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Topic: ELA 2019 Countdown

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CatsbyAZ

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Re: ELA 2019 Countdown
« Reply #14 on: January 22, 2019, 12:22:46 PM »

129. Old Dominion Monarchs
#13 in Conference USA
Where did it go wrong for the Monarchs?

Say this every year but ODU has no excuse to be as bad as they are given their recruiting location. The tidewater area produces a lot of athletes.

MrNubbz

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Re: ELA 2019 Countdown
« Reply #15 on: January 22, 2019, 12:43:48 PM »
Back closer to the old time line, which was to finish before the mags started coming out
They're prolly gonna steal your material,better copyright
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Brutus Buckeye

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Re: ELA 2019 Countdown
« Reply #16 on: January 22, 2019, 01:27:36 PM »
What is the over under on the number of CUSA teams that will find themselves outside of ELA's top hundred?
1919, 20, 21, 28, 29, 31, 34, 35, 36, 37, 42, 44
WWH: 1952, 54, 55, 57, 58, 60, 61, 62, 63, 65, 67, 68, 70, 72, 74, 75
1979, 81, 82, 84, 87, 94, 98
2001, 02, 04, 05, 06, 07, 08, 09, 10, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19

847badgerfan

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Re: ELA 2019 Countdown
« Reply #17 on: January 22, 2019, 01:32:35 PM »
Out of all the members.. I'm going with 9.
U RAH RAH! WIS CON SIN!

ELA

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Re: ELA 2019 Countdown
« Reply #18 on: January 22, 2019, 01:51:27 PM »
They're prolly gonna steal your material,better copyright
They can have it

MrNubbz

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Re: ELA 2019 Countdown
« Reply #19 on: January 22, 2019, 07:42:52 PM »
Considering the rags can devote all their time to gathering content,your efforts rivals their scribblings......at least
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Mdot21

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Re: ELA 2019 Countdown
« Reply #20 on: January 22, 2019, 08:27:11 PM »
why the hell are there 130 teams? why can't they just cut this thing down to like only P5 and do 14 or 16 team leagues. WHY is this so hard? 

ELA

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Re: ELA 2019 Countdown
« Reply #21 on: January 23, 2019, 11:36:01 AM »
125. New Mexico Lobos
#11 in Mountain West
Bob Davie deserves a ton of credit.  He took over a Lobo program which looked dead at the end of the Rocky Long era, and for the entirety of the Mike Locksley era, going 7-41 over the four seasons prior to his arrival.  The school gave him some time, and while it took four years, he got New Mexico into back to back bowls in 2015 and 2016, sharing a division title in 2016.  Even in his first year he won more games (4), than Mike Locksley did in three years at the school (2).  He’s now 64, and the program appears to be backsliding, winning just two total conference games over the past two seasons, and finishing each year with a 7 game losing streak.  Last year Davie tried to modify the option attack he adopted when he took the New Mexico job, by bringing in Calvin McGee as offensive coordinator, who had run Rich Rodriguez’s offensive attack at West Virginia, Michigan and Arizona from 2005-2017.  The experiment didn’t work.  New Mexico had the second worst offense in the Mountain West, averaging only 330 ypg on 5.0 ypp.  Davie wanted to add wrinkles to what was still a run based offense, and Magee had experience there.  That was the plan, they ran the ball 42.1 times per game, third most in the conference, but they were too often banging their heads against the wall trying to force it, averaging just 3.6 ypc.  Only Colorado State and San Jose State were less efficient running the ball among Mountain West teams, and they ran it the least times among conference teams.  Magee made things easy by reuniting again with Rodriguez, to be his tight ends coach, under Rodriguez as offensive coordinator at Ole Miss.  New Mexico has hired former Liberty offensive coordinator Joe Dailey, who quarterbacked Nebraska in 2003 and 2004 before transferring to North Carolina.  It appears to mark a shift in offensive philosophy, as Liberty passed the ball 49.1% of the time last year, 48th in the nation, while New Mexico was in the bottom 20 at just 39.8%, even with playing substantially from behind.  Do they have the personnel for the move?  The answer may be that it won’t be as drastic of a move as feared, because Sheriron Jones, the former Tennessee Vol, is not a pure triple option quarterback.  He looks the part, but the interceptions need to come way down.  The Lobos as a team tied for the conference lead in interceptions thrown, which is very concerning considering how little they threw it.  Nationally, only Rutgers threw interceptions at a higher rate than New Mexico (6.08%).  While there isn’t a ton of reason to watch this team this year, it is very likely Bob Davie’s last year on the sidelines anywhere, so Davie fanatics, get your medicine.  Another would have been to see Marcus Hayes make plays all over the field.  The redshirt freshman who was a late flip from Western Michigan, led the nation in punt return yardage, and was honorable mention all-conference on defense as well.  You can bet Dailey would have found ways to get him offensive touches as well.  Instead he announced his transfer to Kansas State immediately after the 2018 season finished, joining sophomore linebacker Rhashaun Epting, who led the team in sacks.
KEY PLAYERS
QBSheriron Jones, Senior
TEMarcus Williams, Junior
TJarred Sylvester, Senior
.
NTAaron Blackwell, Senior
LBBrandon Shook, Junior
PTyson Dyer, Junior

ELA

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Re: ELA 2019 Countdown
« Reply #22 on: January 23, 2019, 11:38:24 AM »
The abundance of transfers adds a very new wrinkle to all of this.  Unless I do all the write ups up front, then post, it's nearly impossible to account for all of them.  Even the "comprehensive" lists I keep finding incomplete.  Would have had New Mexico even lower without Hayes and Epting, but their transfer news I only found once digging in to do this one write up, in news articles from the Albuquerque local paper.  Used to be you had your returning guys, minus the early NFL departures, then the only guys who transferred were buried deep on the depth chart, or otherwise really big news.  Now a team can just lose its two best defenders, and nobody notices because everyone is transferring.

ELA

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Re: ELA 2019 Countdown
« Reply #23 on: January 24, 2019, 10:42:16 AM »
124. Texas State Bobcats
#10 in Sun Belt
The Bobcats’ transition to the FBS hit another hiccup when it became clear that Everett Withers wasn’t making any progress, and was fired after a 7-29 three year stretch, that included going 2-22 in conference play.  The defensive minded Withers fielded solid defenses in his time in San Marcos, but in a state that seems to be leading the charge in up tempo high flying passing attacks, he was unable to ever field an offense reflective of the local talent at his disposal.  Administrators tried to correct that with the hiring of West Virginia offensive coordinator Jake Spavital, who oversaw the nation’s 4th ranked passing attack last year, putting up 351.3 ppg.  Spavital is only 33, and has no head coaching experience, but in 11 years of coaching, all on the offensive side of the ball, spent 4 years each under Kevin Sumlin and Dana Holgorsen; and a year each under Todd Graham, Mike Gundy, and Sonny Dykes.  If the guy hasn’t picked up enough offense by now, he never will.  It marks a new era for Bobcats football, with a clear shift in philosophy to appeal more to the wealth of high school talent in their backyard, but also to go outside the family, and hire a guy with no connections to the school, a combination Texas State, a school that was an NAIA and then Division II power through the 50s and 60s and then again in the early 80s under future Minnesota coach Jim Wacker, hasn’t gone to before.  While Spavital doesn’t have David Sills and Gary Jennings to work with, Hutch White and Jeremiah Haydel are a very good pair, if they have a quarterback to work with.  Because he CERTAINLY doesn't have Will Grier under center.  Last year, Texas State was last in the Sun Belt in pass efficiency, and yards per attempt, partly due to a league worst completion percentage.  Tight end Keenen Brown, who has moved on, was the main target, but White and Haydel both showed enough, despite combining for just 50 catches and 624 yards to both make third team all-conference.  Haydel, a rising junior, is particularly intriguing, averaging over 20 yards per reception, and a quarter of his catches resulting in touchdowns.  Who is going to be throwing them the ball though?  The old adage is that when you have two quarterbacks, you really have none.  I’ve never bought that, but when you have two quarterbacks, but both are terrible, then it’s true.  Willie Jones started the year, was replaced by Tyler Vitt, who then got hurt, putting Jones back in, who maintained the job, but then had a shoulder injury of his own, allowing Vitt to finish the season.  The end result was that each played in 9 games, and out of 10 qualified quarterbacks in the Sun Belt, they finished 9th and 10th in Total QBR.  They were the 3rd and 15th worst in all of FBS respectively.  That is why the leader in the club house may be JUCO transfer Gresch Jensen.  Jensen played for new Texas State offensive coordinator Bob Stitt, when Stitt was the head coach at Montana, as a freshman in 2017.  Jensen was Montana’s MVP, and finished 3rd in voting for the Jerry Rice Award, as the top freshman in the FCS.  But Stitt was fired as head coach, and Jensen transferred out.  He’ll have two seasons of eligibility left, and has to be better than what Texas State rolled out last year.
KEY PLAYERS
WRHutch White, Senior
WRJeremiah Haydel, Junior
CAaron Brewer, Senior
.
LBBryan London, Senior
LBNikolas Daniels, Senior
CBKordell Rodgers, Junior

ELA

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Re: ELA 2019 Countdown
« Reply #24 on: January 25, 2019, 08:40:24 AM »
123. UTSA Roadrunners
#11 in Conference USA
Perhaps no fan base is less excited to find out that they have 8 starters returning to one side of the ball, than UTSA fans, if those exist, have to be about their offense.  Their useless, useless offense.  The Roadrunners finished dead last in the FBS, with only 247 yards of offense per game.  As a Michigan State fan I know what bad offense looked like...and UTSA averaged almost 100 yards per game less than Michigan State’s putrid offense.  I listed Jordan Weeks as a Key Player, because the UTSA offense is devoid of them, and he might be the starting quarterback, so any change starts with him, unless he’s not the starter.  I say that because four different quarterbacks played in at least four games last year, with each starting at least once: Cordale Grundy, Bryce Rivers, D.J. Gillins and Jordan Weeks.  Bryce Rivers, who was the starter to finish the season, already announced his transfer, and Gillins was a senior, so it’s likely between Weeks, and rising senior Cordale Grundy, who began 2018 as the starter before giving way to Weeks, with Gillins grabbing a start in between.  The passing game has been miserable for a few years, but the running game, which was still top 40 nationally in 2017, kept the offense barely afloat.  Enter Al Borges, and the running game disappeared, with Jalen Rhodes, who was their leading rusher in 2017, dropping to averaging just 24.4 yards per game, in the nation’s third worst rushing attack.  Also much like Michigan State, rather than fully addressing the problem in the coaching staff, they just reshuffled, with Borges moving from coordinator to analyst; Jeff Kastl moving from passing game coordinator to offensive coordinator; and retaining the offensive line and receivers coaches.  The offense has been bad though, so why UTSA fell from bowl eligible to #123 in the Massey composite is because the defense went from one of the best in the nation to not good at all.  In 2017 UTSA was #22 in the nation in total defense, #8 in scoring defense (#2 and #1 respectively in Conference USA in those stats); and fell to #98 in total defense and #88 in scoring defense, giving up a full 14 points more per game.  So if the Roadrunners are going to have a bounce back, it seems much more likely that the defense gets back on track.  That starts with a pair of edge rushers who could do big things in DeQuarius Henry and Lorenzo Dantzler.  They are going to have to create a ton of pressure, because behind them, the Roadrunners look more likely to repeat 2018 than 2017.  They graduated a pair of rock solid safeties in C.J. Levine and Darryl Godfrey, who combined for 174 tackles; and leading tackler Josiah Tauaefa, their lone returning all-conference player opted to leave early for the NFL Draft.  Frank Wilson is highly thought of as a recruiter, but after his first full class, which was the highest rated in school history, that has started to dip too.  It’s time for that 2017 class, now comprising the juniors and redshirt sophomores, to get the program back on track.
KEY PLAYERS
QBJordan Weeks, Sophomore
TEGavin Sharp, Sophomore
TJosh Dunlop, Senior
.
DEDeQuarius Henry, Junior
DELorenzo Dantzler, Junior
CBCassius Grady, Senior

Brutus Buckeye

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Re: ELA 2019 Countdown
« Reply #25 on: January 25, 2019, 11:03:16 AM »
Utsa seemed to have a lot of potential when they burst on to the scene. Texas school in a city with no CFB team, playing in the Alamodome...
1919, 20, 21, 28, 29, 31, 34, 35, 36, 37, 42, 44
WWH: 1952, 54, 55, 57, 58, 60, 61, 62, 63, 65, 67, 68, 70, 72, 74, 75
1979, 81, 82, 84, 87, 94, 98
2001, 02, 04, 05, 06, 07, 08, 09, 10, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19

FearlessF

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Re: ELA 2019 Countdown
« Reply #26 on: January 25, 2019, 11:05:59 AM »
a large city
"Courage; Generosity; Fairness; Honor; In these are the true awards of manly sport."

ELA

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Re: ELA 2019 Countdown
« Reply #27 on: January 25, 2019, 11:22:02 AM »
Plus they had Larry Coker.

I wondered if the 2017 team would move into the NY6 discussion when it started 3-0 with a Power 5 win over Baylor, and two blowout victories over teams that good teams blow out.  They went 3-5 after that though, and got passed over for a bowl.

 

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