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Topic: CRISPR and AI

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Cincydawg

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Re: CRISPR and AI
« Reply #140 on: February 23, 2026, 02:24:33 PM »
For Vegas, it wouldn’t really matter. They get ahead, incorporate new numbers, adjust.
Let's presume AI gets really good at predictive markets and is widely known for being "unbeatable" (except by random chance).  Most folks, I think, would realize they can't beat AI and stop betting, except maybe just for fun, like buying a lotto ticket.  I think it would limit the betting markets.

For the stock market, things like ETFs might be replaced by AI managed funds, all yielding similar returns long term.  

I think the McDonalds would become AI operated, maybe with one human present in case something gets stuck or the ice cream machine breaks.

How about maid services?  Automated?  Vehicles self driving totally?  This might all happen within a decade.

FearlessF

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Re: CRISPR and AI
« Reply #141 on: February 23, 2026, 02:51:49 PM »
stupid customers will break the ice cream machine
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bayareabadger

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Re: CRISPR and AI
« Reply #142 on: February 23, 2026, 04:39:08 PM »
Let's presume AI gets really good at predictive markets and is widely known for being "unbeatable" (except by random chance).  Most folks, I think, would realize they can't beat AI and stop betting, except maybe just for fun, like buying a lotto ticket.  I think it would limit the betting markets.
But that's not really how gambling works. 

You're not going to build a model that is going to laser focus every line to being within a half point of the actual outcome. That's not how the world and sports work. They're too random. 

And even if they did, gambling isn't about beating predictive markets. Maybe there's a chance Vegas' AI gets ahead of the big-time gamblers, but the books don't care. In fact, they don't even want people who are good at it. 

Like, you don't need AI to tell you that parlays are mostly a way to lose money. Yet lots of people have fun losing money on parlays. AI isn't going to fix this unless it teaches everyone math and risk aversion. So the only way this happens is not if AI is unbeatable (which is both impossible and not practical), but if people route decision making through AI to such a degree that it just tells them to stop gambling. 

Honestbuckeye

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Re: CRISPR and AI
« Reply #143 on: February 24, 2026, 10:17:44 AM »
      <!-- /* Font Definitions */ @font-face {font-family:"Cambria Math"; panose-1:2 4 5 3 5 4 6 3 2 4; mso-font-charset:0; mso-generic-font-family:roman; mso-font-pitch:variable; mso-font-signature:-536869121 1107305727 33554432 0 415 0;} @font-face {font-family:Aptos; mso-font-charset:0; mso-generic-font-family:swiss; mso-font-pitch:variable; mso-font-signature:536871559 3 0 0 415 0;} /* Style Definitions */ p.MsoNormal, li.MsoNormal, div.MsoNormal {mso-style-unhide:no; mso-style-qformat:yes; mso-style-parent:""; margin:0in; mso-pagination:widow-orphan; font-size:12.0pt; font-family:"Aptos",sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family:Aptos; mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family:Aptos; mso-ligatures:standardcontextual;} a:link, span.MsoHyperlink {mso-style-noshow:yes; mso-style-priority:99; color:#467886; text-decoration:underline; text-underline:single;} a:visited, span.MsoHyperlinkFollowed {mso-style-noshow:yes; mso-style-priority:99; color:#96607D; mso-themecolor:followedhyperlink; text-decoration:underline; text-underline:single;} .MsoChpDefault {mso-style-type:export-only; mso-default-props:yes; font-size:10.0pt; mso-ansi-font-size:10.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size:10.0pt; mso-font-kerning:0pt; mso-ligatures:none;} @page WordSection1 {size:8.5in 11.0in; margin:1.0in 1.0in 1.0in 1.0in; mso-header-margin:.5in; mso-footer-margin:.5in; mso-paper-source:0;} div.WordSection1 {page:WordSection1;} --> https://www.citriniresearch.com/p/2028gic


A must read for those interested.  This went Viral yesterday and again, caused a substantial sell off.  @utee94 - Austin is specifically mentioned in the housing part of this.
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MrNubbz

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Re: CRISPR and AI
« Reply #144 on: February 24, 2026, 10:25:20 AM »
I think the McDonalds would become AI operated, maybe with one human present in case something gets stuck or the ice cream machine breaks.

How about maid services?  Automated?  Vehicles self driving totally?  This might all happen within a decade.


https://youtu.be/Bm6yYvKbPt4?t=3
“Some people see things that are and ask, Why? Some people dream of things that never were and ask, Why not? Some people have to go to work and don't have time for that shit”. - George Carlin

MikeDeTiger

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Re: CRISPR and AI
« Reply #145 on: Today at 12:34:14 PM »
As noted, there's a ton about my job I can't use AI for, lest I be fired for FERPA and HIPAA violations along with Texas state law and university policy violations.  

But, I do have one project going which is all publicly available data, and I'm musing about how that might look with AI agentic help.  Here's the scenario and my thoughts so far.

I'm taking over a project from a QEP analyst that was begun and continues in Adobe Illustrator.  It's program reviews for each degree/program we offer.  Previously, gathering the data was like pulling teeth, this guy spent like a third of the working year pulling it from various sources.  We now use a much friendlier SaaS product, which I have a license for, which can amalgamate the majority of the raw data I need much, much faster.  What the guy did was gather the data, get it into a .csv file, merge that into an Adobe Illustrator template, and use that to spit out pdf's which were one-page reviews of each program.  

I'm thinking of switching it over to Tableau, because something about using Illustrator for this seems clunky, and also I'm unfamiliar with it and would be much more comfortable in Tableau.  Plus, that way I should be able to build one filterable dashboard the provost can access, instead of sending him a big batch of pdf's.  

My thoughts on this are as follows, admitting up front I've not used a paid version of a good AI, and having virtually no experience using such a thing for real tasks (I've mostly used AI to help me get past coding problems I get stuck on or how to do certain things in a program I lack expertise in.....such as Adobe Illustrator).

I can readily believe that AI can tell me how to use Adobe Illustrator to help my learning curve, or that it can tell me how to build a new Tableau template.  What I am skeptical of is that AI can actually do this for me in an agentic fashion.  That would require that AI could somehow access the SaaS we use to get the data.  I can believe it could potentially "know" how to input all the various parameters for each program and find the data....but I have no idea as to how AI could interact with the SaaS platform in the first place.  Then it would need to build an appropriate .csv file....ok, fine, no problem, that seems doable, but again, how would AI use Excel or Notepad++ or something like that to actually create a file for me?  And then it would need to access Tableau and be able to interact with it extensively to build a dashboard template to my specifications, and then merge the .csv.  

I guess when I think about it, it's probably an easy thing for an AI to make me a .csv file, if it has the data.  But crawling through the SaaS product and Tableau, and using them?  I have no idea how that works, and it doesn't seem plausible.  But, I'm curious for the thoughts of early adopters/heavy users, like @Honestbuckeye ....does this seem like something a paid version of AI can do right now?


utee94

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Re: CRISPR and AI
« Reply #146 on: Today at 12:43:40 PM »
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A must read for those interested.  This went Viral yesterday and again, caused a substantial sell off.  @utee94 - Austin is specifically mentioned in the housing part of this.

Yet another reason not to move to Austin!

Just kidding, that article outlines a grim projection to be sure.

i have a lot of thoughts about this, hopefully will have some time to formulate and write them down.

I will say that even if the overall premise ends up being 100% correct, and that AI and agentic AI advance so rapidly over the next two years that this could come to fruition within that timeframe... it's still not going to happen within that timeframe.  For one simple reason-- hardware scarcity and hardware shortages.  @MikeDeTiger 's concerns due to the rapidly increasing price of memory over the past couple of years-- a result of tremendous shortages for that category of products-- doesn't just apply to that one commodity.  It's hitting almost all hardware commodities across the board.  CPUs, GPUs, memories, other various ICs-- and since the manufacturing leadtime for silicon is so long, there won't be resolution for it within the next couple of years.  

That doesn't mean the issues aren't realistic, it just means the timeline isn't quite as immediate.

CatsbyAZ

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Re: CRISPR and AI
« Reply #147 on: Today at 01:28:39 PM »
      https://www.citriniresearch.com/p/2028gic


A must read for those interested.  This went Viral yesterday and again, caused a substantial sell off.  @utee94 - Austin is specifically mentioned in the housing part of this.

ZeroHedge posted a write-up on the market's negative reaction to this reported scenario: The Substack Post That Sank The Market:

"AI got better and cheaper. Companies laid off workers, then used the savings to buy more AI capability, which let them lay off more workers. Displaced workers spent less. Companies that sell things to consumers sold fewer of them, weakened, and invested more in AI to protect margins. AI got better and cheaper. A feedback loop with no natural brake."


iahawk15

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Re: CRISPR and AI
« Reply #148 on: Today at 01:42:01 PM »
As noted, there's a ton about my job I can't use AI for, lest I be fired for FERPA and HIPAA violations along with Texas state law and university policy violations. 

But, I do have one project going which is all publicly available data, and I'm musing about how that might look with AI agentic help.  Here's the scenario and my thoughts so far.

I'm taking over a project from a QEP analyst that was begun and continues in Adobe Illustrator.  It's program reviews for each degree/program we offer.  Previously, gathering the data was like pulling teeth, this guy spent like a third of the working year pulling it from various sources.  We now use a much friendlier SaaS product, which I have a license for, which can amalgamate the majority of the raw data I need much, much faster.  What the guy did was gather the data, get it into a .csv file, merge that into an Adobe Illustrator template, and use that to spit out pdf's which were one-page reviews of each program. 

I'm thinking of switching it over to Tableau, because something about using Illustrator for this seems clunky, and also I'm unfamiliar with it and would be much more comfortable in Tableau.  Plus, that way I should be able to build one filterable dashboard the provost can access, instead of sending him a big batch of pdf's. 

My thoughts on this are as follows, admitting up front I've not used a paid version of a good AI, and having virtually no experience using such a thing for real tasks (I've mostly used AI to help me get past coding problems I get stuck on or how to do certain things in a program I lack expertise in.....such as Adobe Illustrator).

I can readily believe that AI can tell me how to use Adobe Illustrator to help my learning curve, or that it can tell me how to build a new Tableau template.  What I am skeptical of is that AI can actually do this for me in an agentic fashion.  That would require that AI could somehow access the SaaS we use to get the data.  I can believe it could potentially "know" how to input all the various parameters for each program and find the data....but I have no idea as to how AI could interact with the SaaS platform in the first place.  Then it would need to build an appropriate .csv file....ok, fine, no problem, that seems doable, but again, how would AI use Excel or Notepad++ or something like that to actually create a file for me?  And then it would need to access Tableau and be able to interact with it extensively to build a dashboard template to my specifications, and then merge the .csv. 

I guess when I think about it, it's probably an easy thing for an AI to make me a .csv file, if it has the data.  But crawling through the SaaS product and Tableau, and using them?  I have no idea how that works, and it doesn't seem plausible.  But, I'm curious for the thoughts of early adopters/heavy users, like @Honestbuckeye ....does this seem like something a paid version of AI can do right now?


I will say upfront that I have not used Claude Code or dabbled with mcp servers AT ALL yet. However, as a sideline observer via twitter and some other dev gathering points, I'm confident this could be built with Claude Code as long as your SaaS has an API to get the data programatically.

As a somewhat experienced user of ChatGPT Pro and Gemini Pro, very skeptical of those models getting this done.

That said, Gemini built me a Gravity Forms --> CE Broker reporting script with very minor edits required.

Cincydawg

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Re: CRISPR and AI
« Reply #149 on: Today at 02:07:20 PM »
In what other arenas might AI have a major impact?  Transportation is one already discussed.  Anything currently relying on "manual 
unskilled" labor ... picking up litter?  I'd be down with that, I loathe litter(ing).  Restaurant service and meal prep?  Fast food I think almost certainly.  General retail?  I don't know how long a Macy's can survive anyway.  Financial planning?  Computer coding?  Construction, electrical, concrete pouring, asphalt paving, ...?  Gardening/farming?

Maybe I should ask what CANNOT be replaced.

Cincydawg

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Re: CRISPR and AI
« Reply #150 on: Today at 03:11:04 PM »


utee94

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Re: CRISPR and AI
« Reply #152 on: Today at 03:33:07 PM »
That's good news because almost nobody else can anymore.

847badgerfan

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Re: CRISPR and AI
« Reply #153 on: Today at 03:37:29 PM »
I had to learn and use Fortran and Pascal in college. Not fun. 

That knowledge is fully lost.

U RAH RAH! WIS CON SIN!

 

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