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Topic: Champions week matchups

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Riffraft

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Re: Champions week matchups
« Reply #28 on: December 10, 2020, 05:51:22 PM »
Fixed that for you :57:
Yep, we OSU fans are Warped that Way. Win over TTUN is more important than B1G championship. 

Brutus Buckeye

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Re: Champions week matchups
« Reply #29 on: December 10, 2020, 07:27:38 PM »
Heh, the Rose Bowl is a playoff game this year, so that makes it even easier. 
1919, 20, 21, 28, 29, 31, 34, 35, 36, 37, 42, 44
WWH: 1952, 54, 55, 57, 58, 60, 61, 62, 63, 65, 67, 68, 70, 72, 74, 75
1979, 81, 82, 84, 87, 94, 98
2001, 02, 04, 05, 06, 07, 08, 09, 10, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19

Brutus Buckeye

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Re: Champions week matchups
« Reply #30 on: December 10, 2020, 09:57:49 PM »

I posed this hypothetical on a Buckeye board. Not only is the win over TTUN unanimous, but on top of that I got a whole buncha "What kind of a question is this? Did you actually think that anyone would pick the Big Ten Title?" type responses. 
1919, 20, 21, 28, 29, 31, 34, 35, 36, 37, 42, 44
WWH: 1952, 54, 55, 57, 58, 60, 61, 62, 63, 65, 67, 68, 70, 72, 74, 75
1979, 81, 82, 84, 87, 94, 98
2001, 02, 04, 05, 06, 07, 08, 09, 10, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19

medinabuckeye1

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Re: Champions week matchups
« Reply #31 on: December 11, 2020, 01:58:34 AM »
I posed this hypothetical on a Buckeye board. Not only is the win over TTUN unanimous, but on top of that I got a whole buncha "What kind of a question is this? Did you actually think that anyone would pick the Big Ten Title?" type responses.
I think that you and they are conflating a means with the ends.

For years the goals at Ohio State were:
Beat Michigan, win the Big Ten, win the Rose Bowl.

Historically beating Michigan was a precondition of the other two. It was a means not just an end onto itself. 

NorthernOhioBuckeye

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Re: Champions week matchups
« Reply #32 on: December 11, 2020, 06:45:38 AM »
I think that you and they are conflating a means with the ends.

For years the goals at Ohio State were:
Beat Michigan, win the Big Ten, win the Rose Bowl.

Historically beating Michigan was a precondition of the other two. It was a means not just an end onto itself.
As someone that lives closer to that state up north than most other Buckeyes, I have to say that loosing to that team means a year of listening to them brag about beating the Bucks. That is intolerable. They never brag about tOSU NOT winning the B!G Title game. 

Cincydawg

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Re: Champions week matchups
« Reply #33 on: December 11, 2020, 06:50:09 AM »
Imagine 20 years from now and Michigan has been relegated to Illinois status as a football program.  E.g., their best season in 20 years was 7-5, and they made bowl games only 3 years out of 20.  Does The Game retain much significance at that point?  Imagine the series is 1-19 over that time period.


I was musing about the UGA-Tech "rivalry" which was a thing down here for many decades, but simply isn't any more, to me anyway.  It doesn't compare to The Game of course as it's far more local and has little national significance over the past 20+ years.  I personally would drop them from the schedule if I had a choice.

Brutus Buckeye

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Re: Champions week matchups
« Reply #34 on: December 11, 2020, 08:07:26 AM »
I think that you and they are conflating a means with the ends.

For years the goals at Ohio State were:
Beat Michigan, win the Big Ten, win the Rose Bowl.

Historically beating Michigan was a precondition of the other two. It was a means not just an end onto itself.


Me? No. I am just the messenger. I posed the hypothetical fairly, and even included the Rose Bowl in order to sweeten the deal for the Big Ten Championship. No takers. They all picked the Michigan win. 

I mean, what good is a Title over the rest of the Big Ten, if you don't even get bragging rights in the most important game? 
1919, 20, 21, 28, 29, 31, 34, 35, 36, 37, 42, 44
WWH: 1952, 54, 55, 57, 58, 60, 61, 62, 63, 65, 67, 68, 70, 72, 74, 75
1979, 81, 82, 84, 87, 94, 98
2001, 02, 04, 05, 06, 07, 08, 09, 10, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19

Brutus Buckeye

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Re: Champions week matchups
« Reply #35 on: December 11, 2020, 08:36:39 AM »
For the record, here is my exact wording. I also included a poll, which as of now is unanimously in favor of winning THE GAME instead of the Big Ten Title. 

----------

Okay. First let's stipulate that THE GAME had not been canceled this weekend. I know, crazy right? Hear me out. 

So it is technically a "meaningless" game, since OSU has already clinched a spot in the Big Ten Title Game. 

Now here's where it gets really crazy... 

The Football Gods visit you, and with them they bring both good news and bad news. 

The bad news is that you are definitely going to go 1-1 in those final two games (TTUN and the Big Ten CCG), which will definitely knock OSU out of the CFB Playoff picture. 

The good news is that you get to pick which game they win, and which game they lose. So...

Would you rather: 

1) Beat TTUN, but then barf up a game against Northwestern in Indianapolis. 

2) Lose to TTUN, but then beat Northwestern, win the Big Ten Title, and then go to the Rose Bowl (instead of the playoffs).


-------------

Here are the types of responses I got. 

Scenario 1.  No hesitation.

Come on Brutus, this poll kind of sucks. Literally NO ONE will prefer a Michigan loss to a NW loss. You can do better.

No question, beat Michigan like the little brother that they are.

1919, 20, 21, 28, 29, 31, 34, 35, 36, 37, 42, 44
WWH: 1952, 54, 55, 57, 58, 60, 61, 62, 63, 65, 67, 68, 70, 72, 74, 75
1979, 81, 82, 84, 87, 94, 98
2001, 02, 04, 05, 06, 07, 08, 09, 10, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19

medinabuckeye1

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Re: Champions week matchups
« Reply #36 on: December 11, 2020, 10:22:44 AM »
Me? No. I am just the messenger. I posed the hypothetical fairly, and even included the Rose Bowl in order to sweeten the deal for the Big Ten Championship. No takers. They all picked the Michigan win.

I mean, what good is a Title over the rest of the Big Ten, if you don't even get bragging rights in the most important game?
I get it, but see this:
Imagine 20 years from now and Michigan has been relegated to Illinois status as a football program.  E.g., their best season in 20 years was 7-5, and they made bowl games only 3 years out of 20.  Does The Game retain much significance at that point?  Imagine the series is 1-19 over that time period.

I was musing about the UGA-Tech "rivalry" which was a thing down here for many decades, but simply isn't any more, to me anyway.  It doesn't compare to The Game of course as it's far more local and has little national significance over the past 20+ years.  I personally would drop them from the schedule if I had a choice.
and this:
If FSU went on a run and it was a 4th straight loss or 5th straight, then I would flip-flop for sure.  
@Cincydawg and @OrangeAfroMan pretty much laid out where I am.  

Losing to Michigan REALLY sucks and this:
As someone that lives closer to that state up north than most other Buckeyes, I have to say that loosing to that team means a year of listening to them brag about beating the Bucks. That is intolerable. They never brag about tOSU NOT winning the B!G Title game.
One of the reasons it sucks is that a lot of us have to interact with Michigan fans on a frequent basis.  This is obviously worse for someone in Toledo or elsewhere near the Michigan border as I assume @NorthernOhioBuckeye is.  

That said, to me, losing to Michigan in 2000 sucked a LOT worse than losing to them in 2011 simply because the Buckeyes won six (seven if you count the vacated one) straight prior to the 2011 loss.  A Michigan fan can brag but a tOSU fan can answer with something like:
  • "A broken clock is right twice a day." or
  • "Yeah, you got your once-a-decade win last year, whatever."  
  • etc.  

The winner's bragging rights are a lot stronger if they have multiple consecutive wins like tOSU now or Michigan after winning their third straight in 1997.  

So that is where I am.  If Michigan had won last year this would be a close call for me.  If they had won the last 2+ I would be on your side completely.  They haven't.  The Buckeyes have eight straight against the Wolverines and 14 of 15 (15 of 16 if you count the vacated win).  That dropping to 14 of 16 or 15 of 17 simply isn't as big of a deal to me as it would be to lose 2+ straight.  

Another way to look at it:
In modern times, the worst ten-year run against Michigan for our Buckeyes was John Cooper's first ten years (1988-1997).  At that point the Buckeyes were:
  • .150, 1-8-1 over the past 10 years (1988-1997)
  • .360, 8-15-2 over the past 25 years (1973-1997)
  • .470, 22-25-3 over the past 50 years (1948-1997)
Those same figures for Michigan currently:
  • .111, 1-8 over the last 10 years (2011-2020 - no game in 2020)
  • .261, 6-17 over the last 25 years (1996-2020 - no game in 2020, vacated tOSU win in 2010)
  • .438, 20-26-1 over the last 50 years (1971-2020 - no game in 2020, vacated tOSU win in 2010)

So, compared to the depths of the Cooper era, Michigan is now:
  • 1/2 game worse over the last 10 years
  • 2 games worse over the last 25 years
  • 1.5 games worse over the last 50 years

Also, it is not going to get any better for them anytime soon because:
  • Their one win in the last 10 years was 10 years ago, in 2011.  Thus, the best they could do for 2012-2021 is 1-8.  
  • Two of their six wins in the last 25 years were 25 and 24 years ago in 1996 and 1997.  Thus, the best they could do  for 1997-2021 and 1998-2022 is 6-17.  
  • One of their twenty wins in the last 50 years was 50 years ago in 1971.  Thus, the best they could do for 1972-2021 is 20-26-1.  


I see those 10-25-50 year windows as akin to "living memories".  If we assume that people can remember back to when they were between 5-10 years old then:
  • The 10 year comparison is roughly what a current HS or College student can remember.  
  • The 25 year comparison is roughly what a current 30-35 year old can remember.  
  • The 50 year comparison is roughly what a current 55-60 year old can remember.  

There simply are not a lot of living fans who can remember back much further than that.  Also, the 50 year comparison starts in 1971 and Ohio State had a very good record against the Wolverines in the 50's and 60's:
  • Ohio State's lead since 1971 is six games (26-20-2 since 1971).  
  • Going back further, tOSU's lead does not drop below six and consistently climbs until maxing out at 13 games since both 1954 and 1952:
  • Ohio State's lead since 1954 is 13 games (38-25-2 since 1954)
  • Ohio State's lead since 1952 is 13 games (39-26-2 since 1952).  

1952 was almost 70 years ago and Ohio State's lead doesn't shrink below six until you go back to 1938, more than 80 years ago.  My point is that there are no living fans in whose living memory Michigan is anything better than slightly behind tOSU and one game wouldn't change that at all.  


Cincydawg

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Brutus Buckeye

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Re: Champions week matchups
« Reply #38 on: December 11, 2020, 11:23:00 AM »
I get it, but see this:and this:@Cincydawg and @OrangeAfroMan pretty much laid out where I am. 

Losing to Michigan REALLY sucks and this:One of the reasons it sucks is that a lot of us have to interact with Michigan fans on a frequent basis.  This is obviously worse for someone in Toledo or elsewhere near the Michigan border as I assume @NorthernOhioBuckeye is. 

That said, to me, losing to Michigan in 2000 sucked a LOT worse than losing to them in 2011 simply because the Buckeyes won six (seven if you count the vacated one) straight prior to the 2011 loss.  A Michigan fan can brag but a tOSU fan can answer with something like:
  • "A broken clock is right twice a day." or
  • "Yeah, you got your once-a-decade win last year, whatever." 
  • etc. 

The winner's bragging rights are a lot stronger if they have multiple consecutive wins like tOSU now or Michigan after winning their third straight in 1997. 

So that is where I am.  If Michigan had won last year this would be a close call for me.  If they had won the last 2+ I would be on your side completely.  They haven't.  The Buckeyes have eight straight against the Wolverines and 14 of 15 (15 of 16 if you count the vacated win).  That dropping to 14 of 16 or 15 of 17 simply isn't as big of a deal to me as it would be to lose 2+ straight. 

Another way to look at it:
In modern times, the worst ten-year run against Michigan for our Buckeyes was John Cooper's first ten years (1988-1997).  At that point the Buckeyes were:
  • .150, 1-8-1 over the past 10 years (1988-1997)
  • .360, 8-15-2 over the past 25 years (1973-1997)
  • .470, 22-25-3 over the past 50 years (1948-1997)
Those same figures for Michigan currently:
  • .111, 1-8 over the last 10 years (2011-2020 - no game in 2020)
  • .261, 6-17 over the last 25 years (1996-2020 - no game in 2020, vacated tOSU win in 2010)
  • .438, 20-26-1 over the last 50 years (1971-2020 - no game in 2020, vacated tOSU win in 2010)

So, compared to the depths of the Cooper era, Michigan is now:
  • 1/2 game worse over the last 10 years
  • 2 games worse over the last 25 years
  • 1.5 games worse over the last 50 years

Also, it is not going to get any better for them anytime soon because:
  • Their one win in the last 10 years was 10 years ago, in 2011.  Thus, the best they could do for 2012-2021 is 1-8. 
  • Two of their six wins in the last 25 years were 25 and 24 years ago in 1996 and 1997.  Thus, the best they could do  for 1997-2021 and 1998-2022 is 6-17. 
  • One of their twenty wins in the last 50 years was 50 years ago in 1971.  Thus, the best they could do for 1972-2021 is 20-26-1. 


I see those 10-25-50 year windows as akin to "living memories".  If we assume that people can remember back to when they were between 5-10 years old then:
  • The 10 year comparison is roughly what a current HS or College student can remember. 
  • The 25 year comparison is roughly what a current 30-35 year old can remember. 
  • The 50 year comparison is roughly what a current 55-60 year old can remember. 

There simply are not a lot of living fans who can remember back much further than that.  Also, the 50 year comparison starts in 1971 and Ohio State had a very good record against the Wolverines in the 50's and 60's:
  • Ohio State's lead since 1971 is six games (26-20-2 since 1971). 
  • Going back further, tOSU's lead does not drop below six and consistently climbs until maxing out at 13 games since both 1954 and 1952:
  • Ohio State's lead since 1954 is 13 games (38-25-2 since 1954)
  • Ohio State's lead since 1952 is 13 games (39-26-2 since 1952). 

1952 was almost 70 years ago and Ohio State's lead doesn't shrink below six until you go back to 1938, more than 80 years ago.  My point is that there are no living fans in whose living memory Michigan is anything better than slightly behind tOSU and one game wouldn't change that at all. 




I suspect that if our starting point were my hypothetical with the football gods, you would have rather beaten Michigan than win a Big Ten Title. But since our starting point was getting THE GAME in instead of playing in the CCG, you are just doubling down on your original position as people on message boards tend to do.

I can't prove it of course, but that is my hypothesis. 
1919, 20, 21, 28, 29, 31, 34, 35, 36, 37, 42, 44
WWH: 1952, 54, 55, 57, 58, 60, 61, 62, 63, 65, 67, 68, 70, 72, 74, 75
1979, 81, 82, 84, 87, 94, 98
2001, 02, 04, 05, 06, 07, 08, 09, 10, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19

medinabuckeye1

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Re: Champions week matchups
« Reply #39 on: December 11, 2020, 01:10:27 PM »
I suspect that if our starting point were my hypothetical with the football gods, you would have rather beaten Michigan than win a Big Ten Title. But since our starting point was getting THE GAME in instead of playing in the CCG, you are just doubling down on your original position as people on message boards tend to do.

I can't prove it of course, but that is my hypothesis.
I can understand why you think that but it honestly isn't.  I'll try to explain why:

There are LOTS of great "regional" rivalries.  Games like Cal/Stanford, Minnesota/Wisconsin, and even Kent/Akron.  For that matter Chris Spielman once said that of all the rivalries he had played in (incl tOSU/M, Browns/Steelers, and several other NFL rivalries), the fiercest was Massilon/McKinley (a HS Football rivalry in Canton and Massilon, Ohio for those unaware).  Each of these is as important to the local partisans as tOSU/M is to you and I but very few people outside of that location care much.  

What made (and to an extent continues to make) tOSU/M a bigger deal than a mere "regional" rivalry is that it frequently had an impact well beyond local bragging rights.  People all around the league frequently had an interest in THE GAME either to see who would win the league or to see if their team would win (ie, if say Wisconsin needed a particular result out of THE GAME to win a league title like in 1993).  People in the PAC frequently had an interest in THE GAME to see who their RB opponent would be.  People beyond those areas frequently had an interest in THE GAME because one or both participants was a NC contender.  

If you take away the league and national title implications then tOSU/M is no different than Cal/Stanford or Minnesota/Wisconsin.  Those are great rivalries.  The local partisans are passionate about them.  Most of the rest of the country doesn't care.  

I love THE GAME and I really LOVE it when Ohio State wins THE GAME.  I've said before that if Ohio State wins the next 25 in a row I'll still be cheering like crazy for #26 when I'm 70 years old.  It will always matter to me.  

That said, what makes this rivalry so big is league and national title implications.  If those dried up then nobody outside of Ohio and Michigan would care.  It happened to Harvard and Yale.  Their partisans refer to their annual tilt as "THE GAME" just like we do.  A Century ago it was probably the biggest rivalry in all of College Football but even by then it was fading behind upstarts like tOSU/M.  The local partisans are still passionate.  Harvard Men still care deeply about beating Yale Men and vice-versa.  Nobody outside that bubble takes much notice.  

Cincydawg

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Re: Champions week matchups
« Reply #40 on: December 11, 2020, 01:38:46 PM »
I really SUSPECT that for younger OSU fans, in the next 20 years if my scenario plays out, they will simply lose interest in TG as anything special.  These folks are <30 years old, they never have known Michigan to be good, and hearing about history might as well apply to Army or Yale, to them.  Yay, we beat Michigan.  Again.  Whoop.

Way more excited to beat Penn State, Inidiana, Wisconsin, Iowa, Maryland, than Michigan.  They have been lousy for 30 years.


medinabuckeye1

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Re: Champions week matchups
« Reply #41 on: December 11, 2020, 02:57:45 PM »
I really SUSPECT that for younger OSU fans, in the next 20 years if my scenario plays out, they will simply lose interest in TG as anything special.  These folks are <30 years old, they never have known Michigan to be good, and hearing about history might as well apply to Army or Yale, to them.  Yay, we beat Michigan.  Again.  Whoop.

Way more excited to beat Penn State, Inidiana, Wisconsin, Iowa, Maryland, than Michigan.  They have been lousy for 30 years.
This, 100%.  

I hope your scenario plays out, of course.  Here it is:
Imagine 20 years from now and Michigan has been relegated to Illinois status as a football program.  E.g., their best season in 20 years was 7-5, and they made bowl games only 3 years out of 20.  Does The Game retain much significance at that point?  Imagine the series is 1-19 over that time period.
If it does play out (FWIW, I highly doubt it) then twenty years from now old guys like @Brutus Buckeye and I will still care about wins over Michigan.  Younger fans will wonder what the big deal is to us.  

Any rivalry reflects the reality of the situation.  Ohio State has already won 14 of the last 15 (2004-2020 with 2010 excluded due to being vacated and 2020 not played) and 16 of the last 18 (2001-2020 with the same stipulations).  Thus, if Ohio State wins 19 of the next 20 that would make it 33 of 35 and 35 of 38 and at that point no person younger than about 75 would think of the Ohio State/Michigan rivalry as anything but completely one sided in Ohio State's favor.  

For comparison, Ohio State's record over the past 20 (2000-2019) years against teams that they have played at least six times:
  • 1.000, 17-0 vs Indiana
  • 1.000, 6-0 vs Rutgers
  • 1.000, 6-0 vs Maryland
  • .917, 11-1 vs Minnesota
  • .917, 11-1 vs Northwestern
  • .867, 13-2 vs Illinois
  • .850, 17-3 vs Michigan
  • .833, 5-1 vs Nebraska
  • .812, 13-3 vs Michigan State
  • .778, 7-2 vs Iowa
  • .765, 13-4 vs Wisconsin
  • .750, 15-5 vs Penn State
  • .615, 8-5 vs Purdue

19-1 would be .950 which is more than we could realistically hope for.  I'm thinking that matching the .850 achieved over the last 20 years would be a very ambitious goal but even in that situation your point would still be correct.  If Ohio State ends up 34-6 over Michigan over a four decade stretch then nobody under 50 will understand why @Brutus Buckeye and I care so much about beating Michigan.  

 

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