So, my premise has been that underdogs win more often in bowl games than in the regular season. I keep wanting to check this against reality but haven't done it. This is based on the idea that the underdog is a better team than the favorite has played in 9 or 10 of the games played, usually, and "we" over estimate the difference between a Mizzou, say, and an Oklahoma State, along with the inherent variables in any game.