1919, 20, 21, 28, 29, 31, 34, 35, 36, 37, 42, 44
WWH: 1952, 54, 55, 57, 58, 60, 61, 62, 63, 65, 67, 68, 70, 72, 74, 75
1979, 81, 82, 84, 87, 94, 98
2001, 02, 04, 05, 06, 07, 08, 09, 10, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19

fezzador

  • Player
  • ****
  • Default Avatar
  • Posts: 576
  • Liked:
Re: ELA 2019 Countdown
« Reply #83 on: February 25, 2019, 10:59:42 AM »
Arkansas once was a real power, or at least a threat.  As the Deep Pockets there want to win, it will be interesting to see how they go about it.
Arkansas' best days were when they were still in the old SWC.  It was usually a 3-horse race (UT, aTM, and Arky) and the bottom of the conference was miserable.  The bottom of the SEC is much better than the bottom of the former SWC, and there are also more top teams to contend with.
It would have been fun to speculate had realignment gone a little differently in the 90s.  The Oklahoma schools, the Kansas schools, Mizzou, Arky, LSU, and 5 Texas schools (UT, aTm, TTU, TCU, and Baylor) could have made a new Southwestern Conference.  It would probably have become the conference everyone in America would be chasing.

 

Support the Site!
Purchase of every item listed here DIRECTLY supports the site.