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Topic: Does Joe Biden have the Mental Capacity to be the President of the US?

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Cincydawg

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Re: Does Joe Biden have the Mental Capacity to be the President of the US?
« Reply #322 on: July 09, 2024, 10:10:04 AM »
This reminds me a bit of a totally unrelated story.  Where I worked for a while was on the Greater Miami River and across from a bridge built in around 1910.  At one point, the bridge was to be replaced.  So, at lunch, a bunch of us would gather to observe, and then opine about what was happening.  None of us were engineers, but nearly all "highly educated", and we'd say "Oh, they are doing X", another would say "I think it's Y".  I think we were all wrong, in every case.  (When the bridge footings were in place and they started in the superstructure, it was obvious what was being done.)

My learning was "experts" in one field can be woefully ignorant in another.  And I learned a little about how bridges are built.

FearlessF

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Re: Does Joe Biden have the Mental Capacity to be the President of the US?
« Reply #323 on: July 09, 2024, 10:12:23 AM »
I don't think you need to be a bridge engineer to know that Biden would lose the election
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medinabuckeye1

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Re: Does Joe Biden have the Mental Capacity to be the President of the US?
« Reply #324 on: July 09, 2024, 10:19:45 AM »
It would be political suicide even to try for the Cabinet members and KH.  They won't want to risk that.  And it doesn't really solve "the problem", which is the nomination.

Now, maybe if Joe has more really bad days in public, they might be forced to attempt it, but it would have to be several really bad public days.  The story to date is "Everything is fine here."

There would first be multiple high level efforts to get him to retire and resign quietly. 
Since it has been brought up repeatedly, the 25th Amendment has four Sections:

Section 1 clarifies that the VP takes over in the event of the death, resignation, or removal of the President. 

Section 2 lays out the procedure for filling a vacancy in the office of VP. The procedure is that POTUS nominates and BOTH Houses of Congress confirm by simple majority. IIRC, before the 25th Amendment the Senate alone filled vacancies in the office of VP. Gerald Ford became President when Nixon resigned. He had previously become VP under this section.

Section 3 lays out a voluntary procedure for temporarily transferring power to VP. This section has been invoked multiple times by Presidents starting with Bush II for things such as surgeries requiring general anesthesia. 

Section 4 is the procedure for an involuntary transfer of Presidential power but note that this section transfers the powers, NOT the office. Ie, if it were invoked Harris would become "Acting President", NOT President. That may seem semantic and in a way it is but it matters because the invoking Section 4 would NOT create a vacancy in the office of VP. Biden would continue to be the President and Harris would continue to be VP, while acting as President. 

Here is the text of Section 4:
Section 4
Whenever the Vice President and a majority of either the principal officers of the executive departments or of such other body as Congress may by law provide, transmit to the President pro tempore of the Senate and the Speaker of the House of Representatives their written declaration that the President is unable to discharge the powers and duties of his office, the Vice President shall immediately assume the powers and duties of the office as Acting President.
     
Thereafter, when the President transmits to the President pro tempore of the Senate and the Speaker of the House of Representatives his written declaration that no inability exists, he shall resume the powers and duties of his office unless the Vice President and a majority of either the principal officers of the executive department or of such other body as Congress may by law provide, transmit within four days to the President pro tempore of the Senate and the Speaker of the House of Representatives their written declaration that the President is unable to discharge the powers and duties of his office. Thereupon Congress shall decide the issue, assembling within forty-eight hours for that purpose if not in session. If the Congress, within twenty-one days after receipt of the latter written declaration, or, if Congress is not in session, within twenty-one days after Congress is required to assemble, determines by two-thirds vote of both Houses that the President is unable to discharge the powers and duties of his office, the Vice President shall continue to discharge the same as Acting President; otherwise, the President shall resume the powers and duties of his office.

medinabuckeye1

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Re: Does Joe Biden have the Mental Capacity to be the President of the US?
« Reply #325 on: July 09, 2024, 10:24:16 AM »
This is not good.

Biden didn't show up for an early evening meeting with the German chancellor because he had to go to bed: report (msn.com)
Biden didn't show up for an early evening meeting with the German chancellor because he had to go to bed: report (msn.com)
My guess is this was due to a phenomenon called sundowners. It is typical for those with dementia to have lapses in the evening. 

847badgerfan

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Re: Does Joe Biden have the Mental Capacity to be the President of the US?
« Reply #326 on: July 09, 2024, 10:37:06 AM »
My guess is this was due to a phenomenon called sundowners. It is typical for those with dementia to have lapses in the evening.
Yes, it is.

The German Chancellor apparently did not have jet lag.
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Cincydawg

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Re: Does Joe Biden have the Mental Capacity to be the President of the US?
« Reply #327 on: July 09, 2024, 11:05:17 AM »
Jon Stewart criticizes Biden's team over debate performance spin (thehill.com)
Jon Stewart criticizes Biden's team over debate performance spin (thehill.com)

Now to my mind, the debate was a shocking display of cognitive difficulty recognizable to, unfortunately, anybody who’s dealt with aging parents, and it’s a hard watch,” he added, before noting that some viewers felt Biden’s performance “was not as noteworthy as Biden’s opponent in the debate.”
He then played clips of Democrats who pointed out that former President Trump made numerous false claims during the debate. He then noted that there was difference between Trump’s and Biden’s performances.
“I will tell you the difference. The difference is Trump delivered at the debate to expectation. We expect him to be f—— crazy. But Biden’s performance and inability to articulate at times was stunning. Like I could not believe what I was watching,” he said.
He then said things “got worse” after the debate, pointing to some excuses Democrats, Biden and the White House made for the president’s rocky debate showing. This included White House press secretary Karine Jean-Pierre explaining that Biden had a cold 
 had a cold that night and was jet-lagged from his recent foreign travel.
“He’d been home for almost two weeks. He was jet-lagged? How big is that f—— jet? The point is, for a campaign based on honesty and decency, the spin about the debate appears to be blatant bulls—. And the redemption tour hasn’t gotten that much better,” Stewart said.



FearlessF

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Re: Does Joe Biden have the Mental Capacity to be the President of the US?
« Reply #328 on: July 09, 2024, 11:07:42 AM »
But Biden’s performance and inability to articulate at times was stunning. Like I could not believe what I was watching,” he said.

Apparently, Jon hasn't been paying attention
I fully expected Biden's performance.  Actually thinking it might be worse
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betarhoalphadelta

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Re: Does Joe Biden have the Mental Capacity to be the President of the US?
« Reply #329 on: July 09, 2024, 11:10:52 AM »
I fully expected Biden's performance.  Actually thinking it might be worse
I didn't. I didn't think his handlers would let him on that stage if this was even a remote possibility. 

I have to think that everyone around him thought that this would be his triumphant way to prove he wasn't "Sleepy Joe". That was the entire point of getting him on a stage with Trump. Show the world that he's still got it, and immediately dispel the "he's too old and he's losing it" rhetoric that has been thrown around on the right for months. 

But he's too old and he's losing it. And the debate, rather than dispel that, proved it. 

FearlessF

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Re: Does Joe Biden have the Mental Capacity to be the President of the US?
« Reply #330 on: July 09, 2024, 11:25:42 AM »
everyone around him should have known

delusional
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medinabuckeye1

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Re: Does Joe Biden have the Mental Capacity to be the President of the US?
« Reply #331 on: July 09, 2024, 11:27:54 AM »
Section 4 is the procedure for an involuntary transfer of Presidential power but note that this section transfers the powers, NOT the office. Ie, if it were invoked Harris would become "Acting President", NOT President. That may seem semantic and in a way it is but it matters because the invoking Section 4 would NOT create a vacancy in the office of VP. Biden would continue to be the President and Harris would continue to be VP, while acting as President.
I think the drafters of this Amendment made a mistake here but I can understand because I'm not sure that my proposed solution is the best way to fix it.  

According to the Succession Act of 1947 the Order of Succession to the Powers of the President (not the Presidency per se, just "acting"), the order is:
  • VP
  • Speaker of the HoR
  • President Pro Tempore of the Senate
  • -18 are the members of the Cabinet in order of the Seniority of their positions

Hypothetical:
  • the Biden/Harris ticket wins re-election
  • Republicans maintain a small majority in the HoR thus the Speaker of the HoR is a Republican
  • Republicans gain a net two seats in the Senate thus taking a 51-49 majority and appoint a Republican as President Pro Tempore of the Senate
  • Biden's condition deteriorates to the point that it becomes completely indefensible so Harris and the Cabinet invoke Section 4 of the 25th Amendment.  If Biden contests this, the HoR and Senate both vote by a 2/3 majority that Biden is in fact incapacitated and thus Harris assumes the duties of the President but she does NOT actually become President and there is NO vacancy in the office of VP to be filled.  
  • Harris is struck by lightning and dies.  

By my reading of the 25 Amendment and the Presidential Succession Act, in this scenario President Biden would remain "President" but the Republican Speaker of the HoR would assume the duties of the Office.  Those duties would include nominating members of the Cabinet so, theoretically, the Republican Speaker of the HoR could replace all the Democrats in the Cabinet.  

IMHO, the Speaker of the HoR and the President Pro Tempore of the Senate should be removed from the order of succession because their presence on the list especially at such high spots creates the possibility of a Presidential asassination or incapacitation resulting in a change in partisan control of the Presidency.  I think that this should be avoided so as to minimize the motivations to assassinate the President and to remove potential partisan motivations from the motivations of the Cabinet Members and Congress Members decisions on incapacitation.  

medinabuckeye1

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Re: Does Joe Biden have the Mental Capacity to be the President of the US?
« Reply #332 on: July 09, 2024, 11:36:10 AM »
I didn't. I didn't think his handlers would let him on that stage if this was even a remote possibility.

I have to think that everyone around him thought that this would be his triumphant way to prove he wasn't "Sleepy Joe". That was the entire point of getting him on a stage with Trump. Show the world that he's still got it, and immediately dispel the "he's too old and he's losing it" rhetoric that has been thrown around on the right for months.

But he's too old and he's losing it. And the debate, rather than dispel that, proved it.
This thought is what I keep coming back to.  

Politically, the people around him *should* have ducked the debate.  I'm honestly not sure that it would have cost them much.  The nation is so polarized that the people on his side certainly wouldn't have held it against him.  Look, if Biden had ducked the debate, the is literally zero chance that @OrangeAfroMan would have said "That is it, I'm voting for Trump".  It *MIGHT* have hurt a little with a few swing voters but I'm not even sure about that.  We don't need to see a debate to know what the candidates are.  

My theory (I introduced this WAY upthread) is that the people around him simply HAD to know that this was a distinct possibility and they put him up there as a means to get him off the ticket.  

As I see it, the only other possibility is that they rolled the dice.  Dementia patients typically have lapses.  Maybe they just figured they'd stick him up there and HOPE that he didn't happen to have any lapses on that particular evening.  

When my dad was at something similar to the stage of dementia that it appears Biden is at right now, he *DID* sometimes have a good evening where we'd talk with him and everything was normal.  The thing is, from my experience, when my dad was having lapses as frequently as it appears that Biden is now, the chances of him having a full 90 minutes of lucidity were REALLY low so if that is what they did, it was one heck of a gamble.  

medinabuckeye1

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Re: Does Joe Biden have the Mental Capacity to be the President of the US?
« Reply #333 on: July 09, 2024, 11:44:02 AM »
I didn't. I didn't think his handlers would let him on that stage if this was even a remote possibility.
To clarify here, I think they'd have had to roll the dice if it was a "remote possibility".  Ie, if Biden was in the VERY early stages of dementia where these lapses are sometimes a week apart and you were a Biden advisor, I think you'd do the debate and hope for the best.  You *MIGHT* want to try to negotiate to have it on a Saturday so that you could do it earlier in the day to minimize the risk but other than that I don't think you necessarily accept the potential political damage from ducking the debate if this is only a "remote possibility".  

At this point it appears NOT to have been a remote possibility because there have been pretty much daily lapses since.  Jon Stewart showed some in this montage quoted by @Cincydawg :
Jon Stewart criticizes Biden's team over debate performance spin (thehill.com)
Jon Stewart criticizes Biden's team over debate performance spin (thehill.com)
If he is having publicly visible lapses then this can't have been a "remote possibility".  That brings me back to my theory that they *MUST* have known either:
  • That this was going to happen, or
  • At least, that this was a very strong possibility.  

Then that brings me back to my theory.  If they knew, then they did this for a reason and the only reason I can think of is to force the issue and get him off the ticket.  

medinabuckeye1

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Re: Does Joe Biden have the Mental Capacity to be the President of the US?
« Reply #334 on: July 09, 2024, 11:45:48 AM »
Jon Stewart criticizes Biden's team over debate performance spin (thehill.com)
Jon Stewart criticizes Biden's team over debate performance spin (thehill.com)
I watched this on YouTube last night and I thought it was sad but hilarious.  

Cincydawg

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Re: Does Joe Biden have the Mental Capacity to be the President of the US?
« Reply #335 on: July 09, 2024, 12:23:23 PM »
Is there a functional difference between "Acting President" and President, aside from perhaps there being no Vice President?

This Amendment was poorly written, in my  view, as is the case with many of them.

 

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